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by SriKumar
31 Mar 2020 06:47
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332738

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

A thought just struck me about how much longer can the Indian pulbic continue to rely on the police to 'do this and do that', in terms of keeping order, enforcing curfew, arresting quarantine escapees and returning them to their isolation ward etc. Self-regulation is the critical need of day. Each t...
by SriKumar
31 Mar 2020 04:19
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Post Wuhan-Virus(Covid19) World and India
Replies: 90
Views: 11208

Re: Post Wuhan-Virus(Covid19) World and India

China is doing what is good for them. I dont care how they run their society. It is our mistake to have given so much leverage to them. They have not waged physical war on anyone. Move the supply chain out if you can. I've said it once before and will say it again: At one point in the past, how Chi...
by SriKumar
30 Mar 2020 00:24
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332738

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

GIven the paucity of information of survivability of virus on surfaces even two months after it wreaked havoc over 2 continents, I am scouring around for other sources. Found this article published in 2010 (Hong Kong-based researchers) on SARS Coronavirus https://www.hindawi.com/journals/av/2011/734...
by SriKumar
29 Mar 2020 23:48
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332738

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Looks like some heads rolling for the reverse-migration fiasco in Delhi: https://twitter.com/sidhant/status/1244316231756201984?s=20 Not sure if action was taken by Centre or state though (I think it would be the former). Added later: Confirmation from various journalists on twitter that Amit Shah'...
by SriKumar
29 Mar 2020 10:57
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Post Wuhan-Virus(Covid19) World and India
Replies: 90
Views: 11208

Re: Post-Covid19 World and India

I think the biggest opportunity provided is to clean house internally, both figuratively and literally. I see this situation as the closest to a warlike situation that has come to the home of every Indian, in every state and not just at the borders like most wars were (KArgil, 1971 etc. etc.). Those...
by SriKumar
28 Mar 2020 20:09
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332738

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

The boys have been issued authorisation letter from our organisation as per MHA circular, as we fall under essential services, but the speed of lathi exceeds the speed with which the boys can pull the letter out of their pocket. Plus some of the police men have not been accepting the authorisation ...
by SriKumar
27 Mar 2020 17:56
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332738

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Chola...:lol: that's a seriously funny comment about the Brit PM.

Reference to your last para in the earlier post - what are the US businesses actually worried about, that they could get blamed in future if a virus comes out of US? What do they see as incorrect in the current stream of criticism?
by SriKumar
27 Mar 2020 03:38
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332738

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Well, Amreekis are hell bent on catching and dethroning the chinis for the Corona crown. Already passed Italy. Should overtake Cheen by tomorrow. https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/florida-coronavirus-cases-surge-spring-breakers-express-regret-n1168686 The writing on the wall pretty clearly was t...
by SriKumar
26 Mar 2020 18:00
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332738

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/us/china-poses-substantial-threat-to-americans-health-way-of-life-mike-pompeo/articleshow/74824406.cms The starting of the end game for Xi?? I think in the coming days there will be Bi-partisan support for dissing CCP and China for withholding information a...
by SriKumar
25 Mar 2020 16:19
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332738

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

agreed. If shops are open for a limited time only then all will descend on them at that same time. Not sustainable in large cities. Will cause chaos. There is a lesson in this from the demonetization exercise. Food and medicines have to have unhindered access or else....it will be worse than demonet...
by SriKumar
25 Mar 2020 05:27
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332738

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

the 21-day lock down....is there a provision for an open timeslot for people to buy vegetables/rice and medicines? Will medical shops be open during this time duration? expecting to prepare for 21 days in 1 day is untenable. Has lockdown started already? Yes to all. Keep in mind that Sec 144 is dif...
by SriKumar
25 Mar 2020 05:01
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332738

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

the 21-day lock down....is there a provision for an open timeslot for people to buy vegetables/rice and medicines? Will medical shops be open during this time duration? expecting to prepare for 21 days in 1 day is untenable. Has lockdown started already?
by SriKumar
24 Mar 2020 17:45
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332738

