Levant crisis - III

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 31 May 2016 07:49

Qalaat Al Mudiq ‏@QalaatAlMudiq 22h22 hours ago
N. #Aleppo update: reports of clashes inside #Azaz btwn Rebels & #ISIS sleeper cells while Rebels took KalJibrin, trying to end #Marea siege

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 31 May 2016 07:52

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 31 May 2016 07:54

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 31 May 2016 07:57

overall I think assad does not mind kurds massing and spending all their time taking raqqa and manbij which ISIS will defend tooth and nail , as this will relieve pressure on deir azzor, palmyra, khanasser and east homs fronts for SAA and permit some easy (re)capture of territory on the west bank of euphrates when the daesh start collapsing against the kurds and call in all their boys. he is sitting easy and waiting for the right time to sortie out.

aleppo is stalemate and has been handed over to the iranians and their iraqi allies to hold the fort.

no move in Idlib as its heavily defended and the core JN heartland with popular support.

minor actions to clean out the last bits of latakia.

assad realistically has no resources or manpower to be making any play east of the river. between a sunni caliphate of the FSA (led by the GCC+turkey backed JN/Shams) or the kurds(US munna), he would much favour the kurds I suppose as the better of two adverse choices.

Rojava might become a reality atleast in syria when
- the FSA pocket of azaz is destroyed by ISIS to setup a continguous YPG-ISIS frontline -
- the YPG in turn rolls back and destroys the ISIS there and links up with the Kobane-Tishreen front in east. this is turkeys nightmare...a 500km long kurdistan front on its soft underbelly adjacent to kurd dominated turkish provinces in the east and south-east

if the ISIS roll up the pocket, the turks will have to shift from using artillery to help the JN vs ISIS, to help the ISIS vs YPG

russians could be deftly bombing the JN in the azaz pocket to weaken them and "help" the ISIS achieve this goal

we already know the turkish artillery is shelling to help their munnas from rus MOD drone footage

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 31 May 2016 08:10

imo
Assad, YPG, Russia are willing to work together for common goal - keep the IS and JN out of power
Iran does not want to give the Kurds much - they have own issues with rebels in irani kurdistan - but they are committed to safeguarding shia bastions
hezbollah want to clear up IS/rebels from any areas bordering their lebanese heartland and sometime join with iranians in shia bastion reliefs
Iraqis will tag along with the iranians in the lead
ISIS wants to kill everyone
JN wants to kill some, convert/enslave some among alawis,druze - no compromise with assad
other rebel factions might be willing for peace talks but JN cows them down with sheer power and funding
Kurds will play along with whoever helps them in rojava formation, they have own fights with assyrian christians and arab tribes over landgrab issues - these latter two likely would prefer a benign form of assad rule over local kurds ruling the roost

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 31 May 2016 11:58

sajjad qaribi, 24yo iranian hercules has signed up to fight in syria. even the shabiha are going to be scared of him

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 31 May 2016 11:59

one saa unit keeps a pet lion

Gyan · Post by **Gyan** » 31 May 2016 13:48

Muscles pumped up with steroids have no endurance. Ask him to run 20 km and he will be crying like a baby at the end of the Run. Almost all SF have a wired slim bodies and do not look like Rambo.

deejay · Post by **deejay** » 31 May 2016 13:50

Gyan wrote:Muscles pumped up with steroids have no endurance. Ask him to run 20 km and he will be crying like a baby at the end of the Run. Almost all SF have a wired slim bodies and do not look like Rambo.

True that. Infact, i was wondering how will he put his trigger finger on the trigger.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 31 May 2016 14:47

"gorillas" like him are not used for SF missions. he might be assigned to a psyops / morale unit or maybe artillery where I am sure he can reload 45 kg shells , two at a time using both arms. or operating a HMG / cannon off a technical...

