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by Supratik
16 Dec 2019 20:41
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 6664
Views: 1369107

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Picklu, you need to cool down and not get hysterical. My family are refugees from Narayanganj in Bdesh. Part of family still in Bdesh. Plenty of close family still in Kolkata. Everyone of us will be submitting documentation for NRC. As for the 1.2 million Bengali/Bdeshi Hindus those reports are unci...
by Supratik
16 Dec 2019 00:12
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 6664
Views: 1369107

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Another one from the Islamic-Communist republic of Kerala. I don't think you ever were a BJP or Modi voter. If you were you would have known what was in the manifesto. Your small pamphlet above is similar in content to the tukde-tukde gangs. For the umpteenth time this NRC update is not about Indian...
by Supratik
14 Dec 2019 22:56
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 6664
Views: 1369107

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

You got it wrong. your is your party and our is our party. I am sure Rahul Gandhi is not Gujrati.
by Supratik
14 Dec 2019 21:35
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 6664
Views: 1369107

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

It is a little premature to start wailing about having to prove citizenship. The above documents are procedures and documents for Assam NRC. The procedures and documents for other states have not been notified yet. There is always a case for genuine citizens to take some pain for the greater good of...
by Supratik
14 Dec 2019 20:10
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 6664
Views: 1369107

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Not much. BJP is not a factor outside ArP, Manipur, Assam, The first 2 have been taken care with ILP. Assam can be taken care of sixth schedule. There is a missionary angle to NE too. They don't want H's to flood the region and dent the C majorities that they have built. Estimation of illegal immigr...
by Supratik
14 Dec 2019 19:43
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 6664
Views: 1369107

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Regarding mob violence in WB it will actually backfire on Mamata. The reason why she is opposing NRC is known. Her vote bank breakup is 25% M, 20% H (total 45%), BJP almost entirely H so 40% H i.e. the majority of the H vote in WB is now with BJP. After the collapse of the CPIM-INC in WB the hardcor...
by Supratik
14 Dec 2019 19:38
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 6664
Views: 1369107

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Picklu wrote: A few points, if I may: Out of 1.9 mil out of NRC in assam, 1.2 mil are bengali speaking (bong+BD) hindu, 0.2 mil are non bengali hindu and 0.5 mil are Bengali speaking(bong + BD) muslim. This demographic segmentation has been widely published, so far there is no credible source disput...
by Supratik
13 Dec 2019 00:41
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 6664
Views: 1369107

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

No you are right but on the ground BJP unable to communicate and I am pretty sure rest is due to Congress.
by Supratik
12 Dec 2019 22:47
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 6664
Views: 1369107

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

I have examined and studied the demographic data. In my opinion the original number of 4.1 million illegal was correct. I suspect Congressis are behind the fraud that happened between 2018-2019. Only 2 million people are left to be detected. 2.5 million have already left or not applied. 1.7 million ...
by Supratik
12 Dec 2019 21:57
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 6664
Views: 1369107

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

NRC numbers for Assam. Prospective population without NRC about 35.5 million. 31 million legal resident. 2.5 million have not applied. They have either gone back to Bdesh or migrated to other parts of India. 1.9 million declared illegal. Break-up is 5.5 lakh Bdeshi Hindu, 1 lakh Assamese, 1 lakh Nep...
by Supratik
12 Dec 2019 21:52
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 6664
Views: 1369107

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

They are not worried about current numbers but future refugees. Best thing to do is to extend sixth schedule to rest of Assam barring Bengali areas like Kachar region.
by Supratik
12 Dec 2019 21:49
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Internal Security Watch
Replies: 6211
Views: 1783884

Re: Internal Security Watch

It should be life imprisonment for rape and death for child rape and rape plus murder.
by Supratik
12 Dec 2019 21:46
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 6664
Views: 1369107

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Just implement the sixth schedule areas (Autonomous areas) expansion in Assam and problem will get resolved.
by Supratik
12 Dec 2019 21:29
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 6664
Views: 1369107

