Bharat Rakshak

shyamd

- My view: Armed forces (IA/IAF) will be making preparations for deployment to somewhere in central asia in coalition with regional powers (if green light provided). I suspect Brigade level operation with some air cover. Primary task will be border security. Some confirmation today of what is being...

shyamd

- My view: Armed forces (IA/IAF) will be making preparations for deployment to somewhere in central asia in coalition with regional powers (if green light provided). I suspect Brigade level operation with some air cover. Primary task will be border security. Some confirmation today of what is being...

shyamd

Nations will do what it takes to defend their interests... if you think these countries will sit around whilst Afghanistan is used to conduct terror activities on their soil I think you are mistaken. Equally this doesn't mean that people want to collapse TSP as a state either... The policies put in ...

shyamd

Just wanted to share a timeline/thread I think consensus within current TSPA establishment is they regret recognising the previous Taleban govt without support of international powers - bad PR and guilt by association. Especially that Taleban was not inclusive last time - this created its own instab...

shyamd

x post Latest SitRep - GOI is implementing a strategy & plan on Afghanistan that was created earlier this year. Plan was in process of being updated during collapse. .... - Intel assessment is that TSPA will turn up temperature in LoC and J&K very soon... There is a gradual redeployment of ...

shyamd

Intel assessment on Afghanistan - there is a coalition of countries with shared interests (US, UK, India, Russia, central Asian states and China) with respect to terror emanating from Afghanistan that are cooperating. - meetings taking place more regularly. - inclusive Govt was always going to be a...

shyamd

Intel assessment on Afghanistan - there is a coalition of countries with shared interests (US, UK, India, Russia, central Asian states and China) with respect to terror emanating from Afghanistan that are cooperating. - meetings taking place more regularly. - inclusive Govt was always going to be a ...

shyamd

x post Latest SitRep - GOI is implementing a strategy & plan on Afghanistan that was created earlier this year. Plan was in process of being updated during collapse. .... - Intel assessment is that TSPA will turn up temperature in LoC and J&K very soon... There is a gradual redeployment of t...

shyamd

Just wanted to share a timeline/thread I think consensus within current TSPA establishment is they regret recognising the previous Taleban govt without support of international powers - bad PR and guilt by association. Especially that Taleban was not inclusive last time - this created its own instab...

shyamd

Latest I’m hearing is that UK is speaking to Tajik Govt to see if they can pressure Ahmad Massoud to join a future Govt in Afghanistan. (Which means TSP is promising west that Doha agreement will be implemented)…

shyamd

UK Foreign Min met TSP/A to discuss Afg. UK and US answer is that what was promised in Doha was not delivered and therefore we are far away from recognizing Taleban Govt.

Not sure if it’s true but ISI chief in Kabul today probably to attempt to sort things out

shyamd

Makes sense. Haqqani is pushing the ISI agenda which in turn is seeing Pakistan pushing the Chinese agenda. China wants peace in a unified Afghanistan before they start investing and they want projects to re-start such as the long standing Mes Ayanak copper mine. The Haqqani network which has ISI e...

shyamd

Yep, the military leaders on the ground are calling the shots in Afghanistan, the political leadership appears for now at least to be pushed aside. Qatar was operating via the political leadership based there. Interesting that the so called political leader Hibatullah Akhundzada has not been seen i...

shyamd

Just wanted to share a timeline/thread I think consensus within current TSPA establishment is they regret recognising the previous Taleban govt without support of international powers - bad PR and guilt by association. Especially that Taleban was not inclusive last time - this created its own instab...

shyamd

Just wanted to share a timeline/thread I think consensus within current TSPA establishment is they regret recognising the previous Taleban govt without support of international powers - bad PR and guilt by association. Especially that Taleban was not inclusive last time - this created its own instab...

shyamd

Roop wrote: Two withdrawals by whom? India? China? One of each?

Your posts are IMO really interesting, but you have to be a little less cryptic/ambiguous and say directly what you mean.

TIA.

By India. PLA weren't allowed on the hills that IA took until much later after talks.

shyamd

Thank you sir for your response. We are less accommodating than in past but we are still giving others rope so that they can hang us. Well this isn't necessarily a correct interpretation... responses are not always publicised to control escalation ladder. Weakness is what drives emotions and enable...

shyamd

^^ Would be good if GOI do negotiate something like that and I suspect that is probably on the cards. Already talk of more military exercises in the region. Next NSA level conversation with russia where these things are discussed is in Dushanbe. Added later: I do recall NSA Doval pitching for cooper...

shyamd

Re: recon/strike capabilities They'd need access to TSP airspace for those ops. every regional power from Russia, PRC, Iran to TSP want US physical presence out...they might tolerate drones though.. To do this US will strike a deal with TSP ( to not touch JeM and LeT .... US may pass on intel to GOI...

shyamd

x post from Afghanistan thread I think that Pakistani influence in Taliban 2.0 will be much less than Taliban 1.0. Taliban 2.0 has been influenced by Qatar and MB, leadership in Doha for many years. And therefore also under Turkish influence. Be careful....maybe ISI want us to think that. From speak...

