2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

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chetak
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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby chetak » 12 Aug 2019 14:47

One analysis circulating on SM


CHANAKYA NITI ON 370/35A
——————————————
Modi -Shah planned the historic August 5/6, 2019 removal of Art 370 extremely smartly and covertly in a step by step manner from the day they joined hands with PDP almost 4 years back to form a coalition Govt in J&K!

This was severely criticised by the opposition and many Modi Bhakts too!

Take a few minutes and read this to know how brilliant Modi Govt strategy was!

Step1.

Form the Govt with PDP on the pretext of obeying the mandate of people of J&K to investigate and understand in minute details all the inner secrets of governance of J&K Govt since 1954.

Once they had all the details, BJP withdew the support from PDP’s Mehbooba Mufti Government.

This was the most Important decision so that the power to give consent to any bill could be transferred to the Governor!

Step 2.

Presidential order to transfer power of J&K assembly to Indian Parliament was passed in 2018 itself using the power of President of India under Article 356.

Step3.

In order to validate it further and remove any objection from opposition parties through the Supreme court, a new SC/ST amendment was brought in and passed using this power and as expected HC or SC courts did not or could not say anything but agree!

Step 4.

Now that validation to SC/ST bill was done, the power of Governor became unquestioned in any court. Using the precedent of 1952, the power of constituent assembly was transferred to the State assembly and the power of state assembly had already been granted to the Governor of J&K since 2018!

SO THE TRAP WAS LAID WAY BACK IN JUNE 2018 ITSELF WHEN BJP QUIT COALITION GOVT TO COLLAPSE THE J&K GOVT FOR GOVERNOR TO TAKE OVER!

When the Ajit Doval and his intelligence boys made the governor aware of serious efforts being made by opposition to form the coalition in J&K, Governor dissolved the assembly!

So, the the solution of assembly to prompt old dynasties from taking back J& Rule was part of an overall game plan!

The govt formation with PDP was only held on until all the above conditions were being crystallised!

Summary of game plan:-
——————————————-

1.Form govt in J&K to dissolve it at the appropriate time.

2.Withdraw support to empower the governor.

3. Bring in dissolution of assembly and bring in President Rule in J&K

4.Use Art 356 to empower the J&K governor to take on the rights of the dismissed J&K Parliament!

5.Validate the power of Governor from SC after they having ratified the new SC/ST bill amendment!

6.Use 1952 precedent to tranfer power to the J&K assembly which in turn got transferred to J&K Governor.

7. President declares his right to abrogate 370 and simultaneously bills to make 370 / 35A toothless and powerless on our constitution is passed in RS on August 5,2019 and LS on Aug 6, 2019 both by 2/3rd majority!

IMPOSSIBLE MADE POSSIBLE AFTER 72 YEARS by MODI-SHAH-DOVAL giving a stinging slap on all anti nationals who dared this MSD trio to remove Art 370!

As to why bifurcation of J&K and Ladakh was done INSTEAD of Trifurcation as conjectured by various experts, here is the possible explanation!

In the instrument of accession signed by Maharaja Hari singh in 1947/48 with Union of India, it mentions 'Jammu and Kashmir! Ladakh was probably not even mentioned! (Some one ratify this!)

The entity, 'Jammu and Kashmir' must exist as one State because POK was part and parcel of J&K in 1947/48 when instrument of accession was signed! This must be kept separate to later integrate POK into our J&K which was rightfully ours!

In future as and when India claims or demands PoK, then this signed instrument of accession would be needed to show that accession was for entire J&K that included the POK that was allowed to be taken by Pakistan later by the devious collusion of Nehru and Sheikh Abdulla!

The crucial timing was withdrawal of BJP from coalition government in J&K! BJP withdrew just a year before General elections! Now they just had to wait till election commission announced date of General elections.

But JK parties began the formation of a coalition to fight in State Election! But before this could happen, alert BJP and the Governor of J&K stopper them in their tracks!

