Search found 992 matches

by DavidD
17 Jun 2020 04:24
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: India's Border Security with China and Pakistan-2020
Replies: 8042
Views: 1034453

Re: India's Border Security with China and Pakistan-2020

Landslides??? Maybe, and it sounds like twice as many PLA soldiers died, maybe that's the real reason China won't release the casualty count. Either way, I just don't see how either side would benefit from a war there. I generally use analysis of motivations to help assess the situation, and I don'...
by DavidD
17 Jun 2020 04:11
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016
Replies: 4649
Views: 1125353

Re: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016

nam wrote:Anyone can geo locate these Type15?


On one of the signs it says "高岭" district, which based on a Google search appears to be in Changsha, Hunan.
by DavidD
17 Jun 2020 03:57
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: India's Border Security with China and Pakistan-2020
Replies: 8042
Views: 1034453

Re: India's Border Security with China and Pakistan-2020

I generally don't buy too much into media reports on either side. My assessment is that neither side has much to gain by escalating the situation, and it's also very odd that 20 - 40+ would die on each side in a non-firing brawl. I wonder if it's some sort of terrain related incident where a bunch o...
by DavidD
11 Jun 2020 02:14
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9728
Views: 1140697

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

battle rages on HCQ In a study published in The New England Journal of Medicine, researchers concluded that hydroxychloroquine, or HCQ, does not prevent infection with SARS-CoV-2 when administered to people soon after exposure to the virus . https://www.forbes.com/sites/coronavirusfrontlines/2020/0...
by DavidD
06 Jun 2020 01:35
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9728
Views: 1140697

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Thanks, but both links just say "page not found" for me, not sure why. Maybe it's locked by region? Just google the article title sir. The article comes up. Edit: http://www.ijmr.org.in/preprintarticle.asp?id=285520;type=0 Abstract: Background & objectives: Healthcare workers (HCWs) a...
by DavidD
06 Jun 2020 01:29
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Understanding the US - Again
Replies: 5798
Views: 836622

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Do you mean Chinese and Indians to be generally precise. However now that police dept is planned as public safety dept or something, not to disarm completely or partially but for real defence of people in general and not selectively, are people in general to be more safe or just enough (unless memb...
by DavidD
05 Jun 2020 09:01
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9728
Views: 1140697

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Anyone has a link to the actual study? I couldn't find it on a google search, just articles about it. Healthcare workers & SARS-CoV-2 infection in India: A case-control investigation in the time of COVID-19 http://www.ijmr.org.in/temp/IndianJMedRes000-4255589_114915.pdf http://www.ijmr.org.in/d...
by DavidD
05 Jun 2020 09:00
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9728
Views: 1140697

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

mukkan wrote:The Lancet retracts study on hydroxychloroquine and chloroquine

https://www.thelancet.com/lancet/articl ... 3620313246


Good, I don't think I know a of a single physician who didn't raise his eyebrows at that study.
by DavidD
04 Jun 2020 00:54
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016
Replies: 4649
Views: 1125353

Re: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016

brar_w wrote:What's the pace of their J-20 program? How many LRIP aircraft have they operationalized till date?


Last verified number was 8, I believe. Seems like a lot of effort has been made to change the engine to an indigenous type lately, so not sure if they're continuing production right now.
by DavidD
02 Jun 2020 16:23
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9728
Views: 1140697

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

I think a recent study didn't show any benefit for Favipiravir, I'd be interested in seeing what the Russian study showed. Hope it's published in English soon.
by DavidD
02 Jun 2020 04:49
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9728
Views: 1140697

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Anyone has a link to the actual study? I couldn't find it on a google search, just articles about it. this is a preprint script. Waiting for publication. Thanks. Here in the states it's too politicized. Trump touted HCQ so libs are all detracting it. Most physicians are liberal too so many are play...
by DavidD
01 Jun 2020 20:47
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9728
Views: 1140697

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

80% dip in infection risk for health staff on HCQ: Study HCQ seems to be working in prophylaxis https://www.hindustantimes.com/india-news/80-dip-in-infection-risk-for-health-staff-on-hcq-study/story-4Btz0DoDQtM0qacOCWZn7I.html As many as 80% of the health care workers (HCWs) on six or more prophyla...
by DavidD
31 May 2020 02:41
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9728
Views: 1140697

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Sounds fishy as hell, and I think it's way too premature for WHO to halt HCQ trials. Are there any HCQ RCTs running in India? I highly suspect that it's effective when given early and perhaps even as a prophylaxis, but a lack of evidence is both frustrating and puzzling. While I can see how in the ...
by DavidD
30 May 2020 18:48
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9728
Views: 1140697

