The above article Pakistan to Kerry: We are worried about India
, posted by Amber G, captures the sinister planning under way in Pakistan. It gives away some important pointers.
Islamabad is forced to move from its policy of a “strategic pause” with India to a more productive effort to balance its eastern neighbour.
IMO, this points to the imminent acquisition of either a Han-class SSN or a Xia-class SSBN from China. The ground is being prepared to soft release the news. It hardly matters whether the Han or the Xia class boats are noisy etc. They certainly increase our threat perceptions.
For once, Pakistan’s soldiers and diplomats seem to be on the same page about the India issue: Modi’s RSS-centric right-wing posturing, the declaredly hawkish policies of his tough National Security Adviser, the former Intelligence Bureau director Ajeet Doval . . .
The escalation in firing and the recent boat incident are pointers of PA's strategy to up the ante eliciting a robust response and then blaming India for being aggressive while putting on a face of injured innocence.
One idea that has been discussed informally with Washington has been about some kind of a non-aggression pact with India, underwritten by the US, which lets Pakistan focus on the anti-terror campaign in the frontier regions and, increasingly, in its urban areas.Otherwise, a senior MoD official assessed, given India’s conventional military advantage and posturing on the Working Boundary, less the Line of Control, as well as the Pakistani military’s increasing commitments out west, “we fight India the only way we know how…by hook or by crook.”
This is truly revealing, IMO. The peak periods of terrorism are clearly behind in Pakistan but during that peak time Pakistan resisted all exhortations by the US to act. Pakistan is exploiting the Peshawar Army School attack to the hilt to get at India. India and Pakistan have discussed the 'non-aggression' and 'no-war' pacts since Ayub Khan's days and even an INC-led Indian government would be quite wary of any such proposal, leave alone the current dispensation. Pakistan knows that and yet it sends such a trial balloon to the US because of its very treacherous plan, IMO. Normally we will interpret this as a move to put India on the defensive. We will assume that its calculation is that if it could sell such an outrageous proposal to the US, that would put India on the mat because either rejection or acceptance by India would be to its advantage. No. Its far more sinister than that. I have believed that AQIS is being appropriated by the PA. This admission of 'hook or by crook' is the shape of AQIS and LeT terrors waiting to be unleashed soon. The US had in the past argued that they understood the Pakistani paranoia and its security paradigm vis-a-vis a conventionally much superior India. In fact, Anne Patterson, the US Ambassador to Pakistan, was revealed by WikiLeaks to put forth the same arguments strongly with the State Deptt. The US has always laboured under such (mis)impressions. First, it used to say that reducing the conventional gap with India would stop Pakistan from pursuing the nuclear weapon programme. Now, it is saying that the same would stop Pakistan from using its asymmetric assets. It is either that the US wants some excuse to prop-up Pakistan or Pakistan is exploiting the US naivety (or even its strategic decision to rein-in India) or both. In any case, the contours of terror for 2015 are becoming clear for India. We are going to face one of the bloodiest years ever.
The presence of the UN Secretary General during the Vibrant Gujarat investor conference this last weekend in Ahmadabad didn’t help restore the Pakistani confidence, even though the official claimed that “if the Americans don’t, China, and maybe even Russia, see the light when it comes to curbing India at the UN.”
This is a classic psyops against both the US and us. This is a signal to the US about getting help from the newly revived anti-US group. It was the same technique that Liaquat Ali Khan and Bhutto used against the US by feigning an invitation from the Soviets and trying to force the Americans to accede to the Pakistani plans. But, past history shows that this 'hunting with the hounds and running with the hares' was very successful for Pakistan and it feels emboldened to pursue the same tactic. This is also a psyop against India by so casually and confidently dropping the name of Russia.
A Pakistani Foreign Ministry official drew parallels between the strange ‘Terror Boat’ incident and the Chattisinghpura, Kashmir massacre of 2000 in which 34 Sikhs were killed.
The result of same side goals by Indians on both occasions.