Forget the Debka report.Here is another with a deeper analysis why the Russians are pulling out.The sh*t is going to hit the fan and this time it is the jackbooted Germans of Frau Merkel who are queering the pitch! Germany is on the march again,Ja?
The Russians do not want to go down the bloody battered road of war that has consumed the Yanquis and their poodles for the last decade,beggaring them in the process,sending their economies reeling.Putin's attitude appears to be to try as hard as preventing conflict but if the west are hell-bent upon starting another war,and getting their hands all bloody again and up to their knees in sh*t,then let them drown in their own bloodshed! By simply staying out of the conflict Russia's position is further strengthened.What is a signal change in the global arena is the return of the Nazis...oops! Sorry,the Germans and their jackboot foreign policy.The richest country in Europe,Germany as der Fuhrer predicted would "rise again in 50 years time" and reassert itself.He was spot on!http://www.thetrumpet.com/article/9807. ... e-in-syria
Deal or No Deal?—Russia Suspends Naval Base in Syria
August 30, 2012 • From theTrumpet.com
Russia has suspended the use of its only warm-water naval base in Tartus, on the Syrian coast. Moscow has maintained that it will continue to support Syrian president Bashar al-Assad on a political level, but the naval withdrawal has sent a clear message that Russia will not go so far as to support the regime with military force.
“Our naval base in Tartus will not support a military option. We cannot physically act militarily against countries supporting the Syrian opposition,” a Russian Defense Ministry source told the Russian daily Nezavisimaya Gazeta.
The message comes at a bad time for President Assad’s Alawite regime, when the West has begun to actively support the opposition.
Russia has gone to lengths to shore up its relationships with Syria and Iran over the last few years, but with the recent suspension of the Tartus naval base, Russia may be making a clear change in foreign policy. Earlier this month in an interview with Courcy’s Intelligence Report, former Russian Foreign Minister Yevgeniy Primakov confirmed that Russia would continue to support Syria and President Assad. But he also indicated that such support might have its limits, calling the current stance “not necessarily a winning position.” Assad’s situation has since deteriorated further.
It appears that a deal over the future of Syria is in the process of being cut between Russia and the West.
German Foreign Policy released a report on Wednesday stating that Germany has constructed a plan of action concerning the situation in Syria. The plan includes a concept for a new ruling order to replace Assad.
Germany’s intervention in the Syrian situation is interesting. It clashes with its overt hands-off approach toward other Arab Spring uprisings in Libya and Egypt. Why the sudden change?
In his Trumpet column on April 19, Brad Macdonald stated, “One of Germany’s primary aims in the Middle East is to develop an axis with Middle Eastern states that opposes Iran.” That is the reason for Germany building its relationships with nations like Turkey and Saudi Arabia. Syria is perhaps Iran’s greatest ally, but the Syrian civil war has a chance to change that. Along with other Western nations, Germany is stepping up its influence over Syria to gain another fulcrum against Iran. This is why Germany has made a stronger move in Syria—and why Russia appears to be reacting.
The neo-imperial Ottoman plan to set up a safe haven within Syria as a secure launchpad from which an assault upon the Assad regime can be orchestrated in the future,using the motley "rebels" and western mercenary outfits,appears to have come a cropper with this report.This only appears to increase the chances of western mil. involvement as their options to remove Assad by other means fail.
AP Analysis: Syria diplomacy stalls over safe zone
Read more here: http://www.miamiherald.com/2012/08/31/2 ... rylink=cpy
[/quote]By ROBERT H. REID
Turkey's non-starter call for a humanitarian safe zone inside Syria offers the clearest sign yet that diplomacy to end the bloodshed in the most violent uprising of the Arab Spring is at a dead end.
Any new push by the international community to stop the killing is likely to remain on hold until the new U.N. chief envoy to Syria, Lakhdar Brahimi, gets his feet on the ground and - more importantly - until the Nov. 6 U.S. presidential election.
Former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice and other prominent Republicans have called for arming Syrian rebels, a step critics fear would only escalate the violence without necessarily bringing a quick end to a more than 17-month conflict that activists say has killed more than 20,000 people.
In the meantime, countries in the region - Turkey, Israel, Jordan and Iraq - will be scrambling to contain the violence and keep the conflict from spilling across their borders.
A desire to contain the conflict was in large measure behind Turkey's appeal Thursday to the U.N. Security Council to establish a safe zone for civilians in parts of northern Syria under nominal rebel control.
That would enable the Turks to cut off the flow of refugees across their border. About 80,000 Syrians have already fled into Turkey, and hostility to the presence of so many foreigners is rising among Turks living in Antakya and other border communities.
But the Turkish proposal sank like a stone. The council meeting ended without even a non-binding statement of support, much less a binding resolution.