However, the early dissolution of assembly created another problem.
Now the Elections could be forced by opposition to hold J&K elections concurrent wth General Elections!

Election commision however did not relent. And the Home ministry rightly raised the security issues and elections to J&K State were postponed. The power remained still with the Governor.

Mehbooba understood this game so did Omar Abdulla and the Cong. Dynasty think tanks!

They all cried and still are crying albeit this time with Pakistanis!

Now, there was no threat to the power of governor till J&K elections for legislature would be announced!

Time was then ripe to pass the SC/ST amendment bill and 10% Reservation for EWS for J&K too! This established power of the governor even further!

In this bill consent of the Governor was construed as consent of the State assembly.

Now SC can not but reject any petition against 370 because they have already accepted the powers of the Governor being same as dismissed assembly!

Now, the paid PIL lawyers, the Congress Party lawyers can not convince Supreme courts judges to backtrack from their earlier decision!

If they backtrack, SC and even Congress and their supporters would be deemed anti-Dalit!

SC has no option but to throw all the PIL challenges to Govt’s Art 370 decision into trash cans!

Finally all the anti national Judicial activists of India will have found that they can no more fight the the Chanakya NITI of Modi-Shah and Doval including their point men in J&K like Ram Madhav an legal eagles like Subramaniam Swamy!

All along for past almost 13 months, BJP cleverly managed the media, the opposition, the Judiciary and even the naysayers within their own rank with elan and of course total silence!

Indian Nationalists like all of us are really amazed at the brilliant minds of BJP behind this strategy!

While everyone was speculating the future of J&K, BJP was quietly acting as a rock solid wall between NC , PDP and Congress forming an alliance! Their sole aim to delay the coalition as much as possible till August 5, 2019 was successfully executed!

Even if Mehbooba wanted coalition with Omar, BJP made sure that they fall short of numbers. Sajjad Lone was another division within the parties against 370 along with separatists, who delayed the formation of coalition seeking bigger role in Govt if coalition was win!

And finally the master trump card was that the Article 370 has NOT been removed totally at all!!!!

Rather, it has been made toothless and powerless like a castrated dog or a poison gland extracted Snake! Therefore, no constitutional amendment was required to remove it!!!. Mystery of missing fax is yet to be solved!

Full credit to this brilliant analysis to Shri Ayush Narayan ji!

If question were to be asked regarding legal or constitutional fault in this process, Constitution expert Shri Subhash Kashyap ji on #Article370 said:

Quote:

I can only say, constitutionally it is sound, no legal & constitution fault can be found in it. Govt has carefully studied the matter.

As for the question, if it's a political decision, I have nothing to say on that.

Unquote

New history has been written and all 115+ crore Nationalists are celebrating this from KASHMIR to KANYAKUMARI!

Rest of the population can lump it and live with it!

Bharat Mata Ki Jai! Vande Mataram! Jai Hind!

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby ArjunPandit » 12 Aug 2019 18:04

^^one key missing item is takeover of J&K bank which enabled the NIA raids (terror funding) & corruption cases which provided significant distraction for the J&K separatist leadership

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby manjgu » 12 Aug 2019 18:11

takeover of J&K bank is on the cards...IMHO.

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby Sanju » 12 Aug 2019 20:19

Western media stands by Two-Nation theory

In The Sunday Guardian, Sri Nalpat writes:

Among the numerous unsung achievements of Prime Minister P.V. Narasimha Rao was the quiet way in which he resisted the fierce pressure of President Bill Clinton to hand over at least the Kashmir valley to the terror groups sent across the border from Pakistan. As any exhaustive investigation into the actual sources of the billions that have flowed into the Clinton Foundation would demonstrate, the 43rd US President was—and remains—as consistent a backer of the Wahhabi International as Senator Lindsey Graham and the numerous other prominent policymakers who mill around the Wahhabi trough, always generously supplied with funds by HNIs, especially in Qatar, a country that is particularly close to both Graham as well as the Clintons. During a visit to Washington, Prime Minister Rao was mercilessly prodded by President Clinton to sign an Instrument of Surrender that would replace the Instrument of Accession signed in 1947 by Hari Singh, of course after a delay caused by Jawaharlal Nehru’s insistence that the Maharaja of Kashmir function as a subordinate of Sheikh Abdullah. Whether it be Abdullah or Mountbatten or Patel (whose wise suggestions on Kashmir and on other geopolitical matters were serially ignored by Nehru), the emotions of India’s first Prime Minister were decisive in the fashioning of policies whose effects cast a terrible shadow over India even after the lapse of seven decades. At a joint press conference after Clinton’s fortunately futile efforts at convincing Rao to hand over Kashmir to the Wahhabis, the Indian Prime Minister was, somewhat tauntingly, asked by a journalist how he felt after having his “arms twisted by President Clinton”. Looking at President Number 43, Rao laughed and held out his arm, asking if it looked twisted. Throughout his tenure, Rao worked at ensuring that Pakistan-sponsored efforts at detaching Kashmir and Punjab from India failed, empowering those such as KPS Gill and General K V Krishna Rao who he felt could reverse the slide created by defective policy in the past. During the 1990s, whether it be CNN or BBC, the New York Times or the Washington Post, report after report came out that painted India as the villain and Pakistan-sponsored terrorists as saints. Even visible genocide, such as the expulsion of Kashmiri Pandits from Kashmir, or the systematic destruction of Sikh and Hindu places of worship in the disturbed areas, were ignored by these and other foreign television channels and newspapers in contrast to the laudatory stories which appeared almost daily about GHQ Rawalpindi proxies.

Despite 9/11, despite such atrocities of Wahhabi extremists as the genocide of Sunni Kurds, Christians, Yazidi, Shia and Druze in Iraq and Syria, despite the numerous terror attacks in North America and Europe, the same media outlets that stood by the GHQ Rawalpindi terror gangs in the 1990s have rallied yet again, this time to condemn the move of Prime Minister Narendra Modi to finally remove that monument to the “Two Nation” theory, Article 370. This columnist had pointed out more that once that Modi 1. 0 was 20% Modi, 40% Vajpayee and 40% Manmohan Singh. With the Balakot operation and now with the scrapping of Triple Talaq and Article 370, the percentage of “The Real Modi” in Modi 2. 0 has risen from 20% to 80%. The balance 20% is the continuing persistence of Chidambaram-style policies in North Block, the effect of which has been to deprive the country of what may be regarded as the “Modi Rate of Growth”, which is 12% per annum. In contrast, the Nehru Rate of Growth ( misnamed the Hindu rate of growth by Raj Krishna) is around 2%, the level of GDP growth witnessed during the Nehru years. North Block should be made by the PM and by the Finance Minister to remember that Gujaratis around the world did not prosper because of police methods, but because they were given freedom to do business, and were treated with respect, including by Chief Minister Modi. Hopefully, the time will not be long distant before the “Real Modi” quotient in the Modi Sarkar rises to the needed level of 99%.

