I can do it. Will give it to you by Wed / Thursday next week.ramana wrote:I would like some one to go thru the seat by seat data of recent polls in Bengal.
What I am interested is of the ~7 MLA seats/MP seat who many would TMC retain?
And how many would BJP win?
And how many are toss ups?
Say 10 days?
Search found 163 matches
- 26 Jul 2019 22:12
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: West Bengal - news and strategy thread
- Replies: 367
- Views: 98686
Re: West Bengal - news and strategy thread
- 24 Jul 2019 21:07
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread
- Replies: 1964
- Views: 468512
Re: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread
dont think so. a non starter like his dad's muslim reservation. will be struck down by court. but he will get brownie points.chetak wrote:moreover, is it constitutionally permissible.
- 24 Jul 2019 17:28
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread
- Replies: 1964
- Views: 468512
Re: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread
in PPPs. not in private sector. Stupid move imho.
- 20 Jul 2019 05:55
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Breaking up the western alliance
- Replies: 3
- Views: 2262
- 20 Jul 2019 05:16
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread
- Replies: 1964
- Views: 468512
Re: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread
Break as many parties as it takes to get majority in RS. At this point I have zero sympathy to any others. They put brakes on for most of last 5 years.
- 18 Jul 2019 01:37
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
- Replies: 6664
- Views: 1357644
Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
thanks Dubey ji. Hopefully BJP will be able to split SP soon.
- 18 Jul 2019 00:59
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread
- Replies: 1964
- Views: 468512
Re: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread
ramana wrote: I get the feeling that RS majority is the quest.
And more important.
To pass many long held up legislation.
looks like that is the only real tangible thing that Shah is looking for. Rest is all noise.
- 18 Jul 2019 00:32
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
- Replies: 6664
- Views: 1357644
Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
I missed this. Who? Where?ramana wrote:- BJP strength in RS to go up by 4 as more MPs change parties.
now BJP is at 81
- 17 Jul 2019 02:22
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
- Replies: 6664
- Views: 1357644
Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
He has to do something on ground sooner. Lots of challenges past 2 months and I dont know what is the tipping point for him.ramana wrote:I liked the way the speaker Sri Om Birla, kept control of the house during Amti Shah speech.
And Amit Shah spoke like a jingo from this Forum.
- 11 Jul 2019 06:28
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread
- Replies: 1964
- Views: 468512
Re: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread
This is the history of splits.. TANA was split as TANA and ATA in 1993 ATA was split into ATA and NATA in 2008 TANA was again Split into TANA and NATS in 2009 NATA was split into NATA and TATA in 2015. APTA was also formed 5 yrs ago. Now, TANA and NATS : TDP ATA and NATA: YSRCP TATA: TRS APTA: Jana ...
- 11 Jul 2019 04:47
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread
- Replies: 1964
- Views: 468512
Re: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread
Earlier in the event in the political forum discussion, Vishnu Vardhan Reddy was heckled by those who attended the forum. This was a day before Ram Madhav came to TANA. All the politicians - Ganta, Vishnu, Nadendla Manohar, Krishnadevaraylu etc were all in the same hotel, and they all had discussion...
- 04 Jul 2019 00:11
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
- Replies: 6664
- Views: 1357644
Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
got it. thanks.
- 03 Jul 2019 23:47
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
- Replies: 6664
- Views: 1357644
Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
2019 was on Vikas. 2024 will be on Hindutva.
- 03 Jul 2019 18:56
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: US - China Trade War : Where is India ?
- Replies: 47
- Views: 12442
Re: US - China Trade War : Where is India ?
Interesting. Can we hold off on the 5G until we have our own infra instead of piggy backing on either chini or amrikan infra? given both will have backdoors? A concept similar to development of NAVIC?
- 03 Jul 2019 18:42
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
- Replies: 6664
- Views: 1357644
Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
I follow simple numbers when referring to c-system. 20-50-200-2000-10000(treat it as chess pieces) If modiji goes after them like mao, they immediately run away to their safe havens. At the same time, he can't afford the situation like now.. I believe he will go after 50 and 200 pieces as usual. Th...
