Levant crisis - III

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 19 Feb 2018 16:39

Yusha Yuseef
‏
@MIG29_
2h2 hours ago
More
breaking , Syrian Army will enter Afrin in next hours .. Syrian TV

Parasu · Post by **Parasu** » 19 Feb 2018 18:57

Philip wrote:Good analysis by AC.Tx. Singha. It is amazing how asinine US diplomacy in the region is.Look at the Japanese, how they've penetrated every nation through their automobiles, electronic goods, etc.The Germans too with their top line autos.If the US concentrated in selliing their tech. instead of starting conflicts to sell their arms , the world would be a far safer place and the US more popular too.

And noone would care two hoots about them, just like the Japs and Germans. Or Indians for that matter. Power grows from the barrell of a gun. As Russia showed in Syria.

Philip · Post by **Philip** » 19 Feb 2018 23:10

True! But you must know how to use the gun first!
Not to mention whom you should shoot at.The US in the ME remind me of that cult film "Rambo- First Blood", where the sheriff and his deputies go a gunning for Rambo as if they were hunting like the Klan a (pardon the phrase) n*gger on the run! In Iraq they got pasted by the Iraqi resistance, mostly Saddam's ex-armymen .In Afghanistan the Taliban still rules and in Libya it's a free-for-all.

Parasu · Post by **Parasu** » 20 Feb 2018 02:30

Philip wrote:True! But you must know how to use the gun first!
Not to mention whom you should shoot at.The US in the ME remind me of that cult film "Rambo- First Blood", where the sheriff and his deputies go a gunning for Rambo as if they were hunting like the Klan a (pardon the phrase) n*gger on the run! In Iraq they got pasted by the Iraqi resistance, mostly Saddam's ex-armymen .In Afghanistan the Taliban still rules and in Libya it's a free-for-all.

^^ Agreed. The amreekis have too much of Hollywood diet.
But some of it holds true for others as well. Dont get caught in guerilla war. Like the soviets in Afghanistan. Indians in Sri Lanka.
Sane political and military objectives and long term prediction ability is essential.

But when you have only 4 years, you want that martial glory. It blinds you.
The same thing blinds most autocrats too. Putin has been sane in that respect. Working slowly and efficiently.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 20 Feb 2018 08:16

Al masdar

BEIRUT, LEBANON (2:37 P.M.) – Artillery detachments of the Turkish Army have loosed a massive barrage of shelling across Syria’s Afrin region in order to deter what a appears to be the imminent entry of pro-government intervention forces.

In less than an hour, opposition, pro-Turkish and pro-government sources have reported heavy shelling by Turkish artillery in and around the towns of Harbul, Maryamin, Sheikh Issa, Tal Riffat and Tarandah as well as numerous villages along the main road the leads from Syrian Army-held territory into Afrin.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 20 Feb 2018 09:02

Petolucem

Shelling but no ground assault in E- #Ghouta yet. #SAA is gathering forces in staging areas. These units will rep. participate in the offensive: Tiger Forces, 1st and 9th Tank Division, 4th Mechanized Division and 104th, 105th and 106th Brigade of the Republican Guards

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 20 Feb 2018 15:36

http://www.delhidefencereview.com/2018/ ... r-in-2018/

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 20 Feb 2018 18:07

ANADOLU AGENCY (ENG)‏
Verified account
@anadoluagency
2h2 hours ago

#Turkey to lay siege to #Afrin city center soon: Erdogan http://v.aa.com.tr/1068471

0 replies 13 retweets 11 likes
Reply Retweet 13 Like 11

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@GeromanAT
1h1 hour ago
More -GEROMAN - Retweeted syrianfaust
YPG's stubborn leadership is the reason fir the delay...
As long as they poker around the more sensless casuatlies and ground lose will happen.-GEROMAN - added,
syrianfaust

