Understanding New China After the 19th and 20th Congresses

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ramana
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Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

Post by ramana »

CPC Hundredth Anniversary speech by Xi Jinping.

https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/Full-t ... nniversary
Comrades and friends,

A hundred years ago, the pioneers of Communism in China established the Communist Party of China and developed the great founding spirit of the Party, which is comprised of the following principles: upholding truth and ideals, staying true to our original aspiration and founding mission, fighting bravely without fear of sacrifice, and remaining loyal to the Party and faithful to the people. This spirit is the Party's source of strength.

Over the past hundred years, the Party has carried forward this great founding spirit. Through its protracted struggles, it has developed a long line of inspiring principles for Chinese Communists and tempered a distinct political character. As history has kept moving forward, the spirit of the Party has been passed on from generation to generation. We will continue to promote our glorious traditions and sustain our revolutionary legacy, so that the great founding spirit of the Party will always be kept alive and carried forward.

Comrades and friends,

We owe all that we have achieved over the past hundred years to the concerted efforts of the Chinese Communists, the Chinese people, and the Chinese nation. Chinese Communists, with comrades Mao Zedong, Deng Xiaoping, Jiang Zemin, and Hu Jintao as their chief representatives, have made tremendous and historic contributions to the rejuvenation of the Chinese nation. To them, we express our highest respect.

Let us take this moment to cherish the memory of comrades Mao Zedong, Zhou Enlai, Liu Shaoqi, Zhu De, Deng Xiaoping, Chen Yun, and other veteran revolutionaries who contributed greatly to China's revolution, construction, and reform, and to the founding, consolidation, and development of the Communist Party of China; let us cherish the memory of the revolutionary martyrs who bravely laid down their lives to establish, defend, and develop the People's Republic; let us cherish the memory of those who dedicated their lives to reform, opening up, and socialist modernization; and let us cherish the memory of all the men and women who fought tenaciously for national independence and the liberation of the people in modern times. Their great contributions to our motherland and our nation will be immortalized in the annals of history, and their noble spirit will live on forever in the hearts of the Chinese people.

The people are the true heroes, for it is they who create history. On behalf of the CPC Central Committee, I would like to pay my highest respects to workers, farmers, and intellectuals across the country; to other political parties, public figures without party affiliation, people's organizations, and patriotic figures from all sectors of society; to all members of the People's Liberation Army, the People's Armed Police Force, the public security police, and the fire and rescue services; to all socialist working people; and to all members of the united front. I would like to extend my sincere greetings to compatriots in the Hong Kong and Macao special administrative regions and in Taiwan as well as overseas Chinese. And I would like to express my heartfelt gratitude to people and friends from around the world who have shown friendship to the Chinese people and understanding and support for China's endeavors in revolution, development, and reform.

Comrades and friends,

Though our Party's founding mission is easy to define, ensuring that we stay true to this mission is a more difficult task. By learning from history, we can understand why powers rise and fall. Through the mirror of history, we can find where we currently stand and gain foresight into the future. Looking back on the Party's 100-year history, we can see why we were successful in the past and how we can continue to succeed in the future. This will ensure that we act with greater resolve and purpose in staying true to our founding mission and pursuing a better future on the new journey that lies before us.

As we put conscious effort into learning from history to create a bright future, we must bear the following in mind:

We must uphold the firm leadership of the Party. China's success hinges on the Party. The more than 180-year-long modern history of the Chinese nation, the 100-year-long history of the Party, and the more than 70-year-long history of the People's Republic of China all provide ample evidence that without the Communist Party of China, there would be no new China and no national rejuvenation. The Party was chosen by history and the people. The leadership of the Party is the defining feature of socialism with Chinese characteristics and constitutes the greatest strength of this system. It is the foundation and lifeblood of the Party and the country, and the crux upon which the interests and wellbeing of all Chinese people depend.

On the journey ahead, we must uphold the Party's overall leadership and continue to enhance its leadership. We must be deeply conscious of the need to maintain political integrity, think in big-picture terms, follow the leadership core, and keep in alignment with the central Party leadership. We must stay confident in the path, theory, system, and culture of socialism with Chinese characteristics. We must uphold the core position of the General Secretary on the Party Central Committee and in the Party as a whole, and uphold the Central Committee's authority and its centralized, unified leadership. Bearing in mind the country's most fundamental interests, we must enhance the Party's capacity to conduct sound, democratic, and law-based governance, and ensure that it fully exerts its core role in providing overall leadership and coordinating the efforts of all sides.

We must unite and lead the Chinese people in working ceaselessly for a better life. This country is its people; the people are the country. As we have fought to establish and consolidate our leadership over the country, we have in fact been fighting to earn and keep the people's support. The Party has in the people its roots, its lifeblood, and its source of strength. The Party has always represented the fundamental interests of all Chinese people; it stands with them through thick and thin and shares a common fate with them. The Party has no special interests of its own-it has never represented any individual interest group, power group, or privileged stratum. Any attempt to divide the Party from the Chinese people or to set the people against the Party is bound to fail. The more than 95 million Party members and the more than 1.4 billion Chinese people will never allow such a scenario to come to pass.

On the journey ahead, we must rely closely on the people to create history. Upholding the Party's fundamental purpose of wholeheartedly serving the people, we will stand firmly with the people, implement the Party's mass line, respect the people's creativity, and practice a people-centered philosophy of development. We will develop whole-process people's democracy, safeguard social fairness and justice, and resolve the imbalances and inadequacies in development and the most pressing difficulties and problems that are of great concern to the people. In doing so, we will make more notable and substantive progress toward achieving well-rounded human development and common prosperity for all.

We must continue to adapt Marxism to the Chinese context. Marxism is the fundamental guiding ideology upon which our Party and country are founded; it is the very soul of our Party and the banner under which it strives. The Communist Party of China upholds the basic tenets of Marxism and the principle of seeking truth from facts. Based on China's realities, we have developed keen insights into the trends of the day, seized the initiative in history, and made painstaking explorations. We have thus been able to keep adapting Marxism to the Chinese context and the needs of our times, and to guide the Chinese people in advancing our great social revolution. At the fundamental level, the capability of our Party and the strengths of socialism with Chinese characteristics are attributable to the fact that Marxism works.

On the journey ahead, we must continue to uphold Marxism-Leninism, Mao Zedong Thought, Deng Xiaoping Theory, the Theory of Three Represents, and the Scientific Outlook on Development, and fully implement the Thought on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics for a New Era. We must continue to adapt the basic tenets of Marxism to China's specific realities and its fine traditional culture. We will use Marxism to observe, understand, and steer the trends of our times, and continue to develop the Marxism of contemporary China and in the 21st century.

We must uphold and develop socialism with Chinese characteristics. We must follow our own path-this is the bedrock that underpins all the theories and practices of our Party. More than that, it is the historical conclusion our Party has drawn from its struggles over the past century. Socialism with Chinese characteristics is a fundamental achievement of the Party and the people, forged through innumerable hardships and great sacrifices, and it is the right path for us to achieve national rejuvenation. As we have upheld and developed socialism with Chinese characteristics and driven coordinated progress in material, political, cultural-ethical, social, and ecological terms, we have pioneered a new and uniquely Chinese path to modernization, and created a new model for human advancement.

On the journey ahead, we must adhere to the Party's basic theory, line, and policy, and implement the five-sphere integrated plan and the four-pronged comprehensive strategy. We must deepen reform and opening up across the board, ground our work in this new stage of development, fully and faithfully apply the new development philosophy, and foster a new pattern of development. We must promote high-quality development and build up our country's strength in science and technology. We must ensure it is our people who run the country, continue to govern based on the rule of law, and uphold the core socialist values. We must ensure and enhance public wellbeing in the course of development, promote harmony between humanity and nature, and take well-coordinated steps toward making our people prosperous, our nation strong, and our country beautiful.

