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by ldev
09 Jul 2022 18:19
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Replies: 4094
Views: 2034728

Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy

Also it seems Ukraine air defense might be getting better at shooting down Kalibr cruise missiles, so missile attack are also becoming inefficient (there is recent video which shows 6 of 7 shot down by Dnieper). Maybe the Russians are also running low on their Kalibr stocks. In the Kremenchuk shopp...
by ldev
09 Jul 2022 09:41
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukranian War: Geopolitical Fallout
Replies: 2716
Views: 683656

Re: Russian-Ukranian War: Geopolitical Fallout

Conspiracy theory alert. The western world will trigger a multi year recession to collapse oil prices in order to defeat Russia. That will have the additional benefit of reducing the European and North American population by 25 to 30% because of large scale hunger and starvation. That will take car...
by ldev
09 Jul 2022 09:34
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Replies: 4094
Views: 2034728

Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy

Sending 4 more himars are signs of growing desperation on US side. The US Army has an inventory of ~350 Himars and ~350 M270s (12 MLRS tubes for M270 vs 6 for Himars) and they plan on inducting another ~150 Himars by 2026. So I don't see any constraint in the US alone supplying 40-50 Himars from th...
by ldev
09 Jul 2022 02:39
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Replies: 4094
Views: 2034728

Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy

US to send more HIMARS precision rockets to Ukraine The four additional M142 High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems, or HIMARS, will bring the total number sent to Ukraine to a dozen , a senior defense official told reporters in a briefing Friday. The official said the first eight HIMARS were parti...
by ldev
08 Jul 2022 22:32
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Replies: 4094
Views: 2034728

Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy

Having said that I do not think the Russians have shown more than about 15-20% of their hand, especially on the electronics front. Can you think of any specific piece of EW equipment that the Russians are holding back? As far as I can see Russia has already deployed it's most potent ground based EW...
by ldev
08 Jul 2022 21:54
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: India and Japan: News and Discussion
Replies: 2129
Views: 382471

Re: India and Japan: News and Discussion

Generous tributes paid to Shinzo Abe from Narendra Modi: My Friend, Abe San Shinzo Abe - an outstanding leader of Japan, a towering global statesman, and a great champion of India-Japan friendship - is not among us anymore. Japan and the world have lost a great visionary. And, I have lost a dear fri...
by ldev
08 Jul 2022 18:44
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Replies: 4094
Views: 2034728

Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy

I think the Russians did attempt a SEAD campaign but were not successful. After the SU-35 was shot down in May I haven't come across many photographs/videos of SU-35s in action. Prior to that Russian MOD used to show SU-35s taking off for missions over Ukraine. The SU-35 that was shot down had Khibi...
by ldev
08 Jul 2022 10:09
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Replies: 4094
Views: 2034728

Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy

Operational pause to rest and recuperate or operational pause because they are short of artillery munitions because Ukraine has destroyed too many ammunition dumps recently? And without artillery directed by Orlan 10/30 UAVs the Russians cannot advance. Russia taking 'operational pause' in Ukraine, ...
by ldev
05 Jul 2022 18:38
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Replies: 4094
Views: 2034728

Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy

So in hindsight a wise strategic move Idev? War is but a means to an end is it not. ks_sachin, you mean a wise strategic move by Putin?? Certainly not IMO. In descending order of attractiveness I would list Putin's goals as: 1. Disarm and denazify Ukraine. By denazify he means regime change in Kiev...
by ldev
05 Jul 2022 14:34
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Replies: 4094
Views: 2034728

Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy

In the early stages of the war specially around their drive towards Kiev, the Russians led with tanks without supporting infantry and the tanks were neutralized by ATGMs such as the Javelin and NLAW. With re-grouping and subsequent focus in the east on the Donbass region, the Russians reverted back ...
by ldev
03 Jul 2022 22:05
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Replies: 4094
Views: 2034728

Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy

Behind paywall. Russia Claims Control of Luhansk as Ukrainian Forces Retreat From Lysychansk Don't post articles (or even excerpts) behind paywalls on BRF. These articles are behind paywalls for a reason. I have removed the quoted parts of the article from your post. Understood. I did not realize t...
by ldev
03 Jul 2022 21:50
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Replies: 4094
Views: 2034728

Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy

Behind paywall.

