ramana wrote:So what would a no-war CVI denuclearization(CVID) look like? UB this is for you.
IMO, the "I" is clear recognition that the mijjiles and nukes are cheen.
Thinking through this in the context of the THAAD takleef, US may be saying that the response to NoKo threats against CONUS will be a nuke Pershing type wall aimed at cheen. The SoKo mantri - Mattis theater quoted above says tactical nukes and pre-emptive
tactical nukes, very plainly. DT vijit to SoKo at this time is also highly suspect. Why now? Maybe a blatant threat/ultimatum to cheen **AND** Moon?
Now let's consider how there can even be a CVID. It says: "cheen-enforced regime change"
or US-enforced decapitation leaving NoKo glowing.
Per my Evil 6th coujin, there has been a Track2/Track3 effort going back decades, to achieve a Nook-Phree East Asia. Meaning the cheen-russia border, maybe Ussuri river disengagement, NoKo, SoKo, Japan. The head of such an effort retired from yoo ess yak stable and became prejident of a SoKo university: convenient position to pursue such efforts. Roos-cheen border is supposed to have a massive number of tactical nukes, which have never been accounted under any arms-control negotiations, and are the biggest obstacle to reach nuke disarmament.
So now if US puts enough tacnukes facing NoKo DMZ and Pershings further south, they are also within convenient reach of much of the chinese industrial coast and SCS-facing military assets. Russia won't like tacnukes there, but OTOH, it means the cheen are outnumbered and have to face 2 fronts. Plus Japan is moving towards nukes and offensive navy/air fauj.
These are the responses to cheen's NoKonuke bright idea to dominate SCS and Pacific. 3-carrier-group threat to wipe out NoKo, starting with a pre-emptive tactical nuke barrage accompanied with conventional cruise missile and naval air attacks, plus B-1s taking out all C^3. Decapitation would be a bonus.
Act now and the war gets fought entirely on cheen's doorstep, not over Canada or Hawaii. DT will probably convey that time has run out, SoKo can either grow ba**s, or be left to utter destruction, US is going ahead unilaterally. And yes, US will use tacnukes to protect US forces on DMZ.