The Chinese nation has fostered a splendid civilization over more than 5,000 years of history. The Party has also acquired a wealth of experience through its endeavors over the past 100 years and during more than 70 years of governance. At the same time, we are also eager to learn what lessons we can from the achievements of other cultures, and welcome helpful suggestions and constructive criticism. We will not, however, accept sanctimonious preaching from those who feel they have the right to lecture us. The Party and the Chinese people will keep moving confidently forward in broad strides along the path that we have chosen for ourselves, and we will make sure the destiny of China's development and progress remains firmly in our own hands.

We must accelerate the modernization of national defense and the armed forces. A strong country must have a strong military, as only then can it guarantee the security of the nation. At the point that it was engaged in violent struggle, the Party came to recognize the irrefutable truth that it must command the gun and build a people's military of its own. The people's military has made indelible achievements on behalf of the Party and the people. It is a strong pillar for safeguarding our socialist country and preserving national dignity, and a powerful force for protecting peace in our region and beyond.

On the journey ahead, we must fully implement the Party's thinking on strengthening the military in the new era as well as our military strategy for the new era, maintain the Party's absolute leadership over the people's armed forces, and follow a Chinese path to military development. We will take comprehensive measures to enhance the political loyalty of the armed forces, to strengthen them through reform and technology and the training of competent personnel, and to run them in accordance with the law. We will elevate our people's armed forces to world-class standards so that we are equipped with greater capacity and more reliable means for safeguarding our national sovereignty, security, and development interests.

We must continue working to promote the building of a human community with a shared future. Peace, concord, and harmony are ideas the Chinese nation has pursued and carried forward for more than 5,000 years. The Chinese nation does not carry aggressive or hegemonic traits in its genes. The Party cares about the future of humanity, and wishes to move forward in tandem with all progressive forces around the world. China has always worked to safeguard world peace, contribute to global development, and preserve international order.

On the journey ahead, we will remain committed to promoting peace, development, cooperation, and mutual benefit, to an independent foreign policy of peace, and to the path of peaceful development. We will work to build a new type of international relations and a human community with a shared future, promote high-quality development of the Belt and Road Initiative through joint efforts, and use China's new achievements in development to provide the world with new opportunities. The Party will continue to work with all peace-loving countries and peoples to promote the shared human values of peace, development, fairness, justice, democracy, and freedom. We will continue to champion cooperation over confrontation, to open up rather than closing our doors, and to focus on mutual benefits instead of zero-sum games. We will oppose hegemony and power politics, and strive to keep the wheels of history rolling toward bright horizons.

We Chinese are a people who uphold justice and are not intimidated by threats of force. As a nation, we have a strong sense of pride and confidence. We have never bullied, oppressed, or subjugated the people of any other country, and we never will. By the same token, we will never allow any foreign force to bully, oppress, or subjugate us. Anyone who would attempt to do so will find themselves on a collision course with a great wall of steel forged by over 1.4 billion Chinese people.

We must carry out a great struggle with many contemporary features. Having the courage to fight and the fortitude to win is what has made our Party invincible. Realizing our great dream will require hard work and persistence. Today, we are closer, more confident, and more capable than ever before of making the goal of national rejuvenation a reality. But we must be prepared to work harder than ever to get there.

On the journey ahead, we must demonstrate stronger vigilance and always be prepared for potential danger, even in times of calm. We must adopt a holistic approach to national security that balances development and security imperatives, and implement the national rejuvenation strategy within a wider context of the once-in-a-century changes taking place in the world. We need to acquire a full understanding of the new features and requirements arising from the change to the principal contradiction in Chinese society and the new issues and challenges stemming from a complicated international environment. We must be both brave and adept in carrying out our struggle, forging new paths and building new bridges wherever necessary to take us past all risks and challenges.

We must strengthen the great unity of the Chinese people. In the course of our struggles over the past century, the Party has always placed the united front in a position of importance. We have constantly consolidated and developed the broadest possible united front, united all the forces that can be united, mobilized all positive factors that can be mobilized, and pooled as much strength as possible for collective endeavors. The patriotic united front is an important means for the Party to unite all the sons and daughters of the Chinese nation, both at home and abroad, behind the goal of national rejuvenation.

On the journey ahead, we must ensure great unity and solidarity and balance commonality and diversity. We should strengthen theoretical and political guidance, build broad consensus, bring together the brightest minds, and expand common ground and the convergence of interests, so that all Chinese people, both at home and overseas, can focus their ingenuity and energy on the same goal and come together as a mighty force for realizing national rejuvenation.

We must continue to advance the great new project of Party building. A hallmark that distinguishes the Communist Party of China from other political parties is its courage in undertaking self-reform. An important reason why the Party remains so vital and vibrant despite having undergone so many trials and tribulations is that it practices effective self-supervision and full and rigorous self-governance. It has thus been able to respond appropriately to the risks and tests of different historical periods, to ensure that it always remains at the forefront of the times even as profound changes sweep the global landscape, and to stand firm as the backbone of the nation throughout the process of meeting various risks and challenges at home and abroad.

On the journey ahead, we must keep firmly in mind the old adage that it takes a good blacksmith to make good steel. We must demonstrate greater political awareness of the fact that full and rigorous self-governance is a never-ending journey. With strengthening the Party politically as our overarching principle, we must continue advancing the great new project of Party building in the new era. We must tighten the Party's organizational system, work hard to train high-caliber officials who have both moral integrity and professional competence, remain committed to improving Party conduct, upholding integrity, and combating corruption, and root out any elements that would harm the Party's advanced nature and purity and any viruses that would erode its health. We must ensure that the Party preserves its essence, color, and character, and see that it always serves as the strong leadership core in the course of upholding and developing socialism with Chinese characteristics in the new era.

Comrades and friends,

We will stay true to the letter and spirit of the principle of One Country, Two Systems, under which the people of Hong Kong administer Hong Kong, and the people of Macao administer Macao, both with a high degree of autonomy. We will ensure that the central government exercises overall jurisdiction over Hong Kong and Macao, and implement the legal systems and enforcement mechanisms for the two special administrative regions to safeguard national security. While protecting China's sovereignty, security, and development interests, we will ensure social stability in Hong Kong and Macao, and maintain lasting prosperity and stability in the two special administrative regions.

Resolving the Taiwan question and realizing China's complete reunification is a historic mission and an unshakable commitment of the Communist Party of China. It is also a shared aspiration of all the sons and daughters of the Chinese nation. We will uphold the one-China principle and the 1992 Consensus, and advance peaceful national reunification. All of us, compatriots on both sides of the Taiwan Strait, must come together and move forward in unison. We must take resolute action to utterly defeat any attempt toward "Taiwan independence," and work together to create a bright future for national rejuvenation. No one should underestimate the resolve, the will, and the ability of the Chinese people to defend their national sovereignty and territorial integrity.

Comrades and friends,

The future belongs to the young people, and our hopes also rest with them. A century ago, a group of young progressives held aloft the torch of Marxism and searched assiduously in those dark years for ways to rejuvenate the Chinese nation. Since then, under the banner of the Communist Party of China, generation after generation of young Chinese have devoted their youth to the cause of the Party and the people, and remained in the vanguard of the drive to rejuvenate the nation.

In the new era, our young people should make it their mission to contribute to national rejuvenation and aspire to become more proud, confident, and assured in their identity as Chinese people so that they can live up to the promise of their youth and the expectations of our times, our Party, and our people.

Comrades and friends,

A century ago, at the time of its founding, the Communist Party of China had just over 50 members. Today, with more than 95 million members in a country of more than 1.4 billion people, it is the largest governing party in the world and enjoys tremendous international influence.

A century ago, China was in decline and withering away in the eyes of the world. Today, the image it presents to the world is one of a thriving nation that is advancing with unstoppable momentum toward rejuvenation.

Over the past century, the Communist Party of China has secured extraordinary historical achievements on behalf of the people. Today, it is rallying and leading the Chinese people on a new journey toward realizing the second centenary goal.

To all Party members,

The Central Committee calls on every one of you to stay true to our Party's founding mission and stand firm in your ideals and convictions. Acting on the purpose of the Party, you should always maintain close ties with the people, empathize and work with them, stand with them through good times and bad, and continue working tirelessly to realize their aspirations for a better life and to bring still greater glory to the Party and the people.

