Levant crisis - III

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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby Parasu » 26 Jan 2018 01:59

Germany has frozen spare parts supply to Turkish leopard 2 tanks.
This when Putin and Trump are competing to lick Erdogans @ss.
And 'crimes' of Kurds, past a century, are being brought up to dehumanise them to accept their slaughter easily.

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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby pralay » 26 Jan 2018 02:49

Kurdish government officially calls on Syrian Army to protect Afrin from Turkey
https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/breaking-kurdish-government-officially-calls-syrian-army-protect-afrin-turkey/
The official Kurdish administrative bureaucracy that runs Syria’s Afrin region has called on the government in Damascus to protect the region and its people from the ongoing assault against it by Turkey-led forces.

Moments ago, the Afrin Self-Administration Office (a regional extension of the Kurdish Democratic Union Party) posted a statement (seen below) officially calling on the Syrian government to fulfill its duty to protect the region – a part of sovereign Syrian soil – from Turkish invasion by deploying its military.
The statement did make the effort to point out that Kurdish forces had protected Afrin from terrorists and invaders for the last six years and that they would continue to do so even once the Syrian Armed Forces stepped in.

A key part of the statement reads:
“We call out for the Syrian government to protect Afrin and Syria’s borders by deploying the Syrian Armed Forces to protect Afrin borders.”

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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby Singha » 26 Jan 2018 07:24

^^^ this after GOTUS had made clear they would not provide any material or human support to Afrin kurds and wanted all YPG fighters to fulfill US diktats in the euphrates valley only.

assad has atleast opened all his roads to permit the YPG to move in and out freely incl calling in reinforcements from sheik maqsood aleppo.

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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby Singha » 26 Jan 2018 22:02

Ali Özkök
@Ozkok_
6h6 hours ago
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Ankara sends #Turkish commando units from Bingöl to #YPG-held #Afrin in northern #Syria.


^^^ Bolu and Bingol are where the turkiye mountain commando units are based.

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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby Singha » 26 Jan 2018 22:04

YPG has also responded by going for a deeper mobilization and sending more specialized and seasoned units in afrin including some of their foreign volunteers.

ISIS is running around on both shores of the euphrates and as both YPG and SAA are focussed on other fronts leaving gaps and second line units in place. the syrian iraqi militias are holding the western shore mostly and so far managing to repel isis attacks.

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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby Singha » 26 Jan 2018 22:26

Image

probable map of turkiye cum jihadi gains

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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby Philip » 27 Jan 2018 07:26

Ottomans supposed to have suffered heavy losses in the fighting, may explain the extra commandos being rushed to the front.

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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby Singha » 27 Jan 2018 13:16

Reports of being unable to sync air and artillery fire with ground jihadi swarms hence trained sf being sent

Usa and russia have had such units onsite on day1 of any ops

Wrt turkey most of their older generals are in jail both army and af only politically reliable chamchas are in the seat now

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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby Singha » 27 Jan 2018 13:19

150 general staff of armed forces are in jail or dead

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016%E2 ... _in_Turkey

The commamders of the bolu and bingol commando batallions were themselves arrested and the hit teams sent to kill wedogan killed or captured trying to escape to greece

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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby UlanBatori » 27 Jan 2018 17:49

There seems to be at least a chance that this could be Erdogan's unravelling. Is there any way to see that the Turkish force is bogged down and basically de-briefed I wonder. This is where a good snap decision from DT can completely turn the tables and take down Erdogan, run the Islamists out of office in Turkey etc. Where is the full moon when you need it, hain? All he has to do is impose a no-fly zone and the Kurds on the ground will de-brief the Turkish Army.

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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby Parasu » 27 Jan 2018 19:10

Turkey has asked US to leave Manbij immediately. Now the question is whether Trump is as much of a conniving chicken as the great chess player Putin.

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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby Singha » 27 Jan 2018 20:05

coalition bombs iraqi army convoy who had arrested a top isis commander..says it was a mistake ho gaya...

https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/us ... er-photos/

friends sticking up for their assets ?

