Zardari's India visit was for two purposes. One was to bolster the image of Bilawal before the upcoming elections. Zardari was after all a stop gap until Bilawal came of age and the baptism for the Bhutto family is always the Indian fire and that has happened. Second is to announce some grand India concession to the Pakistani masses, which is the only sure-shot thing that could turn around the sinking fortunes of PPP in 2013. Unless it is Kashmir, the turnaround cannot be substantial for Zardari. Indian leaders are again being misled the path that somehow supporting Zardari at this stage would keep at bay Imran Khan and his jihadi entourage. The only chance of keeping Imran Khan away from the gaddi is if PPP & PML-N somehow sink their differences once again like how they did in c. 2007. This cannot happen now because of the animosity that has once again engulfed their relationship. Therefore, Zardari's last chance in retaining a significant position for PPP in the Parliament, even if it were not to help him retain power, lies with Man Mohan Singh and he should have really pleaded with him during the 40-minute one-on-one. Zardari has so far shown that he knows the art of surviving.
The PA is *not* going to stage a coup, not in the foreseeable future. This knowledge has given Zardari & Co a never-before-opportunity of not being afraid of the PA. Every time there was a coup in the past, the Pakistani masses welcomed it, at least initially though the novelty wore off soon. They will not do it now. Besides, the 3½ friends will make the situation even worse for Pakistan if a coup happens. Kayani sensed the mood of the people in c. 2008 itself and decided to stay away from coup misadventure. Apart from its traditional hatred for the Bhutto clan, the PA was thwarted somewhat in its usual back-seat driving by the PPP. The latter has been resisting, sometimes successfully and many times not, the PA's hold on power. But, even unsuccessful efforts are worthy of a congratulation, considering Pakistan's history. The PPP will not tame the PA for they neither have the clout nor the full backing of the US yet for such a thing to happen and anyway,not much time is left. Kayani has been trying to garner political support from China now that the US is no longer unflinchingly backing PA anymore in domestic politics. Zardari has been taking advantage of the PA's predicament and trying to gain as much as possible against it. I am not sure if Zardari is fighting the PA because he truly believes that it is taking Pakistan to doom and he needs to correct that course or whether he is simply settling scores of the Bhutto clan and his own personal one for the incarceration and physical abuse at Attock for years. He may be selling the former line to the likes of Obama and Man Mohan Singh while his real intention is the latter.
The PA has therefore formed the Diffa (DPC) and placed a popular civilian face for the PM's position in the form of Imran Khan, a face that they feel could be acceptable to the various stakeholders such as the citizens of Pakistan, the PA, the jihadis, the Islamists and the 3½ friends. Their tactical brilliance is leading to a very dangerous situation not only for the entire Pakistan, but also certainly for India and Afghanistan, China and the so-called Western world. In c. 2002, Musharraf formed the MMA and made them capture power in NWFP. We know that the Al Qaeda and Allied Movements, the Afghan Taliban, the TTP and the Punjabi Taliban got entrenched in FATA and even in settled areas there from where they cannot be dislodged easily anymore. The same scenario will repeat, but on a much grander scale, if the new jihadi alliance gains power federally. Willy nilly, even the judiciary is collaborating in this evil project.
No doubt that at this moment, the US is the most hated nation for the Pakis, even surpassing Hindu India. The PA wanted to slander Zardari by depicting him as a US stooge and enacted the Memogate scandal, but it has not been very successful after the initial excitement. PPP has cleverly formed a committee (PCNS) to formulate Pakistan's foreign policy vis-a-vis the US so that it does not have to take the flak from either side. It, however, missed a golden opportunity to bring down a few notches the H&D of the PA after Abbottabad when it meekly accepted the excuses given by the PA/ISI, refused to accept the resignation of Lt. Gen. Shuaja Pasha and formed a committee instead (including PA officers) that has diluted the blame on the PA/ISI and exonerated them. May be we can only speculate that Kayani & Pasha threatened Zardari/Gilani with some skeletons in their cupboard.
What is interesting to be seen is whether the PA's tactical brilliance would restore its image and the power to the pre-2002 days of glory, after the elections next year (or later this year). If Imran gets to power, which it looks he would unless Man Mohan Singh dramatically swings the fortunes of Zardari, the PA may be even sidelined by the Wahhabi/Deobandi/Salafi groups. However, PA might entertain the ideas of splitting the DPC (Diffa-e-Pakistan Council) just as it has always done in the past whenever its proxies became too big for their shoes. There are certainly some faultlines within the DPC but none starker than that between the LeT and most other groups. They may all unite to dislodge Zardari or protect Professor saheb today against the American bounty, but that does not hide the divisions. The PA might hope to engineer a split using these faultlines, when needed after achieving their immediate goal. Ultimately, it will be the guile of Hamid Gul (the strategic adviser to AQAM) against incumbent DG, ISI Lt. Gen. Zaheer-ul-Islam.