Comrades and friends,

Today, a hundred years on from its founding, the Communist Party of China is still in its prime, and remains as determined as ever to achieve lasting greatness for the Chinese nation. Looking back on the path we have travelled and forward to the journey that lies ahead, it is certain that with the firm leadership of the Party and the great unity of the Chinese people of all ethnic groups, we will achieve the goal of building a great modern socialist country in all respects and fulfill the Chinese Dream of national rejuvenation.

Long live our great, glorious, and correct Party!

Long live our great, glorious, and heroic people!"

Top-level comment: Looks like he is addressing the domestic audience and is an inward-looking speech. Not an outward-looking speech.
This means at 100 years of CCP it's time for a reset.
See founded in 1921. Captured power in 1948. And has been consolidating since then. By now should be confident to face the world.
ramana
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Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

Post by ramana »

The translator in English toned down this paragraph:
We Chinese are a people who uphold justice and are not intimidated by threats of force. As a nation, we have a strong sense of pride and confidence. We have never bullied, oppressed, or subjugated the people of any other country, and we never will. By the same token, we will never allow any foreign force to bully, oppress, or subjugate us. Anyone who would attempt to do so will find themselves on a collision course with a great wall of steel forged by over 1.4 billion Chinese people.
The original Chinese speech used the phrase: " 头破血流" = "heads smashed and blood flowing,"

Now this phrase comes from one of the Four Chinese Classics "Journey to the West" 8)

https://twitter.com/DrRadchenko/status/ ... 33217?s=20
The original phrase comes from the Journey to the West, ch. 44, where the Monkey King attacks Taoist priests for failing to release Buddhist monks from servitude. Interestingly, Mao Zedong identified himself with the Monkey King (I guess Xi does as well)?
Image

Recall I wrote that MZD and XJP have studied the Chinese Classics thoroughly.
Now if XJP were steeped in Marxist lore he would not be quoting "Journey to the West" which his Chinese audience would be more familiar with.
Hence my comment above that it is an inward-looking speech.
Need to wonder if XJP is also on a "Journey to the West" i.e India?
For those who don't know Journey to the West written by Wu Cheng En is about a Monk's travels to Central Asia and West during Tang dynasty.
It is based on Huan Tsang's travels to India. The key innovation is the Monkey King who travels with the monk. That is Hanuman.

Read and get familiar.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Journey_to_the_West
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Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

Post by ramana »

This Xi Jinping is a vexing guy.
The more I know I am forced to put him among the pantheon of Chinese emperors who made a mark.
Same time he does crazy stuff.
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Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

Post by ramana »

Since Xi JinPing is quoting from Four Chinese Classics I thought it important to put a link to the summaries.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Classic_Chinese_Novels

And a short description

http://www.poisonpie.com/words/others/s ... erenc.html
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Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

Post by chola »

Xi's war on chini internet firms is doing infinitely more damage to their tech giants than Modi's app ban ever did! It started with the torpedoing of Ant and the disappearing of Jack Ma. Then the $2.5B fine on Alibaba. Now it is on to Didi (Cheen's Uber.)

Big Tech China is heading towards a trillion $ in losses in this latest round.

https://www.fastcompany.com/90653737/di ... ech-giants

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... -from-over

Not sure what Xi is doing but I hope he continues at it!

https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2021/07/08/csi ... a-ant.html
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Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

Post by A Deshmukh »

chola wrote:Not sure what Xi is doing but I hope he continues at it!
Not sure if the script is:
Reduce value of Nasdaq listed companies.
Some Chinese investor will now buy back the shares? after enough shares are bought, crackdown will end.
Shares will rise again. only difference being Chinese investor will have made money.
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Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

Post by Jarita »

Not sure if this is the right thread for observations around how China treats it's people vs. foreigners.
I was talking to a bunch of businessmen re COVID and last year and they mentioned that even though demand from the rest of the world fell last year, the demand from within China persisted. The government made a concerted decision to continue to buy from the businesses that have their manufacturing hubs within China. Basically, printing money and ensuring base case demand which is used to build skeleton cities.
They also mentioned that COVID or no COVID the local governments ensured that factories were running. Workers had to come and anyone with symptoms was replaced immediately.

I also want to use the below as an example of what this country is about. A few years ago a scandal erupted in Hengdian which is film city in China. The police was investigating stars and film folks who were using prostitutes (yawn) which is basically starlets who were moonlighting. It was a shake up to straighten out the studios, get them to pay up and keep them in line.
The target here was obviously their own people. It was meant to get all the monied stars and producers and others in line.

Guess who never gets exposed in prostitution shake ups in China, western businessmen. It's a known fact that even the most midling business person and their staff who visits China gets to explore all types of "pleasures" including the most perverse kinds. The governments just turn their face away. These people have immunity.

The craziness of this pretend country is quite something.

The point to make is that this country of China is really a manufactured construct. It has been built from the ashes of groups of civilizations and tribes. These groups and their traditions were pulverized to make way for this new country (conjoined operation of a megalomaniacal mass murderer with western theology). The main theme was "for greater good" and in the process anything was allowed as long as the net beneficiaries were perceived to be larger in number (cultural revolution, the gulags, the great leap and the general cruelty that pervades the country). This has continued to date and created a very submissive, robotic population. Now they are trying to put a veneer of ancient culture by appropriating bits and pieces from India.
What is alarming is that we Indians hold this as a benchmark. I often see people quoting the cities of China, their roads and constructs etc. None of that is possible without the massive price their population has paid civilizationally and morally. That is not a price worth paying for us Indians. Yes we need to get rid of poverty etc but the path to development can be a different one for India, one that is civilizational (which includes our values).
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Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

Post by Jarita »

ramana wrote:Since Xi JinPing is quoting from Four Chinese Classics I thought it important to put a link to the summaries.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Classic_Chinese_Novels

And a short description

http://www.poisonpie.com/words/others/s ... erenc.html
Alarming though.
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Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

Post by Jarita »

Not just control of Tech but also the film industry. Bringing this up because the dynamics of this industry are very interesting and unique to China. Additionally because China is also such a huge market, Korean and Taiwanese actors are very tempered when it comes to talking about China or in any way opposing the party line.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-44641582
These problems have "damaged the health of the film and TV industry", and led to "money worship", "the youth blindly chasing celebrities" and "distorted social values", the notice added, without giving details about how the pay cap would be enforced.
In other film industries - for example, in Hollywood and Bollywood - the government does not get involved with how much actors are paid.

But in China, the government tends to have more oversight over many industries, even if they are in the private sector.

Wednesday's notice said productions should "prioritise benefits to society", rather than considering "just box office returns, ratings and click-through rates".
Last year, TV dramas were given notice of a new set of rules governing their content, and told to "enhance people's cultural taste" and "strengthen spiritual civilisation".
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Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

Post by chola »

Jarita wrote: What is alarming is that we Indians hold this as a benchmark. I often see people quoting the cities of China, their roads and constructs etc. None of that is possible without the massive price their population has paid civilizationally and morally. That is not a price worth paying for us Indians. Yes we need to get rid of poverty etc but the path to development can be a different one for India, one that is civilizational (which includes our values).
The US and the West should have been our benchmark and should have gotten us off our arses after Independence when Cheen was even poorer than we were. But we seem accepting of where we were until Cheen began to rise. Goras were always expected to be wealthier.

So I am glad that there is a benchmark to push us forward.

That said, what Cheen paid civilizationally and morally was because of communism and had little to do with their growth except to retard it. The part that drive their growth was the same thing that drove Japan, Taiwan and South Korea -- a whole of nation foray into market capitalism that focused on FDI, infrastructure, manufacturing and exports.

Communism could never had built what you see in Cheen today. It was their acceptance of capitalism and trade and that is the big difference between the PRC and the USSR. Between Cheen and North Korea.

If we are to accept this idea that we must pay some civilizational and moral price to develop then we will accept being poor as some sort of idiotic virtue. Which is completely luducrous. ALL of the most developed states in the world from US to Europe to Japan are free market democracies. Something we would have learnt decades ago if we had benchmarked Japan or Germany instead of waiting for Cheen to grow into a rival.

