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by SriKumar
20 Mar 2020 16:29
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7522
Views: 789602

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

A few posts ago were you not complimenting the govt for effective action, and now laissez-affaire? Enforcing quarantine is difficult if people behave like the proverbial Rajinkant. We need guards so no one escapes. Is it possible to have police guards at all facilities? Probably not. Also quarantine...
by SriKumar
20 Mar 2020 08:06
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7522
Views: 789602

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

^^^ So will these lamps (UV-C) be useful in disinfecting, say, Fedex or Amazon packages, or any 'dead' surfaces like plastic, steel etc. If this epidemic continues into Sept. some 'industiral' means other than manual hand-wiping chairs, offices, with tissue will need to be developed.
by SriKumar
20 Mar 2020 07:42
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7522
Views: 789602

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Posters have alluded to the fact that UV light kills microbes. This article (from NAture) says that they authors have successfully used it to kill influenza virus and bacteria. Essentially, it is about using UV lamps to bathe a space in UV light for a specific period of time, to disinfect surfaces, ...
by SriKumar
19 Mar 2020 17:19
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7522
Views: 789602

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Karan M wrote:US will just open the tap to flood pockets with $$.

Was Done in 2008, for 2+ years. Printed 2+ trillion dollars in 'quantitative easing'. Why no inflation followed is a mystery. This OT but willing to continue in appropriate thread- and if so please flag this post.
by SriKumar
19 Mar 2020 04:24
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7522
Views: 789602

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/mumbai-prepares-to-quarantine-26k-indians-coming-from-gulf/articleshow/74701638.cms Even if we are allowing incoming flights, we should stagger it over several weeks so we are not over whelmed with cases. A US returned techie, instead of being in quarantine...
by SriKumar
18 Mar 2020 19:40
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7522
Views: 789602

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Guys again, no one knows what needs to be done and how this virus behaves. All the experts views are not even worth the paper they are written on. The only option is to control people to people contact and even that is not always effective. Governments around the world knows what needs to be done. ...
by SriKumar
17 Mar 2020 06:54
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7522
Views: 789602

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

I want to make just one thing very clear. To anyone with two neurons to fire, its clear that it is the mismanagement of the Chinese Communist Party that is to blame for this dire situation the world finds itself in. The Chinese Communist Party is a menace and the world cooperates with them at their...
by SriKumar
16 Mar 2020 08:18
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7522
Views: 789602

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

bolne ko kuch hai hi nahi saar! A new virus, a new disease , more is unknown than known. Previously we were told it is only killing old people with underlying condition but by now covid19 has claimed lives of young men as well . front line workers & doctors are truly screwed while world is runn...
by SriKumar
16 Mar 2020 07:49
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 7376
Views: 974435

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

^^^I think this sentiment needs to be articulated and emphasized as much as possible, with a megaphone gigaphone if necessary. Make it go viral (poor pun). I still remember the Dokalam time when people were exhorting desis to not buy Chinese, and GOI was putting tarrifs and yet many continued to buy...
by SriKumar
16 Mar 2020 07:19
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7522
Views: 789602

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Coronavirus: More young patients being admitted to hospital, Italian doctor warns https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/coronavirus-italy-update-young-people-hospital-luca-lorini-bergamo-a9402531.html I was wondering how you managed to stay away from this thread for so long, yaar. What's ...
by SriKumar
16 Mar 2020 07:16
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7522
Views: 789602

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

THere is a lesson in here for India. Culturally Italy has similarities with India where traditionally family and friends bonds are strong, and they are relied on, much more so than the government ... SriKumar avargal, While there are similarities, there are also differences which might actually ser...
by SriKumar
16 Mar 2020 01:30
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7522
Views: 789602

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

On "virus survivability on various surfaces", i thought it may been posted earlier on this thread.. https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.09.20033217v2 Yes, I had quickly scanned this paper and noted its findings, particularly that it stays for 12 hours + on steel and Polypropyl...
by SriKumar
15 Mar 2020 23:01
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7522
Views: 789602

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Reading the previous two posts on the Italian context - So the idiots there basically ignored official instructions and went about socializing in restaurants and large family groups. Then they escaped quarantine and romped around the rest of the country. Looks like the youngsters acted recklessly a...
by SriKumar
15 Mar 2020 18:23
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7522
Views: 789602