And what of the New York Times, the Guardian, the Global Times, the Washington Post, the BBC and CNN (Al Jazeera is in a special case because the channel makes no secret of its affinity to the Wahhabi cause) that are daily airing reports that are a facsimile of the kind of reporting that was indulged in by them during the 1990s? Do the editors overseeing such reports even know what Article 370 is? It is an affirmation of the theory that Muslims and Hindus come from different planets and cannot live in peace together. Unfortunately for India, successive Prime Ministers accepted this toxic theory by continuing with Article 370, thereby walling off Jammu & Kashmir from the rest of India simply because the state has a Muslim majority. Will the New York Times or the Guardian demand that non-Muslims should not be allowed to settle in those locations in Detroit or Bradford where there is a majority of Muslim inhabitants? Or that Muslims in the US or the UK should be allowed to divorce simply by uttering “talaq” three times, or each have four wives? Both Russia and China have provinces where there is a “majority of the national minority”, but will the GHQ Rawalpindi-backing Global Times demand that people from the rest of China should not be allowed to settle in Xinjiang? If the editors of that newspaper find such an idea absurd, why are they backing it in India? Physicians of the media, first heal thyself. Demand an Article 370 in “minority as majority” locations in your own countries before heaping obloquy on Narendra Damodardas Modi for being the first Prime Minister since 1947 to jettison the “Two Nation” theory from the only state in the country where the Jinnah-Churchill doctrine still ruled supreme. Hindus, Muslims, Christians, Sikhs, Buddhists, Jains, Parsis are all the same in a secular and democratic India.

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby ramana » 12 Aug 2019 23:24

J&K Bank merger with SBI to cover the losses was under consideration if I recall.

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby ramana » 12 Aug 2019 23:34

Kanson wrote:Even this is very late. It should have happened in 2002-2004 timeframe.
1990's , you see lot of conversion started and took root in the sub-continent. You name it, odissa, Andhra, TN... or Guj/raj... If i'm not wrong Jousha project came to existence at that time. It is not only EJs, more Gelf/Gulf contribution happened to ord muslims, who otherwise looked talked walked much like the rest. Post such influence, many of them started to behave as if they are from different planet, particularly from sourthern parts.


What bakwas? How can they bring in such laws when people don't give mandate by electing MPs?
And how long folks be in SuSwa mode in raising unrealistic expectations? Even NDA-1 was a fragile coalition.
Disappointed in you Kanson for writing such statements.

Especially in "Southern" parts no BJP members get elected!

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby ramana » 12 Aug 2019 23:45

chetak, That SM message is post facto gloating analysis in the genre of cunning baniyas.

J&K situation developed along the way as all options were getting negated by the state political parties (NC, PDP and even INC).
2014 J&K assy elections the mandate was to overthrow the corrupt NC-INC govt led by Omar Abdullah. At same time the mandate was not decisive to form govt by either PDP or BJP. Hence it had to be a coalition. Lot of hopes that Mufti would provide stable rule as the combination of PDP+BJP was large enough to pass bills etc.
However his death led to the leadership passing to Mehbooba Mufti was a disaster as she jockeyed to gain dominance at cost of BJP. Her foisting cases on Hindus in Jammu led to the situation of BJP withdrawing support. After that the need was to appoint a politician, Satyapal Malik, as the governor as all other genre were tried and found lacking. Even after this Kashmir politicians did not come together and form a stable govt. Both NC and PDP bickered over who should become CM in this kichidi govt and led to Governor rule. And then President's rule.
In fact even now both Mehbooba Mufti and Omar bickered in the stately palace where they were detained and had to be separated!

The trigger to exercise the J&K Re-organization was the DT-IK meeting in WH which showed US wants to play Kashmir card in perpetuity.
So decision was taken to remove the card and trump the game.

After that rest follows as due process was followed.

Yet media minions kept coming up with foolish excuses of collusion and informing the P-5.

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby siqir » 13 Aug 2019 11:46

noticed rajnath singh occasionally right on the money

20 july 2019 kashmir problem will be solved

https://www.indiatoday.in/india/story/k ... 2019-07-20

21 august 2017 doklam issue will be resolved soon

https://www.indiatoday.in/india/story/c ... 2017-08-21

ofc past results dont mean future anything etc

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby Sachin » 13 Aug 2019 12:03

J&K Gov is not mincing words.
Will send aircraft for Rahul to visit Kashmir: J&K Guv

darshan wrote:Zomato delivery boys refuse to deliver beef and pork as it hurts their ‘religious sentiments’

Zomato folks tried to swallow more they can chew. The founder-owner tried to become all too "secular". Now let us see how he handles this issue. I get a feeling that the beef & pork issue is also now actively highlighted by certain groups in both the religions 8).

