Muppalla wrote:Regarding PC, let me clarify first that I don't want him to go at this juncture as the replacement may not even be good. HM is full of challenges with huge setbacks and mistakes do happen.
I don't believe he's made any significant mistake. At his level, his job is to come up with an overall plan, commit troops, detail objectives, get the state administrations to cooperate and get the rural development plans implemented. He doesn't have the kind of background that would involve him in evolving tactics or training or formulating SOPs or coordinating local intelligence. Those responsibilities will have to be delegated and such failures usually occur at a lower level. That said being the top man, it is eventually his responsibility and certainly mistakes were made perhaps in senior or in lower appointments and in a flawed plan.
Whatever be the aspects involved, the Maoist insurgency is unique and will require the evolution of unique strategy. And unfortunately its through post-mortems of such (inevitable) events that the strategy is formulated(though this particular attack did have a very high casualty rate). One of the reasons the Army is better suited than the CRPF is because of its experiences in J&K, NE and Sri Lanka, and its paid for that experience in blood.
Point is that its far from given that had a different HM being in office, the ambush would have been avoided(unless troops were pulled out altogether).
However, there are interesting things happening w.r.t PC and politics of INC. Deeper analysis will tell that he is not in the good books of Gandhi family. Past affliations of PC and types like Sharad pawar are too deep and both Gandhi family and these gents have equal number of surprising articles in their closets and hence no one will touch each other.
AFAIK Sonia Gandhi usually follows the PM's lead in most cases except a few like the Women's Reservation Bill and she has so far shown PC the same deference. I still don't see what recent development would cause a reversal of her equation with him.
By doing good in Home Ministry and getting brownie points in BR and urban middle class does not bring victory to INC. For it to win the following are very important:
(1) Do not touch urban IM sleeper classes. Manage terror by means of apeasement and including the SIMI types into INC politically. Allow them to do terror activities in a measurable way. As long as they are in the limits no problem. If the state is ruled by opposition you can unleash them to show the state government in bad state.
Congress controls the Indian Mujahideen?
(2) Evangelical-Dalits and adivasis under the Maoist guise is also important to survive. It is easy to get votes by dealing with few men rather than begging the educated voter. Unless you allow certain activities, they cannot thrive. Be measurable here also. WB, Chattisgarh, JHK and Orissa are all fine for now. Nothing to lose.
Well its the Congress govt. in AP that broke the Naxal back in the state.