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Please get your data correct before you discuss issues. Except Tripura (which had a long standing Bengali community that was invited to settle by their King long before partition) Bengali/Bdeshi Hindus have not altered the demography of any NE states. Places like Shillong had Bengali Hindu communiti...
by Supratik
11 Dec 2019 21:20
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 6664
Views: 1369107

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Need to find out which parties voted against the bill and which in favor.
by Supratik
11 Dec 2019 00:43
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 6664
Views: 1369107

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Bill is going to pass unless something unexpected happens but Uddhav may be committing political suicide if he doesn't support bill.
by Supratik
11 Dec 2019 00:10
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 6664
Views: 1369107

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Uddhav will be making a big mistake if he doesn't support the CAB in RS. His nationalist vote is going to desert him in a jiffy.
by Supratik
10 Dec 2019 22:32
Forum: Science, Economics & Technology Forum
Topic: Civil Aviation Development & Discussion
Replies: 6031
Views: 1313573

Re: Civil Aviation Development & Discussion

Sandeep the airport is actually in UP about 80 kms from Delhi not in Delhi. Delhi airport will saturate by 2024.
by Supratik
10 Dec 2019 22:01
Forum: Science, Economics & Technology Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 8446
Views: 3026097

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

IMO the main stumbling block for interest rates to fall further are retirees or senior citizens savings. In the absence of a social safety net they are forced to park their money in various savings schemes. The number one issue that people above 65 years face is health and hospitalization. However, ...
by Supratik
08 Dec 2019 23:07
Forum: Science, Economics & Technology Forum
Topic: Indian Railways Thread (Dec 2015)
Replies: 4780
Views: 1536231

Re: Indian Railways Thread (Dec 2015)

What has the above got to do with what is being written!!! Clearly there is turf battle doing on in the railway ministry and the minister is not being able to resolve it. This will now be almost a year that this thing is happening and no resolution as yet. Perhaps PMO needs to step in.
by Supratik
08 Dec 2019 20:31
Forum: Science, Economics & Technology Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 8446
Views: 3026097

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

While it is understandable that people are upset with the slow growth but please be careful with the data you present on this thread. This is because this thread is read outside. Highway construction has more than doubled in the last 5 years. Railways has nearly doubled. IT tax slabs are going to ch...
by Supratik
07 Dec 2019 20:06
Forum: Science, Economics & Technology Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 8446
Views: 3026097

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Labour market is growing at 1.3-1.5% not 2%. They are probably thinking of raising GST rates to compensate for the coming IT tax changes. I think this is not the right time to tinker with GST rates. Better to curtail expenditure for at least a year. In India the govt is obsessed with govt led growth...
by Supratik
07 Dec 2019 01:16
Forum: Science, Economics & Technology Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 8446
Views: 3026097

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Micromax initially did not even assemble. They started assembly later. By the time they started having a proper plant they had started loosing the market.
by Supratik
06 Dec 2019 22:16
Forum: Science, Economics & Technology Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 8446
Views: 3026097

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

All is not lost for Indian mobile manufacturers. If the govt can manage to get the component and subcomponent makers to make them in India by policy decisions all they have to do is wait and then jump back into it. I believe the Chinese also source their components. Same thing Indian companies can d...
by Supratik
06 Dec 2019 22:03
Forum: Science, Economics & Technology Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 8446
Views: 3026097

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Bajaj is going to face tough choices in the coming future IMO. With the scooter market slowly disappearing, them not entering either the car market when they had time or taking EVs seriously, just tinkering with motorcycles and calling a quadricycle a car is not going to make it for them.
by Supratik
06 Dec 2019 20:56
Forum: Science, Economics & Technology Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 8446
Views: 3026097

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Similar thing has happened to TV manufacturers Videocon and Onieda when "current PM" was not there. Couldn't compete.
by Supratik
06 Dec 2019 20:54
Forum: Science, Economics & Technology Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 8446
Views: 3026097

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

I have bought Micromax phones for family when they were at their peak. Didn't last long. Selling cheap Chinese phones probably rejects i.e. without QC with a mark-up doesn't make you a champion entrepreneur.
by Supratik
06 Dec 2019 20:50
Forum: Science, Economics & Technology Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 8446
Views: 3026097

