Bharat Rakshak

Saral

it is astounding that this is even an issue. this is going beyond fox news levels. hilary said at benghazi hearing "it does not matter how the ambassador died, we have responsibility to investigate blah blah" and fox played it all days as "HILARY DOES NOT CARE ABOUT AMBASSADORS DEATH...

Saral

Run #2/12 done.. Sunny day. Asics was still wet from yesterday.. NB was fine except for more jarring on the right side..

Saral

These are absurd, fanciful wishes. If someone, however noble, was foisted on you as a life partner when you were barely 18, would you consider to be married to the person for life? Whatever NaMo does, should be fine with us. He is unlikely to re-marry. If he has a partner (unlikely) that is his choi...

Saral

will further modi-fy my UPA estimate

Saral 75 25 0 0 0 0 0

Saral

In 2009, RM wrote an essay which came out on Tehelka (a phase when I interacted a lot with RM incl editing this piece). It poses some interesting questions whose answers will emerge over the next decade or two. See http://archive.tehelka.com/story_main41.asp?filename=Ne170109we_the.asp NaMo was not ...

Saral

I am taking a personal pledge. For the next 12 days (till May 11), I will run daily 6 miles. Total will be 72 miles. Will run in the mornings. For added enthu, this effort will be directed to enhancing NDA total :lol: and hopefully I will succeed. Day 1 outside road run.. Raining. Only person on tra...

Saral

Frankly, Diggy's relationship is private stuff unless it can be shown otherwise (had an impact on official duties). I don't think we should go the American route here (of publicizing private affairs). NaMo is an uber-alpha. Rest assured, he won't do such a thing without carefully thinking it through...

Saral

I think we need to give credit to PPatil. His method involves identifying "swing" areas and focusing on data gathering there and triangulating based on understanding of history and groups. This technique appears very sound as these are high-information sources. For example, just yesterday ...

Saral

The NaMo and Election Threads should be made public once they are halaled, for public post mortem.

Saral

Net, Net AAP is turning out to be a positive for BJP (mostly, it is irrelevant). Chances of 300+ brighten. 272+ is a given.

Saral

You can edit or change till sometime tomorrow when Ramana will post a message here.

Saral

TonySoprano: I think once trends are known for today, we can start celebrating. It's all over but the shouting.

Saral

Relax.. 272 is a lock. Only question is whether it is going to be 300+.

Saral

I posted this long ago that it will be the Armed Forces officer population and their families, by and large , that will be mostly against BJP's cultural nationalism. Interesting hypothesis. Given the cultural aspects and peer groups they are exposed to, right from training as a cadet, this may be p...

Saral

updating my week 4

Saral 0 0 0 0 0 55 45

Saral

Despite all the talk about no vindictiveness, I just don't see it happening. Once regime change happens, things can happen in a big hurry. The Congis are likely to be unpleasantly surprised by the degree of hate that is in store for them. There will be collateral damage. It cannot be business as usu...

Saral

Waiting for May 16 has definitely taken a hit on productivity. All reasonable info suggests NDA > 272, quite likely > 300. That's shades of 1984.

Saral

Saral Rahul as a PM was removed because people are not betting even at 1:500 on Rahul at that point odds become high risk. Rates are not based on betting patterns or volumes, it is based on calculations of Satta operators, similar to 543/Muraliravi type studies. Your last part is correct, very high...

Saral

When a cricket match is going on I rely more on one Internet betting site rather than commentators. I have found them very accurate. Same thing with this satta operators, they are not guided by emotions. They have to shell out real cash at the end of the day, so they are pretty accurate however, er...

Saral

^^^ complete agree :) Some of what he talked about I started to realize (maybe 10% of what he knew back in the day), which makes him a great man. Consider this: Without the unprecedented access to parallel media that we have today (twitter, BRF, internet etc), there is no way I would have come to e...

Saral

KJo: Important thing is to enjoy your 2 miler; as you get more addicted you'll find your sweet spot.. maybe it is 3 miles, maybe it is 5 miles or more, who knows? Not all of us do 500+ cycles in our flight. But that doesn't mean pleasure is any lesser. Don't fall into the trap of using numbers to co...

