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by Deans
16 Apr 2022 23:11
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics
Replies: 1204
Views: 477664

Re: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics

Brar - this is the combination that will see more employment- tactical drones and long range artillery interdiction. We used to work with a effective horizon of 4-5 km. Even if that grows to 10-15 km the role of heavy guns combined with precision strike ammunition expands significantly, especially ...
by Deans
16 Apr 2022 18:54
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics
Replies: 1204
Views: 477664

Re: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics

Coverage from Russian channels in the past 2 days: 1. Air & missile strikes on Kiev & Kharkiv along with oil refineries and armaments plants. Lot of fires raging & explosions in real time. 2. Flag planted in the centre of Mariupol. RA says the city is taken barring the last holdouts at t...
by Deans
16 Apr 2022 18:43
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics
Replies: 1204
Views: 477664

Re: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics

Tom Clancy indeed :) The Moskva was preventing the evacuation of the NATO senior command trapped at Mariupol and had to go! No doubt about it... Jokes apart, if the Ukrainians took it out using a Neptune then they ran a superb operation and are to be complimented on it. An accident should not be di...
by Deans
14 Apr 2022 19:26
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics
Replies: 1204
Views: 477664

Re: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics

While there have been reports of Russian almost 40k soldiers being put out of battle due to various reasons, like death,captured or injury. Is there any real estimates of Ukrainians? One of largest armies in Europe is now looking for reinforcements means that many have been wiped out, but no genuin...
by Deans
14 Apr 2022 16:03
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics
Replies: 1204
Views: 477664

Re: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics

This will hurt in propaganda terms and military terms. Seems the Ukrainian Navy pulled off a brilliant operation. The Russians had a 16 ship task force deployed off the coast of Syria AFTER the Ukraine war started. I don't see why they could not have moved this group to the Black sea before the war...
by Deans
14 Apr 2022 15:47
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics
Replies: 1204
Views: 477664

Re: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics

I remember reading something thing by Ravi Rikhiya about operation brasstacks and the breakdown or armour due to length of deployment in the field. He was reporting that nearly 50 % of the armour had broken down by the time the excercise ended. As Shiv mentioned, tanks will break down at some point...
by Deans
14 Apr 2022 09:35
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics
Replies: 1204
Views: 477664

Re: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics

Speculation that Crimea could start coming under Tochka and Drone attacks with Moskva which was providing area air defense gone. Also speculation in Russia that Ukrainian forces near Sumy may attack across the border into Russia (probably company sized raids). This will have significant propaganda ...
by Deans
13 Apr 2022 08:18
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Eastern Europe/Ukraine [Feb 6th 2015]
Replies: 5804
Views: 958645

Re: Eastern Europe/Ukraine [Feb 6th 2015]

Deans ji great overview of the Russian army backup manpower but I did not follow that one point below ….The estimate is that 250,000 conscripts * 3 years, gives a reserve pool of 750,000 men. ….. Where’s that 250,000 number coming from? Baikul ji, The conscript numbers are like this: There are appr...
by Deans
12 Apr 2022 20:08
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Eastern Europe/Ukraine [Feb 6th 2015]
Replies: 5804
Views: 958645

Re: Eastern Europe/Ukraine [Feb 6th 2015]

UkrA has had over 6 weeks now (after years of Donbass conflict) to create defensive structures, lay mines and position their forces and concentrate remaining equipment in the Kramatorsk cauldron. I'd expect that excepting the troops that are guarding Kyiv and Odessa, nearly all the rest is now in t...
by Deans
12 Apr 2022 19:11
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics
Replies: 1204
Views: 477664

Re: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics

X posted from the main Ukraine thread. It's actually Russia that may be facing a manpower shortage. Russia reduced conscription in 2008, to just 12 months, More importantly, only about 20% of the eligible population are conscripted. That's because Russia has intended for the last 10 years, to more t...
by Deans
12 Apr 2022 19:07
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Eastern Europe/Ukraine [Feb 6th 2015]
Replies: 5804
Views: 958645

