Search found 186 matches

by sauravjha
23 May 2008 14:36
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Casting doubt on Indian nuclear weapon designs and yields
Replies: 254
Views: 47201

the new generation of pure fusion weapons will be the only ones that are truly scaleable , radioactive fall out will be minimal allowing battlefield use . do people propose to develop this with computer modelling alone? Obviously a military commander who has a choice of warheads and targets will hav...
by sauravjha
23 May 2008 14:05
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Casting doubt on Indian nuclear weapon designs and yields
Replies: 254
Views: 47201

It is common knowledge that Israel has the capacity to produce thermonuclear weapons. To test for the sake of international validity would be a strategic error. I Computer modeling has come far enough to avoid physical tests. Tests are now the tools of and rogue nations and brinkmanship. We have lo...
by sauravjha
23 May 2008 12:33
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Casting doubt on Indian nuclear weapon designs and yields
Replies: 254
Views: 47201

people need to understand something . the nuke deal has a business context and a security context . those who are pushing for it are trying a delicate balance between the two. the security / NPA lobby in the U.S will see itself become redundant if India is allowed to test even after signing the docu...
by sauravjha
23 May 2008 11:57
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: The Red Menace
Replies: 3744
Views: 292826

anything is better than the CPI(M). One must understand that the opposition's base got wiped out in the 2004 elections. the ZP results show that this base is being created again. WB operates like a war zone , where you first need to create bastions and then expand into nearby areas , create new bast...
by sauravjha
23 May 2008 00:24
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: China Military Watch
Replies: 3944
Views: 984827

Harrumph . when will Jane tell us something that we don't know?
by sauravjha
22 May 2008 23:54
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Casting doubt on Indian nuclear weapon designs and yields
Replies: 254
Views: 47201

Is deterrence victory? Under what circumstances does someone win a nuclear war? you win a nuclear war when you deter it on your terms. And targetting population centres only is a bhikhmanga terrorist strategy , okay for some half-assed Pukistan, not for us. if you wanna play in the big league under...
by sauravjha
22 May 2008 21:59
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Casting doubt on Indian nuclear weapon designs and yields
Replies: 254
Views: 47201

Ultimately "deterrence" is a philosophy that seeks to create a particular state of mind in an adversary. What state of mind has India created? And if we know that, what are the reasons for the adversary feeling that way? it's not just about a state of mind , but numbers and yields . if th...
by sauravjha
22 May 2008 21:49
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Casting doubt on Indian nuclear weapon designs and yields
Replies: 254
Views: 47201

Nuclear war IMO is unwinnable if two nations are able to nuke each other significantly . In theory - let us imagine that Lesotho develops nuclear weapons and starts a war with the US. In that war Lesotho destroys Washington DC, New York, LA and Chicago. The US wipes out Lesotho. I just wonder if th...
by sauravjha
22 May 2008 21:26
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Casting doubt on Indian nuclear weapon designs and yields
Replies: 254
Views: 47201

So once the first nuke falls it is better to use up most of your nukes in an indiscriminate killer strike. If you kill enough of society - the hidden leaders will feel the pain . No need to worry about hardened targets. Just kill whatever you can. Absolutely not . Do you expect an uprising in the m...
by sauravjha
22 May 2008 21:19
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Casting doubt on Indian nuclear weapon designs and yields
Replies: 254
Views: 47201

IMO you are attributing very dharmic thoughts to war planners - i.e that they are going to aim for and destroy nuclear hardened military/political targets. . of course I am not . I am saying both military and civilian targets will be the focus. which part of my post did you interpret as not targett...
by sauravjha
22 May 2008 21:08
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Casting doubt on Indian nuclear weapon designs and yields
Replies: 254
Views: 47201

The other thing is that with nukes - why do you need "standardization"? I mean if a nuke can reasonably get you something between 10 kilotons and 25 kilotons and is reliable it is as deadly as one that reliably gets you 25 Kt every time. Who is going to celebrate the hitting of his city w...
by sauravjha
22 May 2008 21:02
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Casting doubt on Indian nuclear weapon designs and yields
Replies: 254
Views: 47201

The other point that occurs to me is that multimegaton bombs are being touted as the holy grail of deterrence . Note that an MIRV that peppers different points of a city with six 10 kiloton warheads (10,000 tons of TNT) can do serious damage by itself. I don't think the military planner has this lu...
by sauravjha
22 May 2008 20:42
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Casting doubt on Indian nuclear weapon designs and yields
Replies: 254
Views: 47201

