Bharat Rakshak

A_Gupta

The decline of "Hinduism" lies in the fact that people regard it as a religion.

A_Gupta

The Indian response to a JDAM has to be faster than the hour it will take in the hypothetical scenario for the US to nuke India. Once Pakistan is nuked, any reason for the US to nuke India goes away, the US might as well try to finish off all the Paki nukes.

A_Gupta

< hint >What moves would make the cost highest for a jihadi who is concerned about the spread of Islam and Islamism and is not concerned about pain or death on any scale. < /hint > Enough hard power to keep the people who control the jihadis in check - this includes sufficient Indian power to safeg...

A_Gupta

A brazen cover-up that rewrote Indian naval history

A_Gupta

Continuing on: Wow... Did they want to provoke America also? Unlikely, well atleast not directly, I suspect that the US went along with this little drama because they felt that a secure leadership in Islamabad was preferable to an insecure one. From today's NYT: http://www.nytimes.com/2005/08/23/in...

A_Gupta

I think it is a safe assumption for Indian planners to assume that Pakistan has the same weapons as China does.

A_Gupta

Think not just of the bomb, but also the needs for the missile program.
Maraging steel is used for rocket motor casing.

What are Pakistan's machine tool building capabilities? What are its liquid or solid fuel manufacture capabilities? etc.

A_Gupta

Can we make a list of crucial manufactures needed for the Paki nuke & missile programs, that Pakistan definitely cannot manufacture? That will explain why the "network" is so important. For a start, I don't think Pakistan can manufacture maraging steel, and I think they import it via N...

A_Gupta

The lesson most will draw from the Iraq war is that it is better to have nukes than not, and it is worst to have the reputation of having nukes and not having them.

A_Gupta

Originally posted by sunil s: I would really appreciate it if people read this post. Sunil, I see Saudi Arabia as being less capable of reform than Pakistan. Sitting on the world's largest reserves of oil,they are extremely unlikely to go bankrupt any time. They are extremely dangerous, and GOTUS t...

A_Gupta

Chitral : 35:51N, 71:50E Gwadar : 25:07N 62:20E Distance as crow flies : 1497 km. The great circle probably includes overflight over Afghanistan. Pakistan's Exclusive Economic Zone extends 200 nautical miles, so they could really have done only around 1820 km if they remained over their own territor...

A_Gupta

Originally posted by Johann:
Mostly about identifying fissile material seized before a nuclear explosion.

And a few statements about deducing the neutron fluxes the samp;le has been subjected to....

A_Gupta

Originally posted by Johann: How seriously you wish to take arguments about the age of the plutonium based on fallout may depend on what you think about the accuracy and precision of the design information the analyst had for the bomb that produced the sample. http://www.llnl.gov/tid/lof/documents/...

A_Gupta

Nuc. Phys. and Phys. Rev. are generally considered top-notch; especially Nuc. Phys. B.

A_Gupta

Cross-post from Indo-US thread:
http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/national/AP-Nuclear-Trader.html
AP: Accused Nuke Trader Also Helped India

A_Gupta

Our friend Stephen P Cohen spinning and spinning away, on why we should believe that Pakistan's military didn't know what AQ Khan was doing. http://www.nytimes.com/2004/02/16/opinion/16COHE.html Strategically, it is unlikely that the Pakistani Army — let alone intelligence officials — would have dir...

A_Gupta

Originally posted by Johann: There is no evidence Pakistan had the fissile material to spare. In any case it is unlikely that Iran or Libya would have been willing to have their deterrent permanently dependent on the Pakistanis. Johann, what constitutes "fissile material to spare"? Where ...

A_Gupta

If one believes that Dr A.Q Khan's proliferation was a private affair, with no official involvement of Paki government/military, then one must postulate that North Korea sold missiles/missiles technology to Pakistan for considerations other than nuclear help (e.g, cash or foodgrain); and that Dr. Kh...

A_Gupta

Originally posted by SaiP: Originally posted by Nandu: Hoagland>> Pakistan's Nuclear Ali Baba Er... Ali Baba was the good guy, not the thief! Yea, he is. Just like people think Frankenstein is the monster. 'Open Sesame' Ali Baba did clear out the thieves' cave of all its loot. While stealing from t...

A_Gupta

From the past :
http://www.mtholyoke.edu/acad/intrel/clifford.htm

I don't think the long defunct BCCI has great political dangers for current US Gov. folks, and it is going to be more of "how could those past administrations have been so blind?" rather than "how corrupt".

A_Gupta

"Don't Ask, Don't Tell" is the official US army policy (regarding gays), and now this is the official State Department policy regarding Pakistan :) The rule is that WMD proliferation exists if and only if the US Dept of State or Defence says so :) In the meantime, we can hope for some leak...

A_Gupta

Originally posted by John Umrao: mohan raju>> you are on the dot, then there was the spin that Indian tests vented and the samples obtained over Chagai were actually Indian Pu. In the ancient city tubelightabad, anything spins. Then wallace came down charging shouting Indian Fusion failed, Indian t...