Re: Eastern Europe/Ukraine [Feb 6th 2015]

Ukraine is now releasing prisoners in Kharkov and other eastern cities, giving them arms and forming battalions to defend these cities, to supplement UkrA. They have done this already at the start of this conflict in and around Kyiv. No one knows how efficient they were, but Ukr is scraping the bot...
by Deans
10 Apr 2022 19:06
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics
Replies: 1204
Views: 477664

Re: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics

This is helpful. I completely agree that the number of tanks is so low that losing 2/3 to enemy action would make a commander very fearful. Added to that is the structure of a BTG. Tanks and IFVs should be at the FEBA. Heavy artillery and MBRLs should be 5-20 km behind - how do you manage command i...
by Deans
10 Apr 2022 13:30
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics
Replies: 1204
Views: 477664

Re: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics

Deans if you can find out more about how the BTGs have actually fared in combat where securing the flanks when armr is moving along a narrow front. BTGs if I recollect have a lot of firepower but are low on infantry so while then can bring to bear fire power from depth could struggle if the enemy i...
by Deans
10 Apr 2022 11:01
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Eastern Europe/Ukraine [Feb 6th 2015]
Replies: 5804
Views: 958645

Re: Eastern Europe/Ukraine [Feb 6th 2015]

After losing so much combat power and the humiliation of their rushed withdrawal from north Ukraine, can the Russians still take Donbas or keep their land bridge and water supply to Crimea? What's to stop the Ukrainians from simply pausing to build up manpower and western arms, and then attack at a...
by Deans
10 Apr 2022 10:36
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics
Replies: 1204
Views: 477664

Re: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics

Thanks, the engagement in this video happened exactly as I imagined. But in many videos I did not see it happen, so got very confused. Russian army is heavy on armored and artillery firepower. They use fire power to clear the path for infantry. A Russian army division will have 3 brigades with two ...
by Deans
09 Apr 2022 21:46
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics
Replies: 1204
Views: 477664

Re: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics

The average no of sorties was 200 till around 21st Mar, then increased to 300. 15 of the 19 fixed wing losses were in the first 2 weeks. (4 aircraft lost for the last 6000 sorties). As a comparison, the IAF lost 45 aircraft over 6000 sorties in 1971. Israeli losses in 1973 were 1 per 100 sorties. U...
by Deans
09 Apr 2022 20:22
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics
Replies: 1204
Views: 477664

Re: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics

I believe average sorties was 250 over past two month and that includes I believe stand off attacks. Regardless that seems low when the Russians were focused on all of Ukraine (might be ok if focus is just Donetsk), to put into perspective IAF was doing 100 during for Kargil. As for aviation losses...
by Deans
09 Apr 2022 10:20
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics
Replies: 1204
Views: 477664

Re: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics

^^^^ While the analyst above makes some good points, I think he is misunderstanding the role of the VKS in this conflict. Going by the number of sorties, types of armaments being carried, etc., it seems that the VKS is not trying to establish complete air dominance over Ukraine, but are only provid...
by Deans
09 Apr 2022 09:44
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics
Replies: 1204
Views: 477664

Re: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics

Ukraine is the largest country in Europe after Russia. Western Ukraine shares a 500+ km border with Poland and hundreds of km of additional border with Slovakia, and Romania. There are not enough Russian troops in Ukraine to effectively close all land or river routes (they've removed most if not al...
by Deans
09 Apr 2022 09:38
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics
Replies: 1204
Views: 477664

Re: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics

The CO knows many of the tanks are not battle worthy. If his crews abandon tanks, he might be able to show it as loss due to enemy action (because he didn't get air support, or infantry did not arrive to cover them for AGTMs etc), rather than admit it was poor maintenance. Are Russian rank and file...
by Deans
08 Apr 2022 14:40
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics
Replies: 1204
Views: 477664

