Rishirishi wrote: Only 12 devices aimed at Shanghai, Beijing, Guangzhou, Shenzen, Xiamen, Don Guang, Hangzhou, Ningbo, Nanjing, Forshan, Hong Kong, and Chengdu, will destroy the economic miracle. Further 40-60 devices aimed at industrial clusters and centres and you have a cost that is unacceptable.
Can you please outline the number of warheads to achieve those? Please also calculate the number of delivery vehicles too.
And note since it is second strike it means we will be doing what you say AFTER Delhi and Mumbai and ..... are all hit already hit by MULTIPLE 300 KT thermonukes. Also keep in mind that many of our strike assests would have by then already degraded.
Some may claim that India is too reluctant to use force and the armed forces. I cannot see when that has been the case.
1947, 1962, 2008.
The nuclear assets are not likely to be stored in Mumbai or Delhi. Most probably they will be stored in some secret place.
You need 24 vehicles, each with the capacity to carry 2-3 warheads of 50KT each. Each of the main targets would require to be hit with 2 missiles.
With 24 AGNIS and 50-74 50KT China will pay a very very high price. All of their main industrial, financial and econimical sentres will be eliminated. Why on earth would China want to take such a risk?
I have been several times to China and have started to understand Chinease nationalism. The communist government has already presumed that they will become the next super power. They have started to view them selfs as undefetable in commerce. But to their horror they are realising that low cost manufacturing can only get them so far. They have huge huge bad loans problems, they are wasting vast summs of money on semi government PSU's, their workforce is shrinking and worst of all, They are dependant on exports wich they have to finance. A major part of their economy depends on huge governement spending.
Compared to the dragon, India is well managed, economically speaking. India has managed to grow its economy without depending on exports, Indians get far better payed for their exports,wages are rising much faster in India, compared to China. Indian professionals earn more then the Chinease. But above all, India has become the choosen country by US and EU to counter China.
What to expect from china.
*They will try to split India
*They will try to stop economic progress, by forcing it to spend more on the military.
*They will try to humiliate and hinder economic development of its rival.
*Expect them to play TSP against India.
Giving up the dream of superpower is too hard for the chinease. They are playing to win the world, they are in a battle mindset.
Hopefully the Chinease bubble will burst before they manage to make life too bad for India. India can help with the situation by demanding a free revaluation of the RMB and push for economic sanctions against dictator governments.