But still I am glad for the rivalry with Cheen. If they never rose, the chances are we would have been perfectly content to stay where we were under Congress.
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Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

Post by sanjaykumar »

Some good posts above.

China has many weaknesses, India has some strengths.
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Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

Post by Jarita »

I would argue that all the East Asian Economies that you have quoted have also paid a price of the model of development they have followed (perhaps Japan the least of all) and the true extent of this will be manifest in generation or two at the most. I think we need to define what our civilization means to us - the social mores that define us, our languages, our families, our ethos of life which is diverse and heterogenous, our very very unique approach to existence, our bio diversity and so much more. And we have to assess how much we are willing to lose in the quest to follow particular models. There is a huge trade-off here. Or can Bharat create her own path and define her own distinct approach (which we should instead of looking east or west) and move from there.
To that extent Xi Jingping is actually quite brilliant. He is probably the closest of all past leaders, to the role of the emperor of China. He is aware that they have destroyed all and wants to rebuild on the roots. I think it's too late but kudos to him for underlining and acknowledging it. He is creating a civilizational narrative based on blatant lies (5000 year old civilization etc, who is he copying).
Look at his speech - it is civilizational. He does not keep parroting development, development, development.
Based on China's realities, we have developed keen insights into the trends of the day, seized the initiative in history, and made painstaking explorations. We have thus been able to keep adapting Marxism to the Chinese context and the needs of our times, and to guide the Chinese people in advancing our great social revolution. At the fundamental level, the capability of our Party and the strengths of socialism with Chinese characteristics are attributable to the fact that Marxism works.

Peace, concord, and harmony are ideas the Chinese nation has pursued and carried forward for more than 5,000 years. The Chinese nation does not carry aggressive or hegemonic traits in its genes. The Party cares about the future of humanity, and wishes to move forward in tandem with all progressive forces around the world. China has always worked to safeguard world peace, contribute to global development, and preserve international order.
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Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

Post by ramana »

If you followed this thread since it was created, we first postulated XJP is cast in mold of early Chinese Emperors.
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Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

Post by Jarita »

I am afraid that I have not consistently followed the China threads, although they are an area of interest. Yes that assumption is very accurate. You will see that reflected in the language they are speaking and the rash of references to ancient emperors that united China. The will of heaven is a big speak in the last decade or so. No past leader has made so many civilizational references.

It would be interesting to understand who he is modelling himself after. Certainly not Kublai - that is an outsider.
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Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)

Post by ramana »

ramana wrote:SSridhar, I would like a link to the entire speech and an analysis by you. Atul Aneja is fluff and CHindu is his paymaster. So can't trust it.

My initial impressions are:

Xi has averted the Gorbachev moment. Forceful removal. Doklam was about that.
Xi has finally put a Chinese face on Socialism.
This is like Empress Wu ordering making the Buddha with Chinese characteristics.
Yes Xi's thought is important to understand and not through filters by CHindu.
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Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

Post by ramana »

Take a look at this old post:

viewtopic.php?p=2225786#p2225786
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Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

Post by chola »

Jarita wrote:I would argue that all the East Asian Economies that you have quoted have also paid a price of the model of development they have followed (perhaps Japan the least of all) and the true extent of this will be manifest in generation or two at the most.

...

can Bharat create her own path and define her own distinct approach (which we should instead of looking east or west) and move from there.
All development will have impact on civilization and society. Otherwise, we would never progress. So there is a price that must be paid by East Asia and by the West as well. Rapid urbanization, aging and dropping fertility, for example, are components of that price.

But there is a far greater price to be paid for standing still. The price that sub-Saharan Africa pays for non-development is many times greater than what Cheen and East Asia has paid.

Of course, Bharat will find her own way. All countries eventually do. No two country is alike. Our path is ours and Cheen's path is its.

BUT Cheen's is closer to Japan's and to Korea's than to others and so far in the modern age that particular development path in East Asia has proven to be the only one that allowed countries to move from Third to First World.

We can count on one hand, the countries reaching developed status after World War II -- Taiwan, South Korea, Hong Kong and Singapore. They've all taken the same road to development that Cheen is on now. Cheen hasn't even fully matured in this path. It is still only 60% urbanized compared to 90% in Japan or 80% in S Korea and Taiwan. Of course, Hong Kong and Singapore are (or was in case of HK) 100% urbanized city-states.

So yes, India needs to find own path but we need to find the right components. Global experience has shown us that the all of society approach to market capitalism, infrastructure, manufacturing and trade exemplified in the Far East are the only ones that had worked so far. This East Asian capitalism/trade path has nothing to do with the communism that Cheen had incurred extra costs with.

Okay, there is another path but that one would require an act of God like suddenly finding a massive fossil fuel reserve in the Bay of Bengal. It will lead to wealth anyways if not actual development. (But then again the UAE sent a successful mission to Mars so with enough petro-dollars ...)
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Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

Post by ramana »

XJP went to Tibet and we have an analysis from an Indian China Watcher.

Link: https://www.vifindia.org/article/2021/j ... -for-india

Xi Jinping Visit to Tibet is Important and has Implications for India
Jayadeva Ranade

July 29, 2021

Chinese President Xi Jinping arrived in the Tibet Autonomous Region (TAR) at Nyingchi’s Mainling Airport on July 21 at the start of a two-day (July 21-23) visit, without prior public notice. The visit, which comes shortly before the 70th anniversary of the “peaceful liberation” of Tibet, is important. With this visit Chinese President Xi Jinping has given impetus to the initiatives on ethnic unity, promoting Mandarin as the primary language in ethnic schools in TAR, adapting Tibetan Buddhism to socialism with Chinese characteristics and combatting separatism, etc. The visit would encourage the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) deployed on the borders with India and could be a response to the Prime Minister’s wishes to the Dalai Lama for his 86th birthday.{Not likely as it had to be planned in advance} It could presage new initiatives by the PLA along the Line of Actual Control (LAC).

Xi Jinping's visit was kept a tightly guarded secret till his arrival in Nyingchi in Tibet on July 21. This would have been to prevent any demonstrations or protests during the visit or embarrassment to China's President. There has been an increase in warnings by TAR leaders against separatist elements and "double-faced cadres" in recent months. Privately recorded video clips showed that plainclothes security personnel around Xi Jinping, as he walked down Barkhor Street waving to the sizeable crowds, were visibly tense. The video-clips suggested that security personnel, Party members and vetted people would have formed a large part of the crowd. Much of the crowd in Lhasa appeared to comprise ethnic Hans while at Nyingchi there were many Tibetans or other ethnic minority nationalities. Barkhor Street was closed to the public on July 22. Clues are now available to indicate that planning for Xi Jinping's visit had started weeks earlier. The Drepung monastery, one of the three largest monasteries of the Gelug school of Tibetan Buddhism, held a "special counseling session" for its monks and nuns on June 21. The Potala Palace announced on July 20, that it would be closed to the public on July 22 because its walls and electrical wiring were being checked, but would reopen on July 23.
China’s official news agency Xinhua on July 23 reported the visit. Underscoring the importance of the visit was the presence of three Politburo members among several high level officials who accompanied Xi Jinping as part of his entourage. The senior officials included Ding Xuexiang, Liu He, Yang Xiaodu, General Zhang Youxia, Chen Xi and He Lifeng. Their inclusion suggests the agenda for the visit.

It is significant for India that that Xi Jinping’s visit to Tibet takes place in the midst of high military tension between India and China -- presently in the Ladakh region. Xi Jinping’s decision to start his tour of TAR from the Nyingchi Prefecture opposite India’s Arunachal Pradesh is important. China’s official maps depict the Nyingchi Prefecture’s administrative boundaries as including most of India’s state of Arunachal Pradesh within its boundaries. The visit follows the meeting between the Indian and Chinese Foreign Ministers on the side-lines of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) meeting at Dushanbe on July 6, where Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi reiterated that India is responsible for the current situation and that the PLA will not restore the status quo by withdrawing to its April 2020 positions. Chinese President Xi Jinping has, incidentally, not yet publicly commented on the state of India-China relations or the situation on the India-China border and neither have these been publicly reported as having figured on the agenda of meetings of the CCP Central Committee (CC)’s Politburo or Politburo Standing Committee.

