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by Deans
14 Jan 2020 09:25
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 838
Views: 83628

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Gerard wrote:Larsen & Toubro was founded by two Danish born engineers Henning Holck-Larsen and Søren Kristian Toubro.


That was pre-Independence. Try applying to immigrate to Denmark (as an Indian) today.
by Deans
13 Jan 2020 11:18
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 838
Views: 83628

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Many such "economists", and other "professionals" are leaving the Modi GOI after realizing it was not a place for time-wasters or where they could pfaff around with gyaan, rather they were expected to deliver tangible outcomes, work around the clock and not chase after becoming ...
by Deans
12 Jan 2020 19:34
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: J&K Union Territory-2019
Replies: 3292
Views: 491512

Re: J&K Union Territory-2019

Very disturbing for a non Kashmiri Muslim officer to be involved. Wonder if he was cultivating assets and was deliberately outed.. If the story is correct, they were not potential assets, but terrorists who should have been shot on sight. It worries me as A DSP is not so senior that he can travel w...
by Deans
12 Jan 2020 11:05
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: J&K Union Territory-2019
Replies: 3292
Views: 491512

Re: J&K Union Territory-2019

J&K DSP Davinder Singh arrested with Hizb terrorists. Looks like there were enough warning signals earlier, right from Afsal Guru time. Hmm...wonder if he was honey trapped or a had converted. https://m.timesofindia.com/india/jk-dsp-arrested-with-two-hizb-terrorists/articleshow/73208006.cms Ver...
by Deans
12 Jan 2020 10:55
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 838
Views: 83628

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

I've spoken to some protesting students in B'lore. None could coherently explain what CAA/NRC were about. While they had liberal views, which their youth entitles them to have, they sheepishly acknowledged that those from the North East protesting with them, were the exact opposite, in that they did...
by Deans
12 Jan 2020 10:10
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: J&K Union Territory-2019
Replies: 3292
Views: 491512

Re: J&K Union Territory-2019

If mobile services & the internet become fundamental human rights, then you can't deny them to prisoners. You can't deny them to terrorists rotting in jails. You can't put any limitations in schools & colleges on mobile phones. You can't put any limitations on mobile phones in the workplace...
by Deans
12 Jan 2020 09:54
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 838
Views: 83628

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Ekalavya, Wanted your insights on this. Even guesstimates are fine: The BIF ecosystem keeps drum-beating this theme that "student/youth protests are raging across the country". Now not being on the ground, and just getting anecdotal reports from 'both sides', with each confirming their bi...
by Deans
12 Jan 2020 09:47
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia News and Discussions
Replies: 1571
Views: 191328

Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Deans, decades of sanctions and embargoes and the disappearing cheap Soviet military suppliers have meant that Iranian military forces’ equipment have become obsolete or inadequate. They can’t even have real military training or they will lose spares they need for an actual war. Their only military...
by Deans
11 Jan 2020 22:41
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: ME wars ..XX: a brave new beginning
Replies: 64
Views: 7059

Re: ME wars ..XX: a brave new beginning

The IN carrier task force in gulf seems to be a measure against Cheen Paki joint naval exercises as much as its a protective measure if things escalate in the gulf. Just curious, don't shoot! How does sending a carrier become a "Measure against" friendly neigbors (I mean friends between t...
by Deans
11 Jan 2020 22:36
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia News and Discussions
Replies: 1571
Views: 191328

Re: West Asia News and Discussions

There seems to be a great deal of incompetence by Iranian air defenses. The aircraft was ascending and flying away from Tehran - just the opposite of what an enemy missile or aircraft would do. The problem may be lack of training of missile crews (which will only be exposed when they actually use th...
by Deans
11 Jan 2020 11:17
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: J&K Union Territory-2019
Replies: 3292
Views: 491512

Re: J&K Union Territory-2019

Deans Ji, End of the day, it is the incompetent fat cats who have been raised on no work but loads of money that are the face of the govt. It will take atleast 4-5 years before you would see a competent administration. Meanwhile internet restrictions are saving lives in Kashmir Post Aug 19, would h...
by Deans
11 Jan 2020 10:02
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Understanding the US - Again
Replies: 4191
Views: 467132

Re: Understanding the US - Again

US Is a net exporter of crude oil even if its only by a small amount. https://www.ft.com/content/9cbba7b0-12dd-11ea-a7e6-62bf4f9e548a The small net export figure is the difference between massive flows of oil in each direction: imports of crude oil and petroleum products averaged 8.668m b/d in Sept...
by Deans
10 Jan 2020 22:30
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: J&K Union Territory-2019
Replies: 3292
Views: 491512

Re: J&K Union Territory-2019

While I am a huge supporter of the govt's initiative on article 370 (my posts would make that clear), I think the continued internet restrictions in Kashmir are now becoming counter-productive and give a convenient issue for critics to beat us with. Development has to be pursued on a war footing. I ...
by Deans
10 Jan 2020 14:43
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: ME wars ..XX: a brave new beginning
Replies: 64
Views: 7059