UlanBatori · Post by **UlanBatori** » 31 May 2016 17:31

(What happened to the 'v-so-serious' post?)^^ Thinking of all the lemons he has to squeeze every day for the vodka parties at HQ.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 01 Jun 2016 08:20

IRGC fataymoun unit of hazara afghans in aleppo

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 01 Jun 2016 08:24

4 daesh suicide bombers or deserters trying to reach kurd lines east of mosul got blown up by a airstrike

https://twitter.com/DrPartizan_/status/ ... 5502505984

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 01 Jun 2016 08:26

american trained and equipped kurdistani SF unit

https://twitter.com/DrPartizan_/status/ ... 3073992704

https://twitter.com/DrPartizan_/status/ ... 3098966017

https://twitter.com/DrPartizan_/status/ ... 8479029248

slickly produced video

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 01 Jun 2016 08:28

peshmerga offensive east of mosul

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Cjtu1MCW0AAXm6y.jpg

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Cju-fcDWUAA2HwU.jpg

around 150 ISIS reported killed in a 9km advance

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 01 Jun 2016 08:32

progress on manbij front

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 01 Jun 2016 08:35

read bottom up

Furiouskurd ‏@Furiouskurd 8h8 hours ago
Turkish pressure on the americans. /The End.
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Furiouskurd ‏@Furiouskurd 8h8 hours ago
SDF project, a project devoloped with the americans themselves. Minbic pocket will decide truthness in these rumors and the real power of
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Furiouskurd ‏@Furiouskurd 8h8 hours ago
The border related issues either and have not forgot all support for jihadi terrorists. Rumors are USA taking its own path via Kurdisani led
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Furiouskurd ‏@Furiouskurd 8h8 hours ago
Neither are they happy with turkish methods and consistent support of jihadi groups such as Ahrar Al Sham. They don't trust turks to handle
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Furiouskurd ‏@Furiouskurd 8h8 hours ago
Anonymous sources in KRG are speaking bout lost of trust in Turkey by US officials regarding the "syrian case". They don't share same vision

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 01 Jun 2016 08:37

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 01 Jun 2016 08:37

Kurdistan #Menbîc ‏@UniteKurdistan 12h12 hours ago
#SDF advances towards the southern countryside of Manbij, seeking to block Raqqa-Manbij Road.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 01 Jun 2016 08:42

kurds will take manbij in june
if the SAA can take either deir hafr or maskanah or both in parallel , its game over for ISIS in north syria with both major routes to raqqa cut off

https://www.google.co.in/maps/@36.12135 ... 9211,9.93z

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 01 Jun 2016 19:44

russia seems to be taking up a sustained and ferocious bombing campaign. they are prowling all over raqqa, idlib and aleppo flattening whatever they can find. targets in idlib town and the main ahrar al sham base have been bombed. a ISIS owned oil facility also struck.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 01 Jun 2016 19:47

ISIS senior operative, Abu Omar al-Shishani, has recently been filmed in Iraq’s Fallujah battlefield, fighting the Iraqi Army and paramilitary Popular Mobilization Forces. The red-beard Georgian veteran was reported dead several times; most recently last March when the Pentagon announced that al-Shishani was killed in an airstrike near the town of al-Shaddadi in eastern Syria.

https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/vi ... -fallujah/ | Al-Masdar News

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 01 Jun 2016 19:49

american advisers in northern raqqa

https://twitter.com/hamza_780/status/735918923229605888

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 01 Jun 2016 19:50

Three top commanders from the Caucasus Emirate, including the notorious Aslan Byutukayev and Muharram Saidov, have clandestinely met a representative of the Saudi intelligence to discuss a potential cooperation, the Tbilisi-based Azaval-Dasavali newspaper reported. According to the report, the Saudi agent offered the terror group massive financial and military aid to help secede from Russia. The jihadi organization, active in southwestern Russia, has considerably been impaired after its top leaders such as Aliaskhab Alibulatovich Kebekov, also known as Ali Abu Muhammad al-Daghestani, Magomed Suleimanov and kamil Saidov were killed in a precise operation by Russian special forces.

https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/sa ... rn-russia/ | Al-Masdar News

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 02 Jun 2016 10:30

a fat Daesh executioner has been captured alive. speculation that he is the bulldozer seen earlier in iraq

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article ... truck.html

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 02 Jun 2016 10:34

off and on, without publicity, big daddy has been paying visits to syria to drop off xmas presents on the faithfools

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 02 Jun 2016 10:36

Sweden's ideals of equality between the sexes, not to mention its ability to accommodate an increasingly multi-confessional population, are being put to the test after it was revealed that an increasing number of public swimming pools are due to have women-only hours.