Xi Jinping has visited TAR twice earlier. On each occasion he commenced his visit from Nyingchi, showing the importance that he personally attaches to this prefecture. Relevant in this context are Xi Jinping’s insistent calls for the “great rejuvenation” of the Chinese nation and recovery of territories claimed to have been lost by the imposition of unequal treaties by hostile foreign powers. Xi Jinping’s first visit to Tibet was in 1998 when as Party Secretary of Fujian he had gone to inspect and be briefed on ‘Aid Tibet’ projects assisted by Fujian. At that time his visit was confined to Nyingchi. The second time Xi Jinping travelled to TAR was as China’s Vice President in July 2011 for the 60th anniversary of the “peaceful liberation” of Tibet. Then too, he commenced his visit from Nyingchi and later visited Shigatse and Lhasa.

There are other factors that underscore the importance of the visit to Nyingchi. Nyingchi is of military importance and a number of PLA Units, militias, Border Defence Regiments and missile bases are sited there. There has recently been elevated Chinese military-related activity in the area. Nyingchi is also the gateway through which the strategic railway linking Chengdu, the capital of Sichuan province, with Lhasa, the capital of TAR, passes. Once the remaining section of the railway is completed, this will be the second railway connecting Lhasa and Shigatse to other provinces in the Mainland. It will reduce travel time between Chengdu and Lhasa to 10 hours from the present almost 30. The world's largest dam being built at the Great Bend on the Brahmaputra (Yarlung Tsangpo) is also in Nyingchi.

After arrival at Nyingchi, Xi Jinping drove to the Niyang River Bridge and received a briefing on the ecological environment protection efforts and the construction of nature reserves in the Yarlung Zangbo River and Niyang River Basin. The Niyang River is one of five tributaries flowing into the Yarlung Tsangpo (Brahmaputra) and the main water source for Nyingchi. Xi Jinping emphasised the importance of ecological environment protection, restoration of important river basins, and protection of lives, plants, and mountains. That afternoon he visited the Linzhi City Planning Museum for a briefing on the construction and development plans of Linzhi City. Later, Xi Jinping went to Gala Village, located in Linzhi Town, which is famous for its peach blossoms in spring. He walked to the village convenience service center, "green bank" exchange shops, health rooms, etc. and met the villagers. One villager, Dawa Jianshen said that last year his family’s income exceeded 300,000 yuan and Xi Jinping responded that “the good life in Gala Village is a microcosm of the economic and social development achievements of Tibet since the peaceful liberation of Tibet over the past 70 years”. Xi Jinping then visited Gongbu Park, located at the junction of the old and new towns of Nyingchi.

On the morning of July 22, Xi Jinping went to Linzhi Railway Station, an important hub station of the Sichuan-Tibet Railway which opened on June 25 this year, for a briefing on the overall plan of the Sichuan-Tibet Railway and the construction and operation of the Lhasa-Nyingchi section. He received a report on the progress of the construction of the Ya'an-Nyingchi section, and sat on a special train to observe Lalin. Xinhua stated that Xi Jinping attaches “great importance” to the construction of the Sichuan-Tibet Railway. He pointed out that the planning and construction of the Sichuan-Tibet Railway is a major measure to promote the development of Tibet and improve people’s livelihood. Xi Jinping and his entourage then travelled by the FuXing (Bullet) train to Lhasa.

The same afternoon that he arrived in Lhasa, Xi Jinping visited Drepung Monastery in the western suburbs of Lhasa.
He listened to a report on how Drepung Monastery strengthened innovative temple management, and affirmed Drepung Monastery’s active contributions in “supporting the leadership of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), supporting the socialist system, and safeguarding the unity of the motherland over the years”. Xi Jinping emphasised it is necessary to fully implement the party’s basic policy on religious work, respect the religious beliefs of the masses, manage religious affairs in accordance with the law and actively guide Tibetan Buddhism to adapt to socialist society. After a short walk down Barkhor Street, Xi Jinping came to the Potala Palace Square and asked about the protection and management of the Potala Palace. Xi Jinping pointed out that Tibet was developed jointly by all ethnic groups, and the history of Tibet was written jointly by all ethnic groups. He said the development of Tibet is “at a new historical starting point. As long as we follow the Communist Party of China and firmly follow the path of socialism with Chinese characteristics, and work together to strengthen national unity, we will definitely be able to achieve the second centenary goal as scheduled, and realize the Chinese dream of the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation”. That evening Xi Jinping watched a national cultural performance with cadres and the masses of all ethnic groups in the Tibetan People's Hall.
In an unmistakable gesture to Tibetans, Xi Jinping called on Phakpa Lha Gelek Namgyal, who was born in 1940 and joined the CCP in 1950! He is also a ‘living Buddha’.

On July 23 morning, Xi Jinping listened to the work reports of the Tibet Autonomous Region Party Committee and Government, and appreciated their achievements. He hoped that the Party Committee and Government of the Tibet Autonomous Region would unite and lead the cadres and the masses, do a solid job of mass work, improve social governance, and ensure national security, social stability, and people's happiness. He said “we must persist in integrating the education of national unity” and propagate the “socialist core values, education, patriotism education, anti-separatism education” and comparison of old and new Tibet. Stressing the necessity of blending ethnic groups, Xi Jinping highlighted the importance of the Chinese nation, Chinese culture, the Communist Party of China, and socialism with Chinese characteristics. He called for deepening reform and opening up, accelerating the construction of railways, highways and other major infrastructures, and national clean energy bases. He said development and security must be coordinated. Xi Jinping stressed the importance of “building border infrastructure, and encouraging people of all ethnic groups to take root in the border, guard the country and build their hometowns”. Xi Jinping emphasised the study of party history and need to maintain the ‘red blood’.

Reform and economic implementation issues appear to have been high on the Chinese President’s agenda. Liu He is Politburo member, Vice Premier and Director of the Office serving the CCP’s Central Financial and Economic affairs Commission headed by Xi Jinping. He Lifeng is Minister of the important National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC). The two can be expected to have discussed and reviewed the projects earmarked for TAR in the ‘14th Five Year Plan and Long Range Objectives of the People’s Republic of China’. These include defence infrastructure-related projects like the twenty ‘general purpose’ border airports and the upgradation and extension of two additional highways along the LAC, the numerous smaller dams along the Yarlung Tsangpo (Brahmaputra), and massive dam at the Great Bend on the Yarlung Tsangpo (Brahmaputra). Various other developmental projects would also have been reviewed. The likely impact of the influx into sparsely populated Tibet of large numbers of workers and technicians from the Mainland for these projects would have been an agenda item.

The inclusion of Central Military Commission (CMC) Vice Chairman General Zhang Youxia in Xi Jinping’s entourage further confirmed the military content of Xi Jinping's trip. The recently appointed Commander of the Western Theatre Command (WTC) General Xu Qiling, its Political Commissar Wu Shenzhou as well as Lt. General Wang Qiang, promoted as Commander of the WTC Air Force in April 2020, and the officiating WTC Army (Ground Forces) commander are likely to have received Xi Jinping and General Zhang Youxia at Nyingchi and travelled to Lhasa with his delegation by train. General Xu Qiling and Political Commissar General Wu Shenzhou were seated next to Xi Jinping and Zhang Youxia at the meeting in Lhasa.

Xi Jinping met military officers, personnel, and veterans at Lhasa. Xi Jinping separately addressed over at least one thousand military officers in Lhasa of whom more than 32 were above the rank of Major General and the rest were of the rank of Colonel and above. Greeting the officers and thanking them for their “large contribution to the nation in terms of security and unification along with ensuring peace and stability in Tibet”, Xi Jinping said that “for all this, the Party and the people of China are thankful to them. He urged “the army to be committed to the Party and its ideology” and “have a strong military mind with a focus to become a formidable force. The officers have to become the source of military guidance to ensure their motto is kept alive. They need to follow the 'old Tibet spirit' which means they need to follow their ancestors and what they have done in Tibet in the past 70 years. They need to follow in their footsteps and take their work forward”. He declared that “They have already passed the difficult challenge of Tibet's harsh climate and environment and protected the country and they have done a good job. However, they need to continue training hard and prepare for future wars”.

