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by DavidD
09 Dec 2020 06:21
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9724
Views: 1140142

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

We currently have 2 PCR tests in my hospital, one called Cepheid can be done within an hour, used when we need the result quickly (e.g. before urgent surgery). Another is called Eppendorf and it takes ~4 hours and it's run 3 times a day. This is general purpose. We also refer people to get tests don...
by DavidD
04 Dec 2020 19:51
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016
Replies: 4649
Views: 1125298

Re: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016

^^^ The Unkil-Panda rivalry will play out in many things -- BMs and hypersonics are just a few pieces, look at the rail guns, EMALS, etc. Two things stood out and have far reaching implications. First that there is official, at the highest uniform level, acknowledgement of the success of the medium...
by DavidD
04 Dec 2020 16:19
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9724
Views: 1140142

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Cyrano wrote:We have been hearing about vaccine efficiency, is there any data yet on how long the vaccine efficiency lasts ? Or is it too early to tell ?


Not yet, too soon for that.
by DavidD
04 Dec 2020 16:06
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9724
Views: 1140142

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

...That's enough for just around 22 million people and does not even fully cover healthcare workers and seniors residing in nursing homes. Assuming some inefficiencies in actually vaccinating people (as opposed to having doses in hand) we are probably going to have to wait till the spring or possib...
by DavidD
03 Dec 2020 11:22
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9724
Views: 1140142

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

The problem is what if EUA is not granted? How did the UK, whose NHS is a lot more bureaucratic, was able to approve Pfizers vaccine but not the US where it was developed? These are valid questions to ask. What exactly is the delay? We know that petiotin for EUA was filed at least a week back. Pfiz...
by DavidD
02 Dec 2020 13:20
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9724
Views: 1140142

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

We certainly have more PPEs here in CA. That, at least for now, is not an issue. Given the less aggressive use of ventilators, that's also not an issue. As for beds, that was never really an issue. You can make beds pretty easily, same with making PPEs and ventilators, but you can't surge medical st...
by DavidD
02 Dec 2020 13:10
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 6230
Views: 1422057

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

I have constantly mentioned on this thread, that the trump card for us is: Taiwan. Chini adventure on the border has opened that door. Apple may shift some of the production out of China, but it is the Taiwanese gov, which will push hard on companies like Foxconn to move out of China, for sake of s...
by DavidD
27 Nov 2020 07:05
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9724
Views: 1140142

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Most vaccine makers have started production long before testing are finished, so not really surprising to hear AstraZeneca has already produced 40 million doses.
by DavidD
15 Nov 2020 14:31
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9724
Views: 1140142

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

The Oxford vaccine I think only requires -8C for storage, should be easily done by local pharmacies. The Pfizer one requires something closer to -80C, which is much tougher.
by DavidD
13 Nov 2020 17:06
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9724
Views: 1140142

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Cyrano wrote:Pfizer's vaccine announcement seems to be timed wrt its CEO selling shares than Trump's re-election chances.


Some shenannigans was going on. They only needed to have 32 pts catch COVID to publish their preliminary results, but they waited until they got more than twice the pts.
by DavidD
11 Nov 2020 00:53
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Electric vehicle and power storage
Replies: 194
Views: 31630

Re: Electric vehicle and power storage

BEVs are already viable options for passenger vehicles, hard to see H2 unseat them there. The main advantage of H2 is its higher energy density, so for purposes that require it, e.g. truck transportation, perhaps propeller aircrafts and ships in the future, that can be used. Those uses constitute a ...
by DavidD
05 Nov 2020 22:16
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 US election results discussion
Replies: 901
Views: 64829

Re: 2020 US election results discussion

I don't know how you're doing your math, but the 3.3 M / 4.3m eligible voters is 76%, a very high turnout, but not unbelievable. We knew turnout was gonna be high, a few states even had more votes submitted before the election day than the total in 2016. I see that you simply sidestepped the questi...
by DavidD
05 Nov 2020 13:58
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 US election results discussion
Replies: 901
Views: 64829

Re: 2020 US election results discussion

The answer is easy, Michigan needs to update its website, and your numbers for Wisconsin is wrong. Turnout was about 71% state-wide as it's calculated by votes counted / eligible voters. You're using registered voter as of 11/1 as the denominator instead of eligible voters. This is the turnout comp...
by DavidD
05 Nov 2020 10:49
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 US election results discussion
Replies: 901
Views: 64829

