Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby JE Menon » 17 May 2018 23:08

>>Back to future of pre WWI.

This, in my opinion, is exactly right. And there are a lot of reasons why this US-Euro compact will not strengthen any further (or if it does, it will be temporary). Among them:

1. Demographics in both areas.

2. The state of "faith" systems in both areas.

3. The fissiparous tendencies in both areas - which can be much more lethal to territorial integrity because of (again) dependence on absolutist thought systems.

4. Technology is undermining the cohesion of physically co-located communities on the one the one hand, while on the other increasing cyber-allegiances and communities that have common notional interests that may supersede geography in the minds of humans involved in these allegiances. This applies worldwide, of course, but it is much more so (I am intuiting this) in countries where traditional social structures are breaking down.

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby chanakyaa » 19 May 2018 07:30

As pointed out earlier, when difference come up between EYou and YouYes about implementing sanctions imposed by either party which is not agreeable to the other party, things can get complicated when it comes to banking. Which means, cutting off Eye-ran from international messaging system (SWIFT) which forms the backbone of international banking is not going to be easy if EYou is not interested.

Showdown over shutting Eye-ran off from SWIFT (Unfortunately, the article is subscription only. Lucky ones may be able to read it.)

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby Y. Kanan » 19 May 2018 07:35

JE Menon wrote:3. The fissiparous tendencies in both areas


LOL good word. Congratulations. You are the first person I've ever seen to use that word, either spoken word or in print, in the entire 45 years I have lived on this earth.

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby g.sarkar » 19 May 2018 07:37

Chnakyaaji,
We can be the lucky ones, just for a short while:
https://www.ft.com/content/04b831fc-591 ... 677d2e1ce8
US and EU head for showdown over shutting Iran off from finance
Washington sanctions put Swift payments network in spotlight
The US and EU are heading for a showdown over how to handle one of the linchpins of the global financial system following Donald Trump’s decision to re-impose sanctions on Iran.
The US has declared its determination to sever Iranian banks and the Tehran central bank from foreign financial institutions as it increases sanctions in the coming months after Mr Trump pulled out of the nuclear deal with Iran.
Part of doing so will probably involve ensuring that the Belgium-based Swift network, the financial messaging system which facilitates cross-border payments, cuts off the Iranian banking system, as it did before Tehran signed the nuclear accord with six world powers in 2015.
Swift, which sent more than 7bn messages last year, severed links with Iran in 2012 after the US pressured the EU to impose sanctions. Following the passage of the Iran nuclear deal in 2015, Swift reopened links.
The question now is whether the EU will co-operate with any US requests for those connections to be severed again and whether Swift will find itself caught in the crossfire of a transatlantic dispute over sanctions, analysts say.
Richard Nephew, a scholar at Columbia University’s Center on Global Energy Policy, said: “I absolutely see this as a flashpoint between both sides. Swift has maintained it will only do what it is instructed to do from Brussels and there is no indication that the EU will bend on this point for the Trump administration.”
.....
Gautam

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby chanakyaa » 19 May 2018 20:38

Martin Wolf writes for the Financial Times on international affairs. Lot of reflecting from obviously western pov with China as the new pawa...don't agree, but it is just one view.

How the West should judge a rising China (If you can't access try link below)

Other link

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby JE Menon » 19 May 2018 21:15

Y. Kanan wrote:
JE Menon wrote:3. The fissiparous tendencies in both areas


LOL good word. Congratulations. You are the first person I've ever seen to use that word, either spoken word or in print, in the entire 45 years I have lived on this earth.


:mrgreen: You might be surprised to know that it is exactly the word that the Paks use to describe the condition of India with regard to some of its states and language groups. But yes, it is a good word for it describes the thing nicely.

I try to keep it to minimum though, to avoid getting tharoorian about it.

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby chanakyaa » 20 May 2018 06:17

World Economic Forum Nah..New Economic Forum (The forum’s inaugural session will be held November 6-8 in Beijing)
For the past four decades, heads of state, celebrities and business elite have convened at the World Economic Forum, the yearly pilgrimage that merges debates on international problems with days of fanfare in the snow-capped mountains of Switzerland.

This year, former New York City mayor and financial media billionaire Michael Bloomberg is debuting a conference to rival the Davos conference, one he and his partners say will focus on the changing global economy and the need for greater understanding between the United States and China.