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby pankajs » 13 Aug 2019 12:39

I haven't read much on the latest Zomato saga but let me make a "guess". Right now only beef has been added to the menu.

So what the chatur bania delivery boyz did was they asked the peacefool delivery boys will they deliver pork in the near future. My "guess" is that they pointed out that if beef in on the menu today pork cannot be far behind.

Now if only chatur banias had protested they would have been branded communal 'cos "food has no religion". Now that the chatur banias have roped in the peacefools the sickulars are in a bind.

One way to resolve it is to assure the peacefools that after beef no more pork. But such an assurance would open Zomato to charges on not only hypocrisy but also of being communals. The chatur banias did well in the opening round. Lets see how it plays out.

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby Vikas » 13 Aug 2019 13:34

ramana wrote:chetak, That SM message is post facto gloating analysis in the genre of cunning baniyas.

J&K situation developed along the way as all options were getting negated by the state political parties (NC, PDP and even INC).
2014 J&K assy elections the mandate was to overthrow the corrupt NC-INC govt led by Omar Abdullah. At same time the mandate was not decisive to form govt by either PDP or BJP. Hence it had to be a coalition. Lot of hopes that Mufti would provide stable rule as the combination of PDP+BJP was large enough to pass bills etc.
However his death led to the leadership passing to Mehbooba Mufti was a disaster as she jockeyed to gain dominance at cost of BJP. Her foisting cases on Hindus in Jammu led to the situation of BJP withdrawing support. After that the need was to appoint a politician, Satyapal Malik, as the governor as all other genre were tried and found lacking. Even after this Kashmir politicians did not come together and form a stable govt. Both NC and PDP bickered over who should become CM in this kichidi govt and led to Governor rule. And then President's rule.
In fact even now both Mehbooba Mufti and Omar bickered in the stately palace where they were detained and had to be separated!

The trigger to exercise the J&K Re-organization was the DT-IK meeting in WH which showed US wants to play Kashmir card in perpetuity.
So decision was taken to remove the card and trump the game.

After that rest follows as due process was followed.

Yet media minions kept coming up with foolish excuses of collusion and informing the P-5.


Ramana Ji, When Satyapal Malik was sent to J&K, wasn't it a big hint that something was cooking. He wasn't sent as some retirement plan, So I don't think that MAD were reactive to whatever was happening in the state.
It could be that the plan got finalized late in the day but It feels like that there was always something on the horizon.
The fact that there is a brewing US-Sino trade war on one hand and Gulf crisis on the other may have picked India's interest in pulling the plug hoping that it would be one of those non-events on world stage and most of the countries would not want to annoy India over something that most will not even understand (How many in Gulf or Europe would even understand how UT is different from a State) and push her into opposition camp and rightly so.

PS: If Modi Ji has promised something even casually, be happy/afraid that he is going to deliver it.

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby pankajs » 13 Aug 2019 14:06

https://www.firstpost.com/india/jammu-a ... 48021.html

SC refuses to pass order on restrictions in Valley, says who'll be responsible if something bad happens

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby pankajs » 13 Aug 2019 14:14

https://www.firstpost.com/india/jammu-a ... 48021.html

New York Congressman issues public apology after outcry on anti-India Kashmir comment
Congressman Tom Suozzi, issued a public apology to Indian Americans for not consulting them before shooting of a letter to US State Department on the Kashmir issue.

PTI reported that on 9 August Suozzi sent a letter to Pompeo after holding consultations with Pakistani Americans on the actions of the Indian government in revoking the special status of Jammu and Kashmir. “These new restrictions on the autonomy of the state and the rights of Kashmiris could also embolden extremists and terrorists to act,” Suozzi said adding that the action taken by the Indian government “risks provoking mass social unrest…” according to the PTI report.