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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby Singha » 27 Jan 2018 20:06

using better weather and gunship support, turkiye jihadis score better progress in afrin

https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/tu ... s-improve/

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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby Singha » 27 Jan 2018 20:08

Brasco_Aad
‏@Brasco_Aad
2h2 hours ago
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TURKEY: US TROOPS MUST EVACUATE FROM MANBIJ IMMEDIATELY

^^ Erdogan ji in a pugnacious mood.

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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby chanakyaa » 27 Jan 2018 22:12


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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby Philip » 28 Jan 2018 08:42

Erdo the Turk, would be Sultan of the Latter-Day-Ottomins is turning out to more of a comic rather than tragic character in history.His bumbling foreign policy is being exploited by Putin and Russia, and his open disgust for the US is dangerously increasing the possibility of an " accident" take place involving the US and its mercenary forces .How that will unfold is anyone's guess as the "Sultan" is unpredictable.His purge of professional military men may in the coming days haunt him.Perhaps like Mussolini he will one day be strung up on a meathook in a Stamboul market!

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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby UlanBatori » 28 Jan 2018 18:42

The US is really missing a bet here. First, all those dummies saying Hu Lost Turkey, are turkeys. Turkey is **NOT** going to cut off relations with US if US supports an independent Kurdistan, any more than India cut off relations because of US propping up genocidal Islamist terrorists and dictators in Pakistan.

Come to think of it, Turkey has not withdrawn from NATO, have they? THAT may very well happen, but I think that would be a positive not negative, for US because it means US can deal directly with Turkey, and in Victoria Newland's lingo, "**** the EU!".

But propping up Kurdistan at once satisfies US anti-Islamist DT vote banks, as well as US Bring Democracy To Furriners Donkey Vote-Bank. I don't think Israel has anything against Kurds (better than any other Ayrabs except the Druze, from their pov). So Israeli Vote Bank also will be happy. PLUS, a HUUUUGE military base and colony in the center of the MidEast.

I can't believe all those Strategic Thinkers in the Pentagon can't see this.

IOW, a totally 400% Accidental Strike by US F-22s and A-10s that happens to wipe out a whole column of Turkish tanks, might be a not-so-bad thing right about now.

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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby Singha » 28 Jan 2018 21:30

Bio of nusra by southfront

https://youtu.be/vR2q8vD_9b8

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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby Singha » 28 Jan 2018 21:31

Ulan, they have no alternative to incirlik for ops over suria

Thumrait uedid et al are far away

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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby Singha » 28 Jan 2018 22:14

Singha wrote:Bio of nusra by southfront

https://youtu.be/vR2q8vD_9b8


Great video a muat watch

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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby Singha » 29 Jan 2018 03:58

Ypg have lost a key high point jabal basraya on eastern side of afrin they had lost then retaken earlier

In other news a ypj lady blew herself up to take down a turkiye tank and some jihadi types
https://mobile.almasdarnews.com/article ... n-reports/

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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby Singha » 29 Jan 2018 04:02

Turkiye continues to bomb villages in afrin daily


Murad Ismael
@murad_ismael
·
Jan 23
Just spoke to a Yazidi community leader in Syria: 21 Yazidi villages in vicinity of #Afrin region could face dark times if Jihadists reach their villages.

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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby Singha » 29 Jan 2018 08:44

video - young turkoman jihadis yelling AoA and promising death to kurds, yezidis and other afrin infidels.

they seem well fed and well equipped, shooting off ammo just to pump themselves and get worked up

https://twitter.com/SrooooD/status/957298918219571200

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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby Singha » 29 Jan 2018 08:46

meantime in eastern syria, kidnapped yezidi kids (taken for brainwashing) continue to be found in ISIS dens here and there by SDF.

once point of kidnapping is identified they are sent back home which is usually Sinjar mountain region.

after all that was done and the horrors these kids have witnessed, I hope God gives them the strength to return to humanity and live a normal life again.

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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby Singha » 29 Jan 2018 08:49

Abdullah Bozkurt
@abdbozkurt
Jan 25
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President #Erdogan says the region in #Turkey's neighbourhood faces "a post-modern Christian Crusades" and #PYD & #YPG are collaborators of these crusaders that killed tens of thousands.

