Bharat Rakshak

Shanmukh

What are you guys smoking.. Some of those numbers are hopelelessly optimistic and borne out of wishful thinking. The SP-BSP alliance which was formed on the back of Cambs Analytika profiling of the individual UP wards, seems to have transferred their votes cleanly . If this were the case, why is Az...

Shanmukh

The lowest was Bommanahalli at 48% voting. After that, it was KR Puram at 50%. Neither can be said to be a middle class stronghold. In fact, middle class strongholds like Jayanagar, Padmanabhanagar and Basavanagudi saw 57-60% voting in Bengaluru. Even on the day of polling, the lowest actual turnou...

Shanmukh

Ramana-garu, The turnout in Bengaluru has been more or less the same as last time. Last time the figures were Bengaluru North - 56.5% (2014), 54.66 (2019) Bengaluru Central - 55.6% (2014), 54.3 (2019) Bengaluru South - 55.7% (2014), 53.8% (2019). Except in Bengaluru South where the factional feudin...

Shanmukh

The low turnout from the IT sector during the elections in bangalore has finally caught the eyes of some founders. They have now said that voting holidays are given very specifically for voting and those employees who return without the inked finger will be terminated immediately. Also, I have had ...

Shanmukh

Not true. Anywhere north of KL, TN you are likely to get lynched if you do it openly. Even in rural TN, you would get lynched. Hindu villages can be and often are, very ruthless against cow killers. OTOH, in Jihadi and EJ areas of all states, it goes on quite openly. These areas, though part of Ind...

Shanmukh

From Dr PP. If true will send him money. He can get ghee shakkar Big shock today, Mallikarjun Kharge, the leader of the UPA in the parliament is trailing in Gulbarga. He was leading throughout the day because of mass deletion of Brahmin, Lingayat sounding names from voter list, yet we believe the c...

Shanmukh

Does anyone else think something smells here? https://www.mynation.com/video/india-news/5-jds-workers-among-dead-in-sri-lanka-blasts-2-missing-pqcozw 5 JDS workers among dead in Sri Lanka blasts, 2 missing 22, Apr 2019, 12:34 PM IST Bengaluru: Seven JD(S) workers who travelled to Sri Lanka on a vac...

Shanmukh

Even in your somewhat conservative analysis: -50 in existing strongholds and +30 in virgin territory: That Puts BJP at ~260 with NDA at comfortable 272+ position..? So is Panic called for? Panic? Where did I suggest panic? I just commented that the numbers of the satta bazaar that were published by...

Shanmukh

IndraD wrote:can this be atoned with gains in Bengal, Odisha, South India & NE?

They can gain around 25-30 seats from the four regions [this is the best case]. It is hard for them to make up more than that.

Shanmukh

In 2014, BJP won 25/25 in Rajasthan. This time it is likely to be 18-20. In 2014, BJP won 26/26 in Gujarat. This time it is likey to be 22-23. In 2014, BJP won 22/40 in Bihar. This time, they are contesting only 17, and are likely to win 14-15. In 2014, BJP won 23/48 in Maharashtra. This time, it i...

Shanmukh

Basically, it is going to come down to this. BJP will lose ~50 seats [at least] of the 282 seats they won last time. and This is assuming that the UP results go well for BJP and it does not lose >15 seats. seem to be mutually contradictory. you have given a break-up for possible seats in S, E &...

Shanmukh

I have a Satta Bazaar estimate putting 299/350 for BJP/NDA. It's in Hindi. भाजपा. = 299 सहयोगी। = 51 *एनडीए - = 350* *महाराष्ट्र (48)* = भाजपा -25 सहयोगी -16 *गुजरात (26)* = बीजेपी -26 *मध्य प्रदेश (29)* = भाजपा -25 *राजस्थान - (25)* = बीजेपी -22 *पंजाब (13)* = भाजपा- 4 सहयोगी ...

