2019 General Elections News and Discussion

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Ardeshir
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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby Ardeshir » 19 May 2019 19:22

KL Dubey wrote:As usual all these polls are giving more to UPA than they will actually get.

I always wonder, to what end? Speaking out of their Musharrafs don't lead to loss of H&D, hainjee? :lol:

pankajs
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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby pankajs » 19 May 2019 19:22

Indian Today (For BJP)

Chattishgarh >> 7-8 out of 11 (CON 3-4)
Last edited by pankajs on 19 May 2019 19:23, edited 1 time in total.

KL Dubey
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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby KL Dubey » 19 May 2019 19:23

Folks, I would suggest to NOT compare the exit poll "results" of 2019 with the actual results of 2014, especially for individual states. That is a fake comparison. If you want, compare the exit polls of 2014 and 2019.

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby hanumadu » 19 May 2019 19:25

Chintamani


@IamIconoclast
50m50 minutes ago
More
#ChintamaniSpeaks #Elections2019 @Election_in Here is the most awaited #ExitPoll2019 by #Chintamani5Dots
BJP 285, NDA 347 (+/-16)
Cong 53, UPA 89 (+/- 2/3)
Others 107

UlanBatori
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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby UlanBatori » 19 May 2019 19:26

syam wrote:Political trends don't fluctuate like some random waves. If there is a trend, it will continue for some time.

K.L. Dubey wrote:Error margin of 2%

IMO this is the crux. We may predict that India will win, but it comes down to whether Dhoni manages a 6 off the last ball. OK, last 3 balls in this case.
I see that Amit Shah has said that they have been going all-out on the seats where BeeJayPee came close but did not win last time. Unfortunately the Ra-Gaddha-Bandhan (RGB) also are doing that.
There is no 80-20 victory margin in most constituencies. With the RGB trying not to stab other in the musharraf, the margins may be low end of single-digit at best.
So it is still last-over nail-biting onlee in every single constituency. No "sampled poll" can do any good here. It is not up to NaMo/Amit Shah to hit the last-over 6: it is up to every single voter.
Same happened in US Election. A 0.5% here and there is the difference between a "Red Landslide" and a "Blue Landslide".

OF COURSE, UBCN Predictor-Corrector has never been wrong. 300+ BJP, 350+ NDA. I think RGB voters will be very confused. Their netas may be anti-Modi but is the individual voter pro-RaGa when she may be a supporter of a local state party? She may see the RGB as treachery, sell-out to the hated congi.

Corrector result will be delayed to May 24. :mrgreen:
Last edited by UlanBatori on 19 May 2019 19:29, edited 1 time in total.

hanumadu
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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby hanumadu » 19 May 2019 19:27

pankajs wrote:Indian Today (For BJP)

KAr >> 21-22 out of <...>
Raj >> 23-25 out of 25 = Clean sweep


28 total seats in KA

Supratik
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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby Supratik » 19 May 2019 19:27

Naidu it seems made a big mistake. If you add BJP vote % he would have swept AP. BJP is taking up the space in TG left by Cong.

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby pankajs » 19 May 2019 19:27

Indian Today (For BJP)

Maha >> 38-42 (CON 6-10)

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby pankajs » 19 May 2019 19:28

Supratik wrote:Naidu it seems made a big mistake. If you add BJP vote % he would have swept AP. BJP is taking up the space in TG left by Cong.

Yup. He thought he could corner Modi. He ended up talking the axe to his own roots.
Last edited by pankajs on 19 May 2019 19:30, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby RKumar » 19 May 2019 19:29

Dont worry sirs ... NDA will lose only!!

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby hanumadu » 19 May 2019 19:30

Today's Chanakya

Verified account

@TodaysChanakya
54s54 seconds ago
More
#TCPoll
Andhra Pradesh LS Seat Projection
TDP 17 ± 3 Seats
YSR Congress 8 ± 3 Seats
Others NIL
#News24TodaysChanakya

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby pankajs » 19 May 2019 19:31

Indian Today (For BJP)

Delhi >> 6-7 out of 7 => Clean Sweep

Switch between vote share of CON (30+) and AAP (17+)
Last edited by pankajs on 19 May 2019 19:33, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby putnanja » 19 May 2019 19:32

Where is Dilbu? I hope he will be on the forum on 23rd with his anti-jinx :D

KL Dubey
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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby KL Dubey » 19 May 2019 19:33

Yesterday's Chanakya is the only one that is posting the error bars for their seat predictions. I commend that. Let us see what final tally they post.

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby Ardeshir » 19 May 2019 19:35

287 for NDA by CVoter.
Modijee will lose onlee!!! :(( :(( :((

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby pankajs » 19 May 2019 19:35

Indian Today (For BJP)

Punjab >> BJP (3-5 out of 13) CON (8-9 out of 13) AAP (0-1)

hanumadu
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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby hanumadu » 19 May 2019 19:36

Today's Chanakya

Verified account

@TodaysChanakya
2m2 minutes ago
More
#TCPoll
Telangana LS Seat Projection
BJP 1 ± 1 Seats
TRS 14 ± 2 Seats
Congress 1 ± 1 Seats
Others 1 ± 1 Seats
#News24TodaysChanakya

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby Supratik » 19 May 2019 19:37

chintamani

BJP 285+/- 16 NDA 347 +/- 17

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby pankajs » 19 May 2019 19:37

pankajs wrote:Indian Today (For BJP)

Delhi >> 6-7 out of 7 => Clean Sweep

Switch between vote share of CON (30+) and AAP (17+)

One reason why CON shied away from going for an alliance with AAP BUT AAP wanted the alliance. Now CON has a good chance in DElhi assembly while AAP will be reduced if we go by these numbers.

