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by devesh
23 Jun 2016 21:10
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Tracking India's Admission into International Groups & Bodies
Replies: 754
Views: 155461

Re: Tracking India's Admission into International Groups

Also, Austria, Ireland, Newzealand: all of them are US munnas. if US really wanted, they could have easily gotten these munnas to fall in line.

my take: US is playing games. and PRC is in on it.
by devesh
23 Jun 2016 21:08
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Tracking India's Admission into International Groups & Bodies
Replies: 754
Views: 155461

Re: Tracking India's Admission into International Groups

The fact that multiple BRICS countries opposed entry to NSG should tell us something. For India, the only relationship that absolutely matters in Eurasia is India-Russia.

all else is hot air. we've seen a practical demonstration of it. hopefully the "analysts" get real from now on.
by devesh
09 Jun 2016 22:30
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II
Replies: 4037
Views: 501309

Re: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II

success is a bad teacher, failure is a better teacher but do not have too many failures. what is happening in the world vs a vs India is reason for happiness but also a great reason for worry. If the western powers decide that instead of China India will be the world,s factory even if partially chi...
by devesh
09 Jun 2016 06:43
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II
Replies: 4037
Views: 501309

Re: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II

But ultimately, in any US-India-PRC triangle, Russia is the wild card. vis-a-vis Russia vs China: 1. China poses a threat to Russia due to Russia's increasingly weak demographic profile. But I think given the level of centuries-long Russian cultural and political influence in CAR and the broader Rus...
by devesh
09 Jun 2016 06:21
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II
Replies: 4037
Views: 501309

Re: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II

USA wants neither PRC nor India to collapse. they ideally want the both to constantly keep at each other without either achieving decisive superiority over the other. Over the past decade, PRC's influence within Russian near-abroad in CAR has grown exponentially. and PRC's meddling in Pak/Afg is ope...
by devesh
08 Jun 2016 16:19
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II
Replies: 4037
Views: 501309

Re: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II

when we eventually see American military assets on Indian military bases used for ops in various American theaters, we can be sure that "India has arrived." A glorious "rise" for sure: what else is the definition of super-powerdom but to be a military vassal of a foreign power wh...
by devesh
07 Jun 2016 08:39
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Levant crisis - III
Replies: 12253
Views: 1960627

Re: Levant crisis - III

Singha,

+1. your analysis is a valuable addition. battlefield tactical management adds a dose of reality on how this conflict is being conducted. thank you.
by devesh
07 Jun 2016 08:23
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Sahel-Maghreb-coastal africa : news and discussions
Replies: 62
Views: 10463

Re: Sahel-Maghreb-coastal africa : news and discussions

http://www.africanews.com/2016/06/04/chinese-military-team-in-mali-to-gather-intelligence-after-terrorist-attack/ Chinese military team in Mali to gather intelligence after terrorist attack Chinese military envoys are in Mali to gather intelligence and assist in recovery works following a terrorist ...
by devesh
07 Jun 2016 08:06
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Levant crisis - III
Replies: 12253
Views: 1960627

Re: Levant crisis - III

http://warontherocks.com/2016/06/how-ahrar-al-sham-has-come-to-define-the-kaleidoscope-of-the-syrian-civil-war/ HOW AHRAR AL-SHAM HAS COME TO DEFINE THE KALEIDOSCOPE OF THE SYRIAN CIVIL WAR SAM HELLER JUNE 6, 2016 It is surely a sign of the bizarre circumstance in which we find ourselves today that ...
by devesh
23 May 2016 06:53
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II
Replies: 4037
Views: 501309

Re: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II

I am with the pessimists when it comes to USA's coddling of Pakistan. USA/UK will continue to support Pak till the bitter end. Modi must be negotiating with USA persistently, based on his frequent visits. But in the end, I don't think USA's support for Pak will end. Look at things from America's PO...
by devesh
23 May 2016 01:53
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II
Replies: 4037
Views: 501309

Re: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II

I am with the pessimists when it comes to USA's coddling of Pakistan. USA/UK will continue to support Pak till the bitter end. Modi must be negotiating with USA persistently, based on his frequent visits. But in the end, I don't think USA's support for Pak will end.
by devesh
20 May 2016 09:21
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Re: US strike options on TSP
Replies: 2412
Views: 248403

Re: Understanding the US-2

Again I don't understand why this thread is turning into a campaigning spot for either candidate. Is that part of "understanding US"?
by devesh
09 May 2016 00:05
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Re: US strike options on TSP
Replies: 2412
Views: 248403

Re: Understanding the US-2

so, let's stop campaigning for one candidate or the other. the thread's topic is "understanding" US. not lobbying for a side in elections.
by devesh
01 May 2016 14:05
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Re: US strike options on TSP
Replies: 2412
Views: 248403

