Bharat Rakshak

Suraj

In no hurry, government seeks more opinion on Covaxin for kids Unclear why they cannot follow the data or ask for more data. The Pfizer vaccine is questionable for children due to the rare heart inflammation event that is reported. Not sure what types of adverse events they are worried about for Co...

Suraj

It's not really worthwhile to deal with trolling or even respond about cold Chinese calculations here. This is fundamentally incoming information to process and manage. There's no need for pushback. It's not like DavidD has any influence on policy. Not all of it will be palatable, but in the larger ...

Suraj

Dussehra of course. Even supplies have slowed down a little since the companies are probably giving their employees some time off, as a result of which incremental daily supplies available with states hasn't risen that much over the last two days - it's "only" 89 million now, almost 40m mo...

Suraj

The China example is a very good one. We need a much more intensive trials system just prior to the big event. The shooter does not own the quota, the country does. Having multiple intense 'fight club' events prior to Olympics helps harden the final choices before the Games. This is somethinh NRAI n...

Suraj

Manindra Agrawal - of the SUTRA model fame - is interviewed here by Swarajyamag:
IIT-Kanpur Scientist Manindra Agrawal Says Possibilities Of Covid-19 Third Wave Are Low

Suraj

This isn’t the thread to debate relative democracy . Please read the thread topic and avoid being manipulated. China’s political tumult is the foundation of all the problems here. There’s nothing to do with Indian or Taiwanese democracy in it. China has been at it against Taiwan long before they wer...

Suraj

This whole democracy stuff is a sidebar used to derail this thread. Please avoid falling for such sophisticated trolling . This is simply a trite argument unchanged in close to half a century as part of indoctrination in China.

Suraj

The "democracy slows development" is primarily a Chinese construct. China NEEDS something like that to legitimize its methods to its population. We get it, it makes total sense to you. You should stand in front of a mirror and say it as best as you can, because the biggest consumer of this...

Suraj

Here in the Bay Area, it's chock full of bleeding heart liberals, and they all think they've got the interest of the poor and the immigrants in heart. But we also have a huge homeless problem here, because whenever it comes time to put the money where their mouth is, they never vote for housing ref...

Suraj

I disagree with the notion that the wealth disparity is an issue. . . . I agree, though David continues to maintain this line of reasoning. This is probably point of view driven. If DavidD is mainland origin, there's probably a community there who thinks Taiwan is against unification with motherlan...

Suraj

Taiwan GDP per capita (2021): $30k, I assume if we just pick a big city e.g. Taipei it'd be higher. Shanghai GDP per capita (2020): $24k China GDP per capita (2020): $10k For the older generation, many were either born on the mainland or have close family ties there, so there's some additional pull...

Suraj

I disagree with the notion that the wealth disparity is an issue. Top tier mainland cities can put even Taipei to shame. Taipei is really nice, but it's more like a cleaner New Delhi than Shanghai. Sure it's got Taipei 101 and I've been up it, but otherwise it's not a showpiece city. I actually like...

Suraj

The Chinese - and here include Taiwanese and even Singaporeans - understand what violent change entails for them. They'll do whatever puts that off. Their history shows why. We in India feel traumatized about the Mughal rule and British rule eras. Yes there was much privation and hardship then, mill...

Suraj

Thanks for the comments folks. Nice to see that the UK has decided that looking silly for so long affects them in real terms.

Suraj

I am curious about yours and Suraj's reading of a nuclear umbrella for Japan and Taiwan. Given Japan's historic resistance to nuclear weaponization and Taiwan's lack of experience in this area, wouldn't the umbrella have to come from the U.S.? Given that the U.S. doesn't even have a treaty for the ...

Suraj

Thanks for the great reference material - so carefully researched and organized. We need this level of authoritative knowledge. Taiwan continues to have a KMT polity who maintain delusions of Nationalist China. Ms.Tsai can't just shut all those departments down. She risks starting a political firest...

Suraj

@Suraj: Could the slow vaccination in the last few days be because doses are being exported to other countries (Vaccine Maitri) ? That would be a very unfortunate... There's no such data. I've also made it clear that supply is not the factor here. Oct 6: 6,93,46,080 (https://www.pib.gov.in/PressRel...

Suraj

I feel the US will ask Taiwan to merge. This way it doesn't need to sanction China and the supply chain will all okay. I won't be surprised if this happens. Asking them to merge and them wanting to merge are two different things. In the past, they didn't want to do that because of political differe...

Suraj

No idea why it's slow today. I thought it was some kind of public holiday. May just a freak instance of multiple states all planning for a large drive on a different day. Usually 1-2 states tend to have something going any given weekday. In any case it is one day. I don't make conclusions out of tha...

