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by Christopher Sidor
25 Apr 2016 14:29
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
Replies: 10352
Views: 1169309

Re: Managing Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)

WoW history repeats itself. In the Kargil war then too the BJP lead NDA did not have the guts to cross the LoC despite being asked for by the armed forces. And now once again GoI crumbles and cancels the e-tourist visa given to the "Dolkun Isa". Lovely. Just lovely. Whats next, roll back o...
by Christopher Sidor
23 Apr 2016 21:12
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: PRC Economy - New Reflections : April 20 2015
Replies: 1273
Views: 166991

Re: PRC Economy - New Reflections : April 20 2015

Anybody recently gone to a trip to PRC or going there? If yes can you give us insights into your trip? How is the sense of an average Joe?
by Christopher Sidor
23 Apr 2016 21:10
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: PRC Economy - New Reflections : April 20 2015
Replies: 1273
Views: 166991

Re: PRC Economy - New Reflections : April 20 2015

It would be interesting to see whether PRC would be able to make the transition to a more consumption led economy and consequently a more market led economy or not. Or what path it will take. PRC is going through some tough times. Hope they come out of it in better shape. Another exceptional-ism cas...
by Christopher Sidor
23 Apr 2016 21:00
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
Replies: 10352
Views: 1169309

Re: Managing Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)

It's not going to do anything of such sort. Consider this most of the prominent Uighur separatists live in Germany. PRC has a thriving trade with Germany. Osama Bin Laden was found and killed less than 50kms from Pakistan Military Academy. Till date USA and Pakistan have a thriving trade relation. T...
by Christopher Sidor
23 Apr 2016 20:51
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II
Replies: 4037
Views: 161001

Re: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II

I agree partially. Right now we have to box in PRC and eliminate the threat that it posses to us. USA does not claim any territory of India, PRC does. USA is not occupying any 30000 sqkms of Indian territory. PRC is. USA is not assisting terrorist groups in North East. PRC is. Right now the clear a...
by Christopher Sidor
23 Apr 2016 20:39
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic changes
Replies: 4280
Views: 291522

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

^^^^ Janet will raise rates. How any rate hikes do you project in 2016? 1, 2 or 3? I believe that question has already been answered in the release of latest MoM of Fed FOMC. It is expected that there will be two hikes this year each of 25 bps, I.e. 0.25%. Though with the negative interest rates be...
by Christopher Sidor
21 Apr 2016 19:53
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic changes
Replies: 4280
Views: 291522

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

^^^^ Janet will raise rates. Please note her remit is the stability of American economy and having the highest optimum employment possible. As far as the world's economy is concerned, she will resist as long as she is sure that her raising the rates will not adversely impact the American economy. Sh...
by Christopher Sidor
21 Apr 2016 15:52
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II
Replies: 4037
Views: 161001

Re: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II

PRC The US knows that unlike Japan, Korea or Vietnam or even USA PRC its long term competitor and challenger is India. And I am damn if I would want my country to play second fiddle to PRC the US . We can cooperate with PRC the US as long as our interests coincide, we are the top dog and PRC the US...
by Christopher Sidor
21 Apr 2016 15:39
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Railways Thread (Dec 2015)
Replies: 3540
Views: 555084

Re: Indian Railways Thread (Dec 2015)

I do not think its possible to lay a above ground metro on orr..its far too late for that. Has to be 100% underground like in core area of delhi I see where you are coming from. The flyovers which have been constructed on Bangalore's ORR especially the Intel, Bellandur and Agara flyover have not be...
by Christopher Sidor
20 Apr 2016 18:51
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II
Replies: 4037
Views: 161001

Re: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II

^^^^ No good will come out of PRC as far as India is concerned. It was true in 1947 when they established this contraption called PRC, it was true in 1950 and has been true every since. And about western powers being the top dog for a very long time I do not think that applies any more. The world's ...
by Christopher Sidor
20 Apr 2016 17:03
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
Replies: 10352
Views: 1169309

Re: Managing Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)