Re: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics

On Russian losses https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-61033173 Sachin - would be very keen to know of the IA approach to top attack munitions and how to guard against them? Secondly the combination of Elint, satellite imagery and drones take battlefield awareness to a different level altogether. ...
by Deans
08 Apr 2022 13:09
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics
Replies: 1204
Views: 477664

Re: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics

Most heavy duty diesel engines in cold climates in the West are started with the help of an APU, typically diesel powered APU (or same fuel as used in the main engine) which because of it's small size can be started with the large batteries that are on board the tank/large sized truck etc, even if ...
by Deans
07 Apr 2022 11:53
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics
Replies: 1204
Views: 477664

Re: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics

Some points from the 2 most followed Russian analysts on youtube. (analysis and viewer comments). Russia does not have the numbers. People expect conscripts and reservists to be called up. Possibly a reported attack on a Russian border post near Belgorod yesterday can be the legal pretext to deploy ...
by Deans
06 Apr 2022 20:57
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics
Replies: 1204
Views: 477664

Re: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics

Absolutely- took us 2 years to learn how to operate T72s in Ladakh. Cold plays havoc with tanks. The T72s made in Russia often have another problem - spare parts designed and made in one factory won’t fit properly a T72 made in a different factory or even made 10 years later in the same factory. Ma...
by Deans
06 Apr 2022 08:54
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics
Replies: 1204
Views: 477664

Re: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics

^^^ Reported estimates are that Russia deployed about 75% of it's army into Ukraine i.e. 120 of the available 160 Battalion Tactical Groups (BTGs). So there was not much left in reserve. Also the ratio of conscripts to volunteers in the Russian army is about 1:2 with all the downsides that a large ...
by Deans
06 Apr 2022 08:20
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics
Replies: 1204
Views: 477664

Re: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics

I had posted on Russia's ORBAT earlier. I have refined that info. X posting from the main Ukraine thread: Organisation: Russia has 5 military districts. 1 of these (North) has a negligible ground force. The Central district has just 2 divisions worth of army. The other 3 Military districts have 2 to...
by Deans
05 Apr 2022 21:32
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Eastern Europe/Ukraine [Feb 6th 2015]
Replies: 5804
Views: 958645

Re: Eastern Europe/Ukraine [Feb 6th 2015]

A summary of Russia's order of battle (ORBAT) for this war, as far as I can make out: …. Excellent work Deans ji. So I’m guessing that current predictions are that the western military district forces being pulled back from Kyiv/Sumy/ Chernihiv will reinforce the eastern Donbas front. There are als...
by Deans
05 Apr 2022 21:19
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics
Replies: 1204
Views: 477664

Re: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics

Besides casualties, in barely a month they have lost 425 Tanks out of 2,685 or 15% of their active inventory! Very concerning due to IA over-reliance on T-90s :( Sources: 1. https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack-on-europe-documenting-equipment.html 2. https://www.israeldefense.co.il/en/node/...
by Deans
05 Apr 2022 21:09
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics
Replies: 1204
Views: 477664

Re: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics

In the current fighting, its divisions have taken high casualties. More disturbing, for an elite formation, it has a high number of abandoned tanks, pointing to either poor maintenance, or scared crews abandoning them. Their withdrawal from Kiev seems to be a shambles. I don't think they planned on...
by Deans
05 Apr 2022 16:45
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Eastern Europe/Ukraine [Feb 6th 2015]
Replies: 5804
Views: 958645

Re: Eastern Europe/Ukraine [Feb 6th 2015]

More and more videos emerging of UkrA soldiers beating, touring and killing Ukrainians they think have sympathised with RA. Possession of RA food rations that were handed out by withdrawing RA forces is enough to get you killed now. Several clips from Russian TV where Ukie POW's confess to these th...
by Deans
05 Apr 2022 09:27
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics
Replies: 1204
Views: 477664