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

One thing is clear- Indian doctors and medical community at large have multiple decades (5+) of field experience prescribing chloroquine (probably the highest in the world, my opinion). The knowledge is institutional now. I think they will have an understanding of the limits and side effects and its...
by SriKumar
24 Mar 2020 16:36
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332738

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Just as a single datum point ..... I've had malaria a couple of times in the past, and was prescribed chloroquine- don't recall exact name (or whatever version was sold in the local medical store). Once or twice the diagnosis was not even confirmed by a blood test (was based on just visible symptoms...
by SriKumar
24 Mar 2020 04:33
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332738

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

No one in business actually thinks they subsidized low end products like toys. You subsidize select, critical industries until they mature. Cheen would have gone bankrupt ages ago and would have no infrastructure today if they had subsidized everything. It is economically impossible to lose money o...
by SriKumar
22 Mar 2020 21:15
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332738

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Kumar Ji, the global system won't disappear in the next year or five or 10 years. But it is dead in that globalization is no longer growing. The thought beginning in the 1980s was that efficiency will drive things so that industries will always find the lowest cost quality balance. The trade war br...
by SriKumar
22 Mar 2020 20:48
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332738

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

But regardless of how the virus got out, Chinese boorishness and barbarianism is out on full display and if there is one bright thing in this whole stinking mess, it's that China's day as the world's factory are numbered. I sincerely hope so, especially w.r.t to India, but not very sanguine about i...
by SriKumar
22 Mar 2020 10:03
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332738

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Everything has price. I guess this is the price we have to pay for the globalization and cheap chinese products. we could have been much better prepared if ccp is honest with their situation. even as the world plunging into darkness, they still keeping the data to themselves. do they realize their ...
by SriKumar
22 Mar 2020 07:22
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332738

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

^^^ Not really. PResumptive positive means that the patient has been tested and the test came out positive, but the test result is to be confirmed by the CDC (not sure if they re-test a portion sample or just look at the prior test results and confirm). https://www.thecrimson.com/article/2020/3/17/h...
by SriKumar
22 Mar 2020 02:19
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332738

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

^^^ Read poster DavidD's previous to previous post. He is a doctor and he mentioned this (last week itself) that in Italy the doctors had made a conscious decision to let the very old people die- literally. (perhaps due to shortage of something).
by SriKumar
21 Mar 2020 06:56
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332738

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Please check the prior post by ramana that I was responding to.
by SriKumar
21 Mar 2020 06:33
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332738

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

^^^ Well, I agree with you that Ae^kx may not be the perfect equation to curve-fit, but the curves do show an exponential form to them, so I used it. And also that the compouding form does match the spread mechanism better but I did not use it 'cose it was not an option in XL spreadsheet I was using...
by SriKumar
21 Mar 2020 06:05
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332738

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Khatavanga Posted this on Twitter. Do try to do more research. Example curve fit for the three countries and find the exponent. Find out the demographics of the three countries. Compare to India. There is a lot of useful things one can do instead of scaring ourselves. https://twitter.com/khatvaanga...
by SriKumar
20 Mar 2020 16:44
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332738

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

KaranM- no where did i suggest you or anyone else keep quiet. You misread my post and it's intent.
by SriKumar
20 Mar 2020 16:40
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332738

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

People who violate quarantine after coming from abroad should have their passports cancelled, and those who are well-to-do and responsible for such messes should be made to pay for the cleanup. Putting a stamp on the hand or cheek if they get out so all will know. Public release of names and faces....
by SriKumar
20 Mar 2020 16:29
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332738

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

A few posts ago were you not complimenting the govt for effective action, and now laissez-affaire? Enforcing quarantine is difficult if people behave like the proverbial Rajinkant. We need guards so no one escapes. Is it possible to have police guards at all facilities? Probably not. Also quarantine...
by SriKumar
20 Mar 2020 08:06
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332738

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

^^^ So will these lamps (UV-C) be useful in disinfecting, say, Fedex or Amazon packages, or any 'dead' surfaces like plastic, steel etc. If this epidemic continues into Sept. some 'industiral' means other than manual hand-wiping chairs, offices, with tissue will need to be developed.
by SriKumar
20 Mar 2020 07:42
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332738

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Posters have alluded to the fact that UV light kills microbes. This article (from NAture) says that they authors have successfully used it to kill influenza virus and bacteria. Essentially, it is about using UV lamps to bathe a space in UV light for a specific period of time, to disinfect surfaces, ...
by SriKumar
19 Mar 2020 17:19
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332738

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Karan M wrote:US will just open the tap to flood pockets with $$.

