Riyad cant do anything.shyamd wrote:Pak is fretting because India may be asked for boots on ground and joint ops with NATO. Hectic activity/lobbying between Beijing & Riyad. PRC was asked to cover/deploy in FATA/NWFP. Can't see how it is conceivable.
Welcome back Shyamd. Your participation was missed in West Asia forum for a long time.shyamd wrote:Pak is fretting because India may be asked for boots on ground and joint ops with NATO. Hectic activity/lobbying between Beijing & Riyad. PRC was asked to cover/deploy in FATA/NWFP. Can't see how it is conceivable.
Just few thoughtsshyamd wrote:Ramana ji and mukesh ji many thanks.
India has downgraded relationship with Iran in return for this. So how will india maintain supply lines? This is what I don't understand.
UN Flag - current govt is flexible.
Pak is nervous - prepare for more live fire exercises, military exercises. Pak don't have funds to maintain tempo in Afg and J&K so they've ask IRGC & GRU to pitch in. So pressure tactic will force Pak to initiate covert negotiations of some sort.
Russian Af Pak envoy coming to Delhi. Watch this closely
Just paying a flying visit. All the best
A man threw shoe at Hizb-i-Islami leader Gulbuddain Hekmatyar while he was delivering Friday sermon in Afghanistan's western province of Herat, witnesses said.The incident happened at Herat's main mosque Jama Masjid.Local officials have yet to comment on the incident.Hekmatyar, a former militant leader, arrived in Herat this week in his first provincial visit after he returned to Kabul after 20 years in hiding. The throwing of shoes at a speaker is considered one of the most severe form of insult in an Islamic country. Hekmatyar, the mastermind of the destruction of Kabul, is hated by many Afghans who still consider him as an "Agent Of Pakistan". He claims that he has no connection to Pakistan now !
Apart from Special Forces/intelligence assets we should not deploy any other unit to afghanistan. ITBP is used for perimeter protection for Indian embassy and not as a combat force.ArjunPandit wrote:Just few thoughtsshyamd wrote:Ramana ji and mukesh ji many thanks.
India has downgraded relationship with Iran in return for this. So how will india maintain supply lines? This is what I don't understand.
UN Flag - current govt is flexible.
Pak is nervous - prepare for more live fire exercises, military exercises. Pak don't have funds to maintain tempo in Afg and J&K so they've ask IRGC & GRU to pitch in. So pressure tactic will force Pak to initiate covert negotiations of some sort.
Russian Af Pak envoy coming to Delhi. Watch this closely
Just paying a flying visit. All the best
1. India's 'increased presence' could be very well related to could it have the cargo freight corridor.
2. It is possible india takes a combo of policing/para millitary/SF role freeing up some US resources for hinterland hunting. We already have IBTP there
3. India's historic goodwill, the dev projects and 2 decades of the most successful experience in policing is something the US has not been able to achieve after decades in 'Nam, Iraq and Afghanistan.
All among us here today are well aware of the security dynamics in Afghanistan and in the region. As such I should not have to go into great detail about Pakistan’s long term and outstanding use of terror and violent extremism as an instrument of foreign policy.
The main factor for insecurity in Afghanistan therefore relates to the export of violent proxy groups into Afghanistan from within Pakistan. As we stated last week at the General Assembly these facts have been verified by various members of the international coalition present in Afghanistan. It is onthis basis Afghanistan has called on the Security Council to take specific action in defense of the United Nations Charter.
Mr. President,
With all Afghanistan and Pakistan have in common as beautifully outlined by the distinguished representative of Pakistan, we are keen to see genuine and comphrehensive State to State discourse on peace, security and prosperity. We hope to see a constructive engagement rather than a continuation of the old familiar plausible deniability and attempts of different kinds to change narrativive through kake and distorted facts, figures and images. This kind of behaviour will be an off route for peace.
Policy of deception has no future. Pakistan should rather seize the opportunity to reverse course and choose the path of adhering to the United Nations Charter,
I thank you.
India and Afghanistan discussed regional counter-terror efforts and enhancing New Delhi’s defence assistance to Kabul during a day-long working visit by Afghan President Ashraf Ghani to India. In contrast to previous bilateral summit meetings, no agreements were announced, but both sides expressed an appreciation for the U.S.’s new South Asia policy, even as Secretary of State Rex Tillerson continued his travels in the region, landing in New Delhi late on Tuesday.