Shakti 2 Claim: Fission device essentially similar to POK 1, but in a compact deliverable form Status: Successful, yield and design parameters met. Note: Here is the problem. Vajpayee clearly said "Fission device, Low yield device, Thermonuclear device" So the only boosted fission device ...
by sauravjha
22 May 2008 20:21
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Casting doubt on Indian nuclear weapon designs and yields
Replies: 254
Views: 47201

Saumitra, never apologize for a question or a comment to me. I am sometimes - heck most times - in the dark as much as anyone. Your comments are 100% correct. But my concern is twofold - one soil/rock/ material density relative to the shaft depth and how the same is factored into such equations. Wo...
by sauravjha
22 May 2008 16:52
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Casting doubt on Indian nuclear weapon designs and yields
Replies: 254
Views: 47201

Re: S-3, is it not conceivable that this was a boosted-fission primary done with reactor grade plutonium that's precisely what it has been touted as . so basically your nuclear deterrent is based on a. A two stage thermonuke device with a boosted fission primary , yield only 45 KT (shakti-I) b. A b...
by sauravjha
22 May 2008 16:31
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Casting doubt on Indian nuclear weapon designs and yields
Replies: 254
Views: 47201

Yes a full test of the boosted fission device , that is , no.3 on the above list has not been done at all.

Also the yield of no.1 which is a two stage thermonuke has been deliberately limited. thus you can see why some people are clamouring for a test that will give full validation.
by sauravjha
22 May 2008 16:15
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Casting doubt on Indian nuclear weapon designs and yields
Replies: 254
Views: 47201

In the above cases: 1. 45 Kt thermonuke ( the device in Shiv's notes) 2. Pokhran type pure fission- 14-15 kt 3. primary stage only of boosted fission device- 0.3-0.5 Kt (yield is low because second stage has not been used) So which is the low yield device that AB is referring to : no.2 or no.3. Beca...
by sauravjha
22 May 2008 16:11
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Casting doubt on Indian nuclear weapon designs and yields
Replies: 254
Views: 47201

Throwing oil on fire - why is it that people want to cast doubt on the yield of one particular test on May 11? I mean - after all those two test on May 13 dubbed as "sub-kiloton tests" did not show up at all on seismographs. Maybe thy were huge thermonuclear devices that failed to explode...
by sauravjha
22 May 2008 16:02
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Casting doubt on Indian nuclear weapon designs and yields
Replies: 254
Views: 47201

Now which is the low yield device ?- Shakti III presumably , because it is sub-kiloton, because if the former PM was referring to the 14-15 kT device aka Shakti II , that was just a Pokhran type pure fission device even according to Shiv's notes and 14-15 Kt is hardly low yield for such a device. Bu...
by sauravjha
22 May 2008 15:46
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Casting doubt on Indian nuclear weapon designs and yields
Replies: 254
Views: 47201

hey your notes are fine , they clearly say two stage thermo nuke.

just for ready reference:

http://www.southasiaanalysis.org/papers5/paper451.html
by sauravjha
22 May 2008 15:38
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Casting doubt on Indian nuclear weapon designs and yields
Replies: 254
Views: 47201

shiv , A two stage thermo nuke with a boosted primary is very different from a boosted fission warhead . there is no point in arguing about it. A 2 stage device will obviously have a primary. A person who does not read the notes that you have posted subsequently will get the impression that you are ...
by sauravjha
22 May 2008 15:24
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Casting doubt on Indian nuclear weapon designs and yields
Replies: 254
Views: 47201

A two stage thermonuclear bomb (H-bomb) with a primary trigger that used a fusion boosted fission reaction using an "X-ray radiation implosion" and a secondary fusion device. The total yield was calibrated to 45 kT. Quoting Chidambaram's words (I took notes) "The same design can go t...
by sauravjha
22 May 2008 13:50
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Indian Military Aviation
Replies: 518
Views: 527759

not all the production ,but a part of it , certainly.
by sauravjha
22 May 2008 12:31
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Indian Military Aviation
Replies: 518
Views: 527759

Point taken , that last post was indeed a venting of sorts , but it was also a pointer towards the future. right now , HAL is quite clearly not in the best position to productionize whatever DRDO , ADA whoever comes up with . I think some serious private-public, JV what have you, needs to be conside...
by sauravjha
22 May 2008 11:38
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Indian Military Aviation
Replies: 518
Views: 527759

All this Bull shit would have never happened if they had allowed the private sector to participate in defence in right earnest from the fifties itself. I have posted in the Artillery and armour thread a tank design , which was jointly being developed by Daimler-Benz/Porsche and the Tata's. needless ...
by sauravjha
22 May 2008 11:03
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: China Military Watch
Replies: 3944
Views: 984827

