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by ss_roy
18 Sep 2009 02:42
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Pokhran II not fully successful: Scientist - Part-2
Replies: 2359
Views: 205114

Re: Pokhran II not fully successful: Scientist - Part-2

If S1 was TN and S2 was BF, why did we perform S3, S4 and S5 as subkiloton explosions? What was being tested? S3 was supposedly a device using reactor grade Pu, so why not test a full scale (20-40 kt) version of it? Considering that the andaman islands are earthquake prone, could we not have tested ...
by ss_roy
16 Sep 2009 10:09
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Pokhran II not fully successful: Scientist - Part-2
Replies: 2359
Views: 205114

Re: Pokhran II not fully successful: Scientist - Part-2

A treaty is only as good as it's most non-compliant signatory. Therefore, it is necessary for India to violate any treaty it signs, as it sees fit. If India does not act in it's own self interest, nobody else will. In any case, I think the west will soon have more pressing issues with Iran and Pakis...
by ss_roy
09 Sep 2009 06:56
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Pokhran II not fully successful: Scientist - Part-2
Replies: 2359
Views: 205114

Re: Pokhran II not fully successful: Scientist - Part-2

I think most of us agree that regardless of the yield of P-II tests, we require a new round to validate SLBM warheads. It really boils down to this: If we pack 4-6 nukes in the SLBM version of Agni-3, will they work as designed? and be competitive with the SLBM payloads of other countries. Building ...
by ss_roy
08 Sep 2009 07:24
Forum: Mil-Tech Archive
Topic: INS Arihant (ATV) News and Discussion -2
Replies: 4158
Views: 788691

Re: INS Arihant (ATV) News and Discussion -2

My thoughts on the ATV saga till now: The original ATV design (early 1990s) was almost certainly based on a Charlie 2 design, modified to carry a few ballistic missiles. The second major ATV design (now Arihant) was probably finalized in the early 2000s. Given the specs of Arihant (as we know them t...
by ss_roy
08 Sep 2009 01:50
Forum: Mil-Tech Archive
Topic: INS Arihant (ATV) News and Discussion -2
Replies: 4158
Views: 788691

Re: INS Arihant (ATV) News and Discussion -2

Compare the specs of this missile to the proposed SLBM version of Agni-3 and draw your conclusions. Considering that solid fuel technology (and construction) are mature areas, do you really think that the K-X cannot hit as far as the RSM-56. Note the warhead is a 6-10 unit MIRV. RSM-56 Bulava Weight...
by ss_roy
07 Sep 2009 01:46
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Pokhran II not fully successful: Scientist
Replies: 2362
Views: 186765

Re: Pokhran II not fully successful: Scientist

It is unfortunate that we are fixated on test yields and 'who said what'. The real question IMHO is- What kind of nuclear deterrent does India want? and what will it do to obtain it? Does it want a nuclear deterrent against TSP? In that case, 50-100 Nagasaki's (reliable 20kt plutonium) + Agni I (sol...
by ss_roy
02 Sep 2009 03:22
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Pokhran II not fully successful: Scientist
Replies: 2362
Views: 186765

Re: Pokhran II not fully successful: Scientist

I find these western idiots charming.. if I squint hard enough. Seriously, has anyone realized that the solid fuel motors (main and strapons) on the PSLVs and Agnis use the same technology. India's nuke delivery system flawed, show scandals George Koshy / CNN-IBN Published on Wed, Sep 02, 2009 at 02...
by ss_roy
31 Aug 2009 22:34
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Pokhran II not fully successful: Scientist
Replies: 2362
Views: 186765

Re: Pokhran II not fully successful: Scientist

W76 warhead http://nuclearweaponarchive.org/Usa/Weapons/W76.html Developmental problems were encountered, including an unexpectedly low test yield after a minor design change, and the discovery of nuclear effects vulnerability in the fuzing and firing system. One of the senior designers was Charles...
by ss_roy
31 Aug 2009 17:06
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Indian Space Program Discussion
Replies: 3966
Views: 675003

Re: Indian Space Program Discussion

Indian scientific establishments have a mental block about using/ funding/ supporting PR. Have you noticed that ISRO never pushed good press releases that compared CY-1 imagery to that obtained from other probes?
by ss_roy
31 Aug 2009 07:53
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Pokhran II not fully successful: Scientist
Replies: 2362
Views: 186765

Re: Pokhran II not fully successful: Scientist

Anujan, Relevant quote from Dr. Strangelove "Mr. President, I would not rule out the chance to preserve a nucleus of human specimens. It would be quite easy... heh heh... at the bottom of ah ... some of our deeper mineshafts. The radioactivity would never penetrate a mine some thousands of feet...
by ss_roy
29 Aug 2009 04:58
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Pokhran II not fully successful: Scientist
Replies: 2362
Views: 186765