Re: Understanding the US-2

Trump's VP pick will be just as unpredictable as he's so far been.
by devesh
28 Apr 2016 05:40
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Re: US strike options on TSP
Replies: 2412
Views: 248403

Re: Understanding the US-2

meanwhile, every "analyst" and "expert" is busy slamming Trump's speech. I don't think they realize: the more they heap their bombastic criticism on him, the more his appeal spreads.
by devesh
28 Apr 2016 04:58
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Re: US strike options on TSP
Replies: 2412
Views: 248403

Re: Understanding the US-2

I think at this point Trump is pretty much the nominee. if the RNC does any harakiri, it will be the unraveling of the Republican Party. He comprehensively crushed Cruz and Kasich in the Northeast. and he's probably going to replicate this victory in California.

It will be Trump vs. Clinton.
by devesh
22 Apr 2016 14:22
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II
Replies: 4037
Views: 501309

Re: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II

Now the degree and nature of that support is a matter of debate. Unless the country in question is a treaty ally, US wouldn't militarily participate in the conflict. But in India's case, for example, one can be fairly sure that supplies of weapons & munitions (from US stocks) as well as militar...
by devesh
22 Apr 2016 14:16
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II
Replies: 4037
Views: 501309

Re: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II

^^ My point is that even with Japan where US has a formal defense treaty and is committed to come to Japanese aid, they have been fairly non-committal to the point that in response to growing concerns, Obama had to clarify in 2015 that US was committed to come to Japan's aid in the event of a confr...
by devesh
22 Apr 2016 14:10
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II
Replies: 4037
Views: 501309

Re: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II

>>I'm quite sure almost everybody believes that. American BRFites (like TSJ & GWelch) strongly believe that. And not just India, any country being invaded by, or otherwise in conflict with China would receive US support. :lol: :lol: I'm glad somebody took the time to post the appropriate respon...
by devesh
22 Apr 2016 14:08
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: US and PRC relationship & India
Replies: 2030
Views: 342468

Re: US and PRC relationship & India

What the writer didn't understand is logic strategy for any govt in power in Kabul is to seek India to survive. This was the way since Ashoka was the governor of Peshawar. Kabul comes back to the mother civilization always when lost. It has the direction finder. I'm sorry but when has Kabul "c...
by devesh
19 Apr 2016 23:01
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II
Replies: 4037
Views: 501309

Re: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II

Viv S wrote:Yeah. Sorry forgot the link.

http://www.economist.com/news/asia/2169 ... itable-boy
I'm sorry but why pollute this forum with your fantasies of being "wooed" and compared to a woman who needs "a boy "....
by devesh
19 Apr 2016 06:59
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: The Islamic State, the Indian Sub-Continent & its Neighbourhood
Replies: 905
Views: 188669

Re: The Islamic State in the Indian Sub-Continent

^^^
NIA is writing letters to PRC asking for their help in fighting Jihadis....Indian Babudom. no point in even commiserating anymore.
by devesh
19 Apr 2016 06:56
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II
Replies: 4037
Views: 501309

Re: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II

we are falling hook, line, and sinker for this American baiting. I can only hope we are not being led by the nose to the gallows.
by devesh
15 Apr 2016 07:15
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II
Replies: 4037
Views: 501309

Re: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II

Clearly, Modi seeks to transform India from being merely an influential entity into one whose weight and preferences are defining for international politics. While this desire is laudable, it appears that India’s climb to great power status will take time. Although contemporary projections of globa...
by devesh
15 Apr 2016 07:04
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II
Replies: 4037
Views: 501309

Re: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II

Guys, there are US naval bases in Djibouti (Camp Lemonnier), Kenya (Manda Bay), Kuwait Naval Base, Fujairah Naval Base, Jebel Ali - and I'll bet there are in Saudi as well. If you are saying that such access is useless, then that's a different story altogether. it is naivete to think India will eve...
by devesh
13 Apr 2016 08:11
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Afghanistan News & Discussion
Replies: 3997
Views: 620354

Re: Afghanistan News & Discussion

^^^ the continued fighting even in winter is a sign of their confidence in their position. remember, Abdali's final campaign in India (the one which proved disastrous to Marathas) lasted almost an year-and-half. before that, it was always raids/rape/pillaging in winter and Spring, and retreat back a...
by devesh
13 Apr 2016 07:56
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II
Replies: 4115
Views: 444045

Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Eagle ahowed up in al rai with a a10 but fsa lost all gained in two weeks in two days and back to atart line Ambitious plans to race sdf to jatablous in tatters So long as jn is a huge threat in west, isis has a free run in east. Saa has no resources to fight both at high intensity in parallel. And...
by devesh
13 Apr 2016 07:38
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Re: US strike options on TSP
Replies: 2412
Views: 248403