The prevailing situation along the Line of Actual Control (LAC) in Ladakh and seeming current impasse would certainly have been discussed and approvals obtained for further action and future operations. Activation of the eastern segment of the border opposite Nyingchi and Shigatse could well have been discussed.

The presence of General Zhang Youxia indicates that he has not been adversely affected by the publicity earlier this month surrounding his nephew Zhang Tao’s egregious assault on two distinguished elderly Chinese scientists and subsequent arrest by Beijing Police.


Politburo members Yang Xiaodu and Chen Xi’s inclusion is interesting. It suggests that Party and disciplinary matters were discussed. Yang Xiaodu is a Politburo member and Director of the National Supervisory Commission. He has served in Tibet during his early political career. Chen Xi is head of the CCP CC’s powerful Organisation Department, which decides on cadre promotions and transfers, the deputation of cadres to the Central Party School etc.

There has been an increase in references over the course of last year to “double-faced” or “two-faced” cadres, referring to cadres who are employed by the authorities but owe loyalty to the Dalai Lama. Yang Xiaodu would have discussed this and the punishment of ‘tainted’ cadres with TAR Party Secretary Wu Yingjie and TAR Chairman Che Dalha. The future prospects of cadres considered as promising would also have been discussed. It is possible that Wu Yingjie, who is now 65 years old and has completed a term as TAR Party Secretary, might be moved to Beijing. If so, his possible replacements would have been discussed. It has been noticed in recent months that among cadres in TAR, Che Dalha, Danke, and Yan Jinhai have been receiving enhanced prominence. Che Dalha has been visiting border counties for “consolidating security” and accompanied TAR Party Secretary Wu Yingjie to Beijing last year and again this year to the National People’s Congress (NPC) session. He also wrote important article days after the NPC session ended on March 11, 2021 which was published by the People’s Daily.

Xi Jinping’s visit would have given a definite impetus to the policies now being implemented in TAR. Xi Jinping has advocated: consolidation and security of Tibet’s borders; he referred to the ‘xiaokang’ (well off) border defence villages; adapting Tibetan Buddhism to socialism with Chinese characteristics; building ethnic unity; consolidating the Party and ensuring the loyalty of members; making Mandarin (Putonghua) the primary language in ethnic schools and highlighting Han culture; accelerating development of the transport network including railways and highways as part of China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and its westward push, and strengthening the PLA.

The visit is important and will give a major push to the changes already planned for TAR. It has implications for India too. India should anticipate increased military activity on the LAC and acceleration in the construction of border defence infrastructure in Tibet. Most of these are planned to be completed by 2030
I highlighted what I thought is important. To me, the centerpiece of the XJP visit is the military portion. It is odd to have such a high number of scrambled eggs in Tibet only - 32 Major Generals and the rest Colonels. It is a pep talk to assure them after Galwan that they have the backing of the PRC leadership.
And I agree that India should expect some hostilities this year. Sooner than later.

Rest is cover to make it appear XJP has development and Hanification of Tibet as his prime goals. They are but not in this context.

I wish the above article did not have so much fluff in it. All the highlighted parts will take up a page and a half.
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Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

Post by Cyrano »

Seems like Xitler is worried about his legacy. World domination of the Middle Kingdom in the face of increasing hostility from the west and the rest makes it risky. That leaves him with the fall back option of teaching India a big lesson. He is working on that now.
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Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

Post by uddu »

Cyrano wrote:Seems like Xitler is worried about his legacy. World domination of the Middle Kingdom in the face of increasing hostility from the west and the rest makes it risky. That leaves him with the fall back option of teaching India a big lesson. He is working on that now.
I think what they did was to delay the take over of PoK by India which must have opened up links to Afg and beyond for India. This must have buried the PRC's dream of global hegemony by denying them access to the Arabian sea. Also India cutting off Pakistan from China creates a safety net for U.S to stay longer in the middle east without a challenge from China. Also it will usher in the rise of India that will dominate the region in Afg and surrounding bringing peace, stability and economic well being in the region and for India.
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Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

Post by ramana »

Of we look at the BRI, it is revived Silk Route. In fact before 2016 it was called Silk Route BRI.
The old Silk Route was to trade Chinese Silk Now it is to trade Chinese mfd goods. And is backed by financial, political and military power. In that order.
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Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

Post by ramana »

Even though title is about US the article is about China

https://jstribune.com/us-policy-biden-asia-china/
China made a strategic mistake. Assertive Chinese behavior catalyzed concerns that had been brewing for some time in many countries, igniting a new competitive dynamic between the US and China. But China, and in particular Xi Jinping, cannot retreat without looking weak. This would be domestically disastrous for the Chinese Communist Party, and it will press on. Equally, no US president wants to be regarded as weak. In both the US and China, domestic politics drive strategic competition.
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Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

Post by Pratyush »

The author is thinking that PRC and CCP represent a normal state and political party. That is where he is wrong.

Given the tight information control the CCP excercises over the PRC population. It will not make any difference to the PRC internally if they decide to go slow on the external front. The CCP can always claim that it is winning. Even if they are not attacking or being aggressive on the external front.

The real argument is that the CCP individually in XJP and collectively as the party is no longer interested in going slow.

A display of strength will always invite challenge. All the more so, if it is a premature display of strength. While alienating all the major neighbouring states.

The PRC has created through it's inept handling of its neighbourhood a ready supply of alies to the US. Even those who were thinking in terms of charting an independent course.

The US just has to assure those nations that it is their for them.

PRC has by it's actions reduced the options available to it. To an extent that it has to conduct an offensive action in the immediate future. In order to dismiss any hope of the Americans coming to the rescue of the target nation.

If the PRC waits. Then quad will solidify and all nations will be relatively better prepared for war 5,10, 15 years in the future. As compared to the level of preparedness in they might have today.

Paradoxically, the interest of the American deep state and the CCP are aligned perfectly. Even if, they are approaching the position from opposite directions. As the Americans are in a much stronger position as compared to the PRC right now. In 15 years time it may be equal to China in military sense.
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Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

Post by Jarita »

Looks like they are going after celebrities in a big way in China. This is not small change stuff. This is the stuff of the cultural revolution and has amplified in the last year. This communist avatar of China is a true monster. Nothing beautiful or human can survive in it's quest for a big machine. Pathetic.

https://mothership.sg/2021/08/vicki-zha ... fOjrkuqh4E
In an attempt to rein in rabid fan bases and crack down on "irrational" fan behaviour, Chinese authorities have also launched the "clear and bright" campaign in May.

In addition, on Aug. 27, China's Cyberspace Administration announced a ban on the ranking of celebs by popularity.

Only lists that rank works, such as songs and films, are allowed, and in addition to not emphasising likes and comments, they must stress other indicators like "work orientation and professional evaluation".

Fan groups must also be regulated, and variety shows are prohibited from charging fans to vote online for their favourite artistes.

The move was made in the wake of a series of controversies involving celebs, with the most notable one recently being the arrest of Canadian-Chinese pop star Kris Wu on suspicion of sexual assault and rape.
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Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

Post by ricky_v »

1)
https://www.usnews.com/news/world/artic ... commentary
In a wide-ranging series of interventions in the economy, it has also promised to tackle inequality, "excessively high" incomes, soaring property prices and profit-seeking education institutions.

Li, identified as a former editor at a state-run publication, said China's markets would "no longer be a paradise allowing capitalists to get rich overnight", adding that culture would not be a haven for celebrities and public opinion would "no longer be a place to worship Western culture".