A frustrated Turkish Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoglu told the council that he'd come to New York in hopes the members would take "long overdue steps" to alleviate the suffering and establish camps inside Syria for those forced to flee their homes.
"Apparently, I was wrong about my expectations," Davutoglu said.
Like so many other proposals to end the fighting, the Turkish appeal was all but dead on arrival, given the risks of creating such a zone and the hostility of veto-wielding Russia and China to any proposal that is not accepted by Syrian President Bashar Assad.
The Russians and the Chinese have already vetoed three Western-backed council resolutions that would threaten Assad's government with international sanctions. Assad rejected the idea of a safe zone in a television interview this week.
Russia and China have long made clear they will not go along with a repeat of last year's experience in Libya, when the U.S. and its European allies used a resolution to protect civilians to launch months of attacks that ended with the collapse of Moammar Gadhafi's regime.
Even if some legal way could be found to get around the Security Council obstacle, there is no sign the U.S. or its major European partners have the stomach to repeat the Libya operation at a time when cash-strapped governments are trying to extricate from Afghanistan and the U.S. is focused on an election in about two months.
Establishing a safe zone in Syria amounts to entering the territory of a sovereign country to offer protection to civilians, many who are sympathetic to the rebels.
Without a guarantee from Assad that he would not attack the zone, foreign governments would have to assume responsibility for protecting civilians there - through troops on the ground and through preventing Syrian attack aircraft from flying over the territory.
Meanwhile, the West is running out of options besides trying to do more to care for the tens of thousands of refugees.
With Syrian diplomacy all but dead, the Obama administration is focusing on political transition and helping the rebels defeat the Syrian regime. Washington has increased its humanitarian aid to $74 million and its "nonlethal" communications assistance to $25 million.
The administration also has eased restrictions for rebel fundraising in the United States. Most of the weapons used by the rebels are believed to be purchased inside and outside Syria with money from supporters abroad, mostly in the Gulf states.
The U.S. has been working politically with Syrian exiles who drew up a transition plan for governing the country if the Assad regime collapses. The plan was unveiled this week in Berlin.
France has promised to recognize a Syrian provisional government if the opposition can set aside its internal differences - which it has been unable to accomplish.
None of those proposals would have an immediate effect in curbing the bloodshed.
Faced with bleak prospects, the new U.N. envoy, Brahimi, says he plans to consult key players in New York after officially assuming his duties Saturday. His predecessor, Kofi Annan, quit in frustration this month after achieving little.
Brahimi, a former Algerian foreign minister and veteran U.N. mediator, will likely explore possibilities of reviving a transitional plan drawn up by Annan and agreed to by both the United States and Russia after a conference in Geneva in June.
The document aimed at establishing an interim government of people chosen by both the Assad regime and the opposition. Each would be able to veto candidates.
The arrangement was rejected immediately by many in the Syrian opposition.
Robert H. Reid is Associated Press bureau chief in Berlin and has covered Middle East events since 1978[/quote]
And why the safe havens are so neccessary for the Syrian opposition....http://www.firstpost.com/world/assads-f ... 38873.html
Assad’s foes need safe haven in Syria: Kodmani
Aug 31, 2012
“Such a provisional government needs to be based inside Syria in the liberated areas,” she told Reuters in an interview.
“That requires a safe area where it can be based. For the moment the dangers are too high for such a government to operate from inside Syria,” Kodmani said, adding that with foreign protection, the authority could be set up within three months.
Western powers are reluctant, however, to supply weapons to Syrian rebels or to send warplanes to protect safe havens without a UN Security Council mandate, which cannot be obtained because China and Russia oppose any intervention.
Kodmani, who had headed the Istanbul-based SNC’s foreign affairs bureau, was speaking as French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius laid out French plans to channel aid to rebel-held areas in northern and southern Syria.
Kodmani blamed lack of Western support for the problems besetting the fractured SNC. “The council was victim of an international response that was simply not there.”
She contrasted the West’s response to the Syria crisis with its action on Libya last year, when a transitional council swiftly gained world recognition and NATO enforced a no-fly zone with a U.N. mandate and bombed Muammar Gaddafi’s forces.
A U.N. Security Council meeting on Thursday on aid for Syria highlighted the group’s paralysis in the 17-month conflict, although Britain, France and Turkey said military action to secure civilian safe zones was still an option.
Kodmani, a Paris-based academic, said protecting such zones was vital to show regions that have suffered huge loss of life and made gains against Assad’s army that the West supports them.
“The protection of these areas is now a compelling responsibility for the international community, whether (they are) protected directly by a no-fly zone, or the Free Syrian Army is provided with the means to ensure the regime cannot fly over these cities and bomb them with total impunity,” she said.