Meets with Tillerson
On Monday, Mr. Tillerson held talks with President Ghani at the U.S.-controlled Bagram Base outside Kabul, while on Tuesday he met the Pakistani leadership in Islamabad.
Mr. Ghani’s talks with Prime Minister Narendra Modi, held against the backdrop of those talks, included several bilateral issues, the security situation in Afghanistan, as well as the dialogue process with the Taliban.
“President Ghani exchanged thoughts with Prime Minister Modi following the new U.S. Strategy, agreeing that the strategy is an opportunity for lasting peace and stability in Afghanistan & South Asia; expansion of cooperation between the countries and the region,” the Afghanistan Presidential twitter handle said shortly after the leaders met, referring to Washington’s new policy of encouraging greater Indian involvement in Afghanistan’s development.
Defence support
According to the Ministry of External Affairs, Mr. Modi and Mr. Ghani spoke about India’s security support as a strategic partner, including the training of Afghan personnel at Indian military academies.
“The Indian side agreed to extend further assistance depending on the needs of the Afghan defence and police forces,” the MEA statement added, although officials told The Hindu no specific defence needs were discussed, Afghanistan has pending requests for ammunition and engineers to maintain aircraft and other hardware in Afghanistan as it transitions to newer acquisitions.
When asked at an interaction later about Afghanistan’s expectations from India in defence areas, Mr. Ghani said the four Mi-25 Russian helicopters [gifted by India in 2015] were a “lifesaver”. “More helicopters will be welcome,” he added, with a smile.
In a speech at the Vivekananda International Foundation (VIF), a think-tank, in Delhi, Mr. Ghani also called the new U.S. strategy a “game-changer” aimed at ensuring a regional approach to fighting terrorism, including making Pakistan act against “state sponsorship of sanctuaries” along the border with Afghanistan.
Meanwhile text link reporting that the need for the use of the Mohammadden Terrorism Fomenting Islamic Republic of Pakistan’s transit facilities along with their ability to threaten an economic blockade of Afghanistan by suspending Afghanistan’s use of Pakistani port and road facilities has been substantially reduced by India along with Iran, providing an alternative trade corridor through Iran’s Chabahar Port.Peregrine wrote: India turns down Pak. offer of talks on transit trade to Afghanistan
India has rejected an offer from Pakistan for talks on transit trade to Afghanistan, diplomats and officials in New Delhi and Kabul have confirmed to The Hindu.
According to sources, the offer was made by the Pakistan Chief of Army Staff General Qamar Javed when he met President Ashraf Ghani on October 1 in Kabul. During discussions on the renewal of the Afghanistan-Pakistan Transit Trade Agreement (APTTA), that lapsed in 2015, President Ghani repeated concerns that trade with India over the Wagah border had been blocked by Pakistan, despite being agreed to in the APTTA.
“At this, the Pakistani Army Chief offered to talk about the transit trade issues with Indian officials,” said a diplomat privy to the talks, adding that General Bajwa reportedly said, “Ask the Indian side to speak to us and we will try and sort it out.”
President Ghani is understood to have conveyed the conversation to New Delhi through the Indian Embassy in Kabul. However, days later, Indian officials at the SCO Afghanistan-Contact group meeting in Moscow, told the Afghan delegation that it would not take up the offer for talks.
“It wasn’t a real offer, as far as India sees it,” an MEA official, who asked not to be named, told The Hindu, confirming the government decision.
“The APTTA is a bilateral agreement. It is not working because of unilateral decisions by Pakistan not to honour it. So how can India-Pakistan talks fix that?” he said.
Pakistan has consistently refused to allow any Indian goods to travel over land Afghanistan, insisting that India use the sea-route via Karachi. Exasperated by Pakistan’s refusal to allow the truck trade, President Ghani has said repeatedly that he would cut off Pakistan’s access to Central Asia and issued a decree last week cancelling permission for Pakistani trucks to transit through Afghanistan.The Pakistani gambit on APTTA made little headway as a result, especially as
India and Afghanistan are now working on strengthening alternative routes, including the air cargo corridor launched in June this year, and the Chabahar sea route. While the development of Chabahar will take at least another year, India’s first major shipment of 1,30,000 tonnes of wheat via Chabahar will be dispatched on Sunday. Officials The Hindu spoke to said although General Bajwa’s offer was only made orally, and not followed up with a direct offer to India, it was considered significant for a number reasons. To begin with, the offer was made by the Pakistan Army Chief, considered to have a stronger mandate to implement such an offer than his civilian counterparts.