Russia Claims Control of Luhansk as Ukrainian Forces Retreat From Lysychansk

Confirmation from Russia about the Tochka strikes on Belgorod and Kursk, drone strikes on Kursk and Himars strikes on Melitopol and the capture of Lysychansk.
by ldev
03 Jul 2022 09:35
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Replies: 4094
Views: 2034728

Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy

If HIMARS is supposedly hitting point targets. Then they are using GPS guided rockets. The early supplies from the US were non GPS rockets, but the Canadian supplies during the same time included GPS guided rockets. Don't know if the US has since also supplied GPS guided rockets. Also the M270 MLRS...
by ldev
03 Jul 2022 09:23
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Replies: 4094
Views: 2034728

Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy

Based on what I can put together there is only 1 Tochka fired, they seemed to have fired something to try to intercept it (looks to be a high velocity missile ) but it missed or was partial hit and Tochka hit the ground. The strike on the Melitopol airfield was supposedly by Himars, targeted the oi...
by ldev
03 Jul 2022 09:01
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Replies: 4094
Views: 2034728

Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy

What’s biggest surprise is S-300/400 seem how to have poor intercept rate against Tochka keep in mind these are easier to shoot down than Scud and likely has big implications for us as we rely on S-400 for similar role. Yes, the S-400 has been strangely ineffective in this conflict inspite of numer...
by ldev
03 Jul 2022 08:57
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Replies: 4094
Views: 2034728

Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy

^ Not new Ukrainian have been striking into Russia now basically trying to take out Russian supplies. They sent an old Soviet era Tuploev drone only couple days ago likely to test the defenses so new something was up. I think I have already shared video of Ukr drone striking Russian refinery and Uk...
by ldev
03 Jul 2022 08:31
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Replies: 4094
Views: 2034728

Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy

Igor Girkin on his twitter page, videos and photographs of strikes in Russia on Belgorod and Kursk as well as Russian occupied Melitopol. So has the war been taken inside Russia's borders? Or is it a false flag? https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status/1543393198399275013?cxt=HHwWioC-tfn7nesqAAAA htt...
by ldev
01 Jul 2022 21:53
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Replies: 4094
Views: 2034728

Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy

The long range precision MLRS M270 AND M142 (Himars) systems that Ukraine has now received in small quantities will have a disproportionately large impact if used correctly by Ukraine. As the British defence secretary Ben Wallace says,"they cannot be used as area weapons, because Ukraine will r...
by ldev
01 Jul 2022 19:22
Forum: Science, Economics & Technology Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 8447
Views: 3033133

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Interesting article by Andy Mukherjee in Bloomberg on the division of the Mukesh Ambani empire among his 3 children. But what is most interesting is the bolded section where the Ambanis have this ambitious target of producing/selling "green" hydrogen in 1 decade at the rate of 1 dollar per...
by ldev
01 Jul 2022 18:46
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: International Aerospace Discussion - Jan 2018
Replies: 2810
Views: 1467711

Re: International Aerospace Discussion - Jan 2018

Greece proceeds with purchase of 20 Lockheed F-35 fighter jets -PM

Turkey won't be very happy about this news after being kicked out of the F-35 program for flirting with Russia/S-400!! So one squadron of 20 fighters with an option to buy a second squadron of 20.
by ldev
30 Jun 2022 08:31
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Replies: 4094
Views: 2034728

Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy

There were two separate missile strikes that day. One was at at an industrial site, the Kredmash Road Machinery factory and the second was at the Mall. As the image below indicates, the two locations are separated by about 500 meters so there is no way that a blast only at the industrial factory sit...
by ldev
29 Jun 2022 18:38
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Replies: 4094
Views: 2034728

Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy

John wrote:^ It's clearly a Kh-22, I believe this is a upgraded Kh-22m .....
You are correct. Screen grab below.....