The move was supposedly to accommodate the growing Muslim population as Europe's migrant crisis continues. However, a probe has reportedly been launched into whether such initiatives actually discriminate against men.

TSJones · Post by **TSJones** » 02 Jun 2016 12:26

Singha wrote:a fat Daesh executioner has been captured alive. speculation that he is the bulldozer seen earlier in iraq

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article ... truck.html

this mutilator of children needs to meet the firm hand of justice using an extra firm and stout rope..........hopefully a slow asphyxiation......

I think the Kiowa Indian tribe had an excellent method if execution.......tie him down, scalp him and then cut his gut open and throw dirt and gravel in the cut. let him slowly die of sepsis......

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 02 Jun 2016 13:12

the SAA will take good care of him ...

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 02 Jun 2016 13:20

considerable enclave setup west of euphrates now

Philip · Post by **Philip** » 02 Jun 2016 14:04

The untold story behind Saudi Arabia’s 41-year secret debt
How a legendary bond trader from Salomon Brothers brokered a do-or-die deal that reshaped US-Saudi relations for generations.

Andrea Wong
Failure was not an option.

It was July 1974. A steady predawn drizzle had given way to overcast skies when William Simon, newly appointed US Treasury secretary, and his deputy, Gerry Parsky, stepped onto an 8am flight from Andrews Air Force Base.

On board, the mood was tense. That year, the oil crisis had hit home. An embargo by OPEC’s Arab nations – payback for US military aid to the Israelis during the Yom Kippur War – quadrupled oil prices. Inflation soared, the stock market crashed, and the US economy was in a tailspin.

Officially, Mr Simon’s two-week trip was billed as a tour of economic diplomacy across Europe and the Middle East, full of the customary meet-and-greets and evening banquets. But the real mission, kept in strict confidence within President Richard Nixon’s inner circle, would take place during a four-day layover in the coastal city of Jeddah, Saudi Arabia.

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The goal: neutralise crude oil as an economic weapon and find a way to persuade a hostile kingdom to finance America’s widening deficit with its newfound petrodollar wealth. And according to Mr Parsky, the President made clear there was simply no coming back empty-handed. Failure would not only jeopardise America’s financial health but could also give the Soviet Union an opening to make further inroads into the Arab world.

It “wasn’t a question of whether it could be done or it couldn’t be done,” said Mr Parsky, 73, one of the few officials with US Treasury secretary during the Saudi talks.

At first blush, Mr Simon, who had just done a stint as the President’s energy czar, seemed ill-suited for such delicate diplomacy. Before being tapped by Nixon, the chain-smoking New Jersey native ran the vaunted Treasuries desk at Salomon Brothers.

To career bureaucrats, the brash Wall Street bond trader – who once compared himself to Genghis Khan – had a temper and an outsize ego that was painfully out of step in Washington. Just a week before setting foot in Saudi Arabia, Simon publicly lambasted the Shah of Iran, a close regional ally at the time, calling him a “nut.”

But Mr Simon, better than anyone else, understood the appeal of US government debt and how to sell the Saudis on the idea that America was the safest place to park their petrodollars. With that knowledge, the administration hatched an unprecedented do-or-die plan that would come to influence just about every aspect of US-Saudi relations over the next four decades (Mr Simon died in 2000 at the age of 72).

The basic framework was strikingly simple. The US would buy oil from Saudi Arabia and provide the kingdom military aid and equipment. In return, the Saudis would plough billions of their petrodollar revenue back into Treasuries and finance America’s spending.

It took several discreet follow-up meetings to iron out all the details, Mr Parsky said. But at the end of months of negotiations, there remained one small, yet crucial, catch: King Faisal bin Abdulaziz Al Saud demanded the country’s Treasury purchases stay “strictly secret,” according to a diplomatic cable obtained by Bloomberg from the US National Archives database.