- 02 Jul 2019 06:12
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: A new world order .. why India should initiate a south Asian union
- Replies: 40
- Views: 11017
Re: A new world order .. why India should initiate a south Asian union
is it kosher / dharmic to post relevant article from ForeignAffairs here? There are a couple of articles which talk about the New World Order though we dont appear much in their design. Sam Huntington calls it the Civilizational World Order in the Clash of Civis. That when the balls land, eventually...
- 30 Jun 2019 03:42
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
- Replies: 6664
- Views: 1357644
Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Hs are having issues staying in places like Kairana, Meerut, Wayanad, parts of Hyderabad, and here we want KPs to be sent to Kashmir. I dont think that will ever happen. I will consider it a great win if 370 and 35A are gone and Narayana / Chaitanya open colleges in Kashmir valley.
- 29 Jun 2019 00:44
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: J&K News and Discussion - 2016
- Replies: 3305
- Views: 946770
Re: J&K News and Discussion - 2016
super speech. I felt Shah's control over the sabha was much more than NMs.
- 29 Jun 2019 00:39
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread
- Replies: 1964
- Views: 468512
Re: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread
Good point Devesh.. TDP cadre in TG is not a problem, they will shift loyalties easily. But Congress cadre are not shifting loyalties easily.. they still see themselves as a viable alternative to both TRS & BJP. Already some leaders had to face embarrassing situations where they announced joini...
- 28 Jun 2019 02:10
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread
- Replies: 1964
- Views: 468512
Re: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread
Are any BRF Telugus based out of massaland attending TANA conferance in DC next week ? Ram Madhav and Venkayya naidu are attending. Along with recent turncoats from TDP to BJP CM Ramesh, Garikapati Mohan Rao and TG Venkatesh. Also Pawan Kalyan, Erabelli Dayakar Rao, Srinivas Goud, Malla Reddy, Nama...
- 28 Jun 2019 02:09
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread
- Replies: 1964
- Views: 468512
Re: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread
apologies for going on tangent here - Ramana garu, many of telugu words can be traced back to the "desi" language that was said to be prevalent during late Satavahana era. [This is from a book called Andhrula Charitra by Dr B S L Hanumantha Rao]. Also corroborated elsewhere During this per...
- 21 Jun 2019 00:22
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
- Replies: 6664
- Views: 1357644
Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
What happens to the remaining 2 RS MPs of TDP?
- 21 Jun 2019 00:22
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: One Nation One Election: News & Non-political Discussions
- Replies: 24
- Views: 5660
Re: One Nation One Election: News & Non-political Discussions
Going to full on-line is the way to do One Election. saar with dumb microcontroller, without ports only 21 parties are going ape-sh*t crazy. in a fully integrated online system maybe extremely vulnerable for hacking no? Though I think for our electionprocess to be online is a few decades away. Need...
- 20 Jun 2019 23:02
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
- Replies: 6664
- Views: 1357644
Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Grapevine is that 2/3 LS MPs are ready to go to BJP. If that happens we will see the end of a party in real time.
- 20 Jun 2019 23:01
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: One Nation One Election: News & Non-political Discussions
- Replies: 24
- Views: 5660
Re: One Nation One Election: News & Non-political Discussions
The recommendations are pretty solid and have taken into consideration the vagaries of our multi-party system. The two phase elections along with riders for what happens if a govt falls within out-of-cadence with the Two Phased approach is pretty good and I think this is something that will be benef...
- 20 Jun 2019 22:43
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
- Replies: 6664
- Views: 1357644
- 20 Jun 2019 22:29
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread
- Replies: 1964
- Views: 468512
Re: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread
heard there was a secret meeting of TDP Kapu leaders. Now where they go will decide how hard BJP has to work in AP.ramana wrote:BJP has decided to takeover TDP and become viable in Andhra Pradesh.
- 08 Jun 2019 20:17
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread
- Replies: 1964
- Views: 468512
Re: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread
There has been some chatter on how an ordinance on Sabarimalai would have fetched 2-4 seats in Kerala. After looking at AP, TN in GE I am not sure it would have helped. Btw Modi will be in Tirupati on 9th. Hopefully a better translator this time...