Ardeshir
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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby Ardeshir » 19 May 2019 19:38

"Shatrughn Sinha bilkul haar rahe hain" as per Bhandarijee. AoA!

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby hanumadu » 19 May 2019 19:38

What is AP's result according to various polls?

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby pankajs » 19 May 2019 19:39

Indian Today (For BJP)

Haryana > 8-10 (CON 0-2) ou of 10 => Clean sweep

Only Rohtak in contest.

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby hanumadu » 19 May 2019 19:40

pankajs wrote:
pankajs wrote:Indian Today (For BJP)

Delhi >> 6-7 out of 7 => Clean Sweep

Switch between vote share of CON (30+) and AAP (17+)

One reason why CON shied away from going for an alliance with AAP BUT AAP wanted the alliance. Now CON has a good chance in DElhi assembly while AAP will be reduced if we go by these numbers.


How does it matter if the goal of congress is to keep out BJP? That is why I am surprised congress did not tie up with Kejriwal.

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby pankajs » 19 May 2019 19:40

hanumadu wrote:What is AP's result according to various polls?

Someone will have to do that. I am on Indian Today's stream.

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby Singha » 19 May 2019 19:41

only newsx is giving 242 to NDA

rest all giving 290+ to NDA

Supratik
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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby Supratik » 19 May 2019 19:42

AP is mixed. some giving it to jagan others Naidu. Reason is vote % is close. BJP is getting 10% vote in AP. Naidu would have swept in alliance.
Last edited by Supratik on 19 May 2019 19:46, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby Lilo » 19 May 2019 19:42

TwitterIndia is livestreaming rrNDTV :rotfl:

https://twitter.com/MomentsIndia/status ... 7839042565

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby pankajs » 19 May 2019 19:42

hanumadu wrote:
pankajs wrote:One reason why CON shied away from going for an alliance with AAP BUT AAP wanted the alliance. Now CON has a good chance in DElhi assembly while AAP will be reduced if we go by these numbers.


How does it matter if the goal of congress is to keep out BJP? That is why I am surprised congress did not tie up with Kejriwal.

Delhi Assembly election is the target. GE 2019 was already lost to CON and they knew it! 7 seats in Delhi wouldn't make a difference in the final count.

I read it somewhere and the logic works for me.

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby hanumadu » 19 May 2019 19:42

India TV

Verified account

@indiatvnews
12m12 minutes ago
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India TV-CNX Exit Poll 2019 Live Updates: YSRCP predicted to win 18 seats in Andhra, UDF 14 in Kerala #IndiaTVExitPoll #LokSabhaElections2019


Contrasting predictions for AP from Today's Chanakya and India TV-CNX.

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby Zynda » 19 May 2019 19:43

NDA getting around 290 in most polls means that there is a good possibility of BJP not attaining majority by itself...

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby A_Gupta » 19 May 2019 19:45

Is this “Leila” a Netflix production?

Netflix is allegedly data-driven, if is their production it is because their data indicates that they have an audience for this. Scary!

If it is licensed, then depends on what else the deal includes.

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby Ardeshir » 19 May 2019 19:47

A_Gupta wrote:Is this “Leila” a Netflix production?

Netflix is allegedly data-driven, if is their production it is because their data indicates that they have an audience for this. Scary!

If it is licensed, then depends on what else the deal includes.

Yes it's a Netflix India production.

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby pankajs » 19 May 2019 19:47

pankajs wrote:
hanumadu wrote:
How does it matter if the goal of congress is to keep out BJP? That is why I am surprised congress did not tie up with Kejriwal.

Delhi Assembly election is the target. GE 2019 was already lost to CON and they knew it! 7 seats in Delhi wouldn't make a difference in the final count.

I read it somewhere and the logic works for me.

Added Later: IF AAP-CON had a 4/3 or 5/2 alliance in Delhi and won in that ratio i.e AAP bagging more Delhi seats in GE 2019 than CON, it would be a display of their greater pull.

As it stands now, AAP stands demolished in terms of vote share. CON can expect more anti-Modi vote to shift to it in the Assembly elections that will happen within the next year.

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby pankajs » 19 May 2019 19:49

Indian Today (For BJP)

Himachal >> 4 out of 4

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby banrjeer » 19 May 2019 19:50

wb 11 seats for BJP as per a recent poll

Spoke to some one they said jehadidi has put street lamps everywhere with blue and white colours. Some kind of branding of her sari colors.

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby Supratik » 19 May 2019 19:50

Australia just got all its opinion polls and exit polls wrong. So wait for May 23.

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby pankajs » 19 May 2019 19:51

Indian Today (For BJP)

Uttrakhand >> 5 out of 5

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby hanumadu » 19 May 2019 19:52

Basically BJP Losing 2 here 5 there in its strong states and losing a big chunk in UP making up some what in Bengal, Orissa and North East.

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby pankajs » 19 May 2019 19:54

Indian Today (For BJP)

J&K >> 2-3 out of 6 (NC 2-3, CON 0-1)

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby Krita » 19 May 2019 20:03

A_Gupta wrote:Is this “Leila” a Netflix production?

Netflix is allegedly data-driven, if is their production it is because their data indicates that they have an audience for this. Scary!

If it is licensed, then depends on what else the deal includes.


If scores of amateurish D rated films are data driven, then god save big data.
There is absolutely nothing worth watching in Netflix. At least Prime video can be justified that it comes free with Airtel.
Paying 600/month for watching crap makes no sense to me.


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