How about making all the PRC goods go via a single port say Tutricon on the tip of TN. All the goods coming or imports coming from PRC will have to go via that port only. This particular port can then be staffed with all the worst of the worst pedantic and corrupt officials whose only goal will be t...
by Christopher Sidor
20 Apr 2016 16:58
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Indian Navy News & Discussion - 22 April 2015
Replies: 4211
Views: 349797

Re: Indian Naval News & Discussion - 22 April 2015

This from the Indian Maritime Security Strategy Document, from Jan, 2016 (Taja khabar): ....... ....... Chock points AND ISLs. Note, with care, the ISL for Indo-Pacific region. It INCLUDES SCS, ECS and Philippines Sea. http://imgur.com/pItN7vw.jpeg Source: Ensuring Secure Seas: Indian Maritime Secu...
by Christopher Sidor
20 Apr 2016 15:46
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Railways Thread (Dec 2015)
Replies: 3540
Views: 555084

Re: Indian Railways Thread (Dec 2015)

Can't they run emu's like in madras and bombay on the existing railway lines That is the plan for now. Most of the IR 1000 Cr investment will be used for building stations, pit lines etc. I'm not certain whether those lines are used heavily but there is a shortage of platform space in SBC. They hav...
by Christopher Sidor
20 Apr 2016 15:15
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Railways Thread (Dec 2015)
Replies: 3540
Views: 555084

Re: Indian Railways Thread (Dec 2015)

Bullet train needs 100 trips a day to be viable: Study The proposed bullet train between Mumbai and Ahmedabad will have to ferry 88,000-118,000 passengers a day, or undertake 100 trips daily, for the railways to keep it financially viable, according to a report by Indian Institute of Management Ahm...
by Christopher Sidor
20 Apr 2016 14:41
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II
Replies: 4037
Views: 161001

Re: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II

The LSA agreement does not mean that we are having permanent USN or US Marines or USAAF or US Army bases in India like Okinawa or the former Subic Bay of USN. We are giving access to USN and possibly USAAF to our air bases and in turn get access to their bases.
by Christopher Sidor
20 Apr 2016 14:38
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
Replies: 10352
Views: 1169309

Re: Managing Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)

^^^^ What piece of crap is being dished out. Consider the following 1) UNSC veto after 2008 attack, technical hold by PRC 2) UNSC veto after Pathankot attack, technical hold again by PRC. 3) ADB veto for aid package targetted against Arunachal Prades, again by PRC. 4) Main opposition to NSG admissio...
by Christopher Sidor
20 Apr 2016 14:07
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II
Replies: 4037
Views: 161001

Re: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II

The bases on offer for IN will be Guam in Western Pacific. We already have done joint exercises near Diego Garcia with USN. We do not need access to Diego Garcia. We already have access to Mauritius and in conjunction with IN naval bases in peninsular India should be sufficient for the ocean which b...
by Christopher Sidor
19 Apr 2016 13:31
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II
Replies: 4037
Views: 161001

Re: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II

^^^^
Again to reiterate joint patrols in Western Pacific, SCS, Yellow sea, etc. Not in Arabian Sea or in the Persian Gulf or the Red sea.
by Christopher Sidor
19 Apr 2016 13:29
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II
Replies: 4037
Views: 161001

Re: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II

We seem to forget that this LSA agreement also gives us access to US bases too. We need access to these bases in Western Pacific so that IN and possibly IAF can also operate in Western Pacific. We need these bases in conjunction with bases in Vietnam, Japan and Russia. Now in a conflict with PRC Rus...
by Christopher Sidor
19 Apr 2016 11:15
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: PRC Economy - New Reflections : April 20 2015
Replies: 1273
Views: 166991

Re: PRC Economy - New Reflections : April 20 2015

This looks like a Uh-Oh moment for PRC's onshore bond market. After the 5 Trillion USD value being wiped out from the PRC's stock market, this looks like the next domino to get impacted. It's All Suddenly Going Wrong in China's $3 Trillion Bond Market The scary part from the article Listed firms’ ab...
by Christopher Sidor
18 Apr 2016 16:08
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II
Replies: 4037
Views: 161001