Sent from the mobile client - Forum Talker
Sent from the mobile client - Forum Talker
- 06 Jun 2019 02:18
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
- Replies: 6664
- Views: 1357644
Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
this is still the Political Analysis thread right?
- 06 Jun 2019 02:17
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread
- Replies: 1964
- Views: 468512
Re: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread
There could be hope for Andhra more than TN or KL. thanks to the EJ & his family who are showing their cards right from day 1. Many andhras are now worried that it could be halleluyapradesh if something doesnt get done.. acknowledging the problem is the first step. As a result seebeeyaan is tryi...
- 06 Jun 2019 02:12
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
- Replies: 6664
- Views: 1357644
Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
We need to take more care of the environment for future generations. But we seem to think only of today. Maybe artificial lakes could be built and an ecology may come up around it after a manual start? this has to be done. of the thousands of lakes in Texas <10 are natural. I am curious to see what...
- 05 Jun 2019 21:46
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
- Replies: 6664
- Views: 1357644
Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
the biggest thing to me from BJP manifesto is their promise of potable water to all thru pipes. While i am a (lot) skeptical about it due to the distances from water sources in, lets say, states like RJ or lack of any perennial water sources in districts such as Anantapur etc. I hope these things ar...
- 31 May 2019 20:43
- Forum: Science, Economics & Technology Forum
- Topic: Indian Urban Development and Public Policy Discussion
- Replies: 523
- Views: 155960
Re: Indian Urban Development and Public Policy Discussion
I am not sure if this was already discussed here, but I was talking to someone about urban infra in India, and he made a comment on why India doesnt look at hub-and-spoke model for all its metros? The biggest challenges in second rung cities as opposed to metros are 1. Education 2. Employment Opport...
- 31 May 2019 20:14
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2019 General Elections : Results Discussion
- Replies: 2982
- Views: 432563
Re: 2019 General Elections : Results Discussion
Amit Ji in the home ministry will help fix the whole internal security situation and completely destroy internal BIF. Also will solve the Kashmir soft terror situation very quickly with Gen VK getting MoS road transport [N + NE / China most probably], Jaishankar getting EAM and, Shah as HM I am hop...
- 31 May 2019 20:12
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread
- Replies: 1964
- Views: 468512
Re: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread
There seems to be an interesting phenomenon playing out in AP, too early to judge if it is in passing or if it will sustain into something tangible. Last few days and especially last two days telugu WA has been flooding with images of jagan with bible next to him, how his top officers are all RoL re...
- 31 May 2019 20:07
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Structural Reforms Milestones post 2019 Elections
- Replies: 81
- Views: 20928
Re: Structural Reforms Milestones post 2019 Elections
I am not sure how many here have looked / read the NITI Aayog report on India @75 where it takes about things that need to be done by 2022/2023. It has a list of "end results" for various reforms that most here have been taking about [except, obviously, Judicial or Police reforms]. I would...
- 24 May 2019 21:29
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2019 General Elections : Results Discussion
- Replies: 2982
- Views: 432563
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
an oft repeated phrase here - 4th Battle of Panipat... now in words. Not sure who wrote it but makes very pertinent points..
https://www.opindia.com/2019/02/mamata- ... elections/
https://www.opindia.com/2019/02/mamata- ... elections/
- 21 May 2019 07:13
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
- Replies: 6200
- Views: 1150383
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
oh thanks for letting me know Gus.Gus wrote:
"bjp will lose wonlee"
bjp will lose wonlee
- 21 May 2019 03:45
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
- Replies: 6200
- Views: 1150383
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
as per sources on ground, connected to some TMC leaders, bjp could win anything from 12-26.ramana wrote: Yes #Jihadidi game is over and she knows it. That's why high decibel ChabiLevelIndex 5.0 screaming and violence using state police.
Even they were replaced after Phases 2 onward.
- 21 May 2019 03:44
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
- Replies: 6200
- Views: 1150383
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
earlier today I read some report in Hindu which said 2019 was 2-3% less than 2014. That moment I knew it had to be better than 2014..nachiket wrote:At 67.11%, 2019 turnout highest ever for Lok Sabha polls
Suraj saar will be interested in this. Overall turnout in 2014 was 66.4%, which was already a record.