U.S. nudge
In addition, the conversation was held in the backdrop of the U.S.’s newly announced South Asia Policy for Afghanistan, where the Trump administration has committed to ensuring greater Indian involvement in development projects in Afghanistan, while also pushing to “ease tensions” along the India-Pakistan border. It also had come just as preparations had begun for U.S. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson to visit Afghanistan, Pakistan and India, a visit he concluded this week.
“Frankly, we hoped that the offer by General Bajwa would be taken up by the Indian side, or would open a small window for talks, but obviously, it was India’s decision to accept or not,” a U.S. official involved in the planning of the Tillerson visit said.
Speaking to journalists in Geneva on Thursday, Mr. Tillerson said he had told the Pakistani Prime Minister Abbasi and General Bajwa, that his trip was also to “talk about how can we lower the tensions on the border with India,” in an indication that the U.S. still hopes to nudge New Delhi and Islamabad to talks.
https://youtu.be/AYZB8v77cNM
EAM Sushma Swaraj flags off first consignment of wheat from Kandla to Chabahar Port
Cheers
From here:Delhi sends Kabul 1st wheat shipment through Chabahar
By Pajhwok,
On Oct 29, 2017 - 15:07
KABULinfo-(Pajhwok): Foreign ministers of Afghanistan, India and Iran on Sunday flagged off the maiden shipment of wheat from New Delhi to Kabul through the Chabahar port in Iran.
The Indian government has promised a supply 1.1 million tonnes of wheat for the people of Afghanistan on a grant basis, according to the Asian News International (ANI).
External Affairs Minister Sushma Swaraj, her Afghan counterpart Salahuddin Rabbani and Javad Zarif of Iran hailed the first shipment going to Afghanistan through the Chabahar port.
During the visit of Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi to Iran in May 2016, a three-way deal on establishing the International Transport and Transit Corridor was inked.
Over the next few months, six more wheat shipments will be dispatched to Afghanistan. The ministers renewed their pledge to continue cooperation in the interest of the people of Afghanistan and the region as a whole.
India would continue supporting Afghanistan’s reconstruction , capacity-building and socio-economic development, including under the framework of the New Development Partnership, Swaraj said
She also renewed India’s commitment to working closely with regional and international partners to bring peace, security, stability and prosperity to Afghanistan.
"First India wheat shipment via #Chabahar welcomed into Zaranj #Afghanistan with traditional song, dance and joy! Proud moment!!," Indian Ambassador to Afghanistan Manpreet Vohra tweeted.
Read more at:
//economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/61606821.cms?utm_source=contentofinterest&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=cppst
From Afghanistan’s Tolo News:India’s First Shipment Arrives In Afghanistan Via Chabahar
Afghan officials said with the opening of Chabahar Port, Afghanistan will no longer be dependent on Karachi Port.
The first shipment from India, of wheat, via Iran's Chabahar Port arrived in Nimroz, in the country’s west, on Saturday.
Senior government officials and the Indian ambassador to Kabul, Manpreet Vohra, attended a ceremony to inaugurate the new trade route – which according to officials, will help Afghanistan overcome its dependence on other trade routes, including Pakistan.
"With the opening of Chabahar Port, Afghanistan will no longer be dependent on Karachi Port,” Nimroz governor Mohammad Samiullah said.
“This port will create thousands of jobs and bring billions of dollars in revenue to Afghanistan, Iran and India.”
He said the residents of Nimroz are determined to ensure the Nimroz--Delaram roads is secure. This route leads directly to Chabahar Port in Iran.
At the same event, Nasir Ahmad Durani, acting minister of agriculture, said the cooperation between Afghanistan, India and Iran in the Chabahar region is a great opportunity to boost trade ties between the three countries.
Meanwhile, Indian Ambassador Manpreet Vohra said Chabahar Port provides easy and short connectivity between countries in the region.
He said the shipment is part of the 1.1 million wheat pledged by India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi to Afghanistan – during his visit to Kabul.
According to him, 700,000 tons of the wheat has so far arrived in Afghanistan.
He said the reason for cooperation between India and Iran to help Afghanistan is to find an alternate route for trade between the three countries.