"Therefore, we need to control all the cultural chaos and build a lively, healthy, masculine, strong and people-oriented culture," he wrote.
2)
https://fortune.com/2021/08/12/china-te ... onopolies/
“The people’s growing need for a better life has put forward new and higher requirements for the construction of a government under the rule of law,” it said. “It must be based on the overall situation, take a long-term view, make up for shortcomings, forge ahead, and promote the construction of a government under the rule of law to a new level in the new era.”

Investors have been seeking to make sense of a regulatory onslaught in recent weeks that has roiled markets, particularly after authorities banned profits in the $100 billion after-school tutoring sector. Over the past year Chinese authorities have launched anti-monopoly probes into some of the nation’s largest tech companies such as Alibaba Group Holding Ltd., while also mandating cybersecurity reviews for foreign listings—a measure that has created problems for Didi Global Inc.
3)
https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/China- ... -and-leave
An extra month off and $80 monthly stipends and 30-day days of additional leave part of a series of sweetners local governments have unveiled as China kicks off the legislative process to allow married couples to have a third child in a drive to curb a precipitous decline in births

Ahead of these moves, the city of Beijing this month announced that it would offer an additional 30 days of parental leave on top of the standard 98 days for mothers giving birth to a third child starting May 31. They could take an extra one to three months off if their workplaces agree. The capital plans to offer further incentives in coordination with legal amendments by the central government.

In late July, the city of Panzhihua in Sichuan Province said it would subsidize parents until their second and third children turn three. The government will pay 500 yuan ($77) per month per child born starting June 12 to a married couple -- equal to more than 10% of the average disposable income per person in the heart of the city.

Meanwhile, Yueyang's city statistics bureau recommended that all children in three-children households receive free compulsory education from preschool to high school to reduce education costs following a review of demographic trends. It also called for subsidies for prenatal testing and childbirth in the Hunan Province city.

The central government is also working to ease the burden on new parents. The proposed amendment to the family planning law includes such measures as better child care services. The government will also consider tax cuts and housing subsidies to families with children, and will abolish fines for couples who violate the cap on children.
4)
https://www.wionews.com/world/to-help-r ... lds-409527
In the latest measure to help relieve parental and student pressure, China has decided to ban written exams for six and seven-year-olds.
5)
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/08/05/chinas- ... bling.html
The Chinese government’s sudden crackdown on after-school education companies is raising costs for many parents and throwing millions of jobs into uncertainty.

In a country where parents prize a good education — and good grades play an outsized role in determining career opportunities — tens of millions of students across China drown in after-school tutoring courses every year.

But this summer will be the last one for educational institutions to legally sell such tutoring programs.

Since the central government officially released the so-called double reduction policy last month, local authorities in several provinces, such as Shanxi and Hunan, have ordered private businesses to suspend online and offline tutoring classes for children from kindergarten to 9th grade.

The policy states that one of its major goals is to ease the burden and anxiety for Chinese parents wanting to give their children a good education.

The guidelines focus on the nine years of compulsory education before high school — from elementary to middle school — and call for academic tutoring businesses to restructure as non-profits.

The policy also prohibits those businesses from offering classes on weekends, holidays, summer and winter breaks — effectively allowing tutoring only on weekdays with a limited number of hours.
6)
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/08/30/china-t ... -week.html
According to a translated notice about the new rules, people under 18 will be allowed to play video games one hour a day between 8 p.m. and 9 p.m. weekends and legal holidays. The agency billed the rules as a way to safeguard children’s physical and mental health.
7)
https://fortune.com/2021/08/27/china-te ... t-illegal/
Or at least they now have clearer legal claim against unpaid overtime. On Friday, China’s top court, the Supreme People’s Court, and the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security jointly declared that China’s “996” working culture—the presumption that employers in China’s tech sector have the right to demand that employees work from 9 a.m. to 9 p.m. six days a week—is illegal.

“Legally, workers have the right to corresponding compensation and rest times or holidays,” the court said in a statement published on Friday. “Obeying the national regime for working hours is the obligation of employers. Overtime can easily lead to labor disputes, impact the worker-employer relationship and social stability.”
8 )
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/09/02/chinas- ... stors.html
China’s health-care sector will probably be the next to fall under scrutiny, analysts warn, as the country’s regulators crack down on everything from tech to education to data security.

Chinese President Xi Jinping this week again reiterated the need to support moderate wealth for all — or the idea of “common prosperity” which he has been promoting for months.

That’s what’s driving the spate of crackdowns on companies, analysts say
9)
https://www.reuters.com/world/china/chi ... 021-09-01/
BEIJING, Sept 1 (Reuters) - The Chinese government has said the cost of renting a home in cities should not rise by more than 5% a year - its first move to cap rental prices and part of efforts to provide more affordable housing.

President Xi Jinping's pledges to narrow wealth disparities with the goal of achieving so called "common prosperity" has put the plight of low income households and individuals at the forefront of policymaking.

Demand for rental housing has concentrated mainly in China's largest cities, which offer better-paying jobs and the most employment opportunities, especially to fresh college graduates.

Rental housing is also popular among millennials unable to buy homes because of high barriers to ownership stemming from rising property prices induced by speculators, and restrictions imposed by authorities to curb such speculative purchases.
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Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

Post by ricky_v »

https://asia.nikkei.com/Editor-s-Picks/ ... ays-is-out
This year was no different. On Oct. 2, a major heavyweight with direct knowledge of President Xi Jinping's long power struggle abruptly fell from grace.

The Central Commission for Discipline Inspection, the Chinese Communist Party's top anti-graft body, announced that former Justice Minister Fu Zhenghua has been placed under investigation on suspicion of "serious disciplinary violations."

Fu, 66, is an incumbent member of the party's elite Central Committee. The crackdown on an influential figure who has overseen the judiciary and police has sent immeasurable shock waves through China's political world.
One example of Fu's work was the investigation into Zhou Yongkang, a former member of the party's top decision-making body, the Politburo Standing Committee.

Until 2012, as the party's ninth-ranking official, Zhou had dominated all of China's judicial and police organizations.

But by Oct. 1, 2013, Zhou must have known that the noose was closing. He had built a vast information network through his former subordinates at police organizations and had various channels that fed him sensitive intelligence.

That day, Zhou was attending a symposium at the China University of Petroleum, his alma mater, located in a Beijing suburb. He might have thought this would be his last opportunity to speak publicly.

In December 2013, two months after the university appearance, the Politburo Standing Committee received a report on clues about his disciplinary violations and decided to place him under full investigation as part of Xi's signature anti-corruption campaign.

It was the first crackdown on a former Politburo Standing Committee member, breaking an unwritten party rule.

Fu, who was said to be an exceptionally sharp investigator, became a central member of a team established in the summer of 2013 to pursue the case.
Fu is a unique figure. When he was serving as Beijing's public security bureau chief, essentially the police chief of the Chinese capital, he was tapped as vice minister at the Ministry of Public Security, which oversees police organizations across the country.

He drove his former boss into a corner, and now Zhou is serving a life term after being convicted of corruption. The anti-corruption campaign is the source of Xi's power, and Fu's successful crackdown on Zhou contributed to bolstering the leader's rule.

Fu's moves were linked to those by the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection, which was then headed by Wang Qishan, a longtime Xi ally who currently serves as China's vice president.

Fu, who knows the subtleties of the fierce power struggle and related secrets, was recognized for his contributions and subsequently rose through the ranks.

In a military parade in Beijing in September 2015, Fu served as a top official in charge of security.

Fu was also behind the crackdown against hundreds of human rights lawyers and activists in July 2015, which has come to be known as the "709" incident -- named for the July 9 date it started. In the eyes of those arrested, Fu is a merciless, unsparing official.
Fu launched an investigation into the nightclub as soon as he became Beijing's public security bureau chief in 2010. His predecessors had hesitated to do so.

Fu's crackdown on Tianshang Renjian came when Hu Jintao was China's president and Wen Jiabao premier.
Fu was also deeply involved in dealing with a scandal involving Ling Jihua, who served as head of the party's general office in the era of former President Hu. Ling is now serving a life sentence.

In the early hours of March 18, 2012, Ling's son was killed instantly when a Ferrari he was driving at high speed crashed in Beijing. Two women who were in the Ferrari were reportedly either fully or half-naked.

