Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby Singha » 06 Jan 2019 22:52

Hahaha all anglos on top as usual in these reports on education and national power

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby Prem » 10 Jan 2019 01:07

he Road from the Khyber to the Bosporus: Partnerships, Perils and Opportunities


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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby Neshant » 24 Jan 2019 11:50


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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby Singha » 24 Jan 2019 16:56

CNN


Airbus says its UK factories may not survive a disorderly Brexit

By Charles Riley, CNN Business

Updated 1111 GMT (1911 HKT) January 24, 2019


Davos, Switzerland (CNN Business)Airbus has warned that its plants in the United Kingdom may not survive if the country crashes out of the European Union, rupturing trade links and supply chains.

CEO Tom Enders issued the stark warning in a video released Thursday. He said a disorderly split would cause Airbus to redirect future investment and it could not guarantee that its existing factories would survive long term.

Airbus (EADSF) is headquartered in Toulouse, France, but has significant engineering and production facilities in the United Kingdom. One large production center in Wales makes the wings used on all Airbus civil aircraft. It has 14,000 employees in Britain and supports another 110,000 jobs through its supply chain.

"The UK's aerospace sector now stands at the precipice," Enders said. "If there is a no-deal Brexit, we at Airbus will have to make potentially very harmful decisions for the UK."

"Make no mistake, there are plenty of countries out there that would love to build the wings for Airbus aircraft," Enders said in the vide

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby ricky_v » 24 Jan 2019 18:41

look folks, a new maidan
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/01/23/venezuela-president-maduro-breaks-relations-with-us-gives-american-diplomats-72-hours-to-leave-country.html
Venezuelan opposition leader Juan Guaido declared himself interim president on Wednesday, winning over the backing of the Washington and many Latin American nations and prompting socialist Nicolas Maduro to break relations with the United States.

Speaking to supporters outside the Miraflores presidential palace in Caracas, socialist leader Maduro said he would give U.S. diplomatic personnel 72 hours to leave Venezuela, which is suffering from a hyperinflationary economic collapse.

U.S. President Donald Trump formally recognized Guaido shortly after his announcement and praised his plan to hold elections. That was swiftly followed by similar statements from Canada and a slew of right-leaning Latin American governments, including Venezuela's neighbors Brazil and Colombia.

The U.S. State Department said in a statement that it would not remove American diplomats because it did not recognize the Maduro regime as the government of Venezuela: "The United States does not consider former president Nicolas Maduro to have the legal authority to break diplomatic relations with the United States or to declare our diplomats persona non grata."

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby ArjunPandit » 24 Jan 2019 22:08

chetak wrote:
Lalmohan wrote:Saudis don't need Gwadar do the? it will compete with their oil flows no?


it is a refinery that the saudis are building.

they are very interested in building another one in India too.

they are diversifying and adding value to their exports.

sir, while I dont disagree that Iran's conduct has been like that only, esp with their Kashmir lecturing recently. My post was that
1. Gwadar can't be the emerging business capital of Asia where cities like Tokyo, Shanghai and Mumbai exist
2. Coming to Iran, I doubt they are that naive, India's business through chabahar actually offers them a conduit to interact with world and byepass the US sanctions in limited capability. While Iran may shaft us, I dont think we have stood behind them either. They distrust is mutual. It's a question of who did more (In no way trying to justify Iranian past and current behavior)
3. It's a risk we have to take till we start imposing our will on nations, a good start could be hedging by retaking PoK (ignoring current feasibility aside) or being able to stand up to American browbeating (which is neither beneficial or practical). Chabahar is wealthy but not strong willed nation's work around in today's time. If we dont stand up why do we expect others to stand up for us.

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby Kashi » 25 Jan 2019 06:41

chetak wrote:the iranis have already made proposals to both the paki and the hans to link the two ports via a rail + road link.

iran is greedy.


If I remember correctly that was before Saudis were on the scene. Now with the Saud firmly planted in Gwadar, will the Iranis (greedy or not) have the same proposal?