Saral

will modi-fy my UPA estimate

Saral 50 40 10 0 0 0 0

Saral

fanne wrote:to ab tak ka score 543 se 190/347 for NDA

Proportionally, from a naive pov, it is 297/543. Am hoping Tsunamo pushes it over 300.

Saral

Lilo wrote: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KNtIwqN01bI

Is he wearing a bullet-proof jacket inside?

Saral

I was reading Aditya Nigam's articles on Outlook - fascinating to see this kind of hatred against Modi. Even if we ignore the childish attempts by Nigam at maligning a great man - it is clearly apparent, that Aditya's puerile efforts cannot be, but motivated by money. So, what gives? Haven't read t...

Saral

7.5 mi outdoors (felt thirsty in the middle, luckily there was a water jug on a tennis court).. followed by lawn mowing..so good workout day.. One observation.. The amount of crappiness I feel (before running.. mostly due to missing runs for several days) seems proportional to the saltiness of the s...

Saral

Last minute bravado and desperate measures cannot trump fundamentals and planning. NDA will get 300 plus. Congress will be wiped out. That's what the trends of last few weeks add to, in my opinion, capped by the coronation at Varanasi for what was actually just a filing the nomination event. Unprece...

Saral

I am going full Monty here as this election seems to be a clear rejection of UPA, with high turnout, no evidence for RG or anyone in Congress having any positive effect; their wins are based on local stalwarts and demographics onlee; so tough to break 3 digits. Could be that I am wrong and they snea...

Saral

Saral 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 Based on weakness of UPA. If UPA does badly the seats must go someplace else. Seems like the third front isn't going to be the main beneficiary except where they dominate already (Bengal). And the increase in vote turnout is highly significant and driven by younger demographics...

Saral

It seems that this is the single largest increase in turnout from the previous election. Should be 9% difference by the time it is over. If high turnout reflects desire for change, then NDA should get 300+. There's really no other way to interpret the turnout difference that I am aware of. Two analy...

Saral

Ashok Malik has a piece on the Skull-Cap non-issue in the Daily Pioneer.

Saral

No cognitive dissonance here. Just plain lack of awareness of the subtleties of Punjab BJP politics. Even if what you said is true, isn't Sidhu still a non-performing MP? http://www.prsindia.org/mptrack/navjotsinghsidhu So what you are saying is that someone else should've been the Amritsar candidat...

Saral

ramana wrote:I upped the vote to 3 times for this week.

I think the vote on the top is only vote once (I did that in the beginning). Is there something else we should know? Or are you saying that you scaled it up by a factor of 3 (likely meaning). What's the reason for doing so?

Saral

I watched only a few minutes of NaMos speech for AJ in Amritsar. The crowd was very lukewarm, couldn't connect. NaMo throat soreness continues. I guess Punjab and Kerala are the two states unaffected by wave. And AJ could well be in serious trouble. Maybe these people will vote for a Joker like Sidh...

Saral

I think its fine and even good for post-mortem after May 16 to also list reasons if we can. Not compulsory but I am encouraging it. There isn't any super-secret stuff that one or a few of us have privy to. In any case, the judges here are a stubborn lot and are not swayed much by others opinions.

Saral

looks like week 4 is set to be quite interesting.. anti-jinx mantras, dhoti-shivers all in full display

Saral

Only morons don't get to caste their votes. . Chaanakya ji -- dont be so harsh. I do know people who had tried really hard but could not get their names in the list. I know people who had been voting for 25+ years from a certain location and had their names magically removed when they were least ex...

Saral

Sorry to say, Swapan uses 10 words where one or two would do. And continues to underplay the behavior of these leftist turds. AJ and Swapan seem to be unduly mild with the sold out media types Content aside, Swapan's prose is tortured. Consequently, his writing lacks punch. I just rewrote the first...

Saral

Report from my dad Not only were our names on the list, more importantly, an employee from the state govt came to our doorstep two days earlier and handed over slips of identification and guidance as to which particular room of the school (which was the polling stn), we were to enter and cast our vo...

Saral

Week 3 UPA Table 1 is sorted in order of mean estimates (ESTIMATE) from each of the 12 distributions (rows). I use the center of each range as the weighting factor for each frequency (so 105.5 for the range 101 to 110). I used 85 and 165 as weights for the end ranges. Table 2 is sorted by CONFIDENC...

Search found 574 matches