Ling, eager to join the Politburo Standing Committee at the party's quinquennial national congress later that year, tried to pull strings to cover up his son's scandalous accident.

As Beijing's public security bureau chief, Fu had information about an investigation into the accident. The information eventually affected even the political situation in the run-up to the national congress, where Xi was inaugurated.

Former Chinese President Jiang Zemin used the information about Ling's son to condemn the Hu faction, to which Ling belonged, and succeeded in leading the reshuffle of the Politburo Standing Committee in the autumn of 2012, filling the top leadership posts with his cronies.
Xi harbors a long and deep distrust of police organizations. Including Fu, three vice public security ministers have now been detained since Xi's second term as president, which began in 2018.

The other two are Meng Hongwei, who was placed under investigation in 2018, and Sun Lijun, who came under scrutiny in 2020. Meng had become the first Chinese president of the International Criminal Police Organization, or ICPO.

The public security bureau chiefs of Chongqing and Shanghai have also been subjected to crackdowns. It is safe to say that the top police echelons that have been in charge of public security have completely crumbled.
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Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

Post by SSridhar »

The current thrust of the thread is 'Understanding the New China Before the 20th Congress'.

The above four posts are pointers to the 20th Congress indeed.

The one person who really helped XJP consolidate his position and by extension therefore knows just everything, is Wang Qishan. XJP, who models himself after Mao, is so insecure just like him that I would suspect Wang's fate itself is in balance before October 2022.
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Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

Post by ricky_v »

https://thediplomat.com/2020/12/china-l ... s-in-2022/
In 2022, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) will hold its 20th National Party Congress, shaking up the top echelon of Chinese politics. There are two extreme scenarios for the institutional transition of supreme leadership in 2022: either Xi Jinping stays for a third term, unprecedented in recent history, or he is dismissed by internal CCP factions and his political power neutered before October 2022.
However, the tides of political fortune can swing very quickly at the top of elite Chinese politics. I do not think that Xi Jinping will be the general secretary of the CCP in October 2022. Consider that Xi was very nearly removed from power in March 2020, and that his own rise to power was on the back of a failed coup.
Image
The first two are New Left conservative scenarios, both in the “Xi continues” narrative. The first introduces more progressive change, signalling that Xi would have more open choice in promotions. The second is a very conservative scenario where most personnel stay and only change position; this is the scenario where only Xi staying on is the greatest variable. In none of the scenarios is Wang Huning elevated, as a third Xi term would likely weaken state positions and strengthen party positions, meaning Wang staying as central secretariat secretary would likely become a stronger position that State Council premier due to this institutional shift
“Change without hope,” though, is a left radical scenario that considers a wholesale change of personnel but does not alter policy course. This scenario sees the exit of Xi Jinping but the continuation of the policy course set by the 2012-2022 administration. It promotes Wang Huning to top position, places Chen Min’er as deputy, and would presume that Xi Jinping controls policy and political direction from a third office, essentially a Medvedev scenario.
The fourth is a left radical scenario that abandons most institutional conventions and essentially sets up a war cabinet. Wang Yi, currently a state councilor and so normally not eligible, comes in despite also passing the age limitation. Liu He stays with the same reasoning, and CCP and ideology stalwarts stack the state positions. This “Wilhelmine sun” scenario is a drastic descent into Schmittian worlds of expansionism.

The fifth is a radical reset to a right conservative scenario. For either of these to take shape there would have to be serious elite political change and a drastic change in policy direction back toward the politicians and politics of reform and opening. The difficulty in constructing scenarios for a swing back to the right demonstrates how effectively eviscerated the right has been under Xi. “Right” in China is also much farther left than in any contemporary Western democracy; as such, any future rightists will be ones so left to have politically survived this long. In this scenario Zhao Kezhi is “promoted” in order to nullify his influence and some conciliatory consolidations of market liberal jurisdictions in Shanghai and Guangdong re-empowered.
Wang_Huning
Widely regarded as Xi Jinping's "Grey Cardinal" or the Mikhail Suslov of China, Wang is believed to be the chief ideologue of the Communist Party and principal architect behind the official political ideologies of three paramount leaders: "Three Represents" by Jiang Zemin, the Scientific Development Concept by Hu Jintao, and the Chinese Dream and Xi Jinping Thought of Xi Jinping.[1] He has held significant influence over policy and decision making over all three paramount leaders and is currently regarded, along with Wang Qishan, as one of the two primary advisors and decision makers for Xi Jinping.[2]
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Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

Post by ramana »

XJP facing trouble before plenary

https://t.co/sOyLZ8wdlJ
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Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

Post by SSridhar »

The 20th Congress will decide the fate of China and the rest of the free world. Never since Hitler has so much been riding on a single individual.

The period between now and October 2022 is as critical as after the Congress. XJP, if he senses trouble, can do crazy things against us. I do not think he would attack Taiwan for fear of a larger conflict which he may not be sure of successfully taking to achieving his objectives. OTOH, he may feel he has a better chance against us. We have to be very vigilant as the failure of the 13th Commander level meet throws the pointer to.
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Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

Post by Cyrano »

Given all the purges, not much opposition may be left to really challenge his self anointed life time position. But xitler may be cornered and if he thinks his legacy needs salvaging, he'll attack India.
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Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

Post by ramana »

SSridhar wrote:The 20th Congress will decide the fate of China and the rest of the free world. Never since Hitler has so much been riding on a single individual.

The period between now and October 2022 is as critical as after the Congress. XJP, if he senses trouble, can do crazy things against us. I do not think he would attack Taiwan for fear of a larger conflict which he may not be sure of successfully taking to achieving his objectives. OTOH, he may feel he has a better chance against us. We have to be very vigilant as the failure of the 13th Commander level meet throws the pointer to.
Plausible but not probable.
India has done a lot to reduce PRC propensity to initiate an attack.
Only in 1962 the circumstances induced PRC to attack.
1967 was last real shooting incident at Nathu La.
At that time PRC had just tested nukes and was flexing muscles. After the bloody nose from Lt Gen Sagat Singh till Galwan there was no use of force.
In meantime there was Sumdrong Chu with over 100k troops on each side.
This time India got them to vacate Pangong Tso patrol points.

Yes Commanders level talks ended in stalemate.
Let's see how things turn out.
With China not just PRC its all political with military as one facet.
Navratri is just over may Durga make us prevail.
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Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

Post by ramana »

Cyrano same reply.
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Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

Post by Pratyush »



Watching this video gives the impression that Jiang Ji Min and Xi are about to come to blows over the next Congress session due next year.

The anti curuptition campaign is cutting quite close to Jiang faction.
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Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

Post by ramana »

Well caught!!!
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Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

Post by ramana »

Today I
interacted with GOC 14 Corps, Lt Gen Menon at Leh. He said Chinese have got the message that India is not only prepared for Ladakh’s defensive but also has offensive capability. Gen Menon added that out of 6 friction points, 5 have been resolved. @firefurycorps @ABPNews
https://twitter.com/danvir_chauhan/stat ... rYFYA&s=19
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Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

Post by AshishA »

Pratyush wrote:

Watching this video gives the impression that Jiang Ji Min and Xi are about to come to blows over the next Congress session due next year.

The anti curuptition campaign is cutting quite close to Jiang faction.
In that video, there was a report that a assassination attempt was made on Xi by police officers. And also that he is afraid to leave China and travel elsewhere because coup behind his back. The battle between the toad and the Winnie the Pooh is reaching its climax. It will set the course of China in the coming decades tbf.
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Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

Post by ramana »

I submit all those Chinese tech giants losing support from Xi Jinping are due to him striking Jiang Zemin's cronies and slush funds. Slush funds are a huge problem in East Asia.
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Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

Post by Vayutuvan »

AshishA wrote:The battle between the toad and the Winnie the Pooh is reaching its climax. It will set the course of China in the coming decades tbf.
Jiang "toad" Zemin is 95 years old. The battle better reach the climax soon or Xi "Eleven Jin Pegs" will the sole Paramount Leader to set the course of China.
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