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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 14:31
by Suraj
In the past half hour, BJP has picked up leads from UP and WB, as seen from a reduction in SP, BSP and AITC lead figures during that interval. Hope they hold and finish above 300.

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 14:32
by hanumadu
I hope congress will not get LOP this time too.
Also I wish Sonia Gandhi lost.

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 14:32
by kit
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/05/22/worl ... sults.html

now the NY times speaketh ..all hear

Prime Minister Narendra Modi, one of the most powerful and divisive leaders India has produced in decades, appeared easily headed for another five-year term, according to election returns so far.

The Election Commission reported that Mr. Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party, or B.J.P., was ahead in at least 294 parliamentary districts, far beyond the 272 seats it would need for a majority in the 543-seat Parliament. At this pace, the party would actually expand on its current majority — a development no one was predicting in recent months.

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 14:34
by Sumeet
On republic:

Tanveer Spokesperson of JDS says there is a problem in coalition in Karnataka. Tanveer also said they will reevaluate alliance with INC.

Fall of Congress govt in Karnataka started.

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 14:34
by Karthik S
Suraj's analysis of PP was spot on. Regarding false positives and false negatives.

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 14:35
by abhijitm
Gap is 10k. Cmon focus, few more to go.

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 14:36
by hanumadu
Singha wrote:so PP , sachin reddy and chintamani were very much on the dot.
Pradip Gupta of Axis My India (India Today) is probably more accurate than any body else.
Sachin Reddy did not do any exit poll. But he was close enough for Karnataka seats.

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 14:38
by shravan
NDTV is doing good job. Better than Republic. Nice Analysis.

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 14:38
by Sanju
Smriti ji leading by over 11000 votes... Republic TV

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 14:38
by Suraj
Karthik S wrote:Suraj's analysis of PP was spot on. Regarding false positives and false negatives.
Credit goes to PeePee, not me :) He has been a very reliable estimator of wave elections. Both PP and Today's Chanakya had estimates in line with present trends - twice in a row .

INC appears destined to finish below the 55 seat mark they need for LOP.

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 14:38
by BijuShet
abhijitm wrote:
kit wrote:
AAP "might" get a grand total of one seat :mrgreen:
Where??
Punjab - Sangrur
BHAGWANT MANN - Aam Aadmi Party
KEWAL SINGH DHILLON - Indian National Congress
lead 87894 Result in Progress

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 14:39
by Dilbu
Smriti Irani will lose onlee :(( :(( :((

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 14:40
by nits
BijuShet wrote:
abhijitm wrote: Where??
Punjab - Sangrur
BHAGWANT MANN - Aam Aadmi Party
KEWAL SINGH DHILLON - Indian National Congress
lead 79500 Result in Progress
so less seats but more slaps :P

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 14:40
by Karthik S
Valid point I saw on twitter, had CG brought in ordinance for sabarimala, we would have added few more in the kitty from KL and TN.

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 14:41
by Hari Nair
Ab ki baar - Teen Sau Paar!!
Good going. Hope the leads hold up!

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 14:41
by sudhan
Congi langots have been comprehensively ripped to bits.. Pappu Gandhi must be busy packing bags to Thailand

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 14:45
by Karthik S
2024 is dare I say is sealed. All the schemes and infra projects govt undertook last 5 years, the benefits will be seen in coming years. Unlike last time when congis got to enjoy the outcome of Vajpayee's govt schemes.

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 14:45
by kit
sudhan wrote:Congi langots have been comprehensively ripped to bits.. Pappu Gandhi must be busy packing bags to Thailand
why Thailand? .. he has a home in London

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 14:47
by YumKay
Smriti Irani will lose onlee :(( :(( :((
BJP will lose onlee :(( :(( :((

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 14:47
by hanumadu
I believe there was a massive cross voting both in Telangana and AP to keep congress and Naidu out. I can't say if TRS voted for BJP, but BJP seems to have voted for TRS and YSRCP where it did not have a chance.