@SyrianFaust
YPG claims that Russia is the reason Syrian government forces has not yet entered Afrin... https://fb.me/27iXW46d7
2 replies 2 retweets 8 likes

Islamic World News
‏

@A7_Mirza
3h3 hours ago
More
Considering current situation, the best option for #Afrin #Kurds is to get along and negotiate with Syrian Government to avoid occupation of Afrin by #Turkey.
#OperationOliveBranch #ZeytinDaliHarekati #Syria

3 replies 8 retweets 16 likes
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Show this thread
-GEROMAN Retweeted

Islamic World News
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@A7_Mirza
3h3 hours ago
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In battlefield although the advance of forces led by #Turkey is slow,but after a few more step the way to #Afrin will be easy for them and they will be at the gates of Afrin, thus #Kurds should decide faster.
#OperationOliveBranch #ZeytinDaliHarekati #Syria

Islamic World News
‏

@A7_Mirza
3h3 hours ago
More
The surprise is that the leadership of #Afrin is in the hand of those who do not do anything without #US permission although they know US would not do anything to help them even if Afrin is occupied entirely…
#OperationOliveBranch #ZeytinDaliHarekati #Syria

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 20 Feb 2018 18:09

so despite all the big talk, the YPG is really outmatched by the turks esp the 155mm artillery and air strikes and cannot hold ground much longer.

and since the US will not stop Erdogan and neither will Russia. the only other option is big bad alawaite Assad.

Parasu · Post by **Parasu** » 20 Feb 2018 22:03

After the Kurds agree with Assad to joint defence against Erdogan, this -

Syrian state media reported on Tuesday that Turkish forces had shelled the pro-Syrian government fighters after they entered Afrin region to help ward off a Turkish attack.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mide ... SKCN1G422T

Now, who will the great chessplayer, Pootin, betray next after the Kurds. Is it gonna be jihadi Erdogan or Basshar al-Assad?

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 20 Feb 2018 22:11

its probably game over for Erdogan in afrin ... he can console himself with a few scraps of border villages overrun.

dont forget his juicy military convoys are now under the guns of SAA in Idlib, acting as chowkidars and linekeepers to protect his HTS and Shams munnas. Shams front esp is close to turkiye mil intel.

if he shells the saa in Idlib, they can shell right back.

from the damascus pov, the YPG has been chastened and made aware of the lack of american support where it concerns turkey.... they have been wounded by turkiye in afrin but not flattened.... they have been made aware they need damascus to save their hides from big bad wolf up north.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 20 Feb 2018 22:31

ruaf had never attacked ghouta or qalamoun front before

al masdar

BEIRUT, LEBANON (7:14 A.M.) – The Russian air grouping in Syria has officially joined the Syrian Army’s looming East Ghouta offensive, backing up heavy raids conducted by government warplanes against militant position across the region on Monday with many of its own strikes.

Military-affiliated sources report that Russian airpower conducted heavy precision strikes across multiple rebel-held districts east of Damascus city targeting militant tactical positions, gatherings and movements.

As of the last reports two hours ago, Russian jets were still carrying-out raids over East Ghouta.

In particular, it is believed that the Russian combat aircraft have placed considerable emphasis on striking rebel fire support positions (such as anti-tank missile dug-outs and heavy machine gun nests) with precision weapons.

During the past couple of days, opposition sources have claimed that Russian warplanes raided East Ghouta, however all such reports are untrue and it is not until around midnight on Monday to Tuesday that Russian jets started to conduct strikes against militant targets throughout the region.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 21 Feb 2018 09:00

https://medium.com/insurge-intelligence ... b3e7d01d0d

this tells in one place how the US used the rise of ISIS as a strategic tool, then fighting ISIS to occupy east and south syria and gather its proxies and even now persists in protecting ISIS pockets in east syria and grabbing oil resources via rebadged proxies.......

one can appreciate how much late issam zahreddine contributed by holding the town until relieved...

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 21 Feb 2018 09:04

one column of NDF with their technicals and light artillery entered afrin yesterday. another column is poised to enter from aleppo side.

Elijah J. Magnier
‏@ejmalrai
Feb 19
More
#Russia is discussing/finalising with #Turkey the cease-fire in #Afrin to allow 4000 #SAA men to take control of the entire city, surrounding villages, establish 52 positions in the enclave and deploy forces on the borders with #Turkey.

@ejmalrai
Feb 19
More Elijah J. Magnier Retweeted Elijah J. Magnier
Thos who believe the deployment of the Syrian army will only be on the 160 km along the borders with #Turkey are mistaken because that was the initial request of the Afrin administration from day one, rejected by the government of #Damascus.Elijah J. Magnier added,
Elijah J. Magnier

@ejmalrai
Feb 19
More Elijah J. Magnier Retweeted Elijah J. Magnier
#Few minutes ago, #Damascus was informed that #Turkey is still rejecting few articles in the deal regarding #Afrin. Negotiators are still positive and hope to undo the problem in the next hours.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 21 Feb 2018 09:09

damascus is trying to extract its pound of flesh in terms of permanent presence and control over afrin .... using the turkiye gangs as bad cops....

some bones could be thrown to turkey to make them stay quiet over the brutal extermination of jihadis in east ghouta campaign thats going to unfold.

some claim GCC patrons are in talks with east ghouta rebels... and damascus had already offered them safe passage either to daraa or idlib if they leave behind weapons and go peacefully. there are atleast some 4 major factions of jihadis well settled there. russia is also ok with the green bus. persians would be ok if a 1:1 swap deal for civilians in fuah-kafraya could be done.

syrians have wheeled in every functional artillery, rocket launcher and tank they can manage. even tribal fighters from loyalists in raqqa and deir azzor have come.

else the ruins of jobar and hasrata will be broken into smaller pieces .... every sq yard seems to have strongpoints, hidden caches of weapons, IEDs, mines.....truly a hell of urban fighting.

tigers will likely look to enter via the eastern hilly countryside not the urban areas and use their patented surround and slice and dice tactics to split the area into digestible chunks at less casualties to put pressure to surrender or take the green bus.

Parasu · Post by **Parasu** » 21 Feb 2018 16:56

Singha wrote:its probably game over for Erdogan in afrin ... he can console himself with a few scraps of border villages overrun.

Its probably game over for great grandmaster Pootin`s genius trick of coopting NATO ally Turkey into Russian orbit. This stupid idea was clearly a non-starter but for Pootin apologists here salivating at his bare chest fotos all the time.

Parasu · Post by **Parasu** » 21 Feb 2018 16:58

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mide ... SKCN1G510L

Turkey warned on Wednesday that pro-Syrian government forces entering the northwest Afrin region to support a Kurdish militia there will face “serious consequences” and they will be regarded as legitimate targets.

Parasu · Post by **Parasu** » 21 Feb 2018 19:32

Parasu wrote:
Singha wrote:its probably game over for Erdogan in afrin ... he can console himself with a few scraps of border villages overrun.
Its probably game over for great grandmaster Pootin`s genius trick of coopting NATO ally Turkey into Russian orbit. This stupid idea was clearly a non-starter but for Pootin apologists here salivating at his bare chest fotos all the time.

US by simply proposing to set up a 30,000 strong border force in Syria has brought jihadi Erdogan and Bashar Assad to blows. And given Russia the headache to separate them now.

Donald Trump is a great grandmaster chess player etc etc.
Really?! Or is it Putin who has gotten himself into this by acting smarter than his skin. I cant stop laughing.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 21 Feb 2018 20:00

A second a50 awacs has deployed to syria

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 21 Feb 2018 21:35

Erdogan sulks as ypg and saa stage joint meeting and march through streets if afrin

https://mobile.almasdarnews.com/article ... -invaders/

Philip · Post by **Philip** » 22 Feb 2018 03:42

The Ottoman is on sovereign Syrian soil.Putin requires his strat bases at Tartus !

Rudradev · Post by **Rudradev** » 22 Feb 2018 03:52

Much "White Helmet"

propaganda being raised in NPR and other "liberal" US media regarding the SAA offensive against East Ghouta. Voiced-over interviews of alleged 6-year-old girl in fear for her life, body-cam videos by "White Helmet" tsutiyas, all that kind of thing being heavily publicized. The Clintonistas and their UK/Euro partners are clearly pressing DT to strike Assad's forces as they attempt to recover terrorist-controlled areas around Damascus.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 22 Feb 2018 06:22

Al masdar

BEIRUT, LEBANON (1:00 A.M.) – According to preliminary reports from Aleppo, the Kurdish YPG will hand over some districts and localities to the the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) inside Aleppo.

Among the listed areas that will be handed over are Bustan Basha, Al-Halk, Baiden, Al-Haidariyah, and ‘Ayn Al-Abyad.

No information was available regarding the large Sheikh Maqsoud District
Al-Masdar is awaiting confirmation from the Syrian Army and YPG.

If these reports prove true, this will likely have to do with the latest developments in the Afrin region of northern Aleppo.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 22 Feb 2018 06:26

Turkey offered a way out of quagmire in Afrin without losing face: YPG will change clothes in Afrin, join NDF and all sides are close to an agreement on these conditions

From twitter

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 22 Feb 2018 06:28

Meantime the saa 7th armour div has moved from west damascus to east ghouta with all eqpt to join the 4th, tiger forces and tribal militias already onsite

They are bombarding the defensive lines known areas

Extensive tunnels and bunkers as in aleppo

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 22 Feb 2018 07:45

view of 9th div motoring toward east ghouta
https://twitter.com/IvanSidorenko1/stat ... 8002448384

view of 7th div on the road
https://twitter.com/IvanSidorenko1/stat ... 1281768450

message from 7th div commander a major general to his troops

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 22 Feb 2018 07:47

with the Idlib front stable and screened by the Sultans military outposts , chances of that blazing up are low.
Afrin has been controlled and unlikely to escalate much.
so I guess the syrians are going all in and doubling down on east ghouta.

the ISIS has meantime crushed the FSA in yarmouk camp and presents no policial problem in squashing later, barring the civilian shield issue.

the only wildcard now is if Israel manufactures a new war in the golan to distract the syrians or jordan based bandits launch a huge offensive in Daraa.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 22 Feb 2018 07:51

Rudradev wrote:Much "White Helmet" propaganda being raised in NPR and other "liberal" US media regarding the SAA offensive against East Ghouta. Voiced-over interviews of alleged 6-year-old girl in fear for her life, body-cam videos by "White Helmet" tsutiyas, all that kind of thing being heavily publicized. The Clintonistas and their UK/Euro partners are clearly pressing DT to strike Assad's forces as they attempt to recover terrorist-controlled areas around Damascus.

the narrative is a bit weak this time as aleppo showed the truth to the world and the bana alabed types plays. buyers of horse manure will be a bit thinner in the market this time but yeah horse manure perfumed with rose attar and SJW cloak are ready for sale.

also the east ghouta has been persistently shelling other parts of damascus, killing 5-10 people daily and have accurately shelled both the russian consulate and the russian reconciliation center. even the NYT has been forced to acknowledge this....while claiming that its less horrific than the constant rain of jihadi shells on west aleppo that killed 1000s. its less only because east ghouta gets its weapons from looted stockpiles and smuggling and not from the turkish border.

RuAF seems to be in action over damascus for the first time ever, locating and taking down well built strongpoints using heavy munitions.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 22 Feb 2018 07:54

intimidation and flag marches are being tested to see if some factions crack and leave on the green bus.
casualties will be heavy if the rebels dig in and refuse to move out.

"good offices" of GCC might be called on via russian channels to coax their boys out.

Austin · Post by **Austin** » 22 Feb 2018 10:15

2 x PAK-FA , Four Su-35S fighters and A-50U radar surveillance aircraft were transferred to Khmeimim ( Wonder why ? )

First Operational Deployment of PAK-FA in theater operation.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 22 Feb 2018 10:17

perhaps test its passive and active ew suite vs real nato a.c which are always flying around off the coast and near euphrates plus turikiye f16s.
tropical weather testing.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 22 Feb 2018 13:22

al masdar
BEIRUT, LEBANON (6:07 P.M.) – Moments ago, military-affiliated sources reported that a second batch of troops, armed pickups, armor and artillery from the Syrian pro-government National Defence Forces (NDF) entered the region of Afrin in northern Aleppo to further bolster the defenses of local Kurdish fighters.

The arrival of a second lot of Syrian government troops comes exactly one day after the initial Damascus-led intervention force of about 500 men entered Afrin.

Unlike the first wave of pro-government reinforcements to the region which was unsuccessfully challenged by Turkish Army artillery units for a brief time, no reports have surfaced that the second column of NDF reinforcements came under threatening fire by pro-Ankara forces.

At the present time, no statistics exist as to how many government troops entered Afrin in the second intervention wave, however, if the first wave is anything to go by, it can be expected that the force is at least several hundred men strong with supporting artillery and armor assets.

tushar_m · Post by **tushar_m** » 22 Feb 2018 14:16

Has Moscow moved its Su-57 stealth fighter into Syria?

#posted on PAK-FA thread also

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 22 Feb 2018 15:22

yes most definitely there is no doubt. wael al husseini has his ears to the ground and its clear enough.
not mentioned must be the midas tankers that accompanied this new group over the caspian sea iran iraq route.
usaf E3 , EP3 and P8A crews must have been booted out of bed and told to lurk off the syrian coast.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 22 Feb 2018 15:28

https://twitter.com/AircraftSpots/statu ... 7753197571

putinji rattling the cage east of japan as well - note the long flight path all the way to south

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 22 Feb 2018 15:30

see on the aviationist twitter

And while deployment of an aircraft to a combat zone before it’s entered frontline service is almost unheard of in the West, it has a precedent in Russia. In the Afghan war, Su-25, Yak-38 etc were tested in combat conditions at a similar stage. 3/3

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 22 Feb 2018 15:34

events are on move again...

nubl and zahra militias now with NDF have caught and brutally thrashed/slashed a sultan murad bandit group leader in afrin https://twitter.com/maytham956/status/9 ... 03043?s=20

concessions extracted by damascus it seems if true. sheik maqsood is a impregnable heavily fortified kurd locality that held off the jihadis everything that could throw at it.

watanisy
@watanisy
kurdish militants will hand over all neighborhoods and points to army in aleppo in next 48 hours
(sheikh maqsud - ashrafiyeh - bustan al-pasha - hellok - ain al-tal and several others)

Parasu · Post by **Parasu** » 22 Feb 2018 17:35

http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2018-0 ... 989783.htm

Turkey rejects Russia's call for dialogue with Syria over Afrin issue

No respect for great grandmaster Pootin. No respect for the new iron alliance with Roos. This does not sound fair.

Parasu · Post by **Parasu** » 22 Feb 2018 17:44

Erdogan paves way for pact with Turkish nationalists

https://www.ft.com/content/5482ed58-171 ... c814761640

Turkey should bring back 'adultery law': Erdogan

https://www.alaraby.co.uk/english/news/ ... aw-erdogan

As jihadi Erdogan marches on towards more Islam and more nationalism, all he needs is morons abroad who help him acquire territory and status.
Thank you US and thank you Pootin.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 22 Feb 2018 17:48

whats not to like. another powerful islamic nation turning inward into greener green ...