Suraj

the Covid vaccine situation is interesting. Last week, the availability was pretty soft, in the mid 40 millions. Correspondingly, vaccinations were just ~49 million. This week the vaccinations first two days are nothing special, just around 7 million a day. But the supply availability is now a strat...

Suraj

Wrote this article for Swarajyamag:
The UK-India Vaccine Spat: When New India Meets The Old World

Suraj

Here's Hockey India's letter notifying of its decision to withdraw from CWG2021. Good idea, and I hope IOA extends that and entirely withdraws.

Suraj

Well they HAVE chosen what suits them. Here’s an article on the topic within the last 2 weeks:
Time is right: Why India still has 12-16 weeks between Covishield doses

Suraj

I agree, India should skip the Commonwealth Games. Beyond the geopolitical act, it provides nothing useful to India anymore. It overlaps the Asian Games year, and this makes it untenable - athletes can only realistically do one of the two, unless the CWG is in the southern hemisphere as it was in 20...

Suraj

^^ The interval between doses won't be an issue if there is enough production. The interval can be reduced just as it was increased. If the govt keeps paying attention to the numbers, that's what they would do if the daily vaccination numbers start to drop despite availability. The WHO recommended ...

Suraj

Mathematically, they cannot fully vaccinate by end of December. The eligible population is 930 million. 2x is 1860M . Sure maybe 12-17 year olds soon now that Zycov-D is available, but the main point is mathematical - 85% are getting Covishield. To complete second doses by December, the first dose n...

Suraj

Kati wrote:SRK's son got arrested in a drug bust off the coast of Goa.
So what went wrong for the Bhaiwood?

So SRK endorsed pepsi but son prefer coke ?

Suraj

Here are my thoughts on the WHO EUL and Covaxin: * It is true major vaccines mostly had their Phase 3 before they applied for and got EUA * Pfizer was being used in a restricted trial mode before EUA however, just like Covaxin. * Most major vaccines have multiple Phase 3 trials. Bharat Biotech does ...

Suraj

arshyam wrote:In other news, Suraj-san's latest is up at Swarajya: September 2021: When India Moved Its Vaccination Rate To A Different League

Thanks! There's another article coming soon

Suraj

$100B a month is $1.2 trillion total exports, which should be around $850B merchandise + $350B services, or maybe $800B merchandise + $400B services. The $100B number here is just merchandise exports in Q2, with H1 (Q1+Q2) being $197B. Total exports for H1 2021-22 are $310 billion, which gives you a...

Suraj

What is a 'post pandemic boost' ? Are you suggesting this is just a reversion to the mean ? To state data for the comment in the previous post, here's the first half export figure the past five fiscal years: H1 2021-22: $197.29B H1 2020-21: $125.24B H1 2019-20: $159.41B H1 2018-19: $159.56B H1 2017-...

Suraj

It is good to see India counter UK. But would this not affect mostly Indian origin (descent) travelers? It's their job to lobby their own government to fix stupid policy on their part. They chose to be subject to the policy structure of another country, they also have a responsibility to ensure the...

Suraj

The Family serves a very important function in the Congress. The Family provides access to power. And if they gain power, they share the spoils with the satraps (think UPA). And if they are "loyal" enough, they can even become PM ! That's why the G23 still stay in the INC. With most of th...

Suraj

Exports grow 21% in September to hit $33.44 billion September: $33.44B August: $33.28B July: $35.17B Total: $101.89 billion Fiscal year to date (Apr-Sep): $197.29 billion, on track to reach the $400 billion goal for the full FY. This is the first ever quarter with over $100 billion in exports. The ...

Suraj

https://wap.business-standard.com/article-amp/current-affairs/10-day-quarantine-for-all-uk-citizens-arriving-in-india-from-monday-report-121100101026_1.html India does a tit for tat for UK citizens, travelers must isolate even if vaccinated. Not sure how they will enforce or check the day 8 tests. ...

Suraj

Next few days should be good days for vaccinations . The supply with states was siting below 50M for a few days and the number of centers open correspondingly was in the low 60Ks . Today these are up to over 50M and 73k respectively .

Suraj

We're also carrying 50 million doses into October today, so that's about 320-330m baseline supply which should yield a 275M+ figure in October. What will we accomplish in October ? A Laxman (281) ? A Sehwag-lite (293) ? A Sehwah-first (309) ? Could even be a Sehwag-max (319) if Bio-E shows up in the...

Suraj

The likely full month of September performance is 240 million doses done.

Suraj

Sputnik and Sputnik Light are not part of the official procurement system at all. They've only been accessible to private buyers. Presumably even they prefer to access the Covishield or Covaxin supply instead.

Suraj

I haven't seen Pfizer demonstrate the kind of scaling that SII have done. Despite starting earlier, getting enormous financial resources and backing, Pfizer out of two EU and two US plants has produced on par with or less than SII is doing now out of five lines in a single plant in Pune. To date, Pf...

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