Shanmukh

Here is a survey by Mathrubhumi for 19/20 seats in Kerala [For some strange reason, they have not given the Kottayam survey]. https://www.mathrubhumi.com/election/2019/lok-sabha/news/mathrubhumi-survey-1.3712658 According to this survey, BJP is leading in Thiruvananthapuram by 8%vote, getting 40% o...

Shanmukh

Here is a survey by Mathrubhumi for 19/20 seats in Kerala [For some strange reason, they have not given the Kottayam survey]. https://www.mathrubhumi.com/election/2019/lok-sabha/news/mathrubhumi-survey-1.3712658 According to this survey, BJP is leading in Thiruvananthapuram by 8%vote, getting 40% of...

Shanmukh

Apparently, ISIS has lost its last stronghold [Baghouz].

https://www.cnn.com/2019/03/23/middleea ... index.html

So what is going to happen next in Syria? Any ideas?

Shanmukh

I am not going to second guess the IAF about the disposition of the planes and how they have to fight. They know far more than we civilians do about fighting wars. And anyway, in war, you cannot plan for every single eventuality. Let use see the results thus far and tabulate them. 1) IAF attacks Jih...

Shanmukh

Announce location and time of bombing raids? So that the AA/ PAF can be ready? That's what I meant by the genuflective tendency of civilian netas who think they are in RamaRajya. I would bomb at the deepest hour of the pre-dawn to catch as many as possible in their beds or goat-sheds. Then you need...

Shanmukh

@Ramana, Thanks for starting this thread. I am going to focus on one major point of this potential war - the war aims and objectives. The most important point which we need to answer is - what is our objective? What exactly do we want to achieve from the war? What is the final result we desire to se...

Shanmukh

Three Jihadi students, Manzoor, Mushtaq, and Maqbool [all three from Kashmir, BTW], attack a fellow student, Koushik Debnath, over the latter's Facebook post supporting the army in BENGALURU. Here are the ironies - both Manzoor and Maqbool were admitted under Prime MInister's Scholarship Scheme [for...

Shanmukh

Supratik Ji , Suffice to say that the Doval doctrine has failed at least in Kashmir and also wrt Pakistan. While we never had any major terror attack on civilian target till now , but two major and horrendous attacks have taken place on our security forces.The situation in Kashmir has gone from bad...

Shanmukh

This comes from First Post, Dr Tara Kartha, who has spent 17 years at the National Security Council Secretariat, which sits at the apex of India's national security architecture. At the NSCS, she worked on terrorism and other security issues relating to the neighbourhood, and held special charge of...

Shanmukh

No crowds in Dehradun who had cornered the Kashmiri girls, trapped in a hostel, but Kashmiri girls raised pro-Pakistani slogans which the police sorted out. This is what our hyper liberal media has turned into `attacks on Kashmiris.' https://twitter.com/uttarakhandcops/sta ... 9849795584

Shanmukh

TSP is not a military power even today so what difference would it make? It’s failed state with a sh!t military and nooks. And we broke it into two four decades ago so did our problems disappear? And the western issues are overtly bloody but less dangerous than the eastern ones. Yes, 44 deaths on t...

Shanmukh

Pakistanis violate ceasefire in Mendhar and Nowshera sectors after the terrorist strike. They are certainly spoiling for a fight. https://www.timesnownews.com/mirror-now/in-focus/article/terror-attacks-in-jammu-and-kashmir-s-awantipora-pulwama-district-pakistan-pm-imran-khan-kashmir-ceasefire-violat...

Shanmukh

I generally don't post my own articles, but this one, I think, needs to be read given the security and demographic implications that this is going to have for India. Saswati Sarkar, Dikgaj and I make a case for the Citizenship Amendment Bill on a civilisational, historical and demographic basis. We ...

Shanmukh

Survey finds confidence in Pakistani economy to be the lowest in all of South Asia. https://profit.pakistantoday.com.pk/2019/01/17/pakistans-economic-confidence-falls-despite-strong-sentiment-in-region/ Commenting on the findings, ACCA Pakistan head Sajjeed Aslam said, “Despite overall confidence in...