The Indian envoy said Chabahar Port’s route will not be closed at random - which is a problem Afghanistan faces in working through some countries in the region.
Vohra says Saturday's shipment is part of the wheat promised by India to Afghanistan.
Dozens of Nimroz residents attended the inauguration of the Chabahar Port route and performed traditional dances.
At the heart of the Pakistan-Iran-India tango lies Chabahar
The operationalization of Chabahar port is significant because India has demonstrated its intention to play on the regional chessboard, even while it balances its own relations with the US and Iran. The old great game just got a new veneer
A new churning is taking place in the region, with India announcing its first shipment to Afghanistan, via the Chabahar port in Iran, and Pakistan’s army chief taking a delegation to Iran earlier this week for a series of meetings.
Has India’s Chabahar initiative caused Pakistan to re-engage with Iran? Or, is this a parallel development, addressing bilateral issues and the repercussions of Pakistan’s involvement in the Middle East?
Pakistan’s Iran Predicament
Since Zia ul-Haq’s time, Pakistan’s relationship with Iran has been tense, indifferent and sometimes, even hostile. Zia’s Islamisation strategies were perceived by Shia Tehran as the deepening of Sunnization, creating new stress in the bilateral relationship and emphasising sectarian faultlines inside Pakistan.
High-level visits between Iran and Pakistan became the exception. Afghanistan soon became a much more important neighbour, with the US using Pakistan as a cat’s paw in its own war against the former Soviet Union in the late 1980s. Meanwhile, Iran-US relations went through the wringer, even as Teheran was bogged down with other issues in the Middle East.
Despite the continuing political tension between Iran and Pakistan, both countries drew closely together on two other matters. First, Pakistani nuclear scientist A Q Khan drew a willing Iran into his own underground network of nuclear linkages that served both sides well. Second, smuggling between the Pakistan-Iran border, especially along the Makran coast, began to take place.
Enter the Middle East Cold War and the Islamic Military Alliance
But the political divide was exacerbated by Saudi Arabia’s expanding influence on Pakistan. Riyadh’s Islamic Military Alliance is now headed by Pakistan’s former army chief, Gen. Raheel Sharif. Clearly, the Pakistani government isn’t terribly attracted to the idea, especially because its own Shias, between 30-40 million, are said to comprise about 10 per cent of the total 200 million population. Pakistan’s National Assembly has even discussed Raheel Sharif’s new job and pointed out that there is a need to go slow.
Was Raheel Sharif given the job because he was once the most powerful man in Pakistan and Pakistan is the only country in the Islamic world with a proven nuclear weapon capability ?.
Meanwhile, Teheran’s relations with Saudi Arabia began to deteriorate over the ongoing conflict in Yemen. Riyadh also seemed determined to isolate Qatar, in an attempt to consolidate its leadership in the Muslim Ummah. Its efforts to get the US on board this regional great game were enormously boosted with Donald Trump identifying Iran as the cause of instability in the Arab Islamic American summit in Riyadh in May 2017, even as King Salman looked on.
Certainly, Pakistan being a part of this Summit would not have gone down lightly in Tehran.
Chabahar: Trigger, not the Cause
The operationalization of Chabahar port by India has triggered the panic button within Pakistan. As Delhi faltered in its execution of Chabahar in recent years, Pakistan was cynical and even sarcastic; meanwhile there was the China-supported Gwadar port as well as the Beijing-funded China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, both projects being described as a “regional game changer”.
With Chabahar now in the mix, the regional great game has taken a new turn. Chabahar is not far from Gwadar. As the crow flies, the straight distance is only 171 km, while the road route doubles it to 356 km. Second, Chabahar is more than a port, it is the starting point of a trade and transit corridor that could become parallel to the CPEC as it cuts across Iran and into Afghanistan. Third and most importantly, New Delhi has big plans for Chabahar, to connect it to the International North South Transport Corridor (INSTC) and opening it up to the passage of goods into Russia and onwards.
Gen Bajwa’s Visit: Should India be worried?
India’s political will to walk the talk with Chabahar has exaggerated the bilateral and regional predicament in Pakistan’s west. Islamabad would certainly like to repair its relations with Teheran. Gen. Bajwa’s visit to Iran must be seen in this context, when he met the Iranian president, its defence minister as well as the commander-in-chief of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards.
