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by ss_roy
27 Oct 2009 12:37
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883650

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

I would argue that nasty wars and genocides do more to correct systemic imbalances (and advance technology) than all the agreements/ memoranda ever signed. WWI did far more good to those who lived through it, and the same is true for every major war (Crimean, WW2, Korean, Cold war) in the last 150 y...
by ss_roy
27 Oct 2009 12:30
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883650

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

Hari, Change never occurs because people want it, or agree to it. It happens because all other options have been exhausted. I do not believe that change will be smooth, linear or particularly peaceful. Nobody gives up what they think they deserve. The effects of demographic change will not be gradua...
by ss_roy
27 Oct 2009 12:22
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883650

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

arnab, Maybe you should read more current statistics, and stop linearizing trends.That is how we got into this mess in the first place.. do you believe that you are gonna extend the trend and make 70-80 year olds work? In India, for instance people retire by 60 and die by 65 Unemployment in India is...
by ss_roy
27 Oct 2009 10:07
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883650

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

prad,

You want to believe that status quo can be maintained. I don't think we can do that.. Let's see how things work out. :twisted:
by ss_roy
27 Oct 2009 07:11
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883650

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

Worldwide Jubilee or Worldwide War/Unrest - Make your Choice.

Hari,

Given that loans in the current system are unserviceable (>5 yrs), short of the 2nd coming of Christ (or your favorite deity), why not?
by ss_roy
27 Oct 2009 06:48
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883650

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

We require a worldwide jubilee, at the very least. The problem with debt based money, is that you have to create more debt to repay the old debt. Do you see the problem? The west dodged the bullet for 150 years because of productivity increases, colonialism, and demography. The last 30 years were ju...
by ss_roy
27 Oct 2009 01:51
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883650

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

and I repeat again.. the problems with our current setup are: 1. There has been no real growth in the west for over 30 years, just fancy accounting and confidence scams. 2. The classical and neo-classical western economic model is a patched up version of medieval banking/trade. It was never designed...
by ss_roy
24 Oct 2009 10:12
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883650

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

Hari, Empires are made of people, and just like them, empires are mortal. It is not public action that changes history, it is public revulsion and disengagemen t that destroys empires. They can print as much as they want, but they cannot maintain status quo because of a series of interlinked problem...
by ss_roy
24 Oct 2009 07:19
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883650

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

Hari, I never left, just prefer to keep quiet until something big happens (or will happen). I can be found in other discussions on BR. The most important changes: 1] Public opinion in the US is shifting much faster than pundits thought, but I predicted. (you have linked to a couple of articles about...
by ss_roy
24 Oct 2009 07:01
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Historical Battles in Ancient & Medieval Bharat
Replies: 2454
Views: 358554

Re: Historical Battles in Ancient & Medieval Bharat

Those who do not write their own history will have to suffer the consequences of others writing it for them.
by ss_roy
23 Oct 2009 20:05
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883650

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

The article that started it all...kinda. ______________________________ MSM Reporting as Propaganda (No One Minds Our New Financial Masters Edition) http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2009/10/msm-reporting-as-propaganda-no-one-minds-our-new-financial-lords-and-masters-edition.html FRIDAY, OCTOBER 16, 20...
by ss_roy
23 Oct 2009 20:02
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883650

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

I am thinking of cross posting it to the psyops thread. ____________________________________________ Herding the Sheep http://www.washingtonsblog.com/2009/10/herding-sheep.html Financial insider and commentator Yves Smith wrote an essay last week entitled "MSM Reporting as Propaganda" argu...
by ss_roy
19 Oct 2009 02:27
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 4818
Views: 470751

Re: Deterrence

'Dummy' missile launching platforms with dummy warheads (but real missiles) are quite cheap to make and deploy. :twisted: It will be hard to tell which of the 50 warheads flying towards say.. shangai, have a nuke in them. :(( PS- I strongly support nukes with Au-197 tampers for precisely that reason...
by ss_roy
16 Oct 2009 13:07
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: India-China News and Discussion
Replies: 2386
Views: 260231

Re: India-China News and Discussions

The 'china problem' might disappear faster than many think. Chinese thinking is based on maintaining status quo for a civilization that existed almost unchanged from 500BC to 1850AD. I am not kidding.. the system did not change to any worthwhile extent for over 2,000 years. It is a system based on m...
by ss_roy
16 Oct 2009 12:36
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Ideas and wish lists for defence related technologies
Replies: 26
Views: 4548