Re: Pokhran II not fully successful: Scientist

{garbage deleted}
by ss_roy
28 Aug 2009 01:20
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Pokhran II not fully successful: Scientist
Replies: 2362
Views: 186765

Re: Pokhran II not fully successful: Scientist

I have often said that things will not improve unless Indians, and their elected government, act in their own best interests. However the country is currently led by 'white worshiping' geriatrics. People who do not respect themselves and their kind cannot expect others to respect them. Maybe, events...
by ss_roy
27 Aug 2009 06:13
Forum: Mil-Tech Archive
Topic: INS Arihant (ATV) News and Discussion -2
Replies: 4158
Views: 788691

Re: INS Arihant (ATV) News and Discussion -2

The best way to neutralize 'restraint' of white worshipers is to put them in a situation where the public outcry is such that they have no option but to abandon their 'restraint'. Remember that nehru had to abandon his 'white worshiping' after 1962. In a very twisted way, I think it will work out al...
by ss_roy
23 Aug 2009 03:17
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Indian Space Program Discussion
Replies: 3966
Views: 675003

Re: Indian Space Program Discussion

One project that ISRO should look at: An unmanned outer-solar system probe that uses a small nuclear reactor (like the TOPAZ series), coupled to an innovative ion engine (something like the VASIMR concept). I am thinking along the lines of Project Prometheus. It would not be much more expensive than...
by ss_roy
11 Aug 2009 07:21
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: China Military Watch
Replies: 3944
Views: 1058239

Re: China Military Watch

I think they should try. :twisted: The quickest way for a nation to destroy itself is through overextension and fighting on different fronts at the same time. China's problems are now existential (far beyond military soultions). Their mental rigidity is going to kill them, but the show will be good....
by ss_roy
28 Apr 2009 11:11
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883223

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

I told you so.. It is about to get a whole lot worser when the average person in the west has to face the truth..

It will be interesting to see how they react when they cannot ignore the fact- a lot of what they believed was a lie... a pleasant delusion.

ss_roy, where art thou?
by ss_roy
11 Apr 2009 04:23
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883223

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

An interesting author. I do not agree with everything he says, especially about resource constraints and long term patterns (because prophecies about poorly understood systems tend to be wrong). But his views on the middle class and their problems is quite good. I feel that he can see the problem, b...
by ss_roy
10 Apr 2009 10:45
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883223

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

Why not? That is one possibility.

You would not think twice before taking an antibiotic for an infection? If you do not see your opponent as human, it does not matter.

how do you want to get rid of them?? Nuke Dubai?
by ss_roy
10 Apr 2009 07:47
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883223

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

I read about the dubai thing.. nothing surprising, but I found one thing lacking in almost all comments I read on many sites. If Indians really hate being treated like that, why not do something about it? I mean.. the whole emirati population could be in eliminated in less than a few hours.. or a fe...
by ss_roy
27 Mar 2009 03:48
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883223

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

I think that most of you have yet to fully appreciate the cataclysmic nature of this meltdown. Between the effects of an adverse demographic profile and the end of classical capitalism due to gains in efficiency, the days when the west could dictate stuff are over! We simply cannot continue down the...
by ss_roy
13 Mar 2009 23:27
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883223

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

That is my point! If anything, for an Indian to collaborate with phoreners against India must become a crime so extreme that the criminals' family for generations to come ought to live with the shame. IMHO, a punishment that extreme would be well deserved. And such collaboration happened when our tr...
by ss_roy
13 Mar 2009 07:16
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883223

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

I have never said that the brits were faultless.. It was just that many indians preferred to make a lot of money, inspite of starving people dying by the thousands near their havelis. Let there be some justice for all they have done with famines, loot and plunder in our nation. yes, yes, I note our ...
by ss_roy
04 Mar 2009 04:32
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883223

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

There is one issue we almost never seem to talk about in any worthwhile detail- What is the objective meaning of terms like "capital", "jobs", "efficiency", "legalism", "wealth", "money" or even "knowledge". What is their purpose,...
by ss_roy
04 Mar 2009 04:22
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883223

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

Why do you persist in your desire to play a rigged game? Understand the rigged game (objectively).. take its best features and create your own improved rigged game.