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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby Singha » 29 Jan 2018 08:50

it seems heat maps of activity released by Strava the popular running and cycling app is possible to make out military bases, patrol and exercise patterns and lay ambushes and pinpoint living areas for mortar or vbied attacks

https://www.ndtv.com/world-news/us-sold ... eststories

the age of everything having a IP address and connection to cloud has its downsides...

errant husbands flying off on business trips but landing up in another ladies place for a spot of decompression therapy might also take note :twisted: - "the cloud watches, the cloud knows" ... a new fitness band product niche could be called "border patrol" - geofences the hubby within bounds and locations set by the suspicious wife and if crossed, delivers a buzz, followed by the electric shock and a SMS to the wife :D

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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby Austin » 29 Jan 2018 10:16

The unloading of the S-400 surface-to-air missile system in the Syrian port of Tartus in December 2017:


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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby Singha » 29 Jan 2018 11:31

the child soldiers in the video i posted fit the bill for the sultan murad brigade types who fought for months north of aleppo in azaz and al-bab against the ISIS. what they lack in age and wisdom, they make up in brutality and josh to club the kuffar.


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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby Philip » 30 Jan 2018 12:49

Russian interests are to drive a wedge between Turkey and the US/NATO.In the current scenario,where the Sultan is embarrassing the US no end,exposing its duplicity,supporting ISIS while supposedly fighting against it,plus his dallying with Putin,he is rapidly becoming the next Saddam Hussein of the Arab world in the eyes of the US.I mentioned this sometime ago and astonishingly,this morning on CNN,a US talking head actually suggested "removing" Erdogan as the only way forward!Watch this space.

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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby pralay » 30 Jan 2018 13:28

Looks like the turks are probing Syrian/Russian response in Aleppo/Idlib
Excerpts from https://twitter.com/jenanmoussa/status/958072842398072833

Turkish army convoy including APCs drove thru HTS controlled Idlib in Syria heading towards AlEis, a rebel controlled frontline with Syrian gov forces &allies. Due to nearby bombing &Syrian shelling, it came to halt, turned off its lights and Later it turned back.

although the image says russians bombing, it was later clear that the syrians were bombing and not russians.. at least officially.
Image

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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby Singha » 30 Jan 2018 16:06

about 70 shells were fired to scare off the turkiye convoy


Elijah J. Magnier
‏@ejmalrai
4h4 hours ago
More Elijah J. Magnier Retweeted Elijah J. Magnier
#Russia #Damascus and allies (there is a presence of allis forces in tel El-Eiss) rejected the Turkish attempt to I'm,pose a new demarcation line and bombed around the Turkish convoy, forcing its to pull out. The aim wasn't to destroy it.Elijah J. Magnier added,
Elijah J. Magnier

@ejmalrai
#Turkey decided to inject around 200 soldiers and officers in Tel El-Eiss (mimicking the #USA forces in Manbij) and imposing an ipso-facto: we are here so you (Russia and Syrian Forces) respect the demarcation line with HTS & Turkish allies.

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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby Singha » 30 Jan 2018 16:07

Saraqib which is the main bastion of jihadis in eastern Idlib gets hammered with FAE devices
https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/vi ... air-bombs/

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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby Singha » 30 Jan 2018 21:21

old 2008 documentary on chechen partisans...the survivors of that phase came out and joined the global jihad..today these veteran Al-Shishani's are the elite spear of the nusra & turkiye fronts in syria






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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby Singha » 31 Jan 2018 10:03

Heavy preparatory fire by the air force & artillery on all the headquarters of Jabhat Al-Nusra, their allies, & their security apparatus in Saraqeb & its surroundings.

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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby Philip » 31 Jan 2018 18:58

Which air force? Syrian or Turks?

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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby Singha » 31 Jan 2018 19:08

syaf + ruaf. Saraqib is the arsenal, crossroad and quila of Nusra like DEZ was for the ISIS.

if Saraqib falls entire north hama front will collapse and roll up from the rear and Idlib cannot be defended.