Re: Ideas and wish lists for defence related technologies

Maybe we should also: 1. Pay R&D staff well. 2. Not screw around with project funding. 3. Get more private sector involvement. 4. Hire people who want to work, as opposed to pretend. The problems with R&D in India are not unique, it is just that people running it are very meticulous at makin...
by ss_roy
16 Oct 2009 12:25
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Ideas and wish lists for defence related technologies
Replies: 26
Views: 4548

Re: Ideas and wish lists for defence related technologies

The most important issue concerning technology development is adopting a realistic timeline. If you look at history, no promised technology/product that took more than 5 years to develop was ever successfully completed. The first atom bomb was created from scratch in 27 months, the IBM PC was put to...
by ss_roy
16 Oct 2009 01:43
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: India-China News and Discussion
Replies: 2386
Views: 260231

Re: India-China News and Discussions

The biggest obstacles to China's rise are their beliefs about how the world should work. It sounds cryptic but it is not. Chinese do not believe that a system other than mercantilism is possible, however zero-sum behaviors cease to work after a few decades (or quicker now). Britain declined once it ...
by ss_roy
16 Oct 2009 01:28
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Infrastructure News & Discussion
Replies: 711
Views: 163125

Re: Infrastructure News & Discussion

I have a controversial idea.

The ability of people in different parts of India to make things work is inversely proportional to the extent of islamic influence in that region.

The key word is extent of influence, not duration.
by ss_roy
15 Oct 2009 03:14
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: LCA news and discussion
Replies: 2897
Views: 832930

Re: LCA news and discussion

As long as it does not crash as frequently as the Mig-21, we should be OK.

It will be...provided it (Tejas) is certified as safe enough to fly aka IOC
by ss_roy
15 Oct 2009 03:01
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: LCA news and discussion
Replies: 2897
Views: 832930

Re: LCA news and discussion

The real question is:

Is the LCA better than the Mig-21, it was supposed to replace?

Given that we still have Mig-21s, would the LCA Mk-I not be a improvement over the status quo?
by ss_roy
10 Oct 2009 01:32
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 4818
Views: 470751

Re: Deterrence

Agree I am saying that India does not need "thermonuclear" bombs for deterrence. Agree, developing TN nukes is about making a bigger bang from the same amount of Plutonium- which is still a very desirable option. Deterrence is, in my view NOT based on the difference in size of non TN and T...
by ss_roy
09 Oct 2009 10:49
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 4818
Views: 470751

Re: Deterrence

Personally I prefer Gold-197 (the only natural gold isotope) as a tamper. The radiation from such the fallout of a weapon will be truly horrifying. Gold-198 may be short-lived, but it releases in 2.5 days what cobalt-60 will release over 5.5 years! Considering the infrastructure and density of chine...
by ss_roy
09 Oct 2009 07:37
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 4818
Views: 470751

Re: Deterrence

shiv, most of china's population (over 70%) is concentrated in a region that occupies less than 1/3rd of it's land area. http://nuclearweaponarchive.org/Nwfaq/Nfaq1.html A "salted" nuclear weapon is reminiscent of fission-fusion-fission weapons, but instead of a fissionable jacket around t...
by ss_roy
09 Oct 2009 06:45
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 4818
Views: 470751

Re: Deterrence

A well designed 2-stage TN with a depleted uranium, cobalt or gold tamper would create a lot of fallout.

Chanelling Dr. Strangelove.. :twisted:
by ss_roy
08 Oct 2009 04:29
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 4818
Views: 470751

Re: Deterrence

The current crop of Indian political/ policy "elites" are gungadins.
by ss_roy
08 Oct 2009 02:50
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 4818
Views: 470751

Re: Deterrence

FYI.. Key Indian Figures Call for New Nuclear Tests Despite Deal With U.S. http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/10/04/AR2009100402865.html By Rama Lakshmi Washington Post Foreign Service Monday, October 5, 2009 NEW DELHI -- A little more than a year after India and the United St...
by ss_roy
07 Oct 2009 10:08
Forum: History & Current Affairs Archive
Topic: Distorted history- Causes, consequences, remedies
Replies: 4186
Views: 65136

Re: Distorted history- Causes, consequences, remedies

Why don't we fund archeologists more aggressively to discover new sites? There are certainly far more IVC and similar aged artifacts in the ground (and in various shallow gulfs) than we can ever imagine. Surely a civilization that lasted for over a 1,000 years had more cities and harbors than we hav...
by ss_roy
07 Oct 2009 10:01
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 4818
Views: 470751

