Bharat Rakshak

shyamd

The sudden withdrawal from Afghanistan is about US ability to switch significant resources to focus on China. Biden admin sees Afghanistan as a waste of time and money. Various influential people in Europe etc tried to change Biden’s mind… US admin wasn’t even willing to enter into discussion on the...

shyamd

I meant from an economic and mil technology perspective… India wants access to the best of western mil and non mil tech/capabilities yet make strides in building indigenous capacity.

Obviously India will never be exactly like Japan and SK but the leaders are aiming for something similar

shyamd

if we can become like Japan/S Korea with their per capita income multiplied by our population, the possibilities are quite a few... shyamd: with all the attention on the northern part of the LAC, what is happening on the eastern front of the LAC? Attention is only from media perspective. Armed forc...

shyamd

Iran had a choice to resist taleban using their proxies. There was a huge debate in the inner circles for last 1-2 months which was split… intel chief wanted to resist others to do a deal... Supreme leader decided not to intervene against Taleban and impact is for all to see. They prefer the West ou...

shyamd

shyamd- your insights are always helpful. would welcome your comments on the latest on the northern borders. and please post more, if possible Assuming you mean LoC and LAC. LoC Peace is being preserved by both GOI and TSPA. TSPA is focused on 2 issues: 1) Shia pakistanis returning from warzones. I...

shyamd

Iran and Russia would have to approve of any operation and GOI doesn’t really want to ask them. What ANA is asking for is logistical and ammunition support mainly which they are critically short of. GOI provided ammunition element (mostly stock that was closest to going out of date) IAF is short of ...

shyamd

With some hindsight, its clear why the Pakis were willing to the ceasefire agreement on the LoC - to be able to move their troops away from LoC and focus to western Afghan border and the Durand line following the withdrawal of US forces from Afghanistan. By issuing highly mediated statements that P...

shyamd

Worth reading my posts on this topic for greater clarity on what is going on Link 1 Link 2 They are just starting the long journey to create integration because vested interests had to be protected. In some years we’ll say integration hasn’t gone far enough and defence as a whole isn’t delivering it...

shyamd

Finally news trickling out from the WMCC with PRC last week. Looks like GOI pressured PRC to discuss the East Ladakh issue despite PRC refusing to discuss it. Some progress has been made and looks like both parties have decided to push the issue down to local military level (AGAIN!) this time to foc...

shyamd

Design phase takes around 6 months at least if not longer. Detailed implementation will take at least a year to achieve IOC state. FOC in 2023 seems about right to me. Everything from Finance, Governance/meetings, posts roles & responsibilities to technology ... people issues like location/trans...

shyamd

Looks like there will be a response to drone strikes by GOI. Some sort of action due soon.

shyamd

The Jammu attack by TSPA is a message to GOI to stop certain activities - possibly a response for Hafiz Saeed attack. Hafiz Saeed is useful alive to GOI. If they wanted him dead they would have killed him already… TSPA chose not to break the ceasefire at LoC. —————————- GOI planning to release pictu...

shyamd

Nothing has stopped from covert front. No major infiltration activity reported. But some hinterland strikes which GOI adequately responded to.

TSPA are busy with AfPak. They have kept some jihadis at launch pads just to keep pressure on IA.

GOI are continue to implement covert agreement with TSPA

shyamd

Armed forces have strong ISR capability. Objective is to be able to pre-empt PLA with larger numbers if needed. GOI has Larger number of acclimatized troops at very short notice to move in rear. PLA not happy and asking for things like NFZ and pull back from rear. PLA has deployed S400 at Hotan, whi...

shyamd

Because IAF believes they are the loser in Theatre command plans. Not getting enough Theatre commander posts. Hope petty politics goes away and they start playing as a team.

shyamd

Any suggestions that PLA was going for Leh last year is a bit far fetched. Very few people actually know the circumstances of what happened when late Col. Santosh Babu was martyred. Simple - across the Northern, central and eastern borders IA has been massively undermanned, underequipped and I can g...

shyamd

Army to set up new battle groups for offensive operations by next year Army Chief today added more colour to the above post I made. --------------------- Meanwhile in pre-WMCC meeting with PRC diplomats, PRC have pushed back on discussing Gogra-Hot springs sector as an agenda item. They have asked ...

shyamd

Indian Army has ramped up manpower at what is referred to as the "Central Sector" - which is the Himachal border with Tibet. Historically this part of the border is the most under-manned from an IA perspective. IA had been conducting a rebalancing study even before the May 2020 face off w...

shyamd

Little bit of spin in this... but I don't think they understand the mindset in Beijing at the highest levels and the prevailing environment. Indian Army has new strategies for Pakistan, China: Punitive deterrence, credible deterrence With tensions continuing with China, India has deployed more troop...

shyamd

^^ these systems work well in "normal" conditions upto circa September before the weather turns. This is part of preparations for this year's fighting season.

