SSridhar wrote:If Jandullah's claim is true, it is a revenge for the North Waziristan operation and to stem the split and the flow of cadres. In jihadist discourse, the centre of gravity easily shifts towards the more violent ones. So, they have a need to constantly up the ante and be increasingly more violent and brutal. This is another demonstration.
It is also a demonstration of what India learned albeit with much pain
Fighting terrorism is about being opposed to all forms or terror from all agencies, a robust internal intelligence apparatus that is not fighting different wars against different entities, an internal security apparatus that is not tied down by divided loyalties and multiple aims.
To me, it is also an indication that the Pakistan army is overstretched and cannot contribute to internal security as it should. They selectively protect some people and some areas that are dear to them The rest of shitland is left to its own devices.
These are all indicators of state failure. Nothing fast or catastrophic, but a slow degeneration as the most powerful forces lose ground and start protecting smaller and smaller areas.
I think the Pakistan army will decide whether Pakistan survives or not. I think that continuous opposition to India will bring Pakistan down. But internal forces in the army cannot allow detente with India - so the polity and army are torn and they are tearing each other apart. Of course I am quite happy to watch, given that we can't do much more than that.