Enter: The New Economy Forum.

“Now more than ever, we need a new convening platform to bring world leaders across the public and private sectors together to assess the risks and opportunities created by the emerging global order,” Bloomberg said in a statement.

The Forum will bring 400 world and business leaders to Beijing for two days in November to address topics such as technology, global governance and urbanization. Bloomberg is partnering with the China Center for International Economic Exchanges, a Beijing-based “think tank with Chinese characteristics” and which is led by former state vice premier, Zeng Peiyan, who will co-chair the forum’s advisory board.

Bloomberg also tapped former U.S. Secretary of State Henry Kissinger, as well as former U.S. Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson, to drive the Forum’s content and design. Advisory board members include former Secretary-General of the U.N. Ban Ki-moon, President Trump’s former top economic adviser Gary Cohn and Janet Yellen, former chair of the U.S. Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Leaders of eleven other corporations and institutions have signed on as partners.

In an interview with The Financial Times, Bloomberg, who could not be reached for comment, said the Beijing forum would emphasize “actionable solutions” with the help of public and private sector leaders from developed and emerging economies. Unlike Davos, Bloomberg said his forum is not meant to be a lavish party “where you go and have dinner with everybody and hobnob with movie stars.”

“Davos has been around for a long time: It is a very big conference ,and it is focused on lots of world problems,” Bloomberg told the FT. “This conference is focused on the world and China as an emerging power and how we all work together.

Still, the rise of a new forum has cast further scrutiny on the role of elite summits in solving international problems.

Gordon Chang, author of “The Coming Collapse of China,” said that while World Economic Forum could use a competitor, Bloomberg’s New Economy Forum has “critical deficiencies.” Chief among them are the forum’s location and the leadership of Kissinger and Paulson, Chang said.

Chang cast doubt on whether China would allow voices critical of the government and its policies at the forum, noting that the state controls who will be issued visas to attend. If the forum were held outside of China, Chang said that alone would aid transparency and meaningful conversations.

Moreover, Chang said that if the forum is committed to finding new ways of tackling the U.S.-China relationship, looking to Kissinger and Paulson — architects of decades of American diplomacy toward China — is not the way to go about it.

“I can understand there’s a lot of competing considerations when one thinks about the relationship between the U.S. and China,” Chang said, “but you’re not going to have a full airing of those in a Paulson-Kissinger-Bloomberg extravaganza in the heart of Chinese power.”

For Guy Standing, an economics professor at SOAS University of London, the Beijing forum serves as the latest example of a closed-door summit among the world’s elite. Standing, who has attended Davos twice, said he would have urged Bloomberg to direct this money into grass-roots movements to address inequality and economic insecurity.

Instead, the November conference will serve as another gathering of elites “carving out policy and influence and bypassing anything closely resembling democratic processes,” Standing said.

Standing noted a Bloomberg interview in which he told the FT that his conference would focus on the world, China as an emerging power, and “how we all work together.”

“Who is the we?” Standing said. “Is it going to be you and me? I somehow doubt it.”

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby chanakyaa » 21 May 2018 05:03

And, the dance continues...

No details on how China reduces $200 billion in surplus. I'm sure this will be used to force Chinese open its economy (and financial markets) further to the Supa-pawa

U.S., China putting trade war on hold, Treasury's Mnuchin says

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby ramana » 23 May 2018 03:02

Slightly old about 5 years in fact but gives ideas of dilemmas of growing powers:

http://harvardpress.typepad.com/hup_pub ... china.html

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby Prem » 23 May 2018 08:37

https://www.yahoo.com/news/russia-japan ... 16421.html
Russia and Japan Plan North Korea Strategy in Case Trump-Kim Summit Falls Apart

Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe is preparing to visit Moscow, where he will sit down with Russian President Vladimir Putin to discuss North Korea and other matters. “I would like to confirm cooperation in resolving the North Korea issue," Abe told journalists Monday ahead of the meeting. Top foreign affairs and defense officials from both countries will also meet over the coming week. Experts say that Abe, whose country lives in fear of a nuclear North Korea, is preparing a contingency plan in case the upcoming summit between President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un doesn’t produce results. "For Japan, Russia could be a useful partner to help put pressure on Pyongyang, especially as Moscow has been accused on several occasions of not fully enforcing sanctions [against North Korea]. The Putin government does have a decent relationship with the Kim regime, and could prove useful,” Harry Kazianis, director of defense studies at the Center for the National Interest, a public policy think tank in Washington, told Newsweek."Japan could be worried that if a Trump-Kim summit fails, and especially if U.S.-Russia relations were to get worse, Russia could act as a spoiler when it comes to North Korea. They could easily damage the sanctions regime, aid Pyongyang with advanced air defense aid and much more. For Japan, North Korea is an existential issue--and Russia could make it far worse,” Kazianis continued.The U.S. relationship with Russia has soured over the Kremlin's attempts to interfere in the 2016 U.S. presidential election. The U.S. has worked closely with China and South Korea, however, to facilitate the upcoming meeting with Pyongyang. Japan's Abe has worked to maintain a positive relationship with Trump and joined U.S. calls for the complete denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula. uring the meetings between Russian and Japanese officials, Tokyo is also expected to lobby for charter flights to begin ferrying Japanese citizens to the South Kuril Islands to visit the graves of their ancestors. The four islands are at the center of a dispute between Russia and Japan, which have not signed a peace treaty after World War II because of their disagreement over their sovereignty. Russia took control of the territory in 1949 and subsequently deported all of its Japanese residents. Moscow permitted Japanese citizens to visit the islands visa-free last year, and Japan is pushing for this to become an annual occurrence. The meetings between the two leaders will take place between May 24 and 27

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby A_Gupta » 23 May 2018 19:31

General rant about Indian "obstructionism" in SCO and BRICS.
https://www.eurasiafuture.com/2018/05/2 ... and-brics/

In respect of finding a solution for the problems faced by the BRICS and SCO regarding India’s inability to see eye-to-eye with China and others, the key is not to expel India from either bloc but to expand both organisations so as to emphasise the fact that India is outnumbered among the leading developing nations of Asia, Africa and Latin America. The SCO should expand as rapidly as possible in south east Asia with The Philippines under President Duterte being a prime example of a country that is profoundly increasing its security ties with both China and Russia. There is also no reason why Iran, Belarus and even Turkey cannot be members of the SCO. As the SCO is not a military alliance in the way that NATO is, Turkey would not be under immediate obligations to refrain from participation in the SCO due to its sustained but increasingly peripheral membership of NATO. Later, if countries including Myanmar, Cambodia, Laos, Maldives, Sri Lanka, Sudan and Vietnam joined, it could not only provide a wider framework for international security among rapidly developing Asian nations, but it could also demonstrate that between India and Vietnam, Hanoi’s Sinosceptic leaders are nevertheless far more pragmatic than the outright Sinophobic leadership of Indian Premier Modi.


IMO, this rant is Russian in origin. Key is the complaint about "BRICS cryptocurrency" - that is a Russian proposal. e.g., AFAIK, China is quite opposed to any cryptocurrency, e.g.,
http://www.scmp.com/business/banking-fi ... letely-ban

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby ramana » 23 May 2018 21:20

In respect of finding a solution for the problems faced by the BRICS and SCO regarding India’s inability to see eye-to-eye with China and others, the key is not to expel India from either bloc but to expand both organisations so as to emphasise the fact that India is outnumbered among the leading developing nations of Asia, Africa and Latin America....


Looks like the writer is a foreign policy wonk and has no understanding that India is in top four economies of the world and way ahead of the developing countries he wants to club India with.
And is unaware of Modis informal meetings with China and Russia in Wuhan and Sochi.....

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby chanakyaa » 26 May 2018 01:19


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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby Bart S » 26 May 2018 01:45

ramana wrote:
In respect of finding a solution for the problems faced by the BRICS and SCO regarding India’s inability to see eye-to-eye with China and others, the key is not to expel India from either bloc but to expand both organisations so as to emphasise the fact that India is outnumbered among the leading developing nations of Asia, Africa and Latin America....


Looks like the writer is a foreign policy wonk and has no understanding that India is in top four economies of the world and way ahead of the developing countries he wants to club India with.
And is unaware of Modis informal meetings with China and Russia in Wuhan and Sochi.....


The guy seems extremely anti-India and very enamored of Pakistan.