Shanmukh

China's real estate market goes for a toss. If this really plummets, then I think China will be in deep trouble. Not sure how they can weather that upheaval. But then again, this is all western news and who knows how much they are cooking up stuff to keep the Chinese under pressure? https://www.thes...

Shanmukh

Much as I might support the sentiment; I've gotta counsel... I don't think denying WikiPedia donations will obtain the result sought. The way to approach this, is to become a topic moderator for the topics where this has happened; and wage that battle in prose, backed with fact. I have seen those w...

Shanmukh

Every year, many of us donate to Wikipedia. However, there have been many concerns about their Indophobic/Hinduphobic content and how any corrections keep getting deleted by their moderators. This year too, I have got a mail from Wiki asking me to donate. Should we all try to draft a mail and send i...

Shanmukh

I will believe "The Rail Project" will only be on paper and the money will be in the pockets of Rashid and the other of the Ilk! Cheers http://www.skyscrapercity.com/images/smilies/beer.gif The next few PMs of Pakistan will have a blast of a time with this repayment to Chinese on the hori...

Shanmukh

OT but TFR figures are falling pretty much every year. This is available data: 2010: 2.62 2011: 2.59 2012: 2.51 2013: 2.46 2014: 2.43 2015: 2.40 A simple forecasting experiment yields: 2016: 2.34 2017: 2.3 2018: 2.25 <--- Present day 2019: 2.20 2020: 2.15 2021: 2.11 2022: 2.06 In other words, we ar...

Shanmukh

"Therefore, we have reduced the loan from China under CPEC for rail projects from $8.2 billion to $6.2 billion," he added, referring to the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC). Rasheed said the government remains committed to the Karachi-Peshawar Main Line-1 (ML-1) project but added t...

Shanmukh

Shanmukh, I’m not sure how the jurisdictional area of EWHC is relevant . It’s the banks themselves who appproached EWHC in order to win the ability to confiscate his properties within the jurisdiction of the court . Mallya has already been served his summons . He is to present himself in FMLA court...

Shanmukh

As a result of the High Court order, the Indian banks – State Bank of India, Bank of Baroda, Corporation bank, Federal Bank Ltd, IDBI Bank, Indian Overseas Bank, Jammu & Kashmir Bank, Punjab & Sind Bank, Punjab National Bank, State Bank of Mysore, UCO Bank, United Bank of India and JM Finan...

Shanmukh

take a look at lake Ram in golan heights, it is completely rain fed and always remains full. So the area receives ample and more rainfall. Majdal Shams, the biggest Druze settlement, is on the banks of Lake Ram. However, its population is just about 10K & it still does not satisfy all its needs...

Shanmukh

@Habal Here. Golan is always a water starved area, despite rains [due to the elevation], because there is nothing to hold the water. In a nutshell, the area is thinly populated simply because it is not economical to do anything there. It is not fertile - it is a rocky plateau, which is why mostly on...

Shanmukh

Philip, Israel's plan is to expand into fertile areas of Syria like golan etc for its own citizens, not palestinians. That is why they are backing isis. So isis first creates instability and defeats status-quo power. Israel/usa defeats isis because 'hey it is a terrorist power' and it is the right ...

Shanmukh

@SSridhar,
Are we back to the One China policy again? After refusing to recognise it for years?

Shanmukh

Air India succumbs to Chinese threat, & begins to refer to Taiwan as `Chinese Taipei'. https://www.firstpost.com/india/air-india-succumbs-to-chinas-strong-arm-tactics-on-taiwan-quad-member-india-has-weakened-own-position-4674441.html According to Brahma Chellaney, the Air India is just obeying t...

Shanmukh

From GST thread: A year since GST, Maharashtra govt’s coffers fuller by 28% What made a number of traders quickly adopt GST was the realisation that if one buys goods and services from an unregistered dealer, then a registered dealer would have to pay the entire tax and they won’t get any credit fo...

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