Re: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics

The one event which has changed my opinion of Russia's performance, is the record of its 1st Guards Tank Army, operating to the East of Kiev (Sumy-Cherniv region). This is supposedly Russia's most elite formation - in its old Avatar in WW2, it fought constantly from Stalingrad to Berlin, without bei...
by Deans
05 Apr 2022 09:08
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Eastern Europe/Ukraine [Feb 6th 2015]
Replies: 5804
Views: 958645

Re: Eastern Europe/Ukraine [Feb 6th 2015]

This Bucha massacre looks very bad for Russia. I'm not going by Western media reports, I'm going by Indian TV reports (Arnab's channel, Republic TV). These are Indian journalists reporting, and the facts are clear: dozens (maybe hundreds) of civilians have been massacred, murdered in cold blood, sh...
by Deans
05 Apr 2022 09:00
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Eastern Europe/Ukraine [Feb 6th 2015]
Replies: 5804
Views: 958645

Re: Eastern Europe/Ukraine [Feb 6th 2015]

A summary of Russia's order of battle (ORBAT) for this war, as far as I can make out: Organisation : A Military district has 2 to 3 Combined Arms Armies. Each CAA usually has 2-3 divisions and 2 brigades of Artillery. Southern Military district: 58th, 8th and 49th Army + 1 airborne division and 1 Na...
by Deans
04 Apr 2022 21:25
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Eastern Europe/Ukraine [Feb 6th 2015]
Replies: 5804
Views: 958645

Re: Eastern Europe/Ukraine [Feb 6th 2015]

Russians took Kherson in 6 days - a city that’s roughly jald the size of Mariupol in terms of area and population. But the siege of Mariupol has lasted 40 days so far. So urban fighting difficulties aside, there are always local conditions. Mariupol is extraordinary in the context of this war. The ...
by Deans
04 Apr 2022 21:20
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Eastern Europe/Ukraine [Feb 6th 2015]
Replies: 5804
Views: 958645

Re: Eastern Europe/Ukraine [Feb 6th 2015]

I follow Russian channels on a daily basis and post some of my comments on the other (tactics) thread. The average Russian has a good understanding of Military operations and all TV channels have embedded reporters, so there is a lot of real time combat footage and not much of human interest stories...
by Deans
04 Apr 2022 20:53
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch
Replies: 7945
Views: 2240967

Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

A question to gurus, do the proceeds from fauji foundation go to Pakistani state exchequer or does it end up in Generals pockets? To the extent that taxes are paid, that money goes to the exchequer. However, if the Fauji foundation did not exist, the same goods & services would be sold by compa...
by Deans
04 Apr 2022 14:14
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch
Replies: 7945
Views: 2240967

Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

[ A detailed book has already been written on the subject Military Inc.: Inside Pakistan's Military Economy by Ayesha Siddiqa there may(?) be two editions so, if interested, make sure to get the latest one if anyone is interested: https://www.amazon.in/Military-Inc-Inside-Pakistans-Economy/dp/07453...
by Deans
04 Apr 2022 09:22
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics
Replies: 1204
Views: 477664

Re: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics

Mort ji has a point. If RA is taking losses and lot of hardship by being careful to avoid civilian casualties then they should milk it 100x with savvy media management and info war. If they aren't doing it and still getting blamed for real and fake incidents, then whats the need to be careful? If t...
by Deans
03 Apr 2022 09:17
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics
Replies: 1204
Views: 477664

Re: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics

^^^The BBC is not a reliable source. Ukr forces, particularly the Azov battalions have used ambulances, hospitals, schools and other public areas as staging, retreat and ammo/weapons storage areas. Mariupol residents were given ample time to evacuate. There is extensive damage but there was no othe...
by Deans
02 Apr 2022 15:28
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics
Replies: 1204
Views: 477664

Re: Russian / Ukranian Combat Tactics

Russian sites also show that the Russian army has given up ground East and West of Kiev. I can understand some units moving to another sector of the front (not easy in practice) or moving back to refit and regroup. However, it does not mean hard won ground should be given up. There may not have been...