Re: ME wars ..XX: a brave new beginning

Israel has bombed pro-Iranian militias on Syria-Iraq border 8 members of pro-Iranian Iraqi militia killed in an airstrike in Syria Israel reportedly attacks Syria-Iraq border, thwarts shipment of Iranian ballistic missiles Posted in West Asia News and Discussions thread also The problem with Soleim...
by Deans
10 Jan 2020 14:39
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 838
Views: 83628

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

^^ Gr8 initiative by RBI ! [b]Circular on Video based Customer Identification Soon to be extended to Airports, Train stations, Bus stands and Hospitals. How long before it is deployed on the streets of India via CCTVs? I can just see all the usual suspects protesting that this discriminates against...
by Deans
10 Jan 2020 14:36
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Understanding the US - Again
Replies: 4191
Views: 467132

Re: Understanding the US - Again

The US has vast reserves of shale and those deposits, IIRC, start to become viable when crude prices touch around $60 per barrel. It is shale oil that has effectively unshackled the US from its earlier dependence on gulf oil and shale has also given the amerikis a lot more strategic as well as tact...
by Deans
10 Jan 2020 14:08
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: ME wars ..XX: a brave new beginning
Replies: 64
Views: 7059

Re: ME wars ..XX: a brave new beginning

Doesn't the word "assassin" come from shia sect? Read somewhere that during crusades, they'd consume hash to calm nerves may be, and then indulge in assassinations of their enemies, they were called hashashins or something, the world assassin comes from that. Yes, they were Ismaili - a se...
by Deans
10 Jan 2020 09:54
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Understanding the US - Again
Replies: 4191
Views: 467132

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Oil has not been mentioned much in these threads. The US no longer imports oil any from the middle east. ... I've not seen the 2019 numbers, but 2018 numbers show (per EIA), meaningful imports from KSA and Iraq. The top five source countries of U.S. petroleum imports in 2018 were Canada, Saudi Arab...
by Deans
10 Jan 2020 09:38
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: ME wars ..XX: a brave new beginning
Replies: 64
Views: 7059

Re: ME wars ..XX: a brave new beginning

Certainly no shortage of Sunnis eager for martyrdom. Witness ISIS, Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan, Kashmir, India itself. Sunni Islamists have historically (last 200 years) been our primary antagonist. Pakis are Sunni, of course. Iranians represented the last best hope to keep Sunni Islam from completely...
by Deans
09 Jan 2020 21:17
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia News and Discussions
Replies: 1571
Views: 191328

Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Not really, if you hit anything and god forbid American lives were lost, the regime and some family members could have lost lives. At the same time- the regime can't tell that to the Domestic AUdience, they needed those pics of a large number of missiles taking off, and they are informed there 80 d...
by Deans
09 Jan 2020 11:56
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia News and Discussions
Replies: 1571
Views: 191328

Re: West Asia News and Discussions

The US, from whatever info is available, did not try to intercept any of the missiles. They would almost certainly have been an active SAM battery in all their Iraqi bases, given the state of alert after DS's death and the known capability of Iranian missiles. My guess is that radar would be analyse...
by Deans
09 Jan 2020 09:39
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: ME wars ..XX: a brave new beginning
Replies: 64
Views: 7059

Re: ME wars ..XX: a brave new beginning

Deans, The nuke deal and release of Billion dollars went into the Ayatollah accounts. The people hardly got a trickle down effect. The Iranian budget is opaque. Certainly a large proportion of money released after the nuke deal was signed, was diverted away from people's needs. Some of it has alway...
by Deans
08 Jan 2020 21:52
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: ME wars ..XX: a brave new beginning
Replies: 64
Views: 7059

Re: ME wars ..XX: a brave new beginning

A couple of points: 2. Deans, thx. So Suleimani's gang WAS/IS the force to crush internal dissent? I wasn't aware: I thought he was strictly external soldiering. Given the above it is possible that Suleimani execution was maybe approved by the "moderates" **AND** seen as a way towards new...
by Deans
08 Jan 2020 21:37
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: ME wars ..XX: a brave new beginning
Replies: 64
Views: 7059

Re: ME wars ..XX: a brave new beginning

^ Deans, Since you have lived in Iran, Do you see any tipping point where Aam Abdul will throw away the yoke of Mullahcracy or are they stuck with them till eternity ? What I heard from my connections is that Iranians in private are pretty liberal and are neutral to pro-India. They did not detect a...
by Deans
08 Jan 2020 15:01
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: ME wars ..XX: a brave new beginning
Replies: 64
Views: 7059

Re: ME wars ..XX: a brave new beginning

There's an important point about the internal politics of Iran we need to keep in mind (I used to work in Iran years ago as the country manager). Iran has 2 parallel governments and 2 parallel armed forces. The elected leader and a spiritual leader form the 2 governments. The latter has a council of...
by Deans
08 Jan 2020 14:37
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: ME wars ..XX: a brave new beginning
Replies: 64
Views: 7059

Re: ME wars ..XX: a brave new beginning

Oil has not been mentioned much in these threads. The US no longer imports oil any from the middle east. If Oil prices cross $ 60/ barrel, shale oil from the US starts becoming viable. At $ 70/barrel (where it is now), marginal shale wells go into production, giving a windfall for US producers. The ...
by Deans
08 Jan 2020 11:36
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia News and Discussions
Replies: 1571
Views: 191328