Going by these other articles and comments about Pakistan within them, he seems to be more Paki than err...the guy who was masturbating in public in front of some Paki girls in Pakistan recently. :D
https://www.eurasiafuture.com/2018/05/2 ... ow-to-imf/
https://www.eurasiafuture.com/2018/05/2 ... as-either/

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby chanakyaa » 08 Jun 2018 08:18

Country's fiscal management is not as great as the football team.

IMF Reaches Staff-Level Agreement with Argentina on a Three-Year, US$50 Billion Stand-By Arrangement
The Argentine authorities and IMF staff have reached an agreement on a 36-month Stand-By Arrangement (SBA) amounting to US$50 billion (equivalent to about SDR 35.379 billion or about 1,110 percent of Argentina’s quota in the IMF). This staff-level agreement will be subject to approval by the IMF’s Executive Board, which will consider Argentina’s economic plan in the coming days. The authorities have indicated that they intend to draw on the first tranche of the arrangement but subsequently treat the loan as precautionary.
...

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby Austin » 09 Jun 2018 22:36

Next Informal Summit In India In 2019, Xi Jinping Accepts PM's Invite

https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/pm-modi ... -topscroll

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby chanakyaa » 10 Jun 2018 08:03

G(oodby)-7 drama is over. After lots of posturing and trade threats, the summit ended without any outcome. YeeYou and Kanada are not too happy with the spanking, as if they had any leverage going into the negotiations. This is what happens when a nation gives up its sovereignty by faking it as "special relationship". The most interesting was Larry Kudlow's comments on taking this battle to international levels at 10:20.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-44427660


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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby JE Menon » 01 Jul 2018 23:14

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pehGk4obJ7w

Sergei Lavrov, Russian FM, on Channel 4. Forget the bullshit bait headline by Channel 4 - the interview is another study in how a country can be firm and flexible. Another great foreign minister out of Russia, this gent.


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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby g.sarkar » 02 Jul 2018 07:22

Ethnic cleansing happens also in Europe, (so do not blame just Myanmar):
http://www.euronews.com/2018/06/26/stri ... in-ukraine
String of attacks hit Roma settlements in Ukraine
By Anastassia Gliadkovskaya
A fatal attack on a Roma settlement near Lviv, Ukraine, has left one dead and four injured.
Saturday's attack was the fifth high-profile attack on a Roma settlement in the past few months.
The attackers wore masks and bore knives and hammers. Several adolescents have been arrested on suspicion of the “deliberate murder" and a criminal investigation is underway.
“The attackers were screaming to 'get out of here’,” 19-year-old David Pop told RFE/RL's Ukrainian Service.
According to the head of the National Police of Ukraine, these attacks on Roma settlements in Ukraine have become increasingly frequent.
Past attacks have been carried out by radical far-right youth, including groups C14 and Traditsii i Poryadok (Traditions and Order).
.....
Gautam

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby A_Gupta » 02 Jul 2018 09:38

Allegedly India's democracy has declined significantly over the last 10 years, per the report you can find on the front page here:
https://www.v-dem.net/en/

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby souravB » 02 Jul 2018 15:17

A_Gupta wrote:Allegedly India's democracy has declined significantly over the last 10 years, per the report you can find on the front page here:
https://www.v-dem.net/en/

According to the site, apparently India and Pakistan has similar level of freedom of expression. so colour me non-believer.

p.s. their website is pretty cool though. giving them points for that.

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby A_Gupta » 03 Jul 2018 01:53

^^^. Thanks! I thought there was something fishy, and you confirmed it!

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby RoyG » 04 Jul 2018 04:09

A_Gupta wrote:Allegedly India's democracy has declined significantly over the last 10 years, per the report you can find on the front page here:
https://www.v-dem.net/en/


Caste based societies will naturally be less democratic because the extended family structure tends to regulate itself.

Weber made a very critical point when discussing the foundation of democracy - Christianity transformed the European community from a ritual association based on kinship groups to a confessional association based on individual believers.

If you destroy the safety net that kinship groups provide, naturally you require political theory and institution building to interface between the state and society to meet the survival needs of both.

I had a thought about Afghanistan. Perhaps the reason why the US has such a hard time there is because it is in reality being challenged by the ancient caste based society more so than Islamic forces.

