Search found 634 matches

by Sunil
03 Nov 2004 03:56
Forum: Military Scenarios Archive
Topic: Possible Indian Military Scenarios - Part I
Replies: 317
Views: 157384

Awakening Parallel II. Part V: Ilm The young man stood as Usman sat to the right of the older man, who seemed more interested in his rosary than what Usman was saying. Usman knew this was just his style, despite appearances the old man's aging brain would be crunching through the possibilities befor...
by Sunil
30 Oct 2004 19:08
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Pakistan Nuclear Proliferation - 02 October 2004
Replies: 321
Views: 87924

Hi Karthik, The threat of a Pakistani JDAM attack on Tel Aviv imo is more credible than the threat of a Iranian JDAM attack. This is principly because the Iranian regime despite all the claims of their non-nuclear status would have no deniability. The Pakistanis on the other hand have a get out of j...
by Sunil
29 Oct 2004 20:47
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Pakistan Nuclear Proliferation - 02 October 2004
Replies: 321
Views: 87924

I don't get this point. Could you please clarify ? The way I see it, Nuclear weapons in the hands of Iranain mullahs is only going to serve to make them even more radical and intransigent. That they might be stable is another point. Even then, why do you think that there is little possibility of ro...
by Sunil
27 Oct 2004 18:21
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Pakistan Nuclear Proliferation - 02 October 2004
Replies: 321
Views: 87924

When you don't want to risk having someone meet the foreign press, you keep him in custody because he might say something or leak something out that would be really unpleasant. That is the story of Mohammed Farooq. When the attention dies down - the person also dies in custody. Tim, Much as I would ...
by Sunil
27 Oct 2004 08:24
Forum: Military Scenarios Archive
Topic: Possible Indian Military Scenarios - Part I
Replies: 317
Views: 157384

I am out of action for the next two weeks. Too much work. Perhaps someone else can contribute. Guys - this effort is a bit like a mohalla cricket match - feel free to ask for the bat once in a while. I wrote a small piece called Nala-Damayanti some years ago, I deemed it unsuitable for release then,...
by Sunil
19 Oct 2004 09:58
Forum: Military Scenarios Archive
Topic: Possible Indian Military Scenarios - Part I
Replies: 317
Views: 157384

The Awakening The DU students were protesting outside the PMO about a small dam that was going to be constructed in the Chambal Valley. Some 300,000 tribals would be displaced as a result of it, and environmental activism was en vogue. The men manning the barricades would never understand even if th...
by Sunil
14 Oct 2004 22:24
Forum: Military Scenarios Archive
Topic: Possible Indian Military Scenarios - Part I
Replies: 317
Views: 157384

Thanks Mandeep, I completely forgot that. Hi, Here is the reply from Sri. Karunakaran to Gen. Naresh. NSCS-NSAB 19000930/DCA/CS/TS/C *****TOP SECRET***** ******COSMIC******* To: Maj. Gen. (r) J. P. Naresh Dy. Convenor (NSAB) NSCS Dear Sir, Thank you for your prompt response. My comments follow; 1) D...
by Sunil
12 Oct 2004 23:44
Forum: Military Scenarios Archive
Topic: Possible Indian Military Scenarios - Part I
Replies: 317
Views: 157384

Ramana, thanks for the correction. It should be FORTAN. The Boyd Loop, i think refers to the Observation, Orientation, Decision, Action (OODA) loop. The idea was first used in the context of an Air War. It dealt with ways in which to sketch out the enemy's response to a provocation and then to slip ...
by Sunil
12 Oct 2004 18:43
Forum: Military Scenarios Archive
Topic: Possible Indian Military Scenarios - Part I
Replies: 317
Views: 157384

Harsh, My mistake, I wrote Dy. Secy instead of Addl. Secy. I have made the change now thanks for bringing it to my attention. I chose the letter format to indicate that there is a matter of debate of sorts here. I intend to post Sri. Karunakaran's reply to the letter above pretty soon. MTS, I would ...
by Sunil
12 Oct 2004 02:41
Forum: Military Scenarios Archive
Topic: Possible Indian Military Scenarios - Part I
Replies: 317
Views: 157384

