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by JE Menon
12 Nov 2017 18:16
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 2139
Views: 289059

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

On a separate note, the Da Nang address by Trump also possibly set in stone two divergent views: with China advocating "free" trade (such as it is), and the US advocating "fair" trade (which is also notional). I suspect both will articulate "officially" trade which is b...
by JE Menon
12 Nov 2017 16:29
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Saudi Arabia and its impact on Indian security
Replies: 404
Views: 26206

Re: Saudi Arabia and its impact on Indian security

RD, Replying to your question in the Indo-US thread... I've read Arihant P's article in Swarajya. I concur basically with Ramana's observation above. If you remove the 5th and 6th introductory paragraphs, and keep only the first 7 out of 8 points, this article may more accurately have been titled: 7...
by JE Menon
12 Nov 2017 11:28
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 2139
Views: 289059

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

RD - I will reply later today in Saudi thread about Arihant P article. Added later: But first and quickly a note on this: "I am not as sanguine as some other observers here about the term "Indo-Pacific" being brought into vogue by the US strategic community. Yes, on the face of it, it...
by JE Menon
11 Nov 2017 19:12
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia News and Discussions
Replies: 590
Views: 81281

Re: West Asia News and Discussions

>>this time will the Maronites have adequate access to weapons? Almost certainly they will. However, they may not be inclined for a prolonged engagement and may just flee the country - resulting in yet another Christian community being squeezed out of the Middle East. Note that there are Orthodox Ch...
by JE Menon
11 Nov 2017 01:30
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 2139
Views: 289059

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

RD +101 AoA The whole speech was crafted very very well. The reference to, and repeated emphasis on, "Indo-Pacific" during the course of the speech, the pointing out of Vietnam's history 40AD onwards and its independence, and of course the part where he basically outlined his approach to w...
by JE Menon
10 Nov 2017 18:35
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Terroristan - 29 September 2017
Replies: 2847
Views: 247395

Re: Terroristan - 29 September 2017

Exactly right... if you take the car out it could be about 1,300 years ago.
by JE Menon
10 Nov 2017 17:30
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Indian Interests_2
Replies: 89
Views: 16377

Re: Indian Interests_2017

I don't know where else to post this, although it does have something to do with our larger strategic interests:

This is about the "Pidification of Congress"
https://swarajyamag.com/politics/when-r ... s-good-boy

Please read and share...
by JE Menon
10 Nov 2017 15:12
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015
Replies: 741
Views: 106060

Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Very important speech by Trump in Danang, on trade.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cLrttMJj7mo

If he means what he says, and I think he does, we are about to enter into a new era as far as global trade is concerned.
by JE Menon
10 Nov 2017 15:02
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 2139
Views: 289059

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

Very important speech by Trump in Danang, on trade.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cLrttMJj7mo

If he means what he says, and I think he does, we are about to enter into a new era as far as global trade is concerned.
by JE Menon
09 Nov 2017 19:22
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 2139
Views: 289059

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

Small note of interest: Falguni Patel and Jerry Shi have both won.
by JE Menon
09 Nov 2017 01:35
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Indian Missiles News & Discussions - May 2017
Replies: 5115
Views: 1022645

Re: Indian Missiles News and Discussions - May 2017

>>Every power will hit with everything they got.
>>Treaty or not.

This, gentlemen, is the truth. No other is viable.
by JE Menon
08 Nov 2017 23:25
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia News and Discussions
Replies: 590
Views: 81281

Re: West Asia News and Discussions

KLNM, I've replied in the Saudi thread
by JE Menon
08 Nov 2017 23:24
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Saudi Arabia and its impact on Indian security
Replies: 404
Views: 26206

Re: Saudi Arabia and its impact on Indian security

KLNM, Answering your question on the 'West Asia news" thread about potential impact of Saudi changes on India, my feeling is that what is happening is good for India on several levels - but let's just focus on the MBS taking charge of the situation angle (and keep in mind that health or mortali...
by JE Menon
08 Nov 2017 13:37
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia News and Discussions
Replies: 590
Views: 81281