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

First of all Micromax was just stamping imports. How does it make it a champion? Second, should the govt have stopped 4G and digital India as long as Micromax is able to make 4G phones. FYI, it can't even make 2G phones. First find out how Tata and Mahindra did it in cars. They had competition in an...
by Supratik
06 Dec 2019 19:40
Forum: Science, Economics & Technology Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 8446
Views: 3026097

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

I have seen those articles. Nothing concrete has been decided except the RM stating in parliament that there will be more T18s. Rest is what media is saying using unnamed people. Right now these are nothing but Chinese whispers. We will all know if and when it happens. Meanwhile manufacturing and se...
by Supratik
05 Dec 2019 23:27
Forum: Science, Economics & Technology Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 8446
Views: 3026097

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

That is old news. 40 trainsets of T18 are on order for the next 3 years. There is no clarity on imports yet but it is circulating. One of the problems flagged about T18 is low energy efficiency leading to higher operating costs. PG has had a better track record than SP in railways. There is no probl...
by Supratik
05 Dec 2019 20:08
Forum: Science, Economics & Technology Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 8446
Views: 3026097

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

They are all moving to India. Next should be component and subcomponent manufacturers with the right govt policy. Then you have an ecosystem. After that it is upto Indian companies to leverage. Tata and Mahindra are doing that with cars. No reason others cannot do it.
by Supratik
05 Dec 2019 19:26
Forum: Science, Economics & Technology Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 8446
Views: 3026097

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Similar is the case with solar equipment. India is going to need gazillions of energy in the near future. They can still bounce back.

But need a proactive govt.
by Supratik
05 Dec 2019 19:23
Forum: Science, Economics & Technology Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 8446
Views: 3026097

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Car market will rise after BS6 comes into force in April 2020. Tata and Mahindra are doing well in India with new launches and Hero, TVS are doing well in motorcycles. Bajaj did not see the big picture and is getting knocked around. We have to understand in a market economy competition is fierce and...
by Supratik
05 Dec 2019 00:56
Forum: Science, Economics & Technology Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 8446
Views: 3026097

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

We are not talking about high paying jobs as in every country they go to a minority. We are talking about two things. Why India can send mars mission but cannot make basic stuff of good quality. It is what I call the Soviet syndrome. The Soviets had the same problem. The reasons have been described ...
by Supratik
04 Dec 2019 21:38
Forum: Science, Economics & Technology Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 8446
Views: 3026097

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

I wholeheartedly agree with what you guys say. When you have to provide jobs to 12-13 million people entering the market every year you grab whatever you can do. Can't do no chi chi. Every job counts. Indian babus and netas have not gamed how the system works. This govt is at least trying in fits an...
by Supratik
03 Dec 2019 00:38
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 6664
Views: 1369107

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

It doesn't matter even if TMC wins all 294 seats and rules for another 500 years. NRC data is going into database and therefore is permanent. Plus West Bengali Hindus who have voted for TMC are in favor of NRC. Everyone knows Mamata raised the issue of illegal immigration when she was with NDA. Plus...
by Supratik
03 Dec 2019 00:01
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 6664
Views: 1369107

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

If you just do NRC in AS and WB, illegal immigrants will hide in other states. Hence, you need NRC for entire nation. Why go into deportation when pressure works. 2,5 million people have already left AS without any deportation. They simply did not apply for registration. Another 1.9 million are stuc...
by Supratik
02 Dec 2019 23:04
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 6664
Views: 1369107

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

He is trolling. I believe he was on BRF doing the same thing in the past and got banned. Mamata is giving some soundbites about NRC but all west bengalies want NRC. And even if TMC wins doesn't matter. All data is going to be put into database. Can be revisited even after 500 years. And CPIM asked t...
by Supratik
01 Dec 2019 22:29
Forum: Science, Economics & Technology Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 8446
Views: 3026097

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Perhaps early signs of economy reviving. But this is just one month collection. Need to watch the next few months.
by Supratik
01 Dec 2019 01:26
Forum: Science, Economics & Technology Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 8446
Views: 3026097

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

That is a fair argument. You can say Indian govts haven't been as proactive as the Chinese in promoting their own companies.