Moreover, will the Saud allow the Bakis to link up with Chabahar?

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby chetak » 25 Jan 2019 11:35

ArjunPandit wrote:
chetak wrote:
it is a refinery that the saudis are building.

they are very interested in building another one in India too.

they are diversifying and adding value to their exports.

sir, while I dont disagree that Iran's conduct has been like that only, esp with their Kashmir lecturing recently. My post was that
1. Gwadar can't be the emerging business capital of Asia where cities like Tokyo, Shanghai and Mumbai exist
2. Coming to Iran, I doubt they are that naive, India's business through chabahar actually offers them a conduit to interact with world and byepass the US sanctions in limited capability. While Iran may shaft us, I dont think we have stood behind them either. They distrust is mutual. It's a question of who did more (In no way trying to justify Iranian past and current behavior)
3. It's a risk we have to take till we start imposing our will on nations, a good start could be hedging by retaking PoK (ignoring current feasibility aside) or being able to stand up to American browbeating (which is neither beneficial or practical). Chabahar is wealthy but not strong willed nation's work around in today's time. If we dont stand up why do we expect others to stand up for us.


why do we need to stand up for iran?? who are they to us? they are looking down at us through the colored lens of the old persian empire, the fallacious "conqueror's" mentality.

we don't run them down in any way like they do to us.

we only ask that they do the same.

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby chetak » 25 Jan 2019 11:43

ArjunPandit wrote:
chetak wrote:
it is a refinery that the saudis are building.

they are very interested in building another one in India too.

they are diversifying and adding value to their exports.

sir, while I dont disagree that Iran's conduct has been like that only, esp with their Kashmir lecturing recently. My post was that
1. Gwadar can't be the emerging business capital of Asia where cities like Tokyo, Shanghai and Mumbai exist
2. Coming to Iran, I doubt they are that naive, India's business through chabahar actually offers them a conduit to interact with world and byepass the US sanctions in limited capability. While Iran may shaft us, I dont think we have stood behind them either. They distrust is mutual. It's a question of who did more (In no way trying to justify Iranian past and current behavior)
3. It's a risk we have to take till we start imposing our will on nations, a good start could be hedging by retaking PoK (ignoring current feasibility aside) or being able to stand up to American browbeating (which is neither beneficial or practical). Chabahar is wealthy but not strong willed nation's work around in today's time. If we dont stand up why do we expect others to stand up for us.


chabahar is a sleepy, overgrown village sort of a place and it will remain so for quite some time to come.

the concept of such ports being the commercial capital of anything is the outpouring of a diseased mind and a fevered imagination. At best, it is just another link in a long trade route, albeit an important one in terms of cargo transshipment.

It is just their awkward way of trying to sell the port to gullible investors and to attract non iranian money to do their work for them. good luck to them.

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby krishna_krishna » 27 Jan 2019 21:39

"US - Taliban agree on troop withdrawal plan, Sources Tell VOA"

@jaketapper

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby Neshant » 28 Jan 2019 01:59

krishna_krishna wrote:"US - Taliban agree on troop withdrawal plan, Sources Tell VOA"

@jaketapper


The Taliban have successfully defeated the US, if true.

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby Austin » 28 Jan 2019 19:30

Video : India needs to ally with US to counter China: Fareed Zakaria to India Today at Davos

https://www.indiatoday.in/india-today-a ... 2019-01-26

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby Austin » 28 Jan 2019 22:09

Watched the interview with Fareed , he seems to have a very patronising attitude towards current GOI and hatred towards DT

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby ramana » 06 Feb 2019 21:51


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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby Paul » 06 Feb 2019 22:01

behind a wall


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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby Austin » 07 Feb 2019 14:21

China, Not Russia Real Reason Behind US Exit From INF Treaty – Indian Analyst
"The primary reason of the withdrawing of the US from the INF Treaty is not Russia. It is China, whom the US wants to stop at the world stage. Definitely, the US will try its best to include China and some other countries, like India, in a treaty akin to the INF. But, I am afraid that such a kind of treaty will not take place in the near future, especially when the US has unilaterally withdrawn in the first place", Rajiv Nayan, senior research associate at the Delhi based Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses, told Sputnik.