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby pravula » 04 Jul 2018 04:36

RoyG wrote:
A_Gupta wrote:Allegedly India's democracy has declined significantly over the last 10 years, per the report you can find on the front page here:
https://www.v-dem.net/en/


Caste based societies will naturally be less democratic because the extended family structure tends to regulate itself.

Weber made a very critical point when discussing the foundation of democracy - Christianity transformed the European community from a ritual association based on kinship groups to a confessional association based on individual believers.

If you destroy the safety net that kinship groups provide, naturally you require political theory and institution building to interface between the state and society to meet the survival needs of both.

I had a thought about Afghanistan. Perhaps the reason why the US has such a hard time there is because it is in reality being challenged by the ancient caste based society more so than Islamic forces.

Tribal, not caste.

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby RoyG » 04 Jul 2018 07:49

pravula wrote:
RoyG wrote:
Caste based societies will naturally be less democratic because the extended family structure tends to regulate itself.

Weber made a very critical point when discussing the foundation of democracy - Christianity transformed the European community from a ritual association based on kinship groups to a confessional association based on individual believers.

If you destroy the safety net that kinship groups provide, naturally you require political theory and institution building to interface between the state and society to meet the survival needs of both.

I had a thought about Afghanistan. Perhaps the reason why the US has such a hard time there is because it is in reality being challenged by the ancient caste based society more so than Islamic forces.

Tribal, not caste.


caste as in kinship group.

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby pravula » 04 Jul 2018 09:30

RoyG wrote:
pravula wrote:Tribal, not caste.


caste as in kinship group.


How is "Kinship group" caste? AFAIK, In Indic tradition, its called gothram.

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby RoyG » 05 Jul 2018 02:04

pravula wrote:
RoyG wrote:
caste as in kinship group.


How is "Kinship group" caste? AFAIK, In Indic tradition, its called gothram.


Caste in modern parlance has come to mean kinship group. Caste structure and system are different things. Gothram are sub-castes.

When God gave man dominion over Earth it destroyed this ancient system in Europe and led to the so called 'modern' political, sociological, and economic theories of today.

What we see today is a replay of the spread of Christianity within Europe. They were at war with the pagan heathens (now native cultures of Africa and Asia), Orthodox Church (now Russia), Muslims (now Shias), and with themselves (Protestant vs Catholic = Right vs Left). The difference however is that they are all going on at the same time now. Is this something they can handle?

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby Singha » 05 Jul 2018 17:06

LINK

dongguan a city of 8mil one of the factory cities, makes efforts to use automation in factories in keeping with china 2025 vision

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby ramana » 05 Jul 2018 20:24

Singha wrote:https://www.nytimes.com/2018/07/04/technology/made-in-china-2025-dongguan.html?module=WatchingPortal&region=c-column-middle-span-region&pgType=Homepage&action=click&mediaId=thumb_square&state=standard&contentPlacement=7&version=internal&contentCollection=www.nytimes.com&contentId=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.nytimes.com%2F2018%2F07%2F04%2Ftechnology%2Fmade-in-china-2025-dongguan.html&eventName=Watching-article-click


dongguan a city of 8mil one of the factory cities, makes efforts to use automation in factories in keeping with china 2025 vision



This is expected to be a game changer and will change image of Chinese mfg.

DT tantrums are to slow this juggernaut.

From Bloomberg....

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby dinesha » 06 Jul 2018 21:47

Why white papers matter
They allow a state to craft its signals carefully. India should take a leaf from China’s book.
https://indianexpress.com/article/opini ... inas-book/

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby ramana » 07 Jul 2018 04:34

dinesha wrote:Why white papers matter
They allow a state to craft its signals carefully. India should take a leaf from China’s book.
https://indianexpress.com/article/opini ... inas-book/



No need for white or black papers at this stage.

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby chanakyaa » 08 Jul 2018 19:43


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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby Primus » 09 Jul 2018 19:31

Not sure if this is the right thread, mods please feel free to move it.

https://qz.com/1321289/why-tweaking-ind ... -bad-idea/




"Citizens of India’s northeastern states have been protesting vigorously against a proposed new citizenship regime that they claim will “destroy their culture” in the region.