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Islam does not approve: Four Muslims who returned from Dubai threaten health officials in Karnataka, refuse to undergo Coronavirus test :shock: At a time when the entire world is on edge due to coronavirus outbreak, a shocking incident of recklessness has been reported from Bhatkal town of Karnatak...
by SriKumar
14 Mar 2020 21:34
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7522
Views: 789602

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Today China reported only 11 new cases. I am sure Mr Eleven will be immensely happy. Looks like whatever China did, they did it right. During this month their new case graph is practically flat. Hope we can learn something from them. I know the practices of China will be very difficult to enforce i...
by SriKumar
14 Mar 2020 21:19
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7522
Views: 789602

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

^^^ Yikes. That's a lot of items and lot of logistics that need to be initated and completed. It involves several different departments- cabinet level or otherwise (finance, medical equipment production, medicine production, housing, education, CDC, defense e.g. National Guard etc.) THis is not look...
by SriKumar
14 Mar 2020 17:44
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7522
Views: 789602

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

1. Clearly the Wuhan virus can survive temperatures up to 37-38 degees centigrade. The human body is 36.x C (98.4 F) and fevered humans are 1-2 degees Centigrade warmer. So, there have to be other conditions that kill it at those temperatures, like lack of moisture etc. 2. rrao: If those packages be...
by SriKumar
14 Mar 2020 08:50
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7522
Views: 789602

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

hanumadu- Am digesting Amber.G's post but just to comment here.... my point is that one cannot assume that temperatures will help. Maybe the data may show heat does not affect it much, in which case and people have to be more careful, and a China-scale ICU bed creation may be needed. At large: it is...
by SriKumar
14 Mar 2020 07:40
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7522
Views: 789602

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Let us hope that the heat and warm weather slows down the virus in India. I seriously think GOI (or someone) should perform a study on the effects of temperature (and miosture) on the virus. Is this a difficult (or impossible) test to do? Its survivability times at higher temperatures have to deter...
by SriKumar
13 Mar 2020 20:33
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7522
Views: 789602

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

^^^this 'Stanford' article was debunked on the local news yesterday night. It's fake.
by SriKumar
12 Mar 2020 17:11
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7522
Views: 789602

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

How will the food supply chain hold up as lock downs become more stringent? People can stop going to school and stop going to work, but some body must continue to produce food and transport it around. How are they going to social distance themselves? If they do, what will happen to the rest of the ...
by SriKumar
12 Mar 2020 16:47
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7522
Views: 789602

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Meanwhile: Nice article about how long the virus survives on various surfaces..(National Institute of Health paper) Tests show new virus lives on some surfaces for up to 3 days The new coronavirus can live in the air for several hours and on some surfaces for as long as two to three days, tests by ...
by SriKumar
09 Mar 2020 05:25
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7522
Views: 789602

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

1. Does anyone know how does a self-quarantine work? So, one guy shows symptoms and is asked to self-quarantine, but is not tested. He's infecting his home (i.e. spouse, kids, chimney cleaner) with whatever he is sick with. So now, does the quarantine automatically quarantine the family members in t...
by SriKumar
08 Mar 2020 11:26
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7522
Views: 789602

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Now to really test your skill, could you come up with an English language rhyme for "Wuhan?" Or just complete this Limerick, which I started for you below :mrgreen: There was once a virus in Wuhan.... I started the above, then went *oops* :oops: so now I'm relying on you to finish it. So,...
by SriKumar
07 Mar 2020 20:34
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7522
Views: 789602

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

So the initial reassuring "facts" which were being posted to scare people don't seem to be true anymore. 1. This virus spreads through the air Since you write, I thought I'd point out an interesting use of phrases 'reassuring facts' and 'to scare people' ....seemed a bit of a contradictio...
by SriKumar
06 Mar 2020 22:38
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7522
Views: 789602

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Lack of air conditioning is definitely a plus. Places with centralized a/c will be problematic.
Metro trains too have ducted air handling.