However, the Congressman issued an apology for not consulting the Indian groups and said that he would make sure in future to consult with all of his constituents​

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby pankajs » 13 Aug 2019 16:39

Why is a 86 year robot nominated to RS instead of a young turk to take on Modi?

https://twitter.com/smitaprakash/status ... 1518846976
Smita Prakash @smitaprakash

86 year old former Prime Minister Dr Manmohan Singh files his nomination papers for Rajya Sabha from Rajasthan. He will be 92 when his term ends. He has been elected to the Upper House in 1991, 1995, 2001, 2007 and 2013. Never in the Lok Sabha.

To me it seems that CON does not want to take chances the way RS members have resigned and left the party in recent times. With a robot that risk does not exist.

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby vijayk » 13 Aug 2019 18:55



Nothing big deal ... we all know about $$$onia and her mafia model of operation of CONgress but this can be very useful info we should spread on whatsapp/FB because it is coming straight from her durbari candidate

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby pankajs » 13 Aug 2019 22:53

Spin
https://twitter.com/mkvenu1/status/1161227864735268864
M K Venu @mkvenu1

Foreign MInister Jaishankar formally assured China yesterday that [b]India is making no territorial claim beyond the Line of Actual Control and the LOC[/b]. But in 370 debate in Parliament BJP MPs and HM were asserting India will claim Pak Occupied Kashmir too. What is the truth?

vs Truth using direct quote
https://twitter.com/YusufDFI/status/1161305531610386433
Yusuf Unjhawala @YusufDFI
"no implication for either the external boundaries of India or the LAC with China" and that "India was not raising any additional territorial claims".

So no implication to external boundary that includes Aksai Chin. No implication on LAC and we aren’t claiming beyond Aksai Chin

No additional claim == Current claim == past claim i.e. the full Aksai Chin. The LAC remains the LAC.

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby pankajs » 13 Aug 2019 23:18

https://twitter.com/rahulkanwal/status/ ... 5465774086
Rahul Kanwal @rahulkanwal

BJP Gen Sec @rammadhavbjp tells @IndiaToday that @PMOIndia Govt will fulfil promise on Uniform Civil Code and Ram temple at Ayodhya over the next four years. Quips by 2024 BJP will have to come up with a new cultural agenda as previous planks would have been fulfilled.

NRC.

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby Sanju » 13 Aug 2019 23:42

I am sure that the BJP has a whole list of items that needs fulfilling... So i am not really worried about the list running out of items.

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby ramana » 14 Aug 2019 01:26

You might have seen news about Sikkim where the ruling party except for the Cm joined BJP.

Its not all politics.
It could be important to have border states with the national party.
China is showing interest in Sikkim as part of Dokhlam aftermath.

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby vijayk » 14 Aug 2019 01:35

I read on Teetar that SC allowed appeal of 1800 citizens against Rohnigya illegal migrants and made it as a people's petition. anyone aware if this is true? If so, we need such groups to go against foreign NGO lobby working on FCRA funds underming against India every time they file.

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby vijayk » 14 Aug 2019 06:59

https://swarajyamag.com/news-brief/one- ... tire-state
One Man Government? How BS Yediyurappa Is Managing Flood Relief For An Entire State

With Karnataka still recovering from the floods, the opposition parties have wasted no time calling the current dispensation a ‘one-man army’. The jibe is meant to mock BJP’s reluctance to get a cabinet in place for Karnataka government.

But the septuagenarian BS Yediyurappa and the government machinery appear to have handled the flood situation well and are largely in control of the situation, despite being a ‘one-man government’.

Yediyurappa left his meetings in New Delhi midway and rushed to Karnataka early this month to handle the flood situation in the state.

He has since formed teams involving the MLA’s and MPs of the flood-hit region and ensuring relief activities are on in full swing.