Re: 2020 US election results discussion

How do i interpret this ? How did MI call the election in favor of Biden when their own site has Trump leading ? https://mielections.us/election/results/2020GEN_CENR.html Sooraj, in case of WI, they allow election day registration but even then 89.9% of the eligible voters seem to have voted in the...
by DavidD
05 Nov 2020 08:08
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 US election results discussion
Replies: 901
Views: 64829

Re: 2020 US election results discussion

It looks like the election will end up with Biden beating Trump by the smallest of margins 270-268 , based on current trends. Trump is currently 214. If he takes Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Georgia, he makes 268 Biden takes Nevada for 6 more for 270 In that case I don't see it ending there. Du...
by DavidD
02 Nov 2020 00:27
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 6230
Views: 1422057

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

What took so long? Perhaps some thought that it's not a good idea to antagonize the world's 2nd largest economy while you're trying to develop? Imagine if China for the past 40 years decided to curb Japanese investment and imports due to territorial disputes, or rejected Taiwan for the paused Civil...
by DavidD
31 Oct 2020 02:19
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 6230
Views: 1422057

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Tightening the screws on Chini guys......... This also begs same repeatedly asked questions....... Why it took so Long ? & Why it was being ignored in first place to begin with ?? India issues quality control order for some leather goods to restrict cheap imports By Kirtika Suneja, ET Bureau La...
by DavidD
15 Oct 2020 10:16
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9724
Views: 1140142

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Gurus, can the china virus be transmitted via people who have seen the last of their symptoms 3+ weeks back? My mother met some of our neighbours in the parking lot of the apartment complex, about 3weeks after their quarantine ended (so 5 weeks or so after the appearance of symptoms and testing pos...
by DavidD
03 Oct 2020 06:00
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: China Meets World
Replies: 48
Views: 7839

Re: China meets world

As for changing names, it's just a name. I don't know if it's just Chinese culture or if it's a sequela of the Cultural Revolution, but in general Chinese don't hold anything as sacred. Using a Western name in a Western country is simply logical. Everyone can spell it, you don't have to answer &quo...
by DavidD
02 Oct 2020 01:57
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 5665
Views: 1138604

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

I see, I didn't hear about that, but that's not likely to be an issue. I mean, even the US and Canada still has actual border disputes. I foresee China and Russia continue to become increasingly aligned in the short to medium term. As for a previous poster noting strategic goals running counter to o...
by DavidD
01 Oct 2020 21:13
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 5665
Views: 1138604

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

What's the motivation for each side to escalate tensions there? I feel that my analysis of potential Chinese motivations is reasonably thorough and I couldn't find a compelling reason for China to do so. Sorry, but your analysis doesn't work out. India is keeping what belongs to it. In fact, despit...
by DavidD
01 Oct 2020 15:01
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 5665
Views: 1138604

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

You guys bring up some great points. I obviously can't reply to everyone, but I think I can sum up my stance at this point. Reading through your replies, and doing some readings based on them, I admit that I had the wrong impression of Indian domestic politics, which in turn made the premise of my h...
by DavidD
29 Sep 2020 23:42
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 5665
Views: 1138604

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

I have read some of your earlier posts and you sounded fairly intelligent. What happened here? And according to him, he is actually a doc in NYC area. Imagine a TYTA having all the unfiltered info in the world about China and still making these glaringly unsound allegations, the plight of a SYTA ch...
by DavidD
29 Sep 2020 23:33
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 5665
Views: 1138604

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

Interesting thought indeed. David ji, India has a choice of four or five weaker neighbors to pick fights with and deflect domestic attention. So Modi picked the strongest budding superpower neighbor and did "aggression" against it, at a time when that neighbor has a roaring economy and In...
by DavidD
29 Sep 2020 02:20
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 5665
Views: 1138604

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

If you can't figure out why China "did" it, then maybe your premise is wrong. I know it's an Indian board, but what if India is the aggressor here? What would be India's motive? Many here often point toward the possibility of the CCP starting external troubles to deflect from internal issu...
by DavidD
24 Sep 2020 04:30
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9724
Views: 1140142

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

any RCT in favour of Remdesivir ? ^ By the time RECOVERY trial came pandemic was on way out. Hence usefulness of dexamethasone could not be established , now with return of pandemic it will hopefully be part of treatment plan. https://elemental.medium.com/coronavirus-may-be-a-blood-vessel-disease-w...
by DavidD
21 Sep 2020 03:02
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9724
Views: 1140142