Do not forget to screw players of the older rigged game. Payback!
by ss_roy
03 Mar 2009 09:26
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883223

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

Taleb is talking about the difference between absolute certainty and 99.9999% certainty. Over a long period of time a 0.0001% chance can be quite problematic and undetectable (till it is too late). In any case, the analogy with electrons that Taleb draws on is confusing and misplaced. For point like...
by ss_roy
03 Mar 2009 05:30
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883223

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

Most of you must have realized by now that UK is only a larger version if Iceland.. the ratios are the same. Mervyn King: 'Impossible to say' how much capital needed to shore up banking system Mervyn King, the Governor of the Bank of England, has said it is "impossible to say" how much cap...
by ss_roy
03 Mar 2009 05:23
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883223

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

Precisely!...Any Indian who has read those books in their original language (or a good translation) knows that many schools of philosophy in ancient India were rational and agnostic. The important words are "any indian who has read the books in their original language (or a good translation)&qu...
by ss_roy
28 Feb 2009 09:41
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883223

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

I have never said that the majority of posters are stupid. It is just that very clever but ideologically rigid people are more likely to make more serious mistakes than simpletons. Example- Alan Greenspan, Ben Bernanke, Hank Paulson are very clever people, but they made some horrible mistakes becaus...
by ss_roy
28 Feb 2009 05:43
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883223

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

Another problem with Indians is that they want to believe in spiritual or moral superiority. I think that such beliefs border on the delusional. Let me explain with a few examples. The Haber-Bosch process that produces the vast majority of nitrogenous fertilizers in the world was mainly funded by ge...
by ss_roy
28 Feb 2009 05:23
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883223

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

I think many on this thread either do not understand or want to understand how capitalism is supposed to work. I would recommend reading all of adam smith's works. The idea behind capitalism is that human beings are greedy and amoral. The question then is- how do you convert the greed and amorality ...
by ss_roy
27 Feb 2009 04:39
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883223

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

How are you going to create jobs and motivate people to discover new things? What is mindless consumption anyway.. as long as it keeps people employed, fed, housed and with some disposable income- it is OK. I would not want India to ape the West in mindless consumption. Ok.. so the computer you are ...
by ss_roy
27 Feb 2009 04:31
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883223

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

I do not think that it me who is being rigid here. Look.. I do not think that one group are inherently bigger a**holes than another group. I have read too much history to believe that some cultures are more moral than others. They are not.. It is conditions that shape morality. Indian merchants expl...
by ss_roy
27 Feb 2009 04:19
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883223

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

Mercantilism, saving and frugality cannot create wealth. Consumption by the masses under capitalism can create wealth. PRC and other east-asians have not learned that lesson yet. What ever happened to all the Finance gurus and experts on economy, shouting every day that the PRC middle class is growi...
by ss_roy
27 Feb 2009 04:16
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883223

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

People.. calm down.. All of this rating agency, slumdog stuff is meaningless. The west (as we know it) is dead.. it just does not know that yet. There is nothing they can do to go back to the "good" old days. Their only choices are 1. New consumers (from non-white countries) 2. Depression ...
by ss_roy
25 Feb 2009 00:39
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883223

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

Acharya, All f**kups in human history have two sources- external factors and internal factors. I am suggesting that we should assign due blame to external factors. However it is also important to understand the internal factors. Internal factors are easier to fix and modify than external factors. Th...
by ss_roy
24 Feb 2009 19:52
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883223

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

Common features of 19th-century famines in India http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Famines,_Epidemics,_and_Public_Health_in_the_British_Raj There was no overall (aggregate) food shortage in India, although there were localized crop failures in the affected areas. The localized crop failures were in fact ...
by ss_roy
24 Feb 2009 19:42
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883223

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

What changed under british rule that made famines more likely? Were there ever enough british in India (%) to force Indians to do anything? The most overlooked major change under british rule was the ability of indian merchants to access international markets and sell their products at a higher pric...
by ss_roy
24 Feb 2009 09:30
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883223

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

They are not superpowers as long as they can be easily depopulated. Brazil, Australia and Canada are therefore not superpowers. Russia has always been a major power. Resources belong to whoever lives in that country and modern technology makes population replacements rather easy. I saw a book wherei...
by ss_roy
24 Feb 2009 09:26
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883223

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

I think you are forgiving our homegrown merchants who actively participated in those genocides- to make a few more bucks. Famines in India were mainly caused by indian merchants exporting grain to make a bigger profit during droughts. The brits gave them the tools (rails, ships, sepoys), but it is w...
by ss_roy
24 Feb 2009 03:22
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883223

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

There is another explanation- Mercantilism always leads to stagnation. The velocity of money is proportional to innovation, not the amount. This way you can also explain why India was not able make similar technological advances despite having so much indigenous scientific knowledge. Even though Ind...

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