Image
by ldev
29 Jun 2022 18:00
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Replies: 4094
Views: 2034728

Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy

CCTV footage of the moment that a Russian missile strikes a shopping center in Kremenchuk, Ukraine a couple of days ago. The missile is supposed to be a KH-22 anti ship missile launched from either TU-22M3s or TU-95s over Russia. Was this a case of deliberately targeting a shopping center or is the ...
by ldev
28 Jun 2022 19:02
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Replies: 4094
Views: 2034728

Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy

We don't have any reliable info that the strike took place, let alone what the casualties were. The Ukraine MOD briefing (which generally gives wildly exaggerated claims) has no mention of it. In general, a MLRS strike is more suited to hitting a HQ, or infantry, or soft skinned vehicles, not armor...
by ldev
25 Jun 2022 18:25
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukranian War: Geopolitical Fallout
Replies: 2716
Views: 683656

Re: Russian-Ukranian War: Geopolitical Fallout

98 ships mostly tankers owned by the Russian shipping company Sovcomflot have had their registrations transferred into the name of Sovcomflot's Dubai service management company, SCF Management Services (Dubai) Ltd. Certification that these ships now registered in Dubai are in good condition to enter...
by ldev
24 Jun 2022 20:12
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Replies: 4094
Views: 2034728

Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy

https://www.facebook.com/pablitomoiseev ... xODY1Njg1/

First videos of the M142 HIMARS in action in Ukraine. The Extended Range M-31 MLRS munitions that the US is providing have a range 80 km vs 40 km for M-777 shells.
by ldev
23 Jun 2022 06:07
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Agnipath (Tour of Duty): News & Discussion
Replies: 396
Views: 48423

Re: Agnipath (Tour of Duty): News & Discussion

The imperative to downsize/rightsize the Indian armed forces, specially the Indian Army so that a greater proportion of the defence budget can be allocated for weapons purchases and modernization has been self evident for quite some time. Think about the strain that even moderate size capital purcha...
by ldev
22 Jun 2022 18:29
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukranian War: Geopolitical Fallout
Replies: 2716
Views: 683656

Re: Russian-Ukranian War: Geopolitical Fallout

WHAT THE INDIAN MILITARY WON’T LEARN FROM THE WAR IN UKRAINE The war has also generated more pressing difficulties. The Indian military is currently focused on maintaining its Russian-made equipment in the face of supply shortages and Western sanctions. Within weeks of the war, the government postp...
by ldev
21 Jun 2022 21:39
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Su-30MKI: News and Discussion - 24 July 2021
Replies: 928
Views: 463007

Re: Su-30MKI: News and Discussion - 24 July 2021

According to Flightglobal there are 2 different Scorpio pods, the SP model which provides self-protection and the SJ model, slung under the centreline hardpoint which provides stand off jamming against ground based and air borne search and targeting radars and can therefore act as an escort for othe...
by ldev
21 Jun 2022 18:55
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Chinese Armed Forces: News & Discussion
Replies: 669
Views: 323161

Re: Chinese Armed Forces: News & Discussion

China says it tested missile-interception system To what extent deployment of this system will impact India's deterrence posture needs to be studied. Given India's minimum credible deterrent position, an ABM system such as this will likely be designed to neutralize a limited number of inbound balli...
by ldev
21 Jun 2022 18:34
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Understanding New China After the 19th and 20th Congresses
Replies: 1295
Views: 381155