The army in Pakistan has always been all-powerful, but a trend towards greater consolidation of power can now be clearly seen. Gen. Bajwa’s visit to Iran was preceded by a trip to Kabul, where he also met President Ashraf Ghani as well as the top Afghan leadership. Both New Delhi and Teheran, now connected through the Chahabar thread, must be closely watching.
But despite the fanfare of the visit, Gen. Bajwa did not succeed in getting a succulent joint statement with the Iranians. Whatever was made public is mediocre and focussed on border security between the two countries relating hotline communication, border fencing and patrolling, intelligence sharing etc. The fact that Pakistan has to talk about establishing hotlines in 2017 shows the level of communication so far!
The powerful director-general of the media wing of Pakistan’s armed forces, ISPR, Maj-Gen Asif Ghafoor, effusively thanked the Iranian Supreme Leader for a “supportive statement” on Kashmir and said, “It is a long pending dispute between India and Pakistan. Regional peace and security remains at stake unless it’s resolved to the aspiration of Kashmiris in line with UN Resolution.”
Predictably, the Pakistan media sought to project this as Iran’s Supreme leader throwing its “weight behind Pakistan on Kashmir”.
That’s why the operationalization of the Chabahar port in Iran is so significant. India has demonstrated its intention to play on the regional chessboard, even while it balances its own relations with the US and Iran. The old great game just got a new veneer.
D Suba Chandran is Professor and Dean of Conflict and Security Studies at the National Institute of Advanced Studies (NIAS) Bangalore. He edits the ‘Armed Conflicts in South Asia’ annual and maintains a portal on Pakistan, www.pakistanreader.org.
Afghanistan, Turkey, ex-Soviet trio sign corridor agreement
ASHGABAT: A road and rail corridor connecting war-torn Afghanistan with Turkey and Europe was signed off by officials from five countries on Wednesday in Turkmenistan’s capital Ashgabat.
The so-called Lapis Lazuli corridor agreement is the product of more than five years of talks involving Afghanistan and Turkey as well as the ex-Soviet countries Azerbaijan, Georgia and Turkmenistan.
The agreement is focused on integrating customs procedures and stripping away logistical barriers affecting trade between the countries.
The Lapis Lazuli route, named after the brilliant blue semi-precious stone commonly found in Afghanistan, begins in the Afghan settlements of Aqina and finishes at the gateway to Europe in Istanbul.
Freight following the route will have to cross the Caspian Sea after traversing Turkmenistan before linking up with existing road and rail infrastructure in Azerbaijan. Speaking at a regional integration conference focused on Afghanistan in Ashgabat, Turkey’s deputy foreign minister Ahmet Yildiz said Ankara “welcomed” the trade route.
“This transport and transit corridor allows for the connection of Asia and Europe,” Yildiz said.
Turkmenistan’s trade minister Dovran Orazmyradov said on Tuesday that trade between gas-rich Turkmenistan and Afghanistan had increased 20 per cent last year, reaching $513 million annually.
A railway linking the two countries that has been operational for a year and is part of the Lapis Lazuli corridor, which should boost that figure further.
China is also keen to include Afghanistan in its Belt and Road Initiative that aims to ramp up Eurasian trade through billions of dollars in infrastructural and other investments.
ISI budget esp the clandestine one is probably funded through it.ramana wrote:BBC was reporting this morning that the opium crop in 2017 in Afghanistan is 90% more than last year and is the feedstock for all the heroin in the world.
So how is this getting gout and who makes the precursor chemicals that they need for the conversion.
Cant be Iran for US would jump allover them with sanctions and what not.
Ramana, the article does not contains any map, but when seen in google map with directions kabul- Istanbul, the shortest route goes through iran, whereas this route will not go through iran, but will cross the caspian sea through ships and then overland through Turkmenistan.ramana wrote:Jits, Is there a map with the Lapis Luzuli route article?
Philip wrote:In addition,the US should also seriousy consider "cutting off the head" of the reptile which is the brainstrust of the Taliban the ISI! The next B-1,B-52 and F-22 strikes should be upon the ISI HQ/establishments in Islamabad/Pindi!
Just to provide an update on this. Spoke to someone who is a go-between between the players (US, PRC, TSP, Tehran, GoI, Kabul, Taleban).shyamd wrote:Pak is fretting because India may be asked for boots on ground and joint ops with NATO. Hectic activity/lobbying between Beijing & Riyad. PRC was asked to cover/deploy in FATA/NWFP. Can't see how it is conceivable.