Re: Deterrence

shiv, The problems of India can be traced to the behavior and attitudes of it's rulers after independence. India's deficiencies were self-induced. Whether it was infrastructure, education, coherent foreign policy, funding science etc- every action of the Indian 'rulers' was designed to ensure that i...
by ss_roy
07 Oct 2009 03:07
Forum: Mil-Tech Archive
Topic: Chandrayan-1 moon mission
Replies: 1807
Views: 338762

Re: Chandrayan-1 moon mission

You have to simulate high vacuum, ionizing radiation (all types), the right kind of dust (composition, size) and temperature extremes beyond those that occur on earth. The rover has to survive all of this abuse and still keep on working. Plus the facility is used to test workarounds for problems if ...
by ss_roy
06 Oct 2009 22:43
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 4818
Views: 470751

Re: Deterrence

There are two ways to draw a line that is longer than your control.

1. Draw a longer line than your control.

2. Erase the control.

Even the most optimistic projections don't show the Indian economy reaching Japan like levels for another 20+ years.
by ss_roy
04 Oct 2009 21:43
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883650

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

Amit Singh, Your praise of PRC has three major problems: 1. You are not displaying the same skepticism and critical analysis for PRC data as you do for Indian data. 2. You are assuming that PRC is acting in the best interest of it's people, and that they will be able to pull of a 'new deal' in a wor...
by ss_roy
04 Oct 2009 21:27
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883650

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

No east-asian society will rival the west until they consume what they produce, and abandon dog-eat-dog mercantilism.

Wealth is not money, but they are conflating the two. PRC is doomed unless they can change the mercantile mindset of their population- good luck with that!
by ss_roy
04 Oct 2009 06:22
Forum: Mil-Tech Archive
Topic: Chandrayan-1 moon mission
Replies: 1807
Views: 338762

Re: Chandrayan-1 moon mission

Sanjay M,

If it is present in a space probe photo (follow my previous links) and casts shadows (with correct orientation) on the moon- it exists!

Is it an alien artifact or a natural formation, Who knows? But we should try to have a closer look.
by ss_roy
04 Oct 2009 05:44
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Pokhran II not fully successful: Scientist - Part-3
Replies: 1343
Views: 144917

Re: Pokhran II not fully successful: Scientist - Part-3

I think burying people who get reappointed for the nth time would do more for the success of indian nuclear weapons than a test. :wink:

The deeper the better!
by ss_roy
04 Oct 2009 05:40
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: LCA news and discussion
Replies: 2897
Views: 832930

Re: LCA news and discussion

I never fail to be amazed at indian willingness to buy GE engines after 1998. :((

Is people's memory so short?
by ss_roy
04 Oct 2009 05:36
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 4818
Views: 470751

Re: Deterrence

Can India have effective deterrence when our political 'leadership' consist of people like MMS, SG (and ABB, LKA)? If we had leaders like Patel , as opposed to Nehru, would 1962 have happened?

Seriously..
by ss_roy
04 Oct 2009 05:24
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown
Replies: 3894
Views: 883650

Re: Perspectives on the global economic meltdown

Amit Singh, Quit blowing your chinese masters. The principal defect of the east asian mind is it's inability to abandon mercantilism . Why has japan been in a domestic recession since the early 1990s? Why do Asian countries have to sell stuff to the west? Why can they not consume what they make? Cou...
by ss_roy
03 Oct 2009 02:57
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Pokhran II not fully successful: Scientist - Part-3
Replies: 1343
Views: 144917

Re: Pokhran II not fully successful: Scientist - Part-3

A question worth considering: If we conducted more tests (let's assume :) ), what kind of nuclear arsenal would be desirable? and what would the various warheads be mated to? Ex- 25kt Fission, 100 kt BF, 100-400 kt TN. 25kt F (less than 200 kg) could be mated to any missile (ballistic or cruise) 100...
by ss_roy
02 Oct 2009 23:40
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Pokhran II not fully successful: Scientist - Part-3
Replies: 1343
Views: 144917

Re: Pokhran II not fully successful: Scientist - Part-3

The real issue, IMHO, is not whether Indian scientists can design a good TN warhead. More tests can be conducted to validate improved designs. The real issue is: How did we end up with such pathetic political leadership? How can these "leaders" make so many bad and suicidal decisions on so...

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