ramana wrote:my thoughts were triggered by rajanb syaing coup not possible as funds get cutoff. then how to remove duspercenti? Well accuse him of plot to defame the kabila guards. HH fell hook, line and sinker into Ijaz's entrapment. But at same time US hand is also shown.
Now speculating here.
What if India got wind of memogate and decided to play a hand by shoring up 'honorable' Gilani and Duspercenti thinking US is going make clean break with the sordid past?
Hence the MMS statements which dont make sense.
Ramana, I agree that Mansoor Ijaz was setup by the ISI to trap both Zardari & the (good) Haqqani, both of whom were thoroughly detested by the PA. The PA has been conducting a villification campaign against both of them ever since they assumed power.
However, your speculation on somehow MMS getting wind of that and thus propping up Zardari and the man-of-peace seems far fetched. I would say that the very act of India supporting a civilian Pakistani government would send the Generals into a tizzy and would be reason enough for them to even do more to destabilize the civilian government. Even among the non-PA sections of Pakistan, Indian support does not count for much. The only saving grace for Pakistan currently is that the 3½ Friends are not willing to condone another PA coup. The Pakistani lawyers' movement (however flawed it may be otherwise) would also be another factor for the PA to think twice. The Judiciary per se does not hold much terror for the PA.
Besides, nobody can believe the 'clean break from the past' story, whether it comes from the PA or the rest of Pakistani society. With loss of governance over most parts of Pakistan and several independent power centres, no Pakistani can make that promise. Pakistanis themselves have had no problems with the duplicitous behaviour of their government in foreign policy matters, taking only tactical decisions, punching far above their weight, using terror against other countries etc, especially if these are against India. In fact, they prefer it that way. More than that, no sane foreign government can believe such a promise, even if one is made.
Whether Adm. Mullen consigned that Haqqani memo to the dustbin because he knew it was a setup to trap or he did not genuinely believe the contents, nobody knows. But, he would have known that the GotUS has been unable to make the PA change its ways for many years (at least from c. 2004) and the promise by a civilian government to do so, handing over terrorists to the only mortal enemy, India, was way too much for even a naive person to believe.