NSCS-NSAB 19000929/DCA/CS/TS/C *****TOP SECRET***** ******COSMIC******* To: Sri. M. K. K. Karunakaran Addl. Secy. (NSCS) Dept. of Cabinet Affairs Cabinet Sectt. Dear Sir, Apropos your query regarding PLA activity patterns. 1) PRC are desperate for a show of strength but not really desperate for a fi...
by Sunil
11 Oct 2004 00:07
Forum: Military Scenarios Archive
Topic: Possible Indian Military Scenarios - Part I
Replies: 317
Views: 157384

The Awakening: As the evening progressed, the bitter chill of the Delhi winter set it. A dense fog layered the helipad close to the PMO. The Cheetah pilot was having a hard time seeing the landing zone, but he was a Siachen veteran himself, and this was a cakewalk. As the helicopter landed, Kaka, Sa...
by Sunil
10 Oct 2004 06:16
Forum: Military Scenarios Archive
Topic: Possible Indian Military Scenarios - Part I
Replies: 317
Views: 157384

The Awakening The men standing around PM Arora were silent. The Scientific Advisor Dr. Ahluwalia was standing next to the PM. The CD9884 camera data was displayed on a large flat screen TV in front of them. Dr. Ahluwalia took a deep breath and spoke first "Sir, our calculations show that the yeild i...
by Sunil
10 Oct 2004 01:23
Forum: Military Scenarios Archive
Topic: Possible Indian Military Scenarios - Part I
Replies: 317
Views: 157384

The Awakening: Parallel II Part 1: The Bayat of Blood Part 2: Laskhar Ababeel Part 3: Ibadat Part 4: Zarb-e-Mumin The appointed day had come. In a large maidan used first by Sheikh Mujibur Rehman to give the call for an independent bangladesh, a million or so had gathered once again. This time on th...
by Sunil
09 Oct 2004 19:58
Forum: Military Scenarios Archive
Topic: Possible Indian Military Scenarios - Part I
Replies: 317
Views: 157384

MTS,

I have read that Saikia thing before.

Please hold off on Vajra until I post Parallel II; Part 4.
by Sunil
08 Oct 2004 01:32
Forum: Military Scenarios Archive
Topic: Possible Indian Military Scenarios - Part I
Replies: 317
Views: 157384

Ramana, Six chotoos not ... any way I am just giving a number. the point is the backpack design which as we all know has appeared elsewhere in the world. Guys, Leave Myanmar out. There is considerable difficulty in coming up scenarios for how the superdiverse North East interacts with the equally di...
by Sunil
07 Oct 2004 23:09
Forum: Military Scenarios Archive
Topic: Possible Indian Military Scenarios - Part I
Replies: 317
Views: 157384

The Awakening: Parallel II Part 1: The Bayat of Blood Part 2: Lashkar Ababeel Part 3: Ibadat The men were standing in a circle around the colonel's desk. It was almost twilight and in the dim light above his desk, Col. Shams was poring through some papers in front of him. The men cast shadows that a...
by Sunil
07 Oct 2004 19:12
Forum: Military Scenarios Archive
Topic: Possible Indian Military Scenarios - Part I
Replies: 317
Views: 157384

As you guys have probably guessed by now, I am recycling material developed in the context of the Leila-1 Wargame. Before we climb the escalatory ladder it is imperative that we understand the enemy. So my objective behind working in this scenario writing thread is to enhance my understanding of the...
by Sunil
07 Oct 2004 03:27
Forum: Military Scenarios Archive
Topic: Possible Indian Military Scenarios - Part I
Replies: 317
Views: 157384

The Awakening: Parallel II. Part 1: The Bayat of Blood Part 2: Laskhar Ababeel. In a large house in Dhaka, Maulana Nazrul Islam listened carefully to what the messenger from Jhili had to say and simply nodded his head. The staff at the Maulana's house proceeded to offer the messenger some food and r...
by Sunil
06 Oct 2004 23:58
Forum: Military Scenarios Archive
Topic: Possible Indian Military Scenarios - Part I
Replies: 317
Views: 157384

Rudradev,

I want to work on this Col. Shams thing. I think it has major story potential and a cool work of fiction.
by Sunil
06 Oct 2004 21:15
Forum: Military Scenarios Archive
Topic: Possible Indian Military Scenarios - Part I
Replies: 317
Views: 157384

