Historically, nomadic hordes attack settled Kingdoms. They launch raids into settled kingdom, loot it and do piracy. When the kingdom weakens, the hordes ransack the capital. After that the kingdom succumbs and the hordes occupy the throne. This is the general template of nomadic hordes.
What can the settled kingdoms do against such nomadic hordes?
a) Attack them in their base. But, generally, the nomadic hordes don't have a fixed base and whatever that they have can easily be transferred to another place. (This is a more difficult solution, but this is the only long term proper solution 50 yrs).
b) Build a wall. (This is a short-term solution 15 yrs)
c) Assassinate the leader of the nomadic tribes. Most of these tribes depend on some charismatic leader to lead them. Without a leader, they suffer setback. (This is a short-term solution - 15 yrs).
d) buy the the leader of nomadic hordes. Or pay tribute to stop the raids by the hordes. (jiziya or chauth method. This is appeasement and very temporary relief. This not a solution).
Now, bakis have been following the tactics of central-asian nomadic hordes against Dhesh. They send infiltrators(or raiders) or terrorists to bleed the country. They hope that Dhesh will keep getting weakened and someday, they would be able to sit on the throne.
What can Dhesh do against this tactic?
a) pay money to stop the terror attacks. (jiziya or chauth method. This is appeasement and very temporary relief. This not a solution): Dhesh would have done this. But, the bakis have been asking for Kashmir as their jiziya which is a very large sum. So, Dhesh has not followed this method. If Bakis had asked for a lesser price, then perhaps Dhesh would have paid it to stop the attacks.
b) Assassinate the leadership of Bakis. (This is a short-term solution - 15 yrs). This raises a question: who are the leaders in Bakiland? Baki-army. There is no one single leader as such who can be bought or killed. Maybe a group of 50 families can be identified and targeted. But, bakis would retaliate by identifying the dhesh's elites. In kongi rule, dhesh's elites would not want to risk such confrontation.
c) Build a wall. (This is a short-term solution 15 yrs). Dhesh has already erected a fence on Baki border. If the other borders are also fenced, then the terror attacks would reduce considerably. But, its a temporary solution which does not solve the bakis themselves. But, this is the cheapest and most easy way to handle the Bakis. But, this approach means that Bakis have no fear of being attacked. They can keep trying to scale the wall because Dhesh will not counter attack.
d) Counter-attack the Bakis in their base. (This is a more difficult solution, but this is the only long term proper solution 50 yrs). Generally, the nomadic hordes don't have a fixed base and whatever that they have can easily be transferred to another place. But, in Bakis's case, Bakis are not living in central-asia. They are living in a land suitable for settled kingdoms. Its a land of sujalam, sufalam, malayaja sheethalam. So, living in these lands, its not possible for the Bakis to act like nomadic hordes. They have been trying to convert the Bakiland into central-asia. But, its still not there. Bakisthan is a settled society, not a nomadic society(even though Bakis are trying to make it into a nomadic society). That means, Dhesh can counter-attack the Bakis. Dhesh can also launch counter-raids in Bakiland to hurt Bakis. Historically, jihadhi kingdoms in Dhesh were not raided by the Hindhu kingdoms(except the Maraatas) because most of the common populations of the jihadhis kingdoms were still Hindhus. So, raiding the jihadhi kingdoms would mean looting the the Hindhu populations. So, Hindhu kingdoms refrained. But, Maraatas did not refrain.
In the case of bakis, initially they also used this card against Dhesh. Infact, some people had hoped at the time of partition that muslim population of Dhesh and Hindhu population of Bakiland would be used as lever to stop confrontations between Bakiland and Dhesh. But, Bakis have genocided all the Hindhus in Bakiland. That means, Bakis don't have that lever on Dhesh anymore. Dhesh can go ahead and launch raids on Bakis.
Historically, whenever a central-asian nomadic jihadhi was severally attacked in Dhesh, they would run to Multhan. If they are still attacked, then they run to Gaandhara. If they are still attacked, then they will run away to Persia or Central-asia. Bakis are following the same model. Their strategic depth concept is just that. If the Dhesh attacks them in Paanchala, then they will run away to Gaandhara. Gaandhara is a gateway to central-asia and is more suitable to nomadic tactics. It is the start of bad-lands. This is the classic strategy.
The nomadic tribes depend on sheer numbers and repetition to wear down the enemy. The settled kingdom will have to overwhelm the nomadic tribes using superior technology.
I think the need for strategic depth was clearly brought home when Dhesh developed missiles. Immediately, Bakis realized that Dhesh could hit them in their homes. So, they clear up Afghanisthan so that they can run away to Afghanisthan whenever they are hit in their homes.
If Dhesh has missiles which have the range to attack Afghanisthan, then Bakis strategic depth is useless. It is useful only if Dhesh's missiles can't reach Afghanisthan's certain parts. In Bakis' case, they cannot run away to persia or central-asia. If they could, then they would have. In short, the populations which succumbed to the central-asians will have to be freed from that enslavement.
If Bakis had nukes, then they would have used it by now. I think Bakis don't have nukes.
I think the only card that bakis had was: Mutually Assured Destruction using conventional missiles.
Their logic seems to have that if Dhilli could attack Lahore, then Lahore can attack Dhilli. If Bakis can't afford to let Lahore be attacked, then Dhesh can't afford attack on Dhilli. This was tested during 1999.
Then, Dhesh developed anti-missile shield. Now, Bakis don't have any cards against Dhesh. It seems that the anti-missile shield was completed in 2006 & 2007.
Anujan saar,
Mushy was the one sleeping at the wheels while dhesh was developing anti-missile shield. Why was Mushy doing that? It seems that Mushy was concentrating on track-2 to taqiyally gain Cash-meare. Manly Singh's stand was that the borders can't be redrawn. However, the borders can be made irrelevant. In short, bakis would be in control. I think Mushy realized this was a good deal in the given circumstances and was happily lapping it up.
But, Mushy was overthrown and 26/11. 26/11 threw a spanner into these deals. Now, given the chronology, it seems that Mushy's overthrow was necessary for 26/11. Further, Mushy's overthrow was necessary to stop the track-2 deal. 26/11 also seems to be aimed at stopping the deal.
This raises the question who did the 26/11? And why? It seems to me that all fingers point to Amirkhan. But, what I can't understand is why would Amirkhan want to stop the cash-meare deal?
Anyway, the end result is that the Bakis have lost all their cards. Their one last hope was that the kongi system which has also been dashed.
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Remember this?
How a terrorist called Zardari posing as Pranab
Something strange was going on...
