g.sarkar wrote:To gain or keep face, China must win this war decisively and convincingly with shock and awe for all to see. That means large tracts of land must come under its control, large amounts of Indian soldiers must be killed or captured, large amounts of arms and ammunition must be captured and displayed. China can then be magnanimous and return 10% of the land won and show the Asian fence sitters what happens if you defy the Liz. All will then fall in line and bend the knee.
I don't know if this is necessarily true.
Today we live in an era of relativism and fake news, more so than ever before. The more noise you are able to generate convincingly across multiple channels, the more your version of the "truth" becomes accepted as factual truth. So even if China doesn't kill/capture any significant number of Indian soldiers or take any significant area of land from us, they will attempt to fabricate a "victory" in the aftermath. They claim to have won the 1979 war against Vietnam after all.
That's not anything new for us. Many BRF-ites have been fighting the citizens' propaganda war for donkeys' years now... since the days of dial-up modems and bulletin boards. We realized right around the time of Pokhran and Kargil that the Pakis (and their agents) controlled the international "news" narrative to an alarming extent, and that their assertions, widely accepted as factual in the international (mainly Western) media, had no connection whatsoever to the truth. Regarding Kashmir, terrorism, nuclear proliferation, Pakistani "victories" in wars against India, or anything else.
The Pakistani propaganda advantage continued (though very gradually diminishing) throughout the first half of the 2000s, through 9/11 and Parakram periods. Only around the middle of the last decade, bolstered by (1) India's crystallizing economic success (2) increasing realization in Western establishments that Pakistan was playing a double-game in Afghanistan and with sponsoring international terrorism in general, did this begin to change in our favour.
It took that long to level the playing field with the Pakis
. Even now, it isn't completely level. Strong anti-India, anti-Hindu, anti-Modi and pro-Islamist biases continue to disfigure most reportage in the Western mainstream media... BBC, Economist, NYT, WaPo, CNN, etc.... with ample help from fifth-columnists in the political classes and media within India itself. Even now, the truth about Chinese proliferation to Pakistan and North Korea is a closely guarded secret from the world. The only thing that's changed after the US-India CNCA is that the "Non-Proliferationist" diatribes against India have receded somewhat into the background, relative to their shrill pitch in the late 1990s-early 2000s.
Today, in the field of citizens' propaganda war, we are talking about setting our version of the truth head-to-head against the Chinese control of the narrative. The PRC with its huge resources, with its multi-level relationships embedded in all spheres of Western public discourse (financial, economic, political, academic, media) since the Nixon-Kissinger days, is a far more formidable opponent than the Pakis (via people like Mansoor Ijaz, Shirin Tahir-Kheli, Maleeha Lodhi, Ghulam Nabi Fai, Farooq Kathwari etc.) ever were. I am not saying it isn't doable, but it will require a far greater and longer-lasting effort than what I myself have been witness to vis-a-vis Pakistan since the late 1990s.
Of course we can always say "who cares what the West thinks... we know that we won, and Satyameva Jayate".
Fair enough. But like it or not, the international discourse (what is believed in Nepal and Sri Lanka, let alone ASEAN/West Asia/Europe/Africa etc.) continues to be dominated by the mainstream Western media's narrative. And that is what I surmise your post is talking about (when you say "all will fall in line and bend the knee" etc.)