The Awakening: Parallel II. part 1: "The Bayat of Blood" Col. Shams-ur-Rehman was a quiet sort of fellow. Most of his fellow BDA officers mistook him for a bit of a dullard. His career graph hadn't been anything spectacular, he seemed to have been through the motions at all the major institutions in...
by Sunil
05 Oct 2004 22:25
Forum: Military History Archive
Topic: Pak: Documents from the U.S. National Archives, 1949-1973
Replies: 16
Views: 11550

http://www.icdc.com/~paulwolf/pakistan/pakistan.htm#powindahs Here is something for the SSG history buffs. Bajaur Bombing A series of circumstances over the past week has raised suspicions that local elements of the Pakistan Army may have experienced some sort of "flap" in recent days. The circumsta...
by Sunil
03 Jul 2004 23:26
Forum: The Kargil Archive
Topic: Kargil Revisited - II
Replies: 182
Views: 87086

Re: Kargil Revisited - Thread 3

Hi, I was just reading Op Bluestar the true story by Gen. Brar, and I chanced upon the account of the 1 Para attack on Darshani Deori. The account states that 1 Para section under Major. Prakash Chand Katoch took heavy casualties in the attack and Major Katoch and his 2iC were casualties. The accoun...
by Sunil
29 Jun 2004 21:52
Forum: Military Exercises Archive
Topic: Cold Start: An analysis
Replies: 277
Views: 90988

Re: Cold Start: An analysis

Has anyone read this book? http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/detail/-/05 95319459/qid=1087698477/sr=1-2/ref=sr_1_2/002-7561868-6768036?v=glance&s=books " Operation Moked: Indian Style, June 28, 2004 Reviewer: Matthew John (see more about me) from UK This book presents a fictional escalation s...
by Sunil
29 Jun 2004 19:46
Forum: The Kargil Archive
Topic: Kargil Revisited - II
Replies: 182
Views: 87086

Re: Kargil Revisited - Thread 3

Hi, Before one rushes to draw conclusions about the article in the Asian Age, it may be important to bear the following things in mind: 1) The KRC report was quite critical of intelligence handling, both the assessed and the unassessed variety. There were clearly a number of gaps in border surveilla...
by Sunil
18 Jun 2004 17:47
Forum: Military Exercises Archive
Topic: Cold Start: An analysis
Replies: 277
Views: 90988

Re: Cold Start: An analysis

Hi Nikhil, I think "Cold Start" cuts both ways. The political leadership earlier had to think about the massive cost of deployment. They had to factor in things like, 1) Not getting the deployment to clash with harvesting season, 2) Keeping POL stocks for both a 20 day deployment and a 45 day war, (...
by Sunil
16 Jun 2004 22:12
Forum: Military Exercises Archive
Topic: Cold Start: An analysis
Replies: 277
Views: 90988

Re: Cold Start: An analysis

I feel the cold start doctrine achieves the following: 1) It removes mobilization associated delays in deployment. This destroys any advantage the PA claimed to have with its shorter communication lines. 2) It vastly improves the striking power of units close to the border. This calls into question ...
by Sunil
26 May 2004 20:56
Forum: Military History Archive
Topic: Celebrating 20 years of victory on the Saltoro Ridge
Replies: 85
Views: 41949

Re: Celebrating 20 years of victory on the Saltoro Ridge

> peace park in Siachen - scientists to meet in Dubai and Bangkok.

Why don't these xyzologists hold a peace conference on the Siachen Glacier itself? :roll:

> Pavan Nair on Suleka.

Can someone who is on sulekha post a rebuttal to that?
by Sunil
21 May 2004 21:18
Forum: Military Exercises Archive
Topic: Exercise Divya Astra: Shock & Awe
Replies: 213
Views: 77883

Re: Exercise Divya Astra: Shock & Awe

" Kaleem Saadat is of the strong view the war strategy has changed in the present times, and ultimately the air force will prove to be decisive contributor to success. He believed the land-occupation was no more a bargaining chip, rather hitting the economic targets and lending financial blow was th...
by Sunil
12 May 2004 21:52
Forum: Military Exercises Archive
Topic: Exercise Divya Astra: Shock & Awe
Replies: 213
Views: 77883

Re: Exercise Divya Astra: Shock & Awe

The most notable point in the Pakistani opeds post Parakram and now post Divya Astra is a shift from hi-fi "Offensive Defence" to plain old "Defensive Defence". The Pakistanis have effectively given up any ideas of seizing anything in India. `Cold Start' has poured cold water on all their fantasies.
by Sunil
26 Apr 2004 22:35
Forum: BR Nostalgia Archive
Topic: ***** BR interview on Australian Radio *****
Replies: 27
Views: 14827

Re: ***** BR interview on Australian Radio *****

Hi Arun, I read the transcript of the interview, and folks we have done a really good job. " People say it’s a poor country, but again, the easiest way to address poverty is not by giving fish to the people but telling the people how to catch the fish. " Brillant choice of words! Dude, you deserve a...
by Sunil
17 Mar 2004 01:35
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Pakistan Nuclear Proliferation - 02 Mar 2004
Replies: 326
Views: 70545

Re: Pakistan Nuclear Proliferation - 02 Mar 2004

> is he an SOS or Mush ka Chamcha.