Was Done in 2008, for 2+ years. Printed 2+ trillion dollars in 'quantitative easing'. Why no inflation followed is a mystery. This OT but willing to continue in appropriate thread- and if so please flag this post.
by SriKumar
19 Mar 2020 04:24
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332738

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/mumbai-prepares-to-quarantine-26k-indians-coming-from-gulf/articleshow/74701638.cms Even if we are allowing incoming flights, we should stagger it over several weeks so we are not over whelmed with cases. A US returned techie, instead of being in quarantine...
by SriKumar
18 Mar 2020 19:40
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332738

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Guys again, no one knows what needs to be done and how this virus behaves. All the experts views are not even worth the paper they are written on. The only option is to control people to people contact and even that is not always effective. Governments around the world knows what needs to be done. ...
by SriKumar
17 Mar 2020 06:54
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332738

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

I want to make just one thing very clear. To anyone with two neurons to fire, its clear that it is the mismanagement of the Chinese Communist Party that is to blame for this dire situation the world finds itself in. The Chinese Communist Party is a menace and the world cooperates with them at their...
by SriKumar
16 Mar 2020 08:18
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332738

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

bolne ko kuch hai hi nahi saar! A new virus, a new disease , more is unknown than known. Previously we were told it is only killing old people with underlying condition but by now covid19 has claimed lives of young men as well . front line workers & doctors are truly screwed while world is runn...
by SriKumar
16 Mar 2020 07:49
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 3946
Views: 432808

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

^^^I think this sentiment needs to be articulated and emphasized as much as possible, with a megaphone gigaphone if necessary. Make it go viral (poor pun). I still remember the Dokalam time when people were exhorting desis to not buy Chinese, and GOI was putting tarrifs and yet many continued to buy...
by SriKumar
16 Mar 2020 07:19
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332738

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Coronavirus: More young patients being admitted to hospital, Italian doctor warns https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/coronavirus-italy-update-young-people-hospital-luca-lorini-bergamo-a9402531.html I was wondering how you managed to stay away from this thread for so long, yaar. What's ...
by SriKumar
16 Mar 2020 07:16
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332738

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

THere is a lesson in here for India. Culturally Italy has similarities with India where traditionally family and friends bonds are strong, and they are relied on, much more so than the government ... SriKumar avargal, While there are similarities, there are also differences which might actually ser...
by SriKumar
16 Mar 2020 01:30
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332738

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

On "virus survivability on various surfaces", i thought it may been posted earlier on this thread.. https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.09.20033217v2 Yes, I had quickly scanned this paper and noted its findings, particularly that it stays for 12 hours + on steel and Polypropyl...
by SriKumar
15 Mar 2020 23:01
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332738

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Reading the previous two posts on the Italian context - So the idiots there basically ignored official instructions and went about socializing in restaurants and large family groups. Then they escaped quarantine and romped around the rest of the country. Looks like the youngsters acted recklessly a...
by SriKumar
15 Mar 2020 18:23
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332738

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Islam does not approve: Four Muslims who returned from Dubai threaten health officials in Karnataka, refuse to undergo Coronavirus test :shock: At a time when the entire world is on edge due to coronavirus outbreak, a shocking incident of recklessness has been reported from Bhatkal town of Karnatak...
by SriKumar
14 Mar 2020 21:34
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332738

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Today China reported only 11 new cases. I am sure Mr Eleven will be immensely happy. Looks like whatever China did, they did it right. During this month their new case graph is practically flat. Hope we can learn something from them. I know the practices of China will be very difficult to enforce i...

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