Search found 4392 matches

by RoyG
17 Jun 2023 19:49
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Kaveri & Aero-Engine: News & Discussion
Replies: 6378
Views: 2071879

Re: Kaveri & Aero-Engine: News & Discussion

What is interesting about the whole Kaveri issue is we clearly have the funds and talent but we can’t seem to translate these ingredients into critical tech advancements. In my view, what is missing are incentives, transparent and forward thinking procurement system, and institutional oversight of t...
by RoyG
09 Jun 2023 03:26
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5130
Views: 924849

Re: Deterrence

<POOF> Admin Note: 1) enough of fishing expeditions in this forum! You are the only one here claiming things about TN fizzle, french/ICF, S6 etc. And no one need to answer your questions based on your own claims 2) as ramana has pointed out, no more quoting entire posts for one-liners Hnair, There ...
by RoyG
08 Jun 2023 22:34
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5130
Views: 924849

Re: Deterrence

<POOF>

Admin Note:
1) enough of fishing expeditions in this forum! You are the only one here claiming things about TN fizzle, french/ICF, S6 etc. And no one need to answer your questions based on your own claims

2) as ramana has pointed out, no more quoting entire posts for one-liners
by RoyG
08 Jun 2023 17:31
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 8805
Views: 2478487

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

But there is. It benefits the US industry and helps Indian foreign currency reserves through repatriation. It is in the interest of both countries for a bilateral deal on this instead of clubbing it with wider immigration reforms which are highly contentious, politically speaking, in the US. True, ...
by RoyG
08 Jun 2023 16:39
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5130
Views: 924849

Re: Deterrence

ramana wrote:With this no more discussion.

BTW Galwan stayed local because S-1 worked.
IOW escalation ladder stayed true.
Nuclear capability generally does this. Not limited to TN.
by RoyG
07 Jun 2023 21:29
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5130
Views: 924849

Re: Deterrence

@RoyG This is an article written by Trevor Findlay to which Professor Roger Clark contributed as stated in the article. Note the article states that initially the Pokharan test was assigned a body wave magnitude of 4.7 (body wave means via S and P waves, see my tutorial) and then after more station...
by RoyG
07 Jun 2023 18:28
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 8805
Views: 2478487

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

Disha unfortunately this exchange with Amber is becoming blue on blue at a personal level... Yes, it is quite ugly. (unfortunately he is not alone - these kind of took-kits work with their bots) Quite despicable. I ignore most but have to admit, some are Rahul Gandhi type :rotfl: logic.. "Garc...
by RoyG
07 Jun 2023 05:00
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5130
Views: 924849

Re: Deterrence

Do you have the Roger Clark analysis?
by RoyG
06 Jun 2023 23:02
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 8805
Views: 2478487

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

She’s smart. Proly minting money with all these contacts.
by RoyG
06 Jun 2023 22:36
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5130
Views: 924849

Re: Deterrence

The consensus among the fizzle crowd is the fbf trigger worked but a design flaw prevented ignition of the tertiary. Some info I can’t share but if you want to talk more you can email: mail for nrg @g ma il. Com What is this info that is so sensitive that it can only be shared with US intel agencie...
by RoyG
06 Jun 2023 04:02
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Terroristan - March 31, 2022
Replies: 4426
Views: 1343748

Re: Terroristan - March 31, 2022

A_Gupta wrote:Major Gaurav Arya - if Pakistan manages somehow to boost its foreign reserves to $10 billion, it will stage another 26/11.
https://youtu.be/MVfjtL29qjA
Where did he get 10bil from?
by RoyG
05 Jun 2023 23:02
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Endgame of NaPakistan: How and what afterwards
Replies: 831
Views: 237171

Re: Endgame of NaPakistan: How and what afterwards

sanman wrote:Former army chief and lord of Pakistan General Bajwa is heckled on the streets of France by unknown Afghan:



How the mighty have fallen.

He hasn’t fallen. He’s rich.
by RoyG
05 Jun 2023 22:43
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5130
Views: 924849

Re: Deterrence

... Based on my personal conversations with forum experts it seems as though there was a problem with the design itself somewhere. Something went wrong with the ability to set off the tertiary resulting in minimal burn up. There seems to have been some panic resulting in abortion of Shakti VI. This...
by RoyG
05 Jun 2023 08:35
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5130
Views: 924849

Re: Deterrence

Right. Is it safe to say, though, that the boosted fission trigger of the thermonuclear device worked very well, flawlessly? There are knowledgeable commentators who are certain that the S-1 fusion bomb fizzled( or even didn't ignite at all) but that the primary went off superbly The consensus amon...
by RoyG
05 Jun 2023 08:27
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5130
Views: 924849