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Sounds fishy as hell, and I think it's way too premature for WHO to halt HCQ trials. Are there any HCQ RCTs running in India? I highly suspect that it's effective when given early and perhaps even as a prophylaxis, but a lack of evidence is both frustrating and puzzling. While I can see how in the U...
by DavidD
30 May 2020 04:40
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9728
Views: 1140697

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

That's an earlier trial, this is the latest one. https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2007764 It shows a decrease in recovery time and a trend toward decrese in mortality mostly driven by the less severe cases. sir 4 days recovery benefit but no mortality benefit is very unimpressive for $60...
by DavidD
30 May 2020 04:09
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9728
Views: 1140697

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

The RCT results for Remdesivir was published on NEJM a few days ago https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2015301 it doesn;t show any definite advantage either. CONCLUSIONS In patients with severe Covid-19 not requiring mechanical ventilation, our trial did not show a significant difference b...
by DavidD
30 May 2020 03:52
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9728
Views: 1140697

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Someone show me the light! When entire West is trying to isolate China, SkyNews UK is sending team to Chinese lab to mainstream Chinese vaccine, why? Don't they have confidence in Oxford vaccine? And why Chinese vaccine company wants to run phase III trial in UK/Europe? https://news.sky.com/story/c...
by DavidD
30 May 2020 03:51
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9728
Views: 1140697

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Someone show me the light! When entire West is trying to isolate China, SkyNews UK is sending team to Chinese lab to mainstream Chinese vaccine, why? Don't they have confidence in Oxford vaccine? And why Chinese vaccine company wants to run phase III trial in UK/Europe? https://news.sky.com/story/c...
by DavidD
29 May 2020 16:41
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9728
Views: 1140697

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

The Chinese vaccine is the farthest along, the only one that has published peer-reviewed phase I results. Of course! You had like 2 or 3 months headstart over others? That shows. ...Since it uses a live virus that's well known to cause the common cold as the vector, its most common side effect is t...
by DavidD
28 May 2020 04:12
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9728
Views: 1140697

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Some good news on vaccine development. 6 prototype DNA vaccine developed, showed remarkable efficiency in monkeys. All 6 developed immune protein and none of the monkeys had lung infection post vaccination. The ones which were not vaccinated, developed lung infection. Higher the level of immunity p...
by DavidD
12 May 2020 15:14
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9728
Views: 1140697

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

syam wrote:i saw a tweet about chinese planning to test 11 million wuhan people in 10 day sprint. the scale of testing is simply mind-blowing.


Probably batch testing. Swabbing will be labor and time intensive, testing probably won't be too overwhelming, maybe only a few hundred thousand tests actually run.
by DavidD
06 May 2020 04:58
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Post Wuhan-Virus(Covid19) World and India
Replies: 484
Views: 91949

Re: Post Wuhan-Virus(Covid19) World and India

Trump administration pushing to rip global supply chains from China: officials https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-usa-china-idUSKBN22G0BZ The United States is pushing to create an alliance of “trusted partners” dubbed the “Economic Prosperity Network,” one official said. It would...
by DavidD
04 May 2020 05:14
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9728
Views: 1140697

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

^^^ Possibly it did. But selling the same PPEs at eight times the original cost (Mexico case) will make even Shylock proud. Sure, but that's just economics, not a result of hoarding. Mask production world-wide pre-COVID was at about 20 million a day, of which about half were produced in China. By t...
by DavidD
04 May 2020 02:08
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9728
Views: 1140697

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J9Vh9yqu5Qo The U.S. intelligence report says China not only misled the world on the severity of the virus, but also stockpiled medical supplies and PPE. J9Vh9yqu5Qo Who isn't stockpiling PPEs these days? If China didn't stockpile them the story would be how the Chin...
by DavidD
23 Apr 2020 04:39
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Post Wuhan-Virus(Covid19) World and India
Replies: 484
Views: 91949

Re: Post Wuhan-Virus(Covid19) World and India

Why do so many people think COVID will speed up reshoring? Reshoring is happening mostly from AI/robotics eliminating the need for cheap labor, i.e. economic concerns, I don't see how COVID changes that. Reshoring was happening largely in manufacturing thanks to trade wars etc - the supply chain vu...
by DavidD
23 Apr 2020 04:23
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9728
Views: 1140697

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Population density or lack of it shows up in R0 or transmission. Or rather in a given unit of time, x units will be infected vs. y units infected. However, once they are infected the death rates are to be compared. It helps to compare death rate even state wise and county wise. Using that, it has b...
by DavidD
23 Apr 2020 03:01
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Post Wuhan-Virus(Covid19) World and India
Replies: 484
Views: 91949