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

DavidD, thanks for the very informative post. Is there any reason why your hospital stopped administering Tocilizumab ? In India it is being touted as a "miracle drug" leading do shortages, price gouging, black marketing, and dangerously fake Tocilizumab being sold on the market. I am als...
by DavidD
20 Sep 2020 04:26
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9724
Views: 1140142

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

A comment I came across on Reddit regarding what was learned by physicians(outside India) in the past 6 months. For posters in the medical sector, how valid is this below quote very fact that this read up is available only on reddit should have alarm bell ringing! Virus is vasculotropic as much it ...
by DavidD
20 Sep 2020 04:20
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9724
Views: 1140142

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

A comment I came across on Reddit regarding what was learned by physicians(outside India) in the past 6 months. For posters in the medical sector, how valid is this below quote? ICU doc who treats COVID-19 and research on COVID, and published on COVID both original research and editorials in reputa...
by DavidD
07 Sep 2020 03:00
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016
Replies: 4649
Views: 1125298

Re: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016

China mostly care about money. If copying makes money, they'll copy. If innovation makes money, they'll innovate. The Chinese since the cultural revolution do not have any guiding principle except for the pursuit of wealth.
by DavidD
06 Sep 2020 15:46
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9724
Views: 1140142

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Question is whether she was already on HCQ 2x a week or did it start after diagnosis? If from before itself, it could have contributed to a low viral load but also, by itself it didnt prevent infection but reduced its severity. Quite possible that she was taking HCQ prophylactically. But you'll hav...
by DavidD
06 Sep 2020 08:16
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9724
Views: 1140142

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Showing an immune response doesn't mean much, as that's something which is studied beginning in the earliest testing phase, starting with animal tests. A vaccine is usually only approved if the immune response translates to significant immunity, which is the primary focus of Phase 3 trials. Phase 1 ...
by DavidD
02 Sep 2020 05:00
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 5665
Views: 1138604

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

Lol funny the former Mongolian president chimed in. He realizes that Mongolia uses Cyrillic, and only in Inner Mongolia can you find actual Mongolian characters, right?
by DavidD
11 Aug 2020 10:30
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 5665
Views: 1138604

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

That sounds a little bit like saying, the Chinese are the Borg, they will assimilate everything and everyone, and all of our bases belong them. Maybe the Chinese want to be the Borg, and want all of our bases belong to them. But they are not the Borg. They are humans, and have to work with human sy...
by DavidD
09 Aug 2020 01:57
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 5665
Views: 1138604

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

Good post DavidD. ... Chinese economy is so fudged, over leveraged, corrupt and export dependent that even a sustained 10-15% drop in demand over 4-5 years will make the whole facade collapse like a pack of cards. @CyranoDB - you may not be aware, but AFAIK DavidD is a Chinese poster. I can't speak...
by DavidD
08 Aug 2020 12:00
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 5665
Views: 1138604

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

So much for the overland route vs Sea route to Europe. https://twitter.com/Nrg8000/status/1291589366796582912 one wonders where is the market for such a huge dry port to service post COVID and also, post the growing wave of pent up resentment that is now starting to build against the hans. It won't...
by DavidD
30 Jun 2020 02:08
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9724
Views: 1140142

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

No, you have to see data proving its efficacy to believe it. All that mumble jumble about the concepts of allopathy and ayurvedic is not what makes one superior to the other, what matters is proven results. Run a RCT comparing allopathic and ayurvedic treatments for a specific disease, how well doe...
by DavidD
27 Jun 2020 09:51
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9724
Views: 1140142

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

All I have to say is: you have to experience Ayurveda first to believe in it https://www.softpowermag.com/why-how-and-where-ayurveda-differs-from-allopathy-prof-rama-jayasundar/ Why, How and Where Ayurveda Differs from Allopathy: Prof Rama Jayasundar Professor Rama Jayasundar, the head of the depar...
by DavidD
19 Jun 2020 03:48
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9724
Views: 1140142

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

WHO gives up on hydroxychloroquine for COVID-19, stops trials All the data is pointing to the popular anti-malaria drug having no effect. Jun 17, 2020 The World Health Organization on Wednesday announced that it is abandoning use of the anti-malaria drug hydroxychloroquine in the Solidarity trial—t...
by DavidD
17 Jun 2020 05:10
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: India's Border Security with China and Pakistan-2020
Replies: 8042
Views: 1034419

Re: India's Border Security with China and Pakistan-2020

I generally don't buy too much into media reports on either side. My assessment is that neither side has much to gain by escalating the situation, and it's also very odd that 20 - 40+ would die on each side in a non-firing brawl. I wonder if it's some sort of terrain related incident where a bunch ...

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