Nah.. its just foreplay. Pretty soon he will hand Musharraf a tube of KY Jelly.
by Sunil
16 Mar 2004 17:38
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Pakistan Nuclear Proliferation - 02 Mar 2004
Replies: 326
Views: 70545

Re: Pakistan Nuclear Proliferation - 02 Mar 2004

Hmm.. > The U.S. officials said they believed that a Briton named Peter Griffin provided training in Libya, the Basque region of Spain and perhaps elsewhere in Europe to members of the network. A basque connection. > Libyan officials have told the IAEA that their nuclear workers were sent to Dubai, ...
by Sunil
15 Mar 2004 18:04
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Shaheen 2 - proliferation unlimited?
Replies: 128
Views: 42658

Re: Shaheen 2 - proliferation unlimited?

Hi, There is no way for them to test at Sonmiani and still have the thing land in Pakistani territorial waters. If they did launch it from Sonmiani, and it did go 1800 Km, then it must have landed somewhere east of the Oman-Yemen border. BTW here are pictures of what appears to be the same launch si...
by Sunil
14 Mar 2004 21:00
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Shaheen 2 - proliferation unlimited?
Replies: 128
Views: 42658

Re: Shaheen 2 - proliferation unlimited?

Map of Pakistani EEZ on page six. I love environmental studies.

http://www.comsats.org.pk/latest/riffat_qureshi2.pdf
by Sunil
14 Mar 2004 19:47
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Pakistan Nuclear Proliferation - 02 Mar 2004
Replies: 326
Views: 70545

Re: Pakistan Nuclear Proliferation - 02 Mar 2004

Good Lord! I can't believe Milholn is actually saying that. Is he really that dense? wtf is going to happen if nuclear attacks become as common as getting mugged? I am seeing that same strain of non-chalance that used to exist about this before. The people still have not learnt from the mistakes of ...
by Sunil
13 Mar 2004 03:48
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Shaheen 2 - proliferation unlimited?
Replies: 128
Views: 42658

Re: Shaheen 2 - proliferation unlimited?

Hi, The AWST numbers look similar to an Shaheen-1. The Pakistanis have most likely taken a ready made Chinese configuration developed for the Saudis as part of their CSS-2 upgrade in 1997 and simply re-designated it as the Shaheen-2. The Shaheen-2 imo should simply imply that it is second solid fuel...
by Sunil
12 Mar 2004 19:48
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Shaheen 2 - proliferation unlimited?
Replies: 128
Views: 42658

Re: Shaheen 2 - proliferation unlimited?

I would really appreciate it if people read this post. I think it is important and I would like to hear your views on it. I know I make boring posts sometimes, and every day I get complaints that I speak in riddles but please bear with me just this once. Pak-Saudi nuclear cooperation does not necess...
by Sunil
12 Mar 2004 03:03
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Shaheen 2 - proliferation unlimited?
Replies: 128
Views: 42658

Re: Shaheen 2 - proliferation unlimited?

Courtesy Lexis Nexis. Flight International April 16, 1997 HEADLINE: Saudi Arabia talks to Russia and China about new missile BODY: Saudi Arabia has approached China and Russia for a possible replacement for its ageing Chinese-made CSS-2 surface-to-surface missiles (SSMs), raising fears in Washington...
by Sunil
11 Mar 2004 19:59
Forum: Nuclear Issues Archive
Topic: Shaheen 2 - proliferation unlimited?
Replies: 128
Views: 42658

Re: Shaheen 2 - proliferation unlimited?

Old material about the 1999 Shaheen-1 Test. <a href=http://groups.google.com/groups?q=Sonmiani&start=20&hl=en&lr=&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&safe=off&selm=20010612203032.22820.00003513%40ng-mj1.aol.com&rnum=21>linc</a> The missile turned right after lifting for a few hundred f...

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