A_Gupta

http://www.nci.org/t/t102287.htm Let me conclude by emphasizing that the United States' credibility is on the line. Although the President of Pakistan has publicly stated that his country is not producing weaponsgrade uranium, in fact U.S. intelligence information shows that this is not the case. O...

A_Gupta

In the UN resolution that is mentioned at the head of the thread, China voted in favor of the right of self-determination. Yet it threatens war if Taiwan crosses "a red line" and exercises its right of self-determination. http://www.cnn.com/2003/WORLD/asiapcf/east/11/27/taiwan.vote/index.h...

A_Gupta

The UN's record of its proceedings is as follows (and shows how dorky the Indian media is!) http://www.un.org/News/Press/docs/2003/gashc3770.doc.htm The Third Committee (Social, Humanitarian and Cultural) approved 10 draft resolutions today on human rights questions, the right to self-determination ...

A_Gupta

Amusing is UN General Resolution A/RES/58/7 : Necessity of ending the economic, commercial and financial embargo imposed by the United States of America against Cuba : resolution / adopted by the General Assembly This had a recorded vote. Voting Summary Yes: 179, No: 3, Abstentions: 2, Non-Voting: 7...

A_Gupta

"The majority of General Assembly resolutions are adopted without a vote. If a vote is taken, it can be documented in two ways: either as a recorded vote or as a summary of the result. Only a recorded vote, which must be requested before the voting is conducted, will clearly identify the stand ...

A_Gupta

http://daccess-ods.un.org/access.nsf/Get?Open&DS=A/RES/57/197&Lang=E The resolution passed in this 58th General Assembly is basically 57/197 (resolution 197 of the 57th Assembly), and it refers to 56/141, which contains much the same language, and it refers to 55/85. 55/85 in turn refers to...

A_Gupta

IMO, lobbying against Pakistan regarding this UN General Assembly resolution, and post-resolution, making a fuss about it is a mistake. For some perspective, all the nations of the world are party to the UN Declaration of Human Rights. How meaningful is it? Why are Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Syria stil...

A_Gupta

Originally posted by Mohan Raju: FWIW, we are getting this same dorkish line of garbage now, after the two bomb attacks in Mumbai and after the train burnings in Godhra: It's all caused by injustice. Indians (i.e. non-Muslim Indians) should stop and ask themselves: where have we gone wrong, and wha...

A_Gupta

Originally posted by Rajesh_G: Maybe the reasons are much simpler. Taliban + OBL did not need WMD before, why should they need them now ? All they need is a state sponsorship. Afghanistan cannot give that to OBL due to US troops nor can pakistan as long as Mush is in power. As long as Mush cooperat...

A_Gupta

Sriman, your post illustrates that the US cozied up to whomever served its interests, no matter how nasty. It also illustrates that the US turned sharply against former "allies" when they no longer served its interests. E.g, Iraq fighting Iran was very much what the US wanted to happen, an...

A_Gupta

OK, lets invert the question : what are the US redlines vis-a-vis Pakistan? These are not redlines : 1. Support of Taliban 2. Hosting of Al Qaeda 3. Perhaps even being managers of 9/11 4. Helping N. Korea with nukes. 5. Helping Iran with nukes. 6. Continuing to destabilize Afghanistan 7. Failing to ...

A_Gupta

Dunno about blackmail, but the US was seen to be retreating from Beirut and from Somalia - that was actual physical threat. According to Cuban-Americans, Castro has successfully blackmailed the US with the threat of opening the floodgate of refugees. Let us also see how North Korea plays itself out.

A_Gupta

Narayanan, since we mostly believe that the center of Al Qaeda is somewhere in Pakistan, why isn't model 2 happening? Its not happening is what leads one to postulate model 1.

A_Gupta

Originally posted by sunil s: Are there unstated redlines here set by the Pakistanis? I would imagine : 1. Any resolution of Kashmir that is not to the Pakistani Army's liking, would trigger a coup and then nukes fall into Al Qaeda's hands. 2. US attempts to curb Taliban in the fractured biscuit ar...

A_Gupta

Sunil, suppose it became a matter of common knowledge and discussion in the US, that Pakistan has in effect a nuclear pistol against the US head, what do you think the public reaction be? Aren't the US admin's soothing noises w.r.t. Pakistan in part a means of allaying public fears?

A_Gupta

Rahul Mehta, things have certainly become better in India, but also the same way in the West. The US has had democracy, elections, trial by jury for 200+ years, but women got the vote only about 10-15 years before they did so in India. (BTW, the British absolutely did not introduce universal suffrag...

A_Gupta

Rahul Mehta, things have certainly become better in India, but also the same way in the West. The US has had democracy, elections, trial by jury for 200+ years, but women got the vote only about 10-15 years before they did so in India. (BTW, the British absolutely did not introduce universal suffrag...

A_Gupta

Now, this is a much better story about Vijay Singh, etc.

http://www.sulekha.com/redirectnh.asp?cid=309448

Bharat Rakshak

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