Re: Understanding New China After the 19th and 20th Congresses

China is attempting to change what constitutes an international waterway as defined by UNCLOS. It's next aim will be to turn the South China Sea between it's fortified bases on the Sprattly Reefs and mainland China into a Chinese lake!! China is threatening to close the Taiwan Strait “There is no su...
by ldev
20 Jun 2022 08:48
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Replies: 4094
Views: 2034728

Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy

RUAF does not want to escalate and impose any sort of CAP on western Ukraine. They are hitting target of opportunities as and when they arise. Ukranians according to you who have lost as many as RUAF still do not seem to strike at 40 Km long supply routes or even for that matter egress into Russia ...
by ldev
14 Jun 2022 19:54
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukranian War: Geopolitical Fallout
Replies: 2716
Views: 683656

Re: Russian-Ukranian War: Geopolitical Fallout

Maybe you can advise Indian oil PSU's to model these formulations!! It may change their buying patterns!! They might buy more from Russia!! They might even risk a Black Swan event to save some money. Arrey baba, suddenly getting angry. kyon bhayya? Is it out of the realm of your imagination and out...
by ldev
14 Jun 2022 19:36
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Replies: 4094
Views: 2034728

Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy

Russia seems to have finally perfected tactics that play to it's strengths and are helped in no small measure with the smaller territorial targets that it has set for itself i.e. complete capture of eastern Ukraine only. It has come down to massive artillery barrages to bombard an area, reduce it to...
by ldev
13 Jun 2022 09:01
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukranian War: Geopolitical Fallout
Replies: 2716
Views: 683656

Re: Russian-Ukranian War: Geopolitical Fallout

So unless the beneficiary is happy to have his claim paid in rubles it's a non starter. India will be happy to be paid in rubles or barter something. Yes? So why did India negotiate for an "as delivered" basis for buying Russian crude? At least that is what IOC is supposedly doing for the...
by ldev
13 Jun 2022 08:57
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukranian War: Geopolitical Fallout
Replies: 2716
Views: 683656

Re: Russian-Ukranian War: Geopolitical Fallout

There are multistage linear programming formulations to de-risk. Also Theory of Stochastsic DiffEqs and Ito's integral. Nobody can insure against black swan events. By the very definition, they are unpredictable. Maybe you can advise Indian oil PSU's to model these formulations!! It may change thei...
by ldev
13 Jun 2022 08:49
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: International Naval News & Discussion
Replies: 3871
Views: 1086762

Re: International Naval News & Discussion

:) So 555 million Euros has cut the gordian knot!! France is mollified and Australia has got the French albatross of it's back. Naval Group has accepted the compensation. Australia announces compensation deal with France for scrapped submarine contract Prime Minister Anthony Albanese said the French...
by ldev
12 Jun 2022 22:26
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukranian War: Geopolitical Fallout
Replies: 2716
Views: 683656

Re: Russian-Ukranian War: Geopolitical Fallout

If a tanker sinks, the cost of spill cleanup and env, fishing, tourism liability and damages could be 100x the value of oil + tanker itself. To what extent does insurance cover such liability? May be this business remained a cartel because a couple of large sinks in a year could sink the insurer an...
by ldev
12 Jun 2022 22:24
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukranian War: Geopolitical Fallout
Replies: 2716
Views: 683656

Re: Russian-Ukranian War: Geopolitical Fallout

I think it is very important to turn our logic on its head. Start with - "there is a full fledged war going on". Visit pretty much all aspects of what it means to be in a full fledged war. Then we can - at the very tail end - figure out Euro, Rubles, etc. This is about "A new world o...
by ldev
12 Jun 2022 21:57
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukranian War: Geopolitical Fallout
Replies: 2716
Views: 683656

Re: Russian-Ukranian War: Geopolitical Fallout

Russia has offered to insure ships. In fact HAD also offered naval escorts - way early in the conflict - no idea if it is still valid, but do not think anyone accepted the offer to escort. If somebody accepts the Russian insurance offer and the ship sinks, how is the Russian insurer going to pay th...