Over 80 taluks in 17 districts have been announced as being ‘affected by the floods’. An activist who has been part of the relief operations at Belagavi dismissed any delay in relief operations owing to a missing cabinet.

Daily reports of the flood situation that are being submitted are being monitored by the Secretary-Revenue. The Chief Secretary T M Vijay Baskar along with Relief Commissioner TK Anil Kumar have been constantly reviewing and monitoring the flood relief operations.

Even as the CM began his recce of the flood affected regions, starting with Belagavi on August 7, 4 NDRF teams and 4 army columns were immediately deployed to rescue people form flood affected areas.

But with relentless rains only making the situations worse, the number of affected districts began to rise with the coastal Karnataka and Kodagu too witnessing a repeat of last year’s situation.

Nine additional NDRF teams were swung into action on August 9, 5 of which headed to Belagavi, two to Kodagu and one each to Uttara Kannada and Shivamogga.

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby KL Dubey » 14 Aug 2019 07:47

vijayk wrote:https://swarajyamag.com/news-brief/one-man-government-how-bs-yediyurappa-is-managing-flood-relief-for-an-entire-state
One Man Government? How BS Yediyurappa Is Managing Flood Relief For An Entire State


A good move indeed. BSY probably knows the state inside out like the back of his hand. The need of the hour seems to be to get relief to the affected areas/people efficiently using the goremint machinery, rather than add more layers of ministers etc who will ultimately also have to rely on the same goremint machinery.

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby Sanju » 14 Aug 2019 10:05

ramana wrote:You might have seen news about Sikkim where the ruling party except for the Cm joined BJP.

Its not all politics.
It could be important to have border states with the national party.
China is showing interest in Sikkim as part of Dokhlam aftermath.


Ramanaji if that was directed at me, Yes I did see that news.

BJP is more than a political party, in that, the goals to achieve and milestones to meet, also include political goals. Anything that is in the interest of the Cultural Nation is part of its goal. This is not limited to only National Security and the general well being of the populace, it also includes that which is not quantifiable, such as Pride in our culture, ethos and history. And also the fight against the relentless onslaught on our culture, heritage and our way of life. The list of goals is quite long, as the cliche goes, first pick the low hanging fruit and the ones that we will get the maximum for our efforts, followed by the rest.

As someone pointed out in 2014-2015 on BRF, that Namo took the first term as CM in Gujarat, to get the "lay of the land" before making changes and that he would follow the same as a PM. This has been proved to a large extent, notwithstanding DeMO, GST, SS1, SS2 & BMC. In comparison, Modi 2.0 has raced out of the stables and taken the opposition and the Pa^is by surprise.

Legend: The original copyright of Pa_is goes to Bart ji, I have slightly modified it and put a 'caret (^) ' to represent Ghanta in place of the underscore/blank.

abhijitm
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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby abhijitm » 14 Aug 2019 11:22

There is a narrative so far that RaGa is childish, he is misinformed, he is surrounded by wrong people etc. Reality is
1) he is a bigot
2) he is a compulsive liar and hypocrite
3) for 1 and 2 above
3a) hates run into his veins. So sometimes he goes on talking about love. This is a psychological trend of people who believ they can convince people by talking exactly opposite of their action
3b) he is hinduphobic and a staunch islamist. Same as above. His policies and show off temple run are poles different.
3c) the cong president game that he is playing. No congressman took his bait of being rubber stamp sacrificial goat while he runs the thing in the background.
4) He is an extreme communist so much that there is no iota of difference left between cong and communist parties of India. And he has gathered around people who are like minded and not other way around. He has got rid of people or sidelined them, no matter how good they are, if they do not subscribe to his ideology. He finds and takes advice from people who are agreeable.

And cong is at his disposal. A cong which is no 2 or no 1 in states like punjab, MP, MH, Goa, Karnataka, Rajasthan, Gujrat, Haryana, UT, Himachal. Worrying.

Pratyush
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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby Pratyