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by Suraj
16 May 2019 22:04
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 469501

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

chetak wrote:both the PMO and the EC need to be alerted

Please post all EC related resources you know of so people can forward screen shots etc to them.
by Suraj
16 May 2019 22:04
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 469501

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

The threat of violence is a significant risk factor WB voters in the elections. When I saw the earlier upgraded estimates giving BJP 15+ or even 20+ seats in WB, I wasn't necessarily impressed, but I did think 'many people are going to die because of this result'. It is sad but the likely consequenc...
by Suraj
16 May 2019 21:46
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 469501

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

The India Today ‘exit poll data’ is, as they revealed, dummy data for the sake of demonstrating how their May 19-23 TV shows will be . A clever trick indeed . The nicest way to stop such clever tricks is to have a high profile lawsuit alleging attempt to sway voters before Sunday . That’ll teach th...
by Suraj
16 May 2019 20:47
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 469501

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

The India Today ‘exit poll data’ is, as they revealed, dummy data for the sake of demonstrating how their May 19-23 TV shows will be . A clever trick indeed . The nicest way to stop such clever tricks is to have a high profile lawsuit alleging attempt to sway voters before Sunday . That’ll teach the...
by Suraj
16 May 2019 11:35
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 469501

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

I cannot think of another state where there’s a four cornered fight where two regional parties and two national parties were all jockeying for seats, as Bihar 2015 was. Can you name which elections and which states these were ? TN has two strong regional parties and no national ones . Same for AP to...
by Suraj
16 May 2019 11:15
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 469501

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Today's Chanakya had got it right back then. But then they messed up Bihar really bad. This time too one of the polls might get it right like a broken clock being right twice a day. No, it's not a question of broken clocks. GE 2014 and Bihar 2015 were very different kinds of elections. The former w...
by Suraj
16 May 2019 09:20
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 469501

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Interesting data posted by Rishi Bagree (I don’t have corroborative references):

Bengal GDP as percentage of India GDP
1950: 25%
1977: 13%
2019: 3%
by Suraj
16 May 2019 00:46
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 469501

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Edited. Note that intention was not to piss upon own country. It is a criticism on an institution who can improve its own efficiency. I still think that the current efficiency does not bode well to the status of India. I believe the delay is more on logistical efficiency than the size of country or...
by Suraj
15 May 2019 23:44
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 469501

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

This is absurd.. Its the JOB of the Electoral Commission to ensure that free and fair elections take place and electioneering is an integral part of elections. Ram Nath Kovind should go ahead and place WB under presidents rule now because the state police is filled with TMC cadres and is not listen...
by Suraj
15 May 2019 23:03
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 469501

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

^^^ Neville Maxwell is the infamous author of the book India's China War, which is often used by the Chinese to bolster their territorial claims on Aksai Chin. The book was praised by both Zhou-en-Lai and Kissinger though Lee Kuan Yew of Singapore called it revisionist pro-Chinese history. This inf...
by Suraj
15 May 2019 22:26
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 469501

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Singha, Kati et al, I saw an article on Twitter that Atlee expected Bengal to break away from Union of India and was surprised it didn't happen. The reasons could be Shyam Prasad Mukherjee and other nationalists seeking West Bengal to join Union of India. The expectations of India's unraveling cont...
by Suraj
15 May 2019 21:43
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 469501

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Watching AAJ Tak channel. Its showing TMC workers protesting using Vidyasagar's Tshirts. Clearly Momata had an agenda to make it "us vs them" and had all the necessary goodies ready for that. They broke that statue. She is stoking regionalism to its fullest. No, she’s banking on the wishf...
by Suraj
15 May 2019 21:02
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 469501

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

This story had been covered well. However, we seem to be missing many such reports that we should be collecting and keeping a list of. Especially from regional newspapers. I'm sure that in many towns where buffer zones have collapsed people may have even stopped writing such events. The one of the ...
by Suraj
15 May 2019 05:46
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 469501

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

That's not true. There are two current nominated members Richard Hay and George Baker.
by Suraj
15 May 2019 05:41
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 469501

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

I was reading up on the two reserved seats in the Lok Sabha for the Anglo Indian community. It is such an anachronism today. The community is probably under a million strong but has outsized representation. The reserved seats were due to have been phased out in the 1960s , but never were, being peri...
by Suraj
15 May 2019 02:31
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 469501

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Sorry, I think the quick IAF raid saved decades of violence and grief. You have me wrong. I'm not saying it's a bad thing. I'm saying that something good was done then, in comparison to a contemporary situation (Balakot) where a section of people run around like headless chickens asking for 'proof'...
by Suraj
15 May 2019 02:15
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 469501

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

I find very little on the Internet about that time even on this incident. Boss, as this thread has demonstrated, there are many past skeletons that have not been properly revealed . The kar sevak killing in 1990, the massacre of sadhus in the mid 1960s, the terrible stampede at the first post indep...
by Suraj
15 May 2019 01:09
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 469501

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

The chamchas/BIF cultivate that as it creates a perception of "fighting spirit" for the dedicated cadre when fortunes are down. During the winning days, this is part of the "ruthlessness" to destroy any opposition if living or legacy of opposition if dead. That used to be a grea...
by Suraj
15 May 2019 00:59
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 469501

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Well, here's something for you to chew on: https://twitter.com/IamIconoclast/status/1128353993132998656 Jivatma @realkrishnan 2h2 hours ago More #BengalWithBJP #Loksabhaelections2019 BJP likely 35-40% At least 18 Alipurduar, Cooch, Darjeeling, Malda N, Balurghat, Raiganj,Krishna n, Asansol, Ranaghat...
by Suraj
15 May 2019 00:45
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 469501

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Since we won't hear of these street battles during Amit Shah's rally in Kolkata in the MSM: Joyeeta Basu ‏ @eeta 5h5 hours ago More If Bengali channel visuals are to be trusted, it's looking like TMC is in a state of shock that BJP too can beat them up. Fracas happened in front of Calcutta Universit...
by Suraj
15 May 2019 00:29
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 469501

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

RaGa saying 'chor' is just crass election campaigning by someone who doesn't realize it's a rather bad idea to abuse someone close to his father's age, who's very well regarded by a significant part of the population - as even the not particularly BJP-friendly CSDS states. It's really disappointing ...
by Suraj
15 May 2019 00:00
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 469501

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Either BJP will do extremely bad and won't be able to form the govt ; in which case this is the first salvo of taking down NaMo legacy OR More probably, MSA has been specifically activated to remind that comment again and create a controversy so that the blame of the defeat can be deflected to him ...
by Suraj
14 May 2019 23:46
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 469501

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Picklu: you mentioned earlier about how Didi isn't targeting the Left in WB and how that's a calculated effort to break the left vote moving to BJP. Here's what Rishi Bagree says: https://twitter.com/rishibagree/status/1128157633095979008 Rishi Bagree @rishibagree Follow Follow @rishibagree More A s...
by Suraj
14 May 2019 23:15
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 469501

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

It's hard to tell whether Chintamani's cryptic statement is about upside (north of 25, but not a complete wipeout of TMC) or downside (under 10). AshRockzz for example states: Ash Rockzz ‏ @Ash_Rokzz23 1h1 hour ago More Bhupendra Chaubey: Something huge is brewing in West Bengal. There might be a ts...
by Suraj
14 May 2019 22:49
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 469501

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Chintamani ‏ @IamIconoclast 39m39 minutes ago More #ChintamaniSpeaks #Elections2019 @Election_in The numbers coming from Bengal are beyond belief. Looks like we will go completely wrong on West Bengal because of uncertainties on fair polling. In a fair poll, TMC cannot cross into double digits. How ...
by Suraj
14 May 2019 09:46
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 469501

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

vimal wrote:Maybe we should open an India history thread. I've been asking for an Indology/India history thread for some time now.