Analyst Rajiv Nayan observes that "Russia is unlikely to jump into the arms race immediately, as it has enough missiles and other weapons that can ensure its security in the region, especially in the backdrop of a shift in the theatre of war to East Asia from Europe".


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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby Prem » 21 Feb 2019 07:24

https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles ... ontainment?
The New Containment

This new world requires a new American foreign policy. Fortunately, the country’s own not-so-distant past can offer guidance. During the Cold War, the United States chose to contain the Soviet Union, successfully deterring its military aggression and limiting its political influence for decades. The United States should apply containment once again, now to Russia, China, and Iran. The contemporary world is similar enough to its mid-twentieth-century predecessor to make that old strategy relevant but different enough that it needs to be modified and updated. While success is not guaranteed, a new containment policy offers the best chance to defend American interests in the twenty-first century.Now as before, the possibility of armed conflict exerts a major influence on the foreign policies of the United States and countries throughout Asia, Europe, and the Middle East. The Cold War divided the world into rival camps, with regions and even countries split in two. Today, similar cleavages are developing, with each revisionist power seeking its own sphere of influence separate from the larger U.S.-backed global order.Now as before, the revisionist powers are dictatorships that challenge American values as well as American interests. They seek to overturn political, military, and economic arrangements the United States helped establish long ago and has supported ever since. Should Vladimir Putin’s Russia succeed in reasserting control over parts of the former Soviet Union, Xi Jinping’s China gain control over maritime commerce in the western Pacific, or Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s Iran dominate the oil reserves of the Persian Gulf, the United States, its allies, and the global order they uphold would suffer a major blow.

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby Neshant » 22 Feb 2019 15:03

Russia appears more on the defensive than offensive.

There must have been an agreement on US withdrawal from Syria in return for Russia's non-involvement in Venezuela.

Their bigger long term problem is China which they are far more wary of than NATO.

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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby rhytha » 23 Mar 2019 15:36

New Roadmaps for Asia: The 'Free and Open Indo-Pacific' and the 'Quad'

NEW YORK, March 19, 2019 — In an age of anxiety about regional security in Asia, two new ideas have gained traction: the "Free and Open Indo-Pacific" and the Quadrilateral Security Dialogues (the "quad"). Both ideas would involve India, Japan, Australia, and the United States. In a Tuesday night conversation at Asia Society, ASPI's Daniel Russel discussed the "FOIP" and the "quad" with Subrahmanyam Jaishankar, president of global corporate affairs at Tata Group, and Akitaka Saiki, a member of the board at the Mitsubishi Corporation. (1 hr., 15 min.)


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Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

Postby siqir » 23 Mar 2019 19:22

very good show by s jaishankar

the host was a total obama hack pretending trump did not exist
these people still not accepting reality

that map @5:08 put up by the japanese seemed a deliberate insult to show us up as small
in fact indian ocean is 70 m kmsq while pacific is 165 m kmsq or just over double
sj countered it well by saying we see pacific as just our periphery have our own history and also brought up jp helping brits put down sg mutiny

curt answer by sj that china should look at signal they are sending with azhar etc at un

@22:20 famous huawei song rings out lol

japanese point on rep for quality of projects vs china just being cheap is now questionable
a lot of jp quality scandals have come up recent one being a building co fudging earthquake resistance data
we should not take qa for granted on our hsr

personally i am suspicious if indo pacific is just greater east asia co prosperity sphere now just an arc
is japan really a democracy with current hullabaloo over new emperor and abe being a dynast and no heeding okinawa protests
can we trust jp to not pull a moon jae in and fold into sinosphere especially once gdp table flips from usa to cn
afterall they have not forgotten who used nooks on them

japanese on nhk atleast will usually show only g3 ie jp eu usa get together to ponder fate of world so it is interesting to see this


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