Chicom continues to "get" tech. this time it might be plasma actuators. http://blog.wired.com/defense/2008/05/retired-profess.html some rather technical reference material on Plasma actuators: http://plasma.ee.utk.edu/~plasma/publi/GEC_3D_2003.pdf http://plasma.ece.utk.edu/~plasma/publi/Re...
by sauravjha
21 May 2008 16:42
Forum: Terrorism Archive
Topic: Jaipur blasts -2
Replies: 85
Views: 18831

I think the thread is about Jaipur blasts and our reaction to them in historical and geo-political context. I tried to explain the Punjabi reaction to Jihadi terrorism that was perpetrated against Punjab by them for past 8 centuries. 1980s were a time of great mismanagement by Gandhi family and as ...
by sauravjha
21 May 2008 16:06
Forum: Terrorism Archive
Topic: Jaipur blasts -2
Replies: 85
Views: 18831

yes it is correct that Punjabi Hindus respected the 10 gurus and if I am not mistaken there was a norm among many families (especially Arora's ) to give their eldest son to Sikhism. Haryana, HP et al broke away on a linguistic and economic basis in 1956. Bengal did not buy any Kangress bullshit . It...
by sauravjha
21 May 2008 14:59
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: India's R&D in Defence DRDO, PSUs and Private Sector
Replies: 4216
Views: 767351

great patriots are great patriots . they don't belong to any party , they belong to the nation. As far as commies are concerned , well there party ideology itself is "internationalist" and by definition against the concept of nationhood. having said there have indeed been a few in the past...
by sauravjha
21 May 2008 12:16
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: NBC Suits and Warfare Discussion (Pictures)
Replies: 76
Views: 11574

good question, store it in something that this agent isn't designed to dissolve. Seriously the same agent won't be dissolving everything . I am not talking about a 'universal agent" at all. there could be one dissolving steel , another could be dissolving plastic etc,.
by sauravjha
21 May 2008 12:00
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: NBC Suits and Warfare Discussion (Pictures)
Replies: 76
Views: 11574

I think this discussion could also go deeper into the kind of gloves that need to be worn for different situations .


in the future, biological agents that can dissolve all kinds of plastics , steel etc may be used in consort with anthrax et al. what is to be done then?
by sauravjha
20 May 2008 17:45
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: NBC Suits and Warfare Discussion (Pictures)
Replies: 76
Views: 11574

I think tsarkar is probably right here . without the suits there will be no "effect" and with the gloves the "effect" will get dampened. it could also be claimed , that the pic is of an area that has already been de-contaminated, and for speedy evac , the "gloves have to be ...
by sauravjha
19 May 2008 16:17
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Indian Military Aviation
Replies: 518
Views: 527759

you know something , if we buy something Amrikhan and it is delivered real quick , that'll definitely set the cat among the pigeons. Let's wait and see what happens with the P-8.
by sauravjha
19 May 2008 13:59
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: UAVs, Drones, Remote Surveillance Tech
Replies: 2276
Views: 442751

yeah useful for special forces ops.
by sauravjha
18 May 2008 19:06
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Indian Nuclear News & Discussion - May-2008
Replies: 370
Views: 54722

While the uncertainty over nuclear deal continues, NPCIL, the state-owned utility running country’s nuclear power plants, is already facing acute shortage of uranium that is forcing it run its plants at PLF as low as 40-50%. In fact, fuel shortage has forced the PSU to delay commissioning of two ...
by sauravjha
18 May 2008 15:54
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: The Indo Russian PAK-FA Project
Replies: 1200
Views: 428061

with 20 billion we are probably looking at some serious stuff .
by sauravjha
18 May 2008 15:36
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-Myanmar news and discussion
Replies: 542
Views: 464175

don't become a conspiracy theorist. I have no intention to. what i am saying is, BR has often discussed slightly tangential stuff , and threads like Beam Weapons have existed for that very purpose . so "thought provoking " stuff can be posted on such a thread instead of here . In any case...
by sauravjha
18 May 2008 15:14
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-Myanmar news and discussion
Replies: 542
Views: 464175

Tempted as I am , to help you turn this thread into a clone of a discussion on ATS , I think the Indo-Myanmar thread should be kept free from discussions on Teslaesque weapons. On a related note , what happened to that thread on Beam Weapons? we could start a discussion on Scalar warfare there I gue...
by sauravjha
18 May 2008 14:59
Forum: Terrorism Archive
Topic: Jaipur blasts -2
Replies: 85
Views: 18831

A bit off topic , Pakjabis have an eternal hatred for 'bhaiya" , anyone not from their punjab b4 partition time is a bhaiya and Mushy is hated for being a bhaiya and many news anchors of Porkies chanels are identified as bhaiya . A bhaiya is from the gangetic plain onree. and of course RAPE an...

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