Sorry, GDF is done . As this thread already demonstrates, posters cannot and will not stay on topic . This thread too will be gone after May 23.
by Suraj
14 May 2019 09:05
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 469501

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Folks, FYI it’s 2019, not 1935. I know it’s a slow news day but we would be better of locking this thread than have it derail further. At least keep it contemporary .
by Suraj
14 May 2019 06:46
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 469501

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Can we keep our heads together here ? People are losing their wits, demanding everything from dictatorship to extrajudicial killings . Please stop advocating such nonsense .
by Suraj
14 May 2019 03:47
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 469501

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Clip of Prannoy Roy's interview with mango people in UP, thanks to Rishi Bagree

https://twitter.com/rishibagree/status/ ... 7865011200

https://twitter.com/rishibagree/status/ ... 6139736064

I wonder why Roy doesn't stick to interviewing people who tell him what he wants to hear .
by Suraj
14 May 2019 00:44
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 469501

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

I've held the urge to read any 'analysis' that does not explain its methodology, but on the basis of the issues that have been highlighted well ahead of the elections. The mango man doesn't resonate with hear say as much as they do with innate needs. We can apply that to your argument too :) As you...
by Suraj
13 May 2019 23:58
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 469501

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

The access part I agree 100%. The political squabble lies in the fact that a subsidized cylinder would cost in Rs 4xx during UPA while, at a minimum Rs 7xx during NDA 2 The political squabble is noise. At the end of UPA2, let's say 45% had access to gas cylinders (probably an overestimation). In 20...
by Suraj
13 May 2019 23:48
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 469501

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

most mistreated are the destitute farmers who have left the land and come to city to work in construction jobs as casual labour, because they have no other marketable skill. caught in the claws of tough labour contractors they are moved from work site to work site and live in plastic roofed shantie...
by Suraj
13 May 2019 23:41
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 469501

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Also, one thing to keep in mind is that - not the entire amount comes to account, only the subsidy amount. The poor still need to pay for the non-subsidy part of the cylinder. Since the subsidy is capped and the remaining price is still higher compared to UPA period, it gives the opposition a stick...
by Suraj
13 May 2019 23:23
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 469501

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Another important factor is that the rate at which development has occured from the perspective of the bottom of the pyramid, has accelerated significantly. Us middle class folks largely don't see it or appreciate it. But data is pretty broad based. In 2004, only about 15-20 percent of the Indian ru...
by Suraj
13 May 2019 21:44
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 469501

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

That looks like the ideal state of affairs - where INC is busy wagging fingers... at each other . A more sophisticated situation than Kejriwal trying to place his cheek in the path of every swinging hand he sees around him .
by Suraj
13 May 2019 20:59
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 469501

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

I don't see any issue with the radar story. For one, as Karan M showed, it's deliberate obfuscation and noise. For another, that indignant noise is beneficial since it keeps the herd occupied at working themselves up into a mouthful of lather. That sort of thing isn't them setting the agenda - it's ...
by Suraj
13 May 2019 13:51
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 469501

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

So with one phase left, GE2019 looks almost certain to exceed the total turnout percentage of GE2014, amounting to ~65 million more people having voted. Off the top of my head, GE2014 had a registered electorate of ~810 million and 66.4% turnout, for ~536 million votes. GE2019 has a ~900 million ele...
by Suraj
13 May 2019 13:37
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Railways Thread (Dec 2015)
Replies: 3386
Views: 473776

Re: Indian Railways Thread (Dec 2015)

I just remembered that the WAP-1 and WAP-4 are Indian designed electric locos, though with imported power electricals (Hitachi traction motors in the latter, as far as I recall). The Train-20 program attempts to replace the steel in the Train-18 coachwork with aluminium, among other things. What doe...

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