Re: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II

Joint Patrols in Arabian sea denotes two things 1) We have concerns which overlap with USA in the Arabian Sea. We do not. Typical Case in example, Iran. We have not opinion in whether the current ruling clerical establishment of Iran goes or stays. With USA that definitely is not the case. USA guara...
by Christopher Sidor
18 Apr 2016 14:58
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II
Replies: 4037
Views: 161001

Re: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II

^^^^ We should discuss joint patrols. Where has PRC shown us any consideration towards our interests like stationing PLA troops in PoK? This timidity shown by our establishment is nothing but a lack of self belief in our capability. Let us not forget significant amount of our trade traverses through...
by Christopher Sidor
18 Apr 2016 14:53
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic changes
Replies: 4280
Views: 291522

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

This is not good. Just as excessive price is bad so is too low a price. Just as excessive price hurts so does a low price. The sweet spot is something in the middle where it does not hurt our economy while does not discourage our march towards non-carbon energy sources. Grand Oil Bargain Is Victim o...
by Christopher Sidor
18 Apr 2016 14:37
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
Replies: 10352
Views: 1169309

Re: Managing Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)

India wants to be 'most beautiful woman' wooed by all: Chinese media - PTI The Chinese use flowery language and I am sure that 'sweeter than the sweetest honey' and other such phraseology emanated form them, not the Pakistanis perhaps. Find the comments mentioned in the PRC's paper "Global Tim...
by Christopher Sidor
17 Apr 2016 10:58
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
Replies: 10352
Views: 1169309

Re: Managing Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)

^^^^^
+1 PRC needs us more than we need them economically. We should be making life very difficult for PRC and its economic managers.
by Christopher Sidor
17 Apr 2016 10:54
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II
Replies: 4037
Views: 161001

Re: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II

........ ......... Another aspect. How does an outside power threaten India in the most effective manner? Two ways, one via Indian Ocean and second via planes of Punjab or desert of Sindhi-Rajasthan-Gujarat. Ground invasion from the W/SW won't work. Our SLOCs can right now be threatened only by the...
by Christopher Sidor
15 Apr 2016 21:00
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Indian Army News & Discussions - 11 June 2014
Replies: 4009
Views: 636136

Re: Indian Army: News and Discussions 11 June 2014

Something OT A lot of we the Indians talk nasty, really nasty, about one Mr Osama Bin Laden. To the bast of my knowledge, Mr Osama Bin Laden was NEVER against India. He has never even spoken a harsh word to or about India, forget about executed any evil deeds. But we are programmed (read whitewashe...
by Christopher Sidor
15 Apr 2016 19:53
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic changes
Replies: 4280
Views: 291522

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

^^^ There is a lot of truth in what was written, that is if one ignores the tone. Lula did massive handouts. He gave his people fish. He did not gave his people the tools and skills to catch a fish and make sure that the infra to fish was fair the just. And the Brazilian people loved him for that. T...
by Christopher Sidor
15 Apr 2016 18:07
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II
Replies: 4037
Views: 161001

Re: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II

.... .... .... *To quote from an excerpt posted by Karan M from the Outlaw Platoon by Sean Parnell Lieutenant Colonel Toner ordered, “Hit them now.” The satellite-guided bombs, dropped from the strategic bomber, struck first. Before the smoke had even cleared, the A-10s rolled in and unleashed all ...
by Christopher Sidor
15 Apr 2016 17:34
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: PRC Economy - New Reflections : April 20 2015
Replies: 1273
Views: 166991

Re: PRC Economy - New Reflections : April 20 2015

PRC's economy slowed to its weakest since 2009 . At 6.2% it is still a decent growth rate according to world standards. And that is expected. As PRC gets prosperous it will slow down. Moreover its population growth is also slowing and in certain metrics it is declining. So they need not have 8% or 1...
by Christopher Sidor
23 Dec 2015 15:32
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic changes
Replies: 4280
Views: 291522

