vimal wrote:AAP and MIM should do well in this election.
What is AAP? Is that even a thing anymore?
vimal wrote:AAP and MIM should do well in this election.
Dr Praveen Patil
@5Forty3
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Why did western UP see a 6%+ drop in Muslim voter turnout despite the Mahagatbandhan?... How did Bengal shape-up after "modernized booth-capturing"?... these and many other fascinating stories from the ground on day one only at 5Forty3 Datalabs!..
Lot of folks in BRF now drawing random "bad news" conclusions from sketchy information such as "low voter turnout".hanumadu wrote:Dr Praveen Patil
@5Forty3
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Why did western UP see a 6%+ drop in Muslim voter turnout despite the Mahagatbandhan?... How did Bengal shape-up after "modernized booth-capturing"?... these and many other fascinating stories from the ground on day one only at 5Forty3 Datalabs!..
Karthik S wrote:Anyone from MH could let us know if this is a bad sign for BJP?Bharti Jain Verified account @bhartijainTOI
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56% turnout in 7 Lok Sabha constituencies in Maharashtra. 63% in 2014
Common agreement seems to be Western UP going to BJPChowkidar Shahul Hameed
@ShahulAhm
Now if you map it with the booths then the answer is pretty clear as to who didnt show up.
This is going 7-1 for the BJP.
MGB may have done just enough in Kariana.
9:25 PM - 11 Apr 2019
Yes. The game is not over till the fat lady sings. No letting up.Suraj wrote:Now's the time to relentlessly push the momentum story on SM . Fence sitters and swing voters are swayed by the direction of the wind, and the generating that wind is the job of SM work. There'll be counter-BS, all of which needs to be ignored with focus on the ball.
on that note, download this nice ad and spread on twitter.Suraj wrote:Now's the time to relentlessly push the momentum story on SM . Fence sitters and swing voters are swayed by the direction of the wind, and the generating that wind is the job of SM work. There'll be counter-BS, all of which needs to be ignored with focus on the ball.
In MH,the traditional Cong-NCP votebanks always turn out historically. So low turnout is usually a bad sign. Having said that it is possible that they may be feeling disillusioned and stayed home. The BJP state govt. is doing well, so voters from both sides may have been less enthusiastic.Karthik S wrote:
Anyone from MH could let us know if this is a bad sign for BJP?
https://twitter.com/chitraSD/status/1116384944933175296Chitra Subramaniam
Verified account @chitraSD
9m9 minutes ago
Extraordinary this. #MKstalin says he is not against #Hindus. Probably meant the newspaper. #VoteForIndia
Saw only Secunderabad is a safe bet for BJP in TS. BTW, BJP is not that strong in both Telugu states. So anything more than 1 in TS is good.Supratik wrote:It seems the BJP has not done well in TS and AP according to PP. My guess was that the INC will disintegrate in TS and BJP will take up the space left. Will have to look at vote shares. AP was not in consideration anyway after CBN went after Modi. He is not going to win by cutting his own nose. TDP + BJP could still have given a good fight to Jagan.
Alleged audio of TMC leader Khokon leaked, which says:
- Identify people who don't vote for TMC
-Gives advice on rigging votes
-Warns Voters to not vote any other party
-Police & BDO are under TMC control
-Make "setting" with Officials
This is how Mamata is saving Democracy
I've been trying to stay quiet, mind my own business and not get in to arguments with friends and family over #election issues. I sometimes read nasty political stuff that people in my circles post and ignore it.
But then I realise the type of damage these wannabe intellectuals can cause by their ignorance, apathy & Brown Sahib/Mem syndrome. I certainly don't want to live through another Mumbai attack or UPA scam or have humiliation to have someone from Mahathugbandhan as my PM.
It's obvious that Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is not perfect and the work, statements etc could have been better. They deserve the flak for it as well as praise for things they've done right. I support them most (let's say 80%) of time and there's no remotely good alternative.