With a handful of Treasury and Federal Reserve officials, the secret was kept for more than four decades – until now.

In response to a Freedom of Information Act request submitted by Bloomberg News, the Treasury broke out Saudi Arabia’s holdings for the first time this month after “concluding that it was consistent with transparency and the law to disclose the data,” according to spokeswoman Whitney Smith. The $117bn (£81m) trove makes the kingdom one of America’s largest foreign creditors.

Yet in many ways, the information has raised more questions than it has answered. A former Treasury official, who specialised in central bank reserves and asked not to be identified, says the official figure vastly understates Saudi Arabia’s investments in US government debt, which may be double or more.

The current tally represents just 20 per cent of its $587 billion of foreign reserves, well below the two-thirds that central banks typically keep in dollar assets. Some analysts speculate the kingdom may be masking its US debt holdings by accumulating Treasuries through offshore financial centres, which show up in the data of other countries.

Exactly how much of America’s debt Saudi Arabia actually owns is something that matters more now than ever before.

While oil’s collapse has deepened concern that Saudi Arabia will need to liquidate its Treasuries to raise cash, a more troubling worry has also emerged: the spectre of the kingdom using its outsize position in the world’s most important debt market as a political weapon, much as it did with oil in the 1970s.

In April, Saudi Arabia warned it would start selling as much as $750 billion in Treasuries and other assets if Congress passes a bill allowing the kingdom to be held liable in US courts for the September 11 terrorist attacks, according to the New York Times.

The threat comes amid a renewed push by presidential candidates and legislators from both the Democratic and Republican parties to declassify a 28-page section of a 2004 US government report that is believed to detail possible Saudi connections to the attacks. The bill, which passed the Senate on 17 May, is now in the House of Representatives.

Saudi Arabia’s Finance Ministry declined to comment on the potential selling of Treasuries in response. The Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency didn’t immediately answer requests for details on the total size of its US government debt holdings.

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“Let’s not assume they’re bluffing” about threatening to retaliate, said Marc Chandler, the global head of currency strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman. “The Saudis are under a lot of pressure. I’d say that we don’t do ourselves justice if we underestimate our liabilities” to big holders.

Saudi Arabia, which has long provided free health care, gasoline subsidies, and routine pay raises to its citizens with its petroleum wealth, already faces a brutal fiscal crisis.

In the past year alone, the monetary authority has burned through $111 billion of reserves to plug its biggest budget deficit in a quarter-century, pay for costly wars to defeat the Islamic State, and wage proxy campaigns against Iran. Though oil has stabilised at about $50 a barrel (from less than $30 earlier this year), it’s still far below the heady years of $100-a-barrel crude.

Saudi Arabia’s situation has become so acute the kingdom is now selling a piece of its crown jewel – state oil company Saudi Aramco.

What’s more, the commitment to the decades-old policy of “interdependence” between the US and Saudi Arabia, which arose from Mr Simon’s debt deal and ultimately bound together two nations that share few common values, is showing signs of fraying. America has taken tentative steps toward a rapprochement with Iran, highlighted by President Barack Obama’s landmark nuclear deal last year. The US shale boom has also made America far less reliant on Saudi oil.

“Buying bonds and all that was a strategy to recycle petrodollars back into the US,” said David Ottaway, a Middle East fellow at the Woodrow Wilson International Center in Washington. But politically, “it’s always been an ambiguous, constrained relationship.”

Yet back in 1974, forging that relationship (and the secrecy that it required) was a no-brainer, according to Mr Parsky, who is now chairman of Aurora Capital Group, a private equity firm in Los Angeles. Many of America’s allies, including the UK and Japan, were also deeply dependent on Saudi oil and quietly vying to get the kingdom to reinvest money back into their own economies.

“Everyone – in the US, France, Britain, Japan – was trying to get their fingers in the Saudis’ pockets,” said Gordon S. Brown, an economic officer with the State Department at the US embassy in Riyadh from 1976 to 1978.

For the Saudis, politics played a big role in their insistence that all Treasury investments remain anonymous.

Tensions still flared 10 months after the Yom Kippur War, and throughout the Arab world, there was plenty of animosity toward the US for its support of Israel. According to diplomatic cables, King Faisal’s biggest fear was the perception Saudi oil money would, “directly or indirectly,” end up in the hands of its biggest enemy in the form of additional US assistance.

Treasury officials solved the dilemma by letting the Saudis in through the back door. In the first of many special arrangements, the US allowed Saudi Arabia to bypass the normal competitive bidding process for buying Treasuries by creating “add-ons.” Those sales, which were excluded from the official auction totals, hid all traces of Saudi Arabia’s presence in the US government debt market.

“When I arrived at the embassy, I was told by people there that this is Treasury’s business,” Mr Brown said. “It was all handled very privately.”

By 1977, Saudi Arabia had accumulated about 20 per cent of all Treasuries held abroad, according to The Hidden Hand of American Hegemony: Petrodollar Recycling and International Markets by Columbia University’s David Spiro.

Another exception was carved out for Saudi Arabia when the Treasury started releasing monthly country-by-country breakdowns of US debt ownership. Instead of disclosing Saudi Arabia’s holdings, the Treasury grouped them with 14 other nations, such as Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates and Nigeria, under the generic heading “oil exporters” – a practice that continued for 41 years.

The system came with its share of headaches. After the Treasury’s add-on facility was opened to other central banks, erratic and unpublicised foreign demand threatened to push the US over its debt limit on several occasions.

An internal memo, dated October 1976, detailed how the US inadvertently raised far more than the $800 million it intended to borrow at auction. At the time, two unidentified central banks used add-ons to buy an additional $400 million of Treasuries each. In the end, one bank was awarded its portion a day late to keep the US from exceeding the limit.

Most of these manoeuvres and hiccups were swept under the rug, and top Treasury officials went to great lengths to preserve the status quo and protect their Middle East allies as scrutiny of America’s biggest creditors increased.

Over the years, the Treasury repeatedly turned to the International Investment and Trade in Services Survey Act of 1976 – which shields individuals in countries where Treasuries are narrowly held – as its first line of defence.

The strategy continued even after the Government Accountability Office, in a 1979 investigation, found “no statistical or legal basis” for the blackout. The GAO didn’t have power to force the Treasury to turn over the data, but it concluded the US “made special commitments of financial confidentiality to Saudi Arabia” and possibly other OPEC nations.

Mr Simon, who had by then returned to Wall Street, acknowledged in congressional testimony that “regional reporting was the only way in which Saudi Arabia would agree” to invest using the add-on system.

“It was clear the Treasury people weren’t going to cooperate at all,” said Stephen McSpadden, a former counsel to the congressional subcommittee that pressed for the GAO inquiries. “I’d been at the subcommittee for 17 years, and I’d never seen anything like that.”

Today, Mr Parsky says the secret arrangement with the Saudis should have been dismantled years ago and was surprised the Treasury kept it in place for so long. But even so, he has no regrets.

Doing the deal “was a positive for America.”
Additional reporting from Sangwon Yoon

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 02 Jun 2016 15:26

German MPs recognise Armenian 'genocide' amid Turkish fury
BBC News - ‎1 hour ago‎
The German parliament has approved a resolution declaring that the mass killing of Armenians by Ottoman Turks during World War One was a "genocide".

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 02 Jun 2016 15:30

another daesh fattie was outed on twitter a while back as potentially the fallujah bulldozer . in size and mean looks he fits the bill more than this current candidate - who does not look fat enough (unless he has been on a diet lately!).

the original bulldozer could either be in falluja or moved to raqqa/mosul

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 02 Jun 2016 19:07

syria iraq border...

Haidar Sumeri ‏@IraqiSecurity
6 billion IQD (nearly $5.5 million) burnt + 14 militants (inc. 7 commanders) killed when #Iraq's Air Force struck a Da'ish bank in Al-Qa'im.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 02 Jun 2016 19:08

a wave of 100 daesh beaten back in fallujah with 60 killed

Bhurishrava · Post by **Bhurishrava** » 03 Jun 2016 01:54

http://www.jpost.com/Israel-News/Politi ... ose-455772

Israel and Turkey are very close to concluding their rapprochement agreement, Housing and Construction Minister Yoav Gallant said on Thursday, the most senior Israeli official to date to speak publicly in such upbeat tones about an imminent agreement.

RoyG · Post by **RoyG** » 03 Jun 2016 04:06

TSJones wrote:
Singha wrote:a fat Daesh executioner has been captured alive. speculation that he is the bulldozer seen earlier in iraq

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article ... truck.html

this mutilator of children needs to meet the firm hand of justice using an extra firm and stout rope..........hopefully a slow asphyxiation......

I think the Kiowa Indian tribe had an excellent method if execution.......tie him down, scalp him and then cut his gut open and throw dirt and gravel in the cut. let him slowly die of sepsis......

Do you get this angry when you hear about your US serviceman blasting innocents to pieces in the name of Jesus?

TSJones · Post by **TSJones** » 03 Jun 2016 04:24

RoyG wrote:
Do you get this angry when you hear about your US serviceman blasting innocents to pieces in the name of Jesus?

go bait somebody else with your sick laughter........

UlanBatori · Post by **UlanBatori** » 03 Jun 2016 06:02

Syrian Army, Russian Marines liberate Huwisays village in northeast Homs – Map update

https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/sy ... te-huways/ | Al-Masdar News

The Syrian Arab Army’s 11th and 18th tank Divisions – backed by Liwaa Imam Al-‘Ali (Iraqi paramilitary) – imposed full control over the village of Huwisays on Sunday after a violent battle with the Islamic State of Iraq and Al-Sham (ISIS) in northeast Homs. According to an Al-Masdar field correspondent, the liberation of Huwisays by the Syrian Armed Forces on Sunday afternoon was conducted in conjunction with their Russian military advisers. Following the liberation Huwisays, the Syrian Armed Forces and their allies advanced south towards the main road that leads to the Al-Sha’ar Gas Fields; this area is currently under the control of the Islamic State of Iraq and Al-Sham (ISIS). Recently, the pro-government paramilitary group “Liwaa Suqour Al-Sahra” (Desert Hawks Brigade) was redeployed from east Homs to the Hama-Raqqa countryside; this has required the 11th and 18th tank divisions to step up their military operations against the Islamic State forces near Al-Sha’ar Gas Fields.

https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/sy ... te-huways/ | Al-Masdar News

#Breaking: #SAA begins military operation to recapture #ISIS-held #Raqqa + [Photos] http://bit.ly/1WxXbW0 via @thearabsource

The Syrian Arab Army’s 11th and 18th tank Divisions – backed by Liwaa Imam Al-‘Ali (Iraqi paramilitary) – imposed full control over the village of Huwisays on Sunday after a violent battle with the Islamic State of Iraq and Al-Sham (ISIS) in northeast Homs. According to an Al-Masdar field correspondent, the liberation of Huwisays by the Syrian Armed Forces on Sunday afternoon was conducted in conjunction with their Russian military advisers. Following the liberation Huwisays, the Syrian Armed Forces and their allies advanced south towards the main road that leads to the Al-Sha’ar Gas Fields; this area is currently under the control of the Islamic State of Iraq and Al-Sham (ISIS). Recently, the pro-government paramilitary group “Liwaa Suqour Al-Sahra” (Desert Hawks Brigade) was redeployed from east Homs to the Hama-Raqqa countryside; this has required the 11th and 18th tank divisions to step up their military operations against the Islamic State forces near Al-Sha’ar Gas Fields.

https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/sy ... te-huways/ | Al-Masdar News

RoyG · Post by **RoyG** » 03 Jun 2016 08:57

TSJones wrote:
RoyG wrote:
Do you get this angry when you hear about your US serviceman blasting innocents to pieces in the name of Jesus?
go bait somebody else with your sick laughter........

Yeah...that's what I thought.