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

^^^^ Another collateral is going to be the high wages that these companies have been paying IT Developers. When these companies go bust they will unleash torrent of developers, architects and managers onto the market. This will depress wages for quite some time thus improving the position of major I...
by Christopher Sidor
23 Dec 2015 15:18
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic changes
Replies: 4280
Views: 291522

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

0.25% might not seem much. But we have to factor in two more items 1) This is not going to be the final rise, more are expected down the line. 2) We have to consider the case of risk-vs-return too. Most of the unicorns are not making profits some of them are making outright losses. Consider the foll...
by Christopher Sidor
23 Dec 2015 13:41
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic changes
Replies: 4280
Views: 291522

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

The Fed has increased its interest rates. This means that all the cheap money that is flowing into the unicorns and yahoos of Silicon valley is slowly and steadily going to dry up. The 2nd DOT Com bubble or the so called social bubble is going to burst. That is the conventional thinking. The wild ca...
by Christopher Sidor
23 Dec 2015 13:12
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
Replies: 10352
Views: 1169309

Re: Managing Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)

According to my assessment 10-15 years is a bit optimistic. I will give it only 4-5 years. CPC is trying to make PLA more nimble and lethal. Yes about 4-5 Lakh troops will be stationed for the entire Western Region but with the HSR and airlift capabilities of PLA/PLAAF we can expect PLA to field mor...
by Christopher Sidor
17 Mar 2015 22:10
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Perspectives on the global economic changes
Replies: 4280
Views: 291522

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

US is truly and deeply into the Web 2.0 bubble or the second dot-com bubble. Added to this, is the fact that QE and its variants have jacked up the prices of certain assets way out of proportions to their intrinsic or real value. And finally factor in the fact that most of the economist are of the v...
by Christopher Sidor
23 Feb 2015 00:11
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy - News & Discussion Oct 12 2013
Replies: 3980
Views: 152666

Re: Indian Economy - News & Discussion Oct 12 2013

About my last sentence, one gets judged by one actions and consequences of ones action. Thatcher was a strong, but just go to contemporary UK and see how she is most reviled person in the post WWII UK. Indira too was strong and decisive. Green Revolution, Nationalization of Banks, Birth of Banglades...
by Christopher Sidor
22 Feb 2015 22:39
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy - News & Discussion Oct 12 2013
Replies: 3980
Views: 152666

Re: Indian Economy - News & Discussion Oct 12 2013

Thats not how it works. I won't survive a minute if I run the central bank and start attacking the Gandhi family in a Congress govt. So Congress and BJP led government should behave exactly the same way. So why replace one with the other? Let us continue with the so called Harvard and Cambridge dre...
by Christopher Sidor
22 Feb 2015 22:09
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy - News & Discussion Oct 12 2013
Replies: 3980
Views: 152666

Re: Indian Economy - News & Discussion Oct 12 2013

Apropos the Raghuram Rajan speech, having read the whole thing, I am unable to understand what the whole controversy is about. He was making a point about political economy, borrowing ideas from Fukuyama. That people somehow connected the Hitler reference to the Modi govt. is beyond ridiculuous. As...
by Christopher Sidor
22 Feb 2015 20:18
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US Relations : News and Discussion
Replies: 3947
Views: 150083

Re: India-US Relations : News and Discussion

Food for thought. If this is true, this represents a complete different paradigm based on realities on the ground and in the geo-political sense. This should be encouraged and nurtured and can represent a mutual beneficial relationship. http://ajaishukla.blogspot.in/2015/02/us-decision-making-on-in...
by Christopher Sidor
22 Feb 2015 19:39
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy - News & Discussion Oct 12 2013
Replies: 3980
Views: 152666

Re: Indian Economy - News & Discussion Oct 12 2013

With the Budget only a few moons away there are some of the points for the budget. Though all of these will not be achieved in one budget, it would behoove Modi sarkar to have a look at these. But off course all this has to be done after the core inflation, i.e. core CPI and not WPI, is bought down ...

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