shyamd

I think that Pakistani influence in Taliban 2.0 will be much less than Taliban 1.0. Taliban 2.0 has been influenced by Qatar and MB, leadership in Doha for many years. And therefore also under Turkish influence. Be careful....maybe ISI want us to think that. From speaking to people I'm getting the ...

shyamd

It seems with every party, Bharat is more accommodating than anyone else be it Napak, Afg, SL, Nepal or Chinese. Why are we not able to make a stand and make a point? When Chinese unilaterally broke the agreement and change the border, did they worry that Bharat will start the war and will the cost...

shyamd

Gissar Military Aerodrome — India’s first overseas base that came to the rescue in Afghan crisis However, it was only under the Narendra Modi government that India undertook the first international deployment of fighters — Su 30MKI — to the DMA on a temporary basis, sources said. The GMA is often c...

shyamd

I think that Pakistani influence in Taliban 2.0 will be much less than Taliban 1.0. Taliban 2.0 has been influenced by Qatar and MB, leadership in Doha for many years. And therefore also under Turkish influence. Be careful....maybe ISI want us to think that. From speaking to people I'm getting the ...

shyamd

Qatar and Turkey will try and moderate the Taliban to increase the number of acceptable MB countries. Obviously Turkey feels that they have an inside track on the Taliban via Qatar and hence their play to manage Kabul airport after the US withdrawal. But that plan has cratered with the suddenness o...

shyamd

https://t.co/cuymxjHdAG

Ahmad Masoud appeals to west for weapons and supplies to launch resistance against taleban - see article he has penned in Washington post

I think international powers will be nervous at this point as they want to see if taleban will be inclusive as promised

shyamd

Are there any credible estimates of how many Indian nationals are still stuck in Afghanistan? The WSJ was saying some 10,000-15,000 US nationals or residents are still stuck. Something like 1500/day are being evacuated. With Taliban blocking road access to the airport, this is going to get ugly in ...

shyamd

Are there any credible estimates of how many Indian nationals are still stuck in Afghanistan? The WSJ was saying some 10,000-15,000 US nationals or residents are still stuck. Something like 1500/day are being evacuated. With Taliban blocking road access to the airport, this is going to get ugly in ...

shyamd

x posting Assessment of Security Situation post Kabul takeover TSPA priority - TSPA support Taleban priority firstly will be to consolidate, secure and prevent any forces that can launch a counter coup. Apparently Kabul is not completely secure and the Taleban are still continuing operations. - Neg...

shyamd

TSP saying they won’t recognize Taleban unless they build an inclusive Govt.

Another thing I wanted to add to my post is GOI will start providing evidence of TSPA support to taleban.

Amrullah Saleh is now president of Afghanistan given Ashraf Ghani has left

shyamd

x posting Assessment of Security Situation post Kabul takeover TSPA priority - TSPA support Taleban priority firstly will be to consolidate, secure and prevent any forces that can launch a counter coup. Apparently Kabul is not completely secure and the Taleban are still continuing operations. - Nego...

shyamd

Assessment of Security Situation post Kabul takeover TSPA priority - TSPA support Taleban priority firstly will be to consolidate, secure and prevent any forces that can launch a counter coup. Apparently Kabul is not completely secure and the Taleban are still continuing operations. - Negotiations ...

shyamd

US despatching another 1000 to secure the airport. GOI reporting that there are 3,000 nationals awaiting repatriation...!! Not impossible but runway needs to be secured. Turkish, US, UK troops working to secure the runway. The reason why ANA "melted away" or surrendered was because they we...

shyamd

If you are talking about the Amrullah Saleh faction in northern Afg then it has the support of Russia, Tajakistan and some say even China. If so then RAW and MEA have bungled up because historically northern faction was very close to India. It increasingly makes sense now why Russia conducted a mil...

shyamd

LINK People familiar with the development said the government will not put the lives of its staffers at the Indian embassy and Indian citizens in Kabul at any risk. A fleet of the C-17 Globemaster military transport aircraft of the IAF was kept on standby to undertake evacuation missions. One C-17 ...

shyamd

Now that Kabul has been almost taken, ISI and Taleban are now on the look out for NDS officials.. so far one has been murdered.. US bringing in more troops to secure the airport as things getting out of hand.. UK were sending 800 There is an international coalition building to put sanctions on Afgh...

shyamd

IAF C17 just entered Afghan airspace on a rescue mission..

shyamd

Now that Kabul has been almost taken, ISI and Taleban are now on the look out for NDS officials.. so far one has been murdered.. US bringing in more troops to secure the airport as things getting out of hand.. UK were sending 800 but no sign of them There is an international coalition building to pu...

shyamd

ISI trying to ensure the words “Islamic emirate of…” is kept out.

This is a Pak mil operation and at some point this will be exposed.

Taleban and ISI media managers are trying to build an image of inclusivity. Let’s see how long that lasts…

shyamd

China is a threat and the US is pivoting to meet it. The posture vis a vis Russia is inexplicable on the surface but if you notice, the posture has remained consistent from the 44th President. 45 tried to change the status quo but he was not in the know and was "tackled". 46 has made some...

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