shyamd

Indian Army has ramped up manpower at what is referred to as the "Central Sector" - which is the Himachal border with Tibet. Historically this part of the border is the most under-manned from an IA perspective. IA had been conducting a rebalancing study even before the May 2020 face off wi...

shyamd

TSPA - GOI peace talks. TSPA need to focus on taking over Afghanistan. Regional challengers like Iran have kick started ops to battle for influence in key districts and provinces. Major recruitment drives underway in afghan population in Iran. ISI is most worried about Pashtun population/influencer...

shyamd

TSPA - GOI peace talks. TSPA need to focus on taking over Afghanistan. Regional challengers like Iran have kick started ops to battle for influence in key districts and provinces. Major recruitment drives underway in afghan population in Iran. ISI is most worried about Pashtun population/influencer...

shyamd

Hari Nair, What are you thinking? - PLA reinforcing Depsang, Geography etc with armour ans India too. - Gen. Narvane visit to birder this week to White Knights Corps? Looks Pak facing. - Covid Phase 2 chaos. Now abating. Gen. Naravane Was in Ladakh 2 weeks ago. Alternative view - why wouldn’t PLA m...

shyamd

ramana wrote:shyamD, Am not arguing. Try to understand.

Just adding to your post - not arguing too.

shyamd

Hari Nair, What are you thinking? - PLA reinforcing Depsang, Geography etc with armour ans India too. - Gen. Narvane visit to birder this week to White Knights Corps? Looks Pak facing. - Covid Phase 2 chaos. Now abating. Gen. Naravane Was in Ladakh 2 weeks ago. Alternative view - why wouldn’t PLA m...

shyamd

The political leadership wanted to avoid war from an economic and preservation of lives perspective. If and when the domestic situation improves we can expect to see some action.

shyamd

This thread seems to have lost focus on Ladakh situation of late. Some recent tweets by Saurav Jha---> https://twitter.com/SJha1618/status/1390617966467637249?s=19 There are again reports of heightened PLAGF activity at Rudok, which is their main sustenance base in Eastern Ladakh. They have also se...

shyamd

Did NSA Ajit Doval meet Pakistan ISI chief in UAE last year? Pakistan’s Army chief General Qamar Javed Bajwa said they did meet, which resulted in the February 25 joint statement, by which the two militaries agreed to adhere to the 2003 ceasefire understanding T he recent thaw in India-Pakistan rel...

shyamd

What I'm told is agents close to both parties were paid (because one side threatened the other side). It won't be the opposition that will make the charge but the agent(s) who will file legal complaint in France when the time is right when PM ever visits France. Let's see.

shyamd

Get ready for another scandal related to M2K upgrades. Some agents didn't get paid, some got paid and wanted their annual increase. HAL asked IAF to cover the increase ....

shyamd

--------------------------------------- The other interesting thing is GOI, Paris and Aussies are creating a new framework for Indian Ocean separate to the Quad (US/Aus/Ind/Jap) grouping. All three have agreed to join hands. Paris is promising ISR, Rafale, Submarines + cash support . Aussies have b...

shyamd

Another article of High Level TSPA people testing the water with the public before there is open discussion or public meet with GOI Indian offer led to ‘quiet’ talks on all major issues • High-level sources say backchannel talks are continuing between the intelligence leaderships of two countries • ...

shyamd

According to Maoists - GOI conducted covert air strikes against Madhvi Hidma faction using “drones and helicopters”. If true I think this is a one off move to send a message. This was the only option left on the table.

Depending on effectiveness they may do a few more in the coming days.

shyamd

The only conversation that matters is the one between NSA Ajit Doval and TSPA chief Bajwa as well as the intel agencies. The rest are just couriers.

Both are no fools and the article is just for communicating to the Pakistani public that Pakistani/Kashmir interests are being protected etc.

shyamd

Nothing alarming nor surprising in this article. GOI is always speaking to TSP/A. Talks are more advanced than this article lets out. Pakistan seeks specific actions for India talks to move ahead First, a permanent halt to demographic change in Indian-administered Kashmir, where India in April 2020 ...

shyamd

^^ There is no re-think by PLA (at least that's not what troops on ground are seeing). The updated rules of engagement are more nuanced than what is being reported - there are conditions imposed. Firing is only allowed under specific circumstances. Example “Now, we said, if you come close we will fi...

shyamd

Body count alone does not resolve the problem. This will be solved politically. You can't use brute force to solve these issues - Vietnam and Afghanistan as an example.

shyamd

^^ It just confirms what I said all the way along - Army was ready to conduct ops earlier. The Galwan incident was troubling me for last few days so this article is timely. To cut the long story short - I agree with the views presented in this article. 1) PLA direction to troops is to go for close q...

shyamd

They'll be recruiting from the tribes that are more pro-regime. Tibetan exiles are from a tribe that historically wanted independence I believe.

It's interesting that the agencies are releasing this news.

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