Re: Understanding the US-2

^^^
except the fact that these "internal" elections inevitably ensure a certain type of candidate is only allowed to rise to the nomination, purposefully ensuring that those who don't have "establishment" support are thrown out.

it's an interesting model, for sure.
by devesh
11 Apr 2016 11:22
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Islamism & Islamophobia Abroad - News & Analysis (9-8-2014)
Replies: 4147
Views: 885813

Re: Islamism & Islamophobia Abroad - News & Analysis (9-8-20

An interesting article on Global Islamism and how it's been responding to Egypt's political transitions in the past several years. Egypt is an important center in the Islamic mind. While the Caliphate and "core" Islamism of the Turkey-Gulf axis receives a lot of focus, similar attention is...
by devesh
05 Apr 2016 11:09
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: The Islamic State, the Indian Sub-Continent & its Neighbourhood
Replies: 905
Views: 188669

Re: The Islamic State in the Indian Sub-Continent

Lessons from Europe’s amnesia - MK. Narayanan, The Hindu Given this, India cannot remain complacent that it will remain unaffected by the IS as it is heir to a unique civilisational heritage. In December 2015, the IS issued a manifesto which claimed India as part of the Islamic Caliphate. It referr...
by devesh
05 Apr 2016 10:55
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II
Replies: 4037
Views: 501309

Re: India-US Relations : News and Discussion- II

MMS was atleast kept in check by unknown Hawks among babus and upa cabinet. Seems to be no checks and balances now. If no agni5 test happens for next 6 months we can be 100% certain it has been sold out as a cbm "the empire strikes back". goes to show that even Namo/BJP are not immune fro...
by devesh
07 Mar 2016 11:39
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
Replies: 10352
Views: 2274196

Re: Managing Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)

Joint Patrols, co-development of 5th-gen engine.....this is all empty talk. Any of those seriously strategic moves will ONLY come to fruition IF AND ONLY IF India has full freedom of maneuvering in Pak. In other words, Pak is not longer the faithful munna which is obliged by the USA and its allies. ...
by devesh
03 Mar 2016 12:15
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Re: US strike options on TSP
Replies: 2412
Views: 248403

Re: Understanding the US-2

If Hillary gets nomination >>> one demographic group where Democrats historically have an advantage -- people under age 30 -- will simply sit home and watch election night with popcorn and drinks. Hillary's chance was in 2008. Obama took it away. she is unlikely to win if Trump gets Rep nomination. ...
by devesh
03 Mar 2016 12:10
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Re: US strike options on TSP
Replies: 2412
Views: 248403

Re: Understanding the US-2

yes strange as it sounds the Dems were the party of the south (incl the slave owning class) and the Repubs were of the more industrialized, non slavery north. at some point the earths magnetic poles toggled and they swapped sides. abraham lincoln was republican. Nixon's "southern strategy"...
by devesh
07 Feb 2016 02:43
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Future Strategic Scenario for the Indian Subcontinent -III
Replies: 104
Views: 17883

Re: Future Strategic Scenario for the Indian Subcontinent -I

even now, the rise of Christian belligerence in India is actually resulting in an opposite polarization among Hindus. I have personally seen Hindu religious orgs adopting more direct approaches in how they deal with it. a prominent Swamiji in the South recently told his flock that "we must lear...
by devesh
07 Feb 2016 02:36
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Future Strategic Scenario for the Indian Subcontinent -III
Replies: 104
Views: 17883

Re: Future Strategic Scenario for the Indian Subcontinent -I

Partition of India removed the most disturbing elements in India's body politic - muslim separatists. If those people had been pat of post-independent India, then e would have been a fragile country. So partition truncated the nation physically, but strengthened its identity. Inclusion of parts fro...
by devesh
26 Jan 2016 11:44
Forum: Strategic & Security Issues Archive
Topic: Intelligence and National Security Discussion
Replies: 979
Views: 246168

Re: Intelligence and National Security Discussion

where is @dikgaj/brihaspati when you need him? long ago in my lurker form I first came across his modeling of the Indian State. in the intervening 6 years, events and revelations continue to add data points which support that premise.
by devesh
06 Jan 2016 05:49
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: India's Retaliation Options to significant terrorist strikes
Replies: 1228
Views: 274362

Re: India's Retaliation Options to significant terrorist str

our incessant fear of "capital assets" will be our undoing. we are not the first losers in history who were worried about "economic growth" in the face of a relentless enemy. right from Carthage down to all the catastrophic defeats faced by us in the last 1200 years, all of them ...
by devesh
06 Jan 2016 05:42
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II
Replies: 4115
Views: 444045

Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

if Christianity could conquer Europe, not far fetched to imagine Islam doing so. imperialisms emanating from the Mediterranean have had a way of crushing European resistance. foolishly, they even allowed an Islamic protectorate inside their borders, and even celebrate it as a "victory" (ko...