Re: West Asia News and Discussions

^^if there were no amerikhan causualties, is it possible for iranians to go pakis claiming we did it just to show we could? Yes, I guess that's the point. There was no way the regime could no nothing, yet any serious strike would have brought about massive retaliation. They can spin this attack as ...
by Deans
24 Dec 2019 11:52
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: India Border Watch: Security and Operations
Replies: 3508
Views: 606458

Re: India Border Watch: Security and Operations

Check out the picture of the terror launchpad in PoK burning in the Daily Excelsior article below! Its a building complex destroyed and is surrounded by a number of other buildings that look unscathed. It was a precision strike. Though the report says that the surrounding buildings have been cleare...
by Deans
24 Dec 2019 11:47
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 6692
Views: 621134

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Obviously, the electorate is the other side of the coin. If people vote for a fragmented mandate, they will get what they voted for. At the same time, the constant headache of negotiating election alliances and wheeling-dealing with twerps like Uddhav, Nitish, etc inevitably takes a toll on the par...
by Deans
24 Dec 2019 11:32
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 6692
Views: 621134

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

As a BJP supporter (and number cruncher on the economy and elections) what I am most concerned about is that in EVERY state assembly election since 2014, the BJP's vote share has been lower than the previous Lok Sabha election. In Maharashtra, Haryana and now Jharkhand, the vote share was lower by 1...
by Deans
23 Dec 2019 20:05
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: India Border Watch: Security and Operations
Replies: 3508
Views: 606458

Re: India Border Watch: Security and Operations

Is this the same Chawinda where the battle of Chawinda in 1965 took place between India and Pakistan? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Chawinda The area around Chawinda is too densely populated. Heavy Arty firing across the IB, would almost certainly be considered an act of war. It's not a s...
by Deans
19 Dec 2019 20:28
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 6692
Views: 621134

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

The very sad thing here is that no such Act was needed. Just slash the Waiting Time from 11 year to 11 days for minorities of Pak and BD to get accepted as Permanent Legal Residents, with citjenship in 5 saal automatic unless there is some reason not to give them citjenship. Kick baboon butts. In p...
by Deans
09 Dec 2019 10:51
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 6692
Views: 621134

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

It is a pleasure to read news sites like that of Deccan Herald. See the way they are reporting the bye election results :rotfl:. Karnataka Bypoll Results Live: Rizwan Arshad widens lead in Shivajinagar; Narayana Gowda ahead in KR Pet Completely mum on the remaining seats, because the BJP is leading...
by Deans
09 Dec 2019 10:35
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 4453
Views: 840049

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

We don’t need more taxes, but better implementation of existing taxes. I was in India recently for a family wedding (both groom and bride are Fauji children) and was close to the arrangements. The hotels where the wedding and engagement ceremonies were held - all four star hotels - were openly sayi...
by Deans
08 Dec 2019 12:38
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 4453
Views: 840049

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

I have written on the Chinese threat (imports destroying our manufacturing base). The deficit has only increased since 2014 (particularly if you include trade with HK) There are solutions, which are as follows: 1. The problem with anti-dumping duties or raising duties, is that we may lose cases at W...
by Deans
05 Dec 2019 10:38
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: J&K Union Territory-2019
Replies: 3292
Views: 491512

Re: J&K Union Territory-2019



Use the comments section to make your point - I've done so, in reply to one of the Anti-nationals.
by Deans
25 Nov 2019 10:23
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: J&K Union Territory-2019
Replies: 3292
Views: 491512

Re: J&K Union Territory-2019

These days we get news direct from Daily Excelsior, Jammu-Kashmir. About people LIVING their lives in Jammu and Kashmir, not sitting with their thumbs up their asses, holding down the pins of the grenades hidden there. "Ominous Quiet" indeed! And the Chindo repeats the same stuff instead ...
by Deans
23 Nov 2019 12:20
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: J&K Union Territory-2019
Replies: 3292
Views: 491512

Re: J&K Union Territory-2019

Contest of wills. The people will have to tell the terrorists where they get off - or clear out of the area entirely. KM's are like spoilt brats, hoping to blackmail GoI with the shutdowns. Its best to ignore them. If they are determined to screw their own economy by shutting things down, they shou...
by Deans
23 Nov 2019 10:20
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: J&K Union Territory-2019
Replies: 3292
Views: 491512

Re: J&K Union Territory-2019

Train service picking up. I always wanted to go on one of the diesel-engined trains across valleys with snow-capped peaks all round.. Saw the pics in The Railway Story Book someone brought from the Yoo Ess when I was Age 0. I thought I would have to take the trans-Canadian / Rocky Mountains trains,...
by Deans
23 Nov 2019 10:12
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 6692
Views: 621134

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Some implications: 1. SS is finished. They compromised on their core principles for power, which they did not get. They are now just a bunch of street thugs. The winnable candidates will probably defect. DV is probably waiting for street protests to turn violent, so he can arrest some of the SS thug...

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