Single units attached to a room may be ok.
by SriKumar
02 Mar 2020 08:09
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Physics Discussion Thread
Replies: 2667
Views: 160853

Re: Physics Discussion Thread

The position of Venus* in the sky seems a bit unusual last few days/weeks. It hangs around and is visible (near the moon) for much longer in the night sky than what I've seen in the past- for hours. It also seems a bit bigger than what I can recall. Is it closer to earth the last few days? (* the br...
by SriKumar
01 Mar 2020 01:20
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7522
Views: 789602

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

^^^ I am just using one of the several figures being bandied about. I should have used the figure 2.1% which did not change for several weeks (!). These are all hawaa-hawaai (airy fairy) statistics. Per the Stratcepts report that the yakherder linked, I see a number of 5.72% in Wuhan (with the 2 wee...
by SriKumar
29 Feb 2020 20:17
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7522
Views: 789602

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Could someone post a similar graphic of Death Rate by Age in a normal February due to HumanAgingVirus (H1A1V1)? My understanding is that ppl above 80 tend to die of old age a lot more frequently than ppl in their 20s. In fact that chart looked pretty-much like the GUESS Normalized Population Death ...
by SriKumar
29 Feb 2020 11:06
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7522
Views: 789602

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

https://pubs.rsna.org/doi/10.1148/radiol.2020200642 This study has the actual numbers in a clear form in figure 1. OF the 1014 patients, 105 showed neither +ve RT-PCR nor +ve CT. So these should not be counted amoung the coronoavius infected crowd (it is -ve per 2 criteria). So the total of coroniav...
by SriKumar
29 Feb 2020 07:53
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7522
Views: 789602

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

A Short comment: (For scientists ) Sensitivity of PCR type tests kits (US and other ones) is quite low (in the range of about 75% according to latest data) - Scientifically this means that a negative result may not be that reliable (it misses quite a lot). According to latest data, CT scan, when pr...
by SriKumar
29 Feb 2020 06:24
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7522
Views: 789602

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

https://www.cnn.com/2020/02/28/health/coronavirus-us-updates-california-patient/index.html New coronavirus case in California is thought to be second through community transmission By Christina Maxouris, Dakin Andone and Jamie Gumbrecht, CNN Fri February 28, 2020 An older adult woman from Californi...
by SriKumar
28 Feb 2020 23:22
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 5023
Views: 914518

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

^^^ Erh, the biggest financial news for the month or so has been the shutdown of the chini economy from the virus. Are there any articles that talk less in generalities and mention atleast a few specifics. Things like the working capacity of factories in Hubei in JAn and Feb 2020 (relative to 2019)...
by SriKumar
23 Feb 2020 18:04
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 7376
Views: 974435

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

No contest there, the jehadis understand him very clearly. MP Asadududin need not say or do anything more than what he has already said and done. His own brother MLA Akbaruddin Owaisi made the public statement in 2013 about what Muslims could do to 100 crore Hindus if police were removed from the st...
by SriKumar
23 Feb 2020 17:36
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 7376
Views: 974435

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

THen why did he try to shut her down. (And please go easy on the sarcasm). Her invitation was deliberate clearly, but what she said was not what he wanted heard, with him on the podium. Check out the video. taquiya onlee. The rallying cry of paki zindabad is very important to them. It has to be sai...
by SriKumar
23 Feb 2020 17:13
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 7376
Views: 974435

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

THen why did he try to shut her down. (And please go easy on the sarcasm).
Her invitation was deliberate clearly, but what she said was not what he wanted heard, with him on the podium. Check out the video.
by SriKumar
23 Feb 2020 17:11
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 7376
Views: 974435

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

^^^ EXactly. They have taken over public spaces, that too, related to traveling and commuting. This is way beyond a protest at this point and into the realm of disruption. I dont know if the Jafferabad station is even partly functional at this point. THat is, can any commuter get and get out of trai...
by SriKumar
23 Feb 2020 16:52
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 7376
Views: 974435

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

The woman, identified as Amulya Leona ( Noronha ), asked people to shout with her "Pakistan Zindabad" thrice after the organisers of the event under the banner of "Save Constitution" invited her to address the gathering soon after Owaisi came on the stage. But the woman was adam...
by SriKumar
19 Feb 2020 11:03
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 7376
Views: 974435

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

All very plausible but go easy on the hyperbole about seemingly ignoring part.
by SriKumar
19 Feb 2020 10:40
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 7376
Views: 974435

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

THe part about planting Kasab's identity as some student DInesh ABC from Arunodaya College in Hyderabad or Hyattabad does not make much sense. Police would follow up and investigate the ARunodaya college friends and his class teachers, and his hostel mates and neighbors; and no one would recognize ...

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