Sounds like a load of twaddle. So (1) GOI signs a sekrit "strategic partnership" with the US (2) This will help the US and China save TSP because "taliban" and "paki nukes".shyamd: it is official - GoI has signed a major strategic security partnership with the US. GOI/US not making too much noise about it. All decisions are in coordination with GoI
The quoted action was done by Trump admin to get TSP to the table - its worked. GHQ told my source "Tell Trump admin we will be a part of peace talks".
Basically, the plan was to use Indian troop threat. TSP now willing to talk. Additional NATO troops is to send message that the powers will not allow Taliban win.
Plan is to use the quadrilateral of US PRC TSP AFG to work out a peace deal in the future. US PRC will agree GOI influence doesn't exist. But at present nothing on the cards - this is how people think it will get solved.
If this is indeed what the GoI has done, then they must be smoking something heavy. What exactly is it that we get for all this? `Secret partnership' with the US? What will that give us? Last I checked, the Yumreekees were not willing to play ball on any issue, be it visa or ToT or anything else. They recently gave tidbits to Hafeez Saeed, IIRC. BTW, were these sources who gave you this info the same guys who were predicting Assadfall every week?shyamd wrote:Just to provide an update on this. Spoke to someone who is a go-between between the players (US, PRC, TSP, Tehran, GoI, Kabul, Taleban).shyamd wrote:Pak is fretting because India may be asked for boots on ground and joint ops with NATO. Hectic activity/lobbying between Beijing & Riyad. PRC was asked to cover/deploy in FATA/NWFP. Can't see how it is conceivable.
It is official - GoI has signed a major strategic security partnership with the US. GOI/US not making too much noise about it. All decisions are in coordination with GoI
The quoted action was done by Trump admin to get TSP to the table - its worked. GHQ told my source "Tell Trump admin we will be a part of peace talks".
Basically, the plan was to use Indian troop threat. TSP now willing to talk. Additional NATO troops is to send message that the powers will not allow Taliban win.
Plan is to use the quadrilateral of US PRC TSP AFG to work out a peace deal in the future. US PRC will agree GOI influence doesn't exist. But at present nothing on the cards - this is how people think it will get solved.
Next AFG Presidents may run on a 'peace' ticket. There'll be an effort on peace soon. Deal with Hekmatyar was done in Delhi by this gentleman.
India - Pak issue: Beijing doesn't like what TSP is doing but has no choice but to prevent TSP getting isolated. They view TSP = NoKo. If TSP regime changes then PRC is worried it'll be anti PRC - the same excuse used for NoKo. PRC has no choice but to back TSP.
Issue with Pak is that no nation was willing to deal with TSP-ISI. 'Too Nuke to Fail' is the term used.
This sounds like the daydreams of a Bhadrakumar type Lutyens loser.shyamd wrote:Just to provide an update on this. Spoke to someone who is a go-between between the players (US, PRC, TSP, Tehran, GoI, Kabul, Taleban).shyamd wrote:Pak is fretting because India may be asked for boots on ground and joint ops with NATO. Hectic activity/lobbying between Beijing & Riyad. PRC was asked to cover/deploy in FATA/NWFP. Can't see how it is conceivable.
It is official - GoI has signed a major strategic security partnership with the US. GOI/US not making too much noise about it. All decisions are in coordination with GoI
The quoted action was done by Trump admin to get TSP to the table - its worked. GHQ told my source "Tell Trump admin we will be a part of peace talks".
Basically, the plan was to use Indian troop threat. TSP now willing to talk. Additional NATO troops is to send message that the powers will not allow Taliban win.
Plan is to use the quadrilateral of US PRC TSP AFG to work out a peace deal in the future. US PRC will agree GOI influence doesn't exist. But at present nothing on the cards - this is how people think it will get solved.
Next AFG Presidents may run on a 'peace' ticket. There'll be an effort on peace soon. Deal with Hekmatyar was done in Delhi by this gentleman.
India - Pak issue: Beijing doesn't like what TSP is doing but has no choice but to prevent TSP getting isolated. They view TSP = NoKo. If TSP regime changes then PRC is worried it'll be anti PRC - the same excuse used for NoKo. PRC has no choice but to back TSP.
Issue with Pak is that no nation was willing to deal with TSP-ISI. 'Too Nuke to Fail' is the term used.