Re: West Asia News and Discussions

>>ISIS or a separate extremist faction don't have to wade all the way into the capital - if they laid siege upon Dhahran and all the expats ran for the door, what's doing to happen ? Suraj, boss this is not at all a likelihood. ISIS in SA will mean both the Aal Al Shaikh and the Al Sauds (all factio...
by JE Menon
08 Nov 2017 01:16
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia News and Discussions
Replies: 590
Views: 81281

Re: West Asia News and Discussions

I doubt it is GoI policy to help make any country wither. Then what? We need an outcome there that is benign and sustainable. In the short- to medium-term, pragmatically speaking, no outcome can be one without Islam in the mix. In the long-term, perhaps a new form of Islam that simply suppresses the...
by JE Menon
08 Nov 2017 00:28
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia News and Discussions
Replies: 590
Views: 81281

Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Suraj, Very much so. If their financial wherewithal declines, so will their ability to influence. My own take is that MBS will himself dampen the export of Wahhabism - along the mode of "better to have something remain - i.e. some capability for export" than the kingdom totally collapsing....
by JE Menon
07 Nov 2017 23:11
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia News and Discussions
Replies: 590
Views: 81281

Re: West Asia News and Discussions

>>Can you write another one, looking into implications for India?

I knew this was coming sooner or later from someone. OK, will do tomorrow
by JE Menon
07 Nov 2017 01:19
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015
Replies: 741
Views: 106060

Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

>>I agree with the view that Russia has limited their ambitions to no longer profess global interests. Just to be clear, I'm not saying that Russia will not have or profess global interests. All I'm saying is that I do not think they see a need for a global presence (physically) to do that. About &q...
by JE Menon
06 Nov 2017 21:58
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Terroristan - 29 September 2017
Replies: 2847
Views: 247395

Re: Terroristan - 29 September 2017

^^He probably tried to issue a Canadian visa to a local Afghani woman...
by JE Menon
06 Nov 2017 18:59
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia News and Discussions
Replies: 590
Views: 81281

Re: West Asia News and Discussions

>>IMO, that point is internal external border. To maintain Saudi influence across the world, especially 3rd world countries such as ours, I think MBS will not crackdown on external funding etc. He will loosen their internal grip to facilitate his socio-economic changes. I am doubtful about this Kart...
by JE Menon
06 Nov 2017 15:17
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia News and Discussions
Replies: 590
Views: 81281

Re: West Asia News and Discussions

>>What does this portend? Whose side was this character on? Shanmukh, sorry I just saw your query now... 1. The reports of death, arrests of multiple princes may be premature. Not saying it did not happen, but that it is too early to conclude that it has. Lists have been put up, etc. Entirely feasib...
by JE Menon
05 Nov 2017 22:20
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia News and Discussions
Replies: 590
Views: 81281

Re: West Asia News and Discussions

https://swarajyamag.com/world/saudi-crown-prince-promises-to-drag-his-nation-into-21st-century-and-he-may-succeed What might be next for Saudi Arabia "Seen in this context, the statement of Crown Prince Mohammed is an historic departure from the past in general, and the recent past in particul...
by JE Menon
05 Nov 2017 18:02
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015
Replies: 741
Views: 106060

Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

^^Personally I don't see Russia leading a Warsaw pact type thingie. Parsing what Russia has been doing over the past decade, I think they have read the global strategic situation correctly. They have begun using "truth" as a weapon, quite effectively. Also, they have self-circumscribed the...
by JE Menon
04 Nov 2017 14:45
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: India's R&D in Defence DRDO, PSUs and Private Sector
Replies: 3487
Views: 390281

Re: India's R&D in Defence DRDO, PSUs and Private Sector

Not sure if these two DRDO videos from Shiv Aroor were posted here: Official DRDO Film On AEW&C Jet https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y7cd9eYCGo8 DRDO 2017 Flagship Products Catalogue https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=644k7KkCsJs India's Nuclear Submarine Plan https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_Cki_rp...
by JE Menon
02 Nov 2017 17:25
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
Replies: 10352
Views: 1005489

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)

>>Precisely for the same reason for which we did Doklam. It was imposed on China by India.