Re: Deterrence

I wanted to stay out of this but: There is zero hard evidence that TN failed There is some evidence that TN succeeded There is no evidence that the S6 was a TN device We don’t know why Santhanam said what he said Ultimately what to believe is up to oneself. Classic case of blind men of Hindustan an...
by RoyG
04 Jun 2023 21:22
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5130
Views: 924849

Re: Deterrence

Varoon Shekhar wrote:^^^
Thanks, makes sense. So the sixth untested device was a thermonuclear one, not a sub-kiloton or boosted fission.
Those in the know will tell you it was. Had it been the other types you mentioned why abort? You went to great lengths to setup the test.
by RoyG
04 Jun 2023 20:26
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5130
Views: 924849

Re: Deterrence

What were the legitimate criticisms made by the total fizzle group led by Santhanam, and what were the equally good points made to counter them, by Kakodar et al. Or should we not revisit that debate. Wont be able to prove one way or another. But logically, there are some big anomalies with the siz...
by RoyG
02 Jun 2023 06:29
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Indian Interests_2
Replies: 643
Views: 268511

Re: Indian Interests_2

The Constitution is a set of rules broadly agreed upon by a society as per the needs of the times. But adherence to the principles and rules of the constitution doesn't not happen automatically. Dharma is that invisible (moral) force which encourages, even compels people, especially those in power,...
by RoyG
01 Jun 2023 07:10
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5130
Views: 924849

Re: Deterrence

Do a full test and validate that her TN weapons are not dud What is 'dud'? I mean what actually one means when TN weapons are dud? In case of TN weapons, let me draw a parable. Here dud is replaced with the word Pappu. And the opposite of Pappu is Modi. Then there is Yogi. A couple has been asked t...
by RoyG
28 May 2023 18:26
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5130
Views: 924849

Re: Deterrence

how exactly do you validate simulations if you dont have the data over full curve? https://web.archive.org/web/20191028030113/https://frontline.thehindu.com/static/html/fl1601/16010840.htm According to Dr. R. Chidambaram, Chairman, Atomic Energy Commission (AEC), and Secretary, Department of Atomic...
by RoyG
24 May 2023 10:02
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Kaveri & Aero-Engine: News & Discussion
Replies: 6378
Views: 2071879

Re: Kaveri & Aero-Engine: News & Discussion

@ Maitya-ji.... India soon to jointly manufacture jet engines for LCA Mk2 https://www.financialexpress.com/business/defence-india-soon-to-jointly-manufacture-jet-engines-for-lca-mk2-nbsp-3097873/ 22 May 2023 Rakesh saar, It does not automatically mean that critical and vital parts will be made here...
by RoyG
24 May 2023 04:52
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5130
Views: 924849

Re: Deterrence

Any gist on last part or we have to hear it? I watched the whole interview, with a physicist friend (knowledgeable about physics/US perspective - perhaps less familiar with Indian landscape. Interview was *excellent* quite fascinating. I have met AK, so knew he is quite soft spoken. modest and bril...
by RoyG
24 May 2023 04:41
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 8805
Views: 2478487

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

This is how I'd phraseThe white house incident - Lone wolf , mentally ill 19 yo American of south Asian descent drove a truck x the white house ,carrying the Nazi flag. Perhaps he was under the influence of white supremacists or xtian fanatics . Where did white supremacists or xtian fanatics come f...
by RoyG
21 May 2023 18:57
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 8805
Views: 2478487

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

US is a symptom of the problem. Can you guess what the problem is? There are multiple causal factors- main problem is there is no disincentive perceived by the other players either bilaterally or multilaterally till now for misconduct or malicious interference into Indian internal affairs. The only...
by RoyG
21 May 2023 05:36
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Terroristan - March 31, 2022
Replies: 4426
Views: 1343748

Re: Terroristan - March 31, 2022

Pakistan is failing.

Not the colonial system which feeds off of it.
by RoyG
21 May 2023 05:21
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 8805
Views: 2478487

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

Namasthe AmberGji, While I like your perspicacious comments and posts, I do believe you have rose-tinted glasses with expect to the US. And I say this after spending 3 decades in the US, while conceding that your experience here in the US has been longer. This however does not detract from others’ ...
by RoyG
19 May 2023 17:49
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5130
Views: 924849

Re: Deterrence

Read the whole thing, from an expert on the topic. A lot of Twaddle about AI and nuclear weapons, tacnukes I have no patience anymore for uninformed commentaries on nuclear deterrence penned by people who wear their unfamiliarity with the broad swath of deterrence literature and with the empirical ...
by RoyG
19 May 2023 07:17
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Intelligence & National Security Discussion - July 2018
Replies: 424
Views: 225913