Re: Post Wuhan-Virus(Covid19) World and India

Why do so many people think COVID will speed up reshoring? Reshoring is happening mostly from AI/robotics eliminating the need for cheap labor, i.e. economic concerns, I don't see how COVID changes that.
by DavidD
10 Apr 2020 20:48
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9728
Views: 1140697

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Can someone figure out why - in Jan & Feb, were so few Chinese outside Wuhan infected ? The number of people travelling from Wuhan to other parts of China, through high speed rail and air, is exponentially more than those travelling abroad (who have since infected 1.6 million people and killed ...
by DavidD
07 Apr 2020 21:09
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9728
Views: 1140697

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Intensivists are gobsmacked on how to tackle this disease ...this is not behaving like typical ARDS! There is widespread pulmonary microthrombus disadvantaging any lungs recruitment. Higher PEEP is counter productive. Some liberal fluids is OK. Prostacyclin , Nitric Oxide is back so is systemic ant...
by DavidD
02 Apr 2020 01:34
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Post Wuhan-Virus(Covid19) World and India
Replies: 484
Views: 91949

Re: Post Wuhan-Virus(Covid19) World and India

The Anglo-Saxons have not been Number ONE in the past half millenia for no reason. They are a powerful, quick thinking, quick reacting, ruthless race. When the US and UK are openly considering Herd Immunity early in the game, we should not see it as some kind grasping at straws and not a deliberate...
by DavidD
26 Mar 2020 09:43
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9728
Views: 1140697

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

No, you are wrong, the reason why dengue spreads more in the summer not because the virus prefers it, but because the vector, a mosquito, only survives in the summer not the winter. Please don't get those get those confused. Same for zika and chikungunya - they're all spread primarily by mosquitos ...
by DavidD
26 Mar 2020 02:39
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9728
Views: 1140697

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

I have one question in general. Why do we have less death rate in terms of flu when compared to other developed nations with such wonderfull health care facility? Interesting question. Someone should write a paper on this. India was also spared the wrath of the SARS virus. It is not the case just w...
by DavidD
19 Mar 2020 07:31
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9728
Views: 1140697

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Azithromycin as far as far as I know is an anti-bacterial but will it work against a virus?. Here is some personal experience. Few weeks back my son who lives in bay area and does come in contact with Chinese at work came down with sore throat and cough but he had no fever. At that time no panic, n...
by DavidD
16 Mar 2020 07:48
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9728
Views: 1140697

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Hi all, some might recognize me as the Chinese poster who posts mostly in China-related military and political threads. My day job, however, is an Internal Medicine physician working in the San Francisco bay area, one of the epicenters of outbreaks in the US. I'm not an expert on this virus by any m...
by DavidD
13 Mar 2020 03:12
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 9728
Views: 1140697

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

^^^not to mention that Soko has a larger elderly population than most. I guess isolation and quarantine are the most effective... There are more factors at play than that. 1) SK was exceptionally well prepared as they had literally just ran a national pandemic drill in December in response to recen...
by DavidD
21 Jun 2018 07:45
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016
Replies: 4649
Views: 1125353

Re: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016

Pretty sure the 1st carrier returned to dry dock after a few days of first trial as well.
by DavidD
27 May 2018 02:23
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Sri Lanka - News and Discussion
Replies: 3770
Views: 397742

Re: Sri Lanka - News and Discussion

I cannot understand why we don't lend SL Money.Let it be caught in an Indian debt trap rather than the Chins! Utter myopia in the MEA.We will have to spend several billions just to counter the " Chins in the island.Centuries old prophecy allegedly in an ancient Trick Mobil is coming true...abo...
by DavidD
08 Mar 2018 18:52
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016
Replies: 4649
Views: 1125353

Re: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016

Hello Dave! Long time no see. And never mind upholding the honor of the Middle Kingdom by pawning the ad hoc kitchen off on Vietnam. We already said the noodles look tasty. Please look at this and translate what is being said about the Z-20: Hmm, it's a bit cryptic, it says "Boss, a hot pot to...
by DavidD
07 Mar 2018 22:31
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016
Replies: 4649
Views: 1125353

Re: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016

052Ds do not have slant launchers, 052Cs are no longer in production, 054As have square canisters, and 056/As do not have quad launchers. That newspaper appears to be in Vietnamese, it's likely a Vietnamese warship.
by DavidD
03 Feb 2018 20:41
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Analyzing CPEC
Replies: 1405
Views: 304513

Re: Analyzing CPEC

I think it's wrong to focus on material gains like money and assets with OBOR investments. Like many of you mentioned, countries can default on loans, they can nationalize assets. What would China do if countries do that, invade them like the U.S. does? No, what it's about is building a supply chain...

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