And there lies the problem. It wasn't imposed on China by India. China changed the status quo. India acted in a manner that restored status quo ante.

So my question remains.
by JE Menon
02 Nov 2017 16:16
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
Replies: 10352
Views: 1005489

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)

TK, why do you want to show China it's limitations unilaterally? Isn't it wiser for the dragon to breathe fire, and then show the multiple sources of water?
by JE Menon
29 Oct 2017 20:05
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia News and Discussions
Replies: 590
Views: 81281

Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Thanks deejay. This is strictly about Saudi, from their perspective (as much as I could put myself in their heads given info, etc)...of course the final call is mine, i.e., that MBS will succeed. As I said, this is not about whether he is a good guy or bad actor, what it means for India, etc... it i...
by JE Menon
29 Oct 2017 19:44
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia News and Discussions
Replies: 590
Views: 81281

Re: West Asia News and Discussions

(a) Low oil prices & no diversification, at least not without socio-economic change. (b) Restive population. The youth, and there are many, are fed up with the local restrictions according to more than one report and quotes. They may not be asking for a liberal scenario, but wish for at least a ...
by JE Menon
29 Oct 2017 19:01
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia News and Discussions
Replies: 590
Views: 81281

Re: West Asia News and Discussions

^^Backlash is anticipated in the article (in the four certainties). However, my bet is that MBS will overcome that. By force if necessary. It probably won't. Not much anyway. Backlash is more likely from conservative royals, but a lot depends on how he nuances the whole thing. Certainly he remembers...
by JE Menon
29 Oct 2017 13:45
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015
Replies: 741
Views: 106060

Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Latest article in Swarajya...Ramana, speaks to your question above to some extent

https://swarajyamag.com/world/saudi-cro ... ay-succeed
by JE Menon
25 Oct 2017 10:40
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Out-of-India - From Theory to Truth: Part 2
Replies: 5076
Views: 349295

Re: Out-of-India - From Theory to Truth: Part 2

Truschke too will be doniggered... Some of us remember when Christine Fair, on Twitter, recounted an episode where she was invited to a party at the Doniger residence during her university days, and she went with her 9 year old (IIRC) nephew. It turned out, however, that the party was not quite a fa...
by JE Menon
21 Oct 2017 15:21
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015
Replies: 741
Views: 106060

Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

>>But the core of their core is very dangerous.

Whose core? Not clear from above Christians, Muslims or Jews? Or all three?
by JE Menon
19 Oct 2017 16:23
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 2139
Views: 289059

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

Tillerson's speech is a capstone event. Clear indication of US intentions and preferences. Everyone will take note. "Security concerns of India are security concerns of the US". "The two greatest democracies must have the two greatest militaries" Remember what has been predicted ...
by JE Menon
06 Oct 2017 12:16
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Positive News from the USA
Replies: 3036
Views: 131363

Re: Positive News from the USA

Thanks HN much appreciated.
UB that's another bloke, arrested for brothers murder some years ago. No idea where he is now.
by JE Menon
05 Oct 2017 11:53
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Positive News from the USA
Replies: 3036
Views: 131363

Re: Positive News from the USA

For lack of a better place to ask, I'm doing so on this thread: This is pretty urgent 1. Does anyone know anything about Gospel for Asia plus Believers Church, and Compassion International with emphasis on Compassion Canada? 2. The google info is available already, positive and negative. Im speaking...
by JE Menon
27 Sep 2017 10:08
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Terroristan - June 20, 2017
Replies: 2847
Views: 306127

Re: Terroristan - June 20, 2017

FM Khwaja Asif has referred to Hafeez Saeed as a "liability" at an Asia Society meeting - being reported by The Republic. Of course, he could have also pointed out that they have hundreds of other "assets" who remain as such. Further, we prefer his classification of "dumper ...
by JE Menon
26 Sep 2017 10:24
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 2139
Views: 289059

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

Gents this scumbag's quotes and articles should be taken with bag of salt. The very first paragraph of the article makes it clear that its secondary thrust is a hit-job on Sitharaman. But let's look at the para he has written in detail: ---US officials privately admit to concern over Sitharaman’s re...

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