BSP is getting more seats than SP. Yadavs seem to have transferred their vote to BSP as it was a fight for survivial for SP but BSP did not trust them enough to transfer their votes because of past experience.

Very interested in muslim votes in UP and else where.

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 14:47
by sum
sudhan wrote:Congi langots have been comprehensively ripped to bits.. Pappu Gandhi must be busy packing bags to Thailand
TSP remaining langot would have come out by itself by now seeing the results

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 14:48
by sajo
O.S.N. Candidate Party EVM Votes Postal Votes Total Votes % of Votes
1 Rahul Gandhi INC 109802 0 109802 44.45
2 Smriti Irani BJP 121021 0 121021 48.99

Smritiji Will Lose Onleee :(( :(( :((

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 14:48
by YumKay
kit wrote:
sudhan wrote:Congi langots have been comprehensively ripped to bits.. Pappu Gandhi must be busy packing bags to Thailand
why Thailand? .. he has a home in London
Entertainment

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 14:48
by Shaktimaan
I hope that the UPA does a little bit better than 2014, so that Shri Rahul Gandhi (star campaigner for the NDA) stays as Congress President for longer. We need him in that seat for many more years to come...

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 14:49
by sooraj
1 Rahul Gandhi INC 115772 0 115772 44.28
2 Smriti Irani BJP 128479 0 128479 49.14

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 14:50
by Dilbu
Good. This lead should be maintained so that even after a last minute assault there is enough left in the tank to cross the line.
Smriti Irani will lose onlee :(( :(( :((

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 14:51
by Suraj
I'm going to guess Sonia will attempt to move out of Rae Bareili to let Priyanka contest by-elections there. In that case, BJP needs to make a full court press to grab that seat too, and marginalize the Ghandi family to one seat from Wayanad.

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 14:51
by Sumeet
Where are Mani Shankar Aiyer and Sam Pitroda ?

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 14:52
by abhijitm
Cmon Smriti. Cobra is twisting and turning in my langoti.

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 14:53
by Sumeet
Now lets go for more Rafale F4

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 14:55
by Cain Marko
Sumeet wrote:Now lets go for more Rafale F4
Yaass

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 14:56
by V_Raman
I actually like NDTV analysis. Calm, composed, and quite entertaining with facts from past

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 14:56
by Suraj
The entire north and west of WB have been kommunalized. Only central/east/south remains sickular.

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 14:57
by Karthik S
Cain Marko wrote:
Sumeet wrote:Now lets go for more Rafale F4
Yaass
That will be the best way to troll pretty much everyone.

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 14:57
by pankajs
Karthik S wrote:2024 is dare I say is sealed. All the schemes and infra projects govt undertook last 5 years, the benefits will be seen in coming years. Unlike last time when congis got to enjoy the outcome of Vajpayee's govt schemes.

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 14:58
by Supratik
The bhadralok areas have remained TMC.

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 14:59
by BijuShet
Random thought : If Congress knew it was going to win less than 60 seats but still contested over 300 seats and assuming the going price for 1 MP ticket is over 20 crore then does the familia raise 6000 crores loot money for it's own welfare ? Did the losing contestants get suckered into parting with their money...

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 15:00
by sooraj
1 Rahul Gandhi INC 123602 0 123602 44.08
2 Smriti Irani BJP 138160 0 138160 49.27

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 15:00
by mmasand
Suraj wrote:I'm going to guess Sonia will attempt to move out of Rae Bareili to let Priyanka contest by-elections there. In that case, BJP needs to make a full court press to grab that seat too, and marginalize the Ghandi family to one seat from Wayanad.
My bet is Amethi if SI does not win.

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Posted: 23 May 2019 15:01
by Sumeet
Hey China congratulates Narendra Modi.


https://twitter.com/narendramodi177/sta ... 8523347972