So my vote this time is for #BJP. People can vote for whoever they like & declare it wherever they want. But if someone posts wannabe intellectual type fake rhetoric just for mutual back-scratching, Likes etc, it's likely that I may respond in a caustic manner
It's just that I don't want fence sitters to be influenced by their borderline retarded propaganda like the one Sibbal presented as proof of corruption during demonetisation. If my replies are "offensive", it's because your statement deserves it; unless ofcourse there's proof. If there's proof, post it. If it's just verbal diarrhea copied from some random social media pages or Kejriwal, Gandhi type politicians, then it deserves to be countered by truth. I simply don't have time or patience for long platitude filled discussions and don't really care about "feelings and opinions" when source is so flawed.
So in nutshell, if my replies to your political posts offend you, it's nothing personal. I just think that having a good government is more important & beneficial than having naive or stupid frands.
Thanks for reading
FOR Too Long:Didn't Read - #ModiFirSe
@संजीव बालियान-मुज़फ़्फ़रनगर अगेन,बीजेपी की मुस्लिम कार्यकर्ता द्वारा फ़र्ज़ी वोटिंग का रंगे हाथ पकड़ना,पहचान पत्र किसी और का वोट कोई और डाल रहा है https://t.co/OEStN2vdzp
It's indeed been a shock to me how much hatred sikhs are having for BJP and Modi, despite Modi raising '84 riots. Making life easy for Truckers Tansporters.jamwal wrote:
Sikhs seem to be virulently anti-Modi and have a surprising amount of hate for Hindus. Too much khalistani propaganda being consumed on social media.
That's why Kujli,, PAPPU used people like Siddu to spread RSS/Hindu hatejamwal wrote:Core issue is that they are used to Hindus being overly deferential and buying in to stories of solitary sikh valour and sacrifice for "defence of Hindus". Strong Hindu leaders like Modi help in deflating this bubble. Then there is khalistani type propaganda on social media which demonises Hindus and makes up stories of Sikh muslim love and brotherhood.
In Jammu, Sikhs hate Dogras because they believe that Dogra kings helped the destruction of sikh empire. There is no acknowledgement of massive infighting, assassinations, series of military defeats and more which caused sikh empire to implode within a generation. So Hindu Dogras are supposed to be the villains here. But they forget how Dogras gave same shelter and aid to the Hindu and Sikh refugees from PoK and Pakistan.
The koolaid of khalistani propaganda and the sikh/punjabi supremacist shit you see in punjabi media/songs is a a potent brew.
Numbers got revised up wards as it happens in hours after the polling ends.nachiket wrote:In MH,the traditional Cong-NCP votebanks always turn out historically. So low turnout is usually a bad sign. Having said that it is possible that they may be feeling disillusioned and stayed home. The BJP state govt. is doing well, so voters from both sides may have been less enthusiastic.Karthik S wrote:
Anyone from MH could let us know if this is a bad sign for BJP?
Good to know. Someone needs to tell Chiron/Atri ji to come back and post here at least during the elections. Miss his insights from MH.Lilo wrote: Numbers got revised up wards as it happens in hours after the polling ends.
Turn out percentage is Ok in MH.
https://twitter.com/Kal_Chiron/status/1 ... 6590838784
Plus you will never see khalistanis acknowledging Dogra valour and capability in capturing Kashmir, Ladakh and even Tibet. I mean is there a tougher terrain anywhere on earth and all this in 19th century.jamwal wrote:Core issue is that they are used to Hindus being overly deferential and buying in to stories of solitary sikh valour and sacrifice for "defence of Hindus". Strong Hindu leaders like Modi help in deflating this bubble. Then there is khalistani type propaganda on social media which demonises Hindus and makes up stories of Sikh muslim love and brotherhood.
In Jammu, Sikhs hate Dogras because they believe that Dogra kings helped the destruction of sikh empire. There is no acknowledgement of massive infighting, assassinations, series of military defeats and more which caused sikh empire to implode within a generation. So Hindu Dogras are supposed to be the villains here. But they forget how Dogras gave same shelter and aid to the Hindu and Sikh refugees from PoK and Pakistan.
The koolaid of khalistani propaganda and the sikh/punjabi supremacist shit you see in punjabi media/songs is a a potent brew.