The amendment seeks to allow select “persecuted minorities” (Hindus, Christians, Parsis, Sikhs, Buddhist, and Jains) from the neighbouring countries of Bangladesh, Pakistan, and Afghanistan citizenship status in India after six years of residency. Other groups must wait 11 years to become naturalised citizens."



"Given that India repeatedly fails its own minorities, perhaps it’s not surprising that it is only prepared to offer refuge and asylum on the basis of ethnicity, not humanitarian need. It’s no coincidence that this amendment was introduced by the ruling Bhartiya Janta Party (BJP), led by prime minister Narendra Modi, which has an abysmal track record in protecting India’s minorities, whether they are Muslims, Christians, or Dalits. Nor has it shown any inclination to help rehabilitate south Asia's largest persecuted, the Rohingyas. "

Further......

"The bill also leaves out Muslim minorities in Pakistan, such as Shias and Ahmadis."

Another paid hit job by Brown Sepoy v2.0 from a PhD wannabe. Completely asinine. No mention of the 20 million illegal muslim BDs who have already changed the demographics of WB and other border states, or the sorry state of the few remaining Hindus in Pakistan and BD.

Of course the right magic words have to be used forward the agenda, "Modi", "failure to protect minorities" (who in the same states have done away with the majority, thanks to countries like the UK).

And by the usual twisted BBC logic, India must accommodate the persecuted muslim minorities of Pakistan, but no mention of why they are persecuted in the first place.

Written by 'Saba Sharma', PhD candidate, wonder what that means. Either you are a PhD student or a PhD already. Probably somebody desperate to please the white massas into getting into a degree program. Stuff like this probably works wonders in the corridors of Brit universities.

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby A_Gupta » 11 Jul 2018 17:50

Bloomberg opinion:
https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles ... hina-rises
As China Steps Up, Japan Isn’t Stepping Aside

Tokyo’s government and the private sector are reasserting influence in Asia and beyond.

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby A_Gupta » 12 Jul 2018 17:01

2008 article.
http://davidfrum.com/article/history-lesson
Lesson for India here? Can India offer its neighborhood "security on favorable terms"? The grumbling will be inevitable, too.
Madden’s core observation is that security is a precious and highly desired resource, and when one society becomes strong enough to offer security on favorable terms, other polities will eagerly accept. Trustworthy security, Madden contends, is what Rome offered first to Italy and then to the entire Mediterranean world. And it is what the United States offers today.

Roman hegemony, like American power, provoked considerable grumbling. There was a vast literature of anti-Romanism in Greek just as there is a vast literature of anti-Americanism in the languages of Europe. Madden insists, however, that the test of trust is not what grumblers say. It is what they do.

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby ramana » 14 Jul 2018 03:33

Very good discussion paper. Its 39 pages pdf on 20 different scenarios and what steps India should take.

http://takshashila.org.in/takshashila-p ... rld-order/

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby dinesha » 16 Jul 2018 12:49

The India-Russia-US Energy Triangle. The United States and Russia are competing for India’s favor – and its energy market.
By Saurav Jha
https://thediplomat.com/2018/07/the-ind ... -triangle/
That convergence of interests means that India is not likely to let provisions of CAATSA, which can lead to secondary sanctions on non-U.S. entities involved in “Special Crude Projects” in Russia, deter it from further investments in the same. Indian investments have helped balance the influence of the Chinese in Russia’s upstream sector, something that has served to highlight India’s continuing geostrategic relevance to Moscow. In fact, India’s hydrocarbon imports from the United States and Russia will lead to both having an added interest in ensuring freedom of navigation in the Indo-Pacific. Besides, diversifying it energy imports, India will always look to balance that diversification.

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby A_Gupta » 17 Jul 2018 17:42

Japan and EU signed a free trade agreement.
https://www.indiatvnews.com/news/world- ... eal-453239

The text of the agreement is here.
http://trade.ec.europa.eu/doclib/press/ ... fm?id=1684

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby ramana » 18 Jul 2018 01:29

Trump was promising a FTA with UK if there is clean #Brexit.
So what does UK have to trade with US?

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby Prem » 18 Jul 2018 06:11

ramana wrote:Trump was promising a FTA with UK if there is clean #Brexit.
So what does UK have to trade with US?


Indians need to make move for kill and take over the banking system stolen by Brit from our own Baniyas babus.


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