Saraqib will be the decisive battle for the fate of Idlib, and if the syrians win they will press on and fight for Idlib and Jisr al shugour

it will be a cagefight and the syrians will have to really dig deep for this one. the damascus front might need to be denuded of republican guard units to muster enough for a wide series of probing attacks from all directions, with the breakthrough points then reinforced for the shock units like tigers , parachute batallion and 4th repub guards div to pour in.

the parachute batallion last saw some action by dropping in to save T4 airbase just in time when the ISIS surged back to palmyra and thereafter in battles in the desert north of palmyra under tiger forces command as the tigers made their way inland and then east again to find a path to DEZ. they seem to be army HQ reserve and not seen much outside damascus. some might operate under the so called "air force intelligence" which seems to be a informal SF type unit.

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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby Shanmukh » 31 Jan 2018 21:08

@Singha,
Fantastic analysis of the strategic points. Assuming that Idlib falls & Nusra is shattered, what happens to the other Jihadi units that are under the Syrian rebels? Will Nusra just hide among them? Or will they take a few nice buses to Europe?

If Idlib & Jisr al Shugour fall, will the other rebels negotiate. BTW, why aren't the Syrians wiping out the other smaller Jihadi pockets like near Jayrud or Dumayr or even Damascus? Are they quiet or under ceasefire? Aren't they tying down other Syrian units that could be freed up?

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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby Parasu » 31 Jan 2018 21:15

The US, turkey supported FSA, full of jihadis, is now also supported by Russia.
The entire narrative carefully built by Putin for the last 17 years as supporter of international law and peace has been unravelled in one stroke.
Even when the stakes were higher in Ukraine, Putin didn't waver from the path. Now to appease a jihadi turkey , Russia is ready to accommodate the worst of terrorists.
Amazing

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Re: Levant crisis - III

Postby Singha » 01 Feb 2018 07:27

Shanmukh wrote:@Singha,
Fantastic analysis of the strategic points. Assuming that Idlib falls & Nusra is shattered, what happens to the other Jihadi units that are under the Syrian rebels? Will Nusra just hide among them? Or will they take a few nice buses to Europe?

If Idlib & Jisr al Shugour fall, will the other rebels negotiate. BTW, why aren't the Syrians wiping out the other smaller Jihadi pockets like near Jayrud or Dumayr or even Damascus? Are they quiet or under ceasefire? Aren't they tying down other Syrian units that could be freed up?


ahrar al shams the other big formation is a shadow of its former self. it is more moderate than nusra. has suffered repeated thrashings, been deprived of goonda tax revenue at checkpoints and lost a lot to defections. I suspect it will slink away and sue for a settlement.

the HTS nusra has absorbed all the more virulent strains like darat izza (CIA backed and TOW equipped specialists), and many more... either they will die fighting or tiptoe into turkey.

the third set of monkeys the turkiye pasand formations - turkestani islami party, kavkaz chechens, sultan murad brigade have the other green belt east and north of aleppo (al baj area) as their new homeland should Idlib fall. they anyways have a working relationship with HTS but obey Erdogans mil intel only. or they live in the turkiye border tracts as manchu bannermen and neo settlers.

damascus suburbs have a lot of civilians held hostage by the rebels in these enclaves. some are under ceasefire and UN sends food which the rebels also eat. no attack can done due to collateral risk. some areas are depopulated but heavily mined and defended like east ghouta. weapon smugglers from jordan side bring in arms through the countryside and the syrians have scant manpower to police all these vast tracts so it goes on. bad optics if they pound it to the ground, only US is allowed to do such things like raqqa and mosul, for the rest its human rights no can do. if you remember the jihadis below up the damascus water supply headworks in wadi barada a year ago and SAA had great difficulty in capturing that valley and repairing the headworks tunnel. such infra seems like a informal agreement between assad and the jihadis to leave unpoliced and unharmed and things like food supplies, syriatel cellphone network, water works continue to function across the lines unless some monkey pulls a stunt like wadi barada. cellphones worked nicely even in ISIS areas and maintained by syriatel, which accounts for the constant updates from the ISIS front troops also. there was even a bus from beirut -> damascus -> raqqa

a long war at a sub-caliber intensity makes for these strange tactical arrangements

https://edition.cnn.com/2016/01/29/midd ... index.html

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wadi_Barada_offensive_(2016%E2%80%9317)


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