Big big big breaking
Mosque and Church join hands against PM @narendramodi , Appeal to Muslims and Christians to vote against him.
They are not even 17% and you Hindus, Buddhists, Jains and Sikhs are over 82%.
Will you allow Mosque and Church to win?
No, you can not.
Secunderabad is BJP's own MP seat of Bandaru Dattatreya. Kishan Reddy is losing it. He also lost his own long-held MLA seat in Amberpet recently. Kishan Reddy lacks qualities of leader. Days of BJP leaders such as Baddam Balreddy, Dattatreya, who fought against MIM in twin cities and used to win in old days, are over. If BJP can't hold city, it is unlikely they make large impact in the rest of Telangana. I thought TRS would let BJP win 1-2 seats as quid-pro-quo.Supratik wrote:PP says BJP came third in Sec.
just subscribed to 5forty3, just like back in 2014. hope the outcome's even better this time !Manish_Sharma wrote:https://twitter.com/5Forty3/status/1116 ... 96224?s=19
Dr. Pravin Patil:
We know the price is high, but you must also know how difficult it is to map nearly a million polling booths, put ground teams in nearly 400 districts and analyze elections like no-one else has ever done in India. Do subscribe here for the 2019 journey! https://t.co/aHNAJVpJM4
Third is surprising.. every survey I saw was a TRS vs BJP fight.. the city has > 2L Yadav voters and both TRS & Congress put up Yadav candidates.. BJP was hoping a split in their votes + educated & NI voters to back them. Didnt happen, looks like.Supratik wrote:PP says BJP came third in Sec.
He put that to poll on twitter a couple of weeks ago asking people to guess what are two things people almost always mention during polls, but which his team were seldom getting as a response during prepoll conversations, and several people guessed right - 'mehengai' and 'bhrashtachar'. It's interesting that not only are these not major poll issues in the public mindset, but the public themselves realize that two perennial hot button issues aren't quite at the top of their radar. It reflects an evolution of the social contract between state and the people to a higher level.Rahul M wrote:just subscribed to 5forty3, just like back in 2014. hope the outcome's even better this time !Manish_Sharma wrote:https://twitter.com/5Forty3/status/1116 ... 96224?s=19
Dr. Pravin Patil:
We know the price is high, but you must also know how difficult it is to map nearly a million polling booths, put ground teams in nearly 400 districts and analyze elections like no-one else has ever done in India. Do subscribe here for the 2019 journey! https://t.co/aHNAJVpJM4
One very important point PP makes in this article : https://5forty3.in/gaze_articles.php?articalid=217
the usual Big Two issues of Indian elections, inflation and corruption are conspicuous by their absence in 2019. That, more than anything else is indicative the transformation that modi has brought to India.
Let's see how things unfold - expected DK Aruna in Mahboobnagar & Aravind in Nizambad, to give a tough fight.ShyamSP wrote:Secunderabad is BJP's own MP seat of Bandaru Dattatreya. Kishan Reddy is losing it. He also lost his own long-held MLA seat in Amberpet recently. Kishan Reddy lacks qualities of leader. Days of BJP leaders such as Baddam Balreddy, Dattatreya, who fought against MIM in twin cities and used to win in old days, are over. If BJP can't hold city, it is unlikely they make large impact in the rest of Telangana. I thought TRS would let BJP win 1-2 seats as quid-pro-quo.Supratik wrote:PP says BJP came third in Sec.
Looks like TRS may win 14, INC 2, and MIM 1 in Telangana.
On Maharastra, same voting % means robotic voting so same results can be expected. In my numbers, BJP retains Maharastra and Gujarat same way so only dent is in Rajasthan, MP, Chattisgarh, and UP. UP 40-50 is still good show to form with new NDA-friendly supporters/parties.vijayk wrote:Mandar Manmohan Sawant
@MandarSawant184
2h2 hours ago
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Replying to @bhs7rocks @Gutrgoo
Maharashtra with 2019 revised figures:
Nagpur
2014: 57%
2019: 58%
Wardha
2014: 65%
2019: 65%
...