Re: Intelligence & National Security Discussion - July 2018

He also played his part in the dismantling of the TSD, for which he could be charged with treason We go too easy on our mortal enemies We had 10 years to find out what happened to TSD and caused its demise. Since this is not in the open I'm guessing those ghosts have been laid to rest and is consid...
by RoyG
19 May 2023 06:09
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5130
Views: 924849

Re: Deterrence

There is a whole lot of things here in the above: Indias TN shot failed France allowed us to validate the design US allowed us to use their property US has no problem is providing material assistance to a non Nato member to build a thermonuke #2 alone is difficult to believe from logistical standpo...
by RoyG
19 May 2023 05:23
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5130
Views: 924849

Re: Deterrence

@RoyG: These are all plausible theories and something that has been debated on these threads ad nauseam. The credibility of a theory is based on evidences and proofs demonstrated. The value of deterrence comes from an understanding of proven capabilities. On the issue of EU designs, they are irrele...
by RoyG
18 May 2023 17:30
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5130
Views: 924849

Re: Deterrence

Bharat Karnad himself admitted it. Understood. So the design of S-1 is the basis. Thanks. Yeah and it fits w/ the max 200kt yield from AK. This may be way GoI feels no need to test at this point. If you look at the newer European designs fielded atop slbm force, they don't cross 200kt either. With ...
by RoyG
18 May 2023 17:18
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5130
Views: 924849

Re: Deterrence

Bharat Karnad himself admitted it. With all due respect, BK'ji is a maximalist. Anything sort of a Tsar Bomba tested in Pissawar will not satisfy him. I respect his position. But that does not mean the deterrent has flaws which only the French could help us fix and that too in one of the best wine ...
by RoyG
18 May 2023 08:49
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5130
Views: 924849

Re: Deterrence

ShauryaT wrote:
RoyG wrote:Rumour is we have high confidence 125&175kt TN designs in the inventory.
Any sources or basis for these designed payloads and its rationale?
Bharat Karnad himself admitted it.
by RoyG
17 May 2023 16:52
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Internal Security Watch
Replies: 6211
Views: 1793533

Re: Internal Security Watch

If cbi is framing charges, bureaucrats are involved. Intelligence services are already involved, it is impossible to investigate such a case without their active involvement One doesn't expect to see such things reported in the media anything to do with the forces, drdo, etc, the active involvement...
by RoyG
17 May 2023 10:28
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: India's R&D in Defence DRDO, PSUs and Private Sector
Replies: 5242
Views: 1532430

Re: India's R&D in Defence DRDO, PSUs and Private Sector

I will take a contrarian view on this. The last couple of indigenization lists have contained a lot of LRUs, components, sub-components etc. This is clearly babugiri at work. They make it look like they are supporting Atmanirbhar, but keep churning out these lists of minimal consequence, while big ...
by RoyG
17 May 2023 06:56
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5130
Views: 924849

Re: Deterrence

Any gist on last part or we have to hear it? Nothing new that this thread already does not know. Some summations from the rambling interview: 1. Dr. Kakodkar dwells on nuclear deterrence with the perspective that he asked for TN test. And Dr. Kalam asked repeatedly that the yield has to be constrai...
by RoyG
17 May 2023 05:28
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Internal Security Watch
Replies: 6211
Views: 1793533

Re: Internal Security Watch

If cbi is framing charges, bureaucrats are involved.
by RoyG
16 May 2023 17:01
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 8805
Views: 2478487

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

This is naivete. This is what you see but more goes on behind the scenes. Don't whine if they are doing their job. We have to do ours to keep them in check. You seem to be one constantly batting for the bad behavior of USAmb and whining. Is USAmb meeting civil society in Saudi or China? Get real. Y...
by RoyG
16 May 2023 05:19
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Terroristan - March 31, 2022
Replies: 4426
Views: 1343748

Re: Terroristan - March 31, 2022

Okay, but he was toppled by them, and has since been tolerated by them as a disgruntled ex-PM and opposition leader left out of an otherwise national unity govt. One main thing Imran has had going for him, is the economic pain and suffering which Pak ruling establishment are unable to cure for the ...
by RoyG
16 May 2023 05:14
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Terroristan - March 31, 2022
Replies: 4426
Views: 1343748

Re: Terroristan - March 31, 2022

Watch it all, but take a look at comments @ 17:14 Have the Chinese green-lit the crackdown on Imran? Are they the ultimate arbiter and guarantor for Army? It does not Add up , wasn’t Immy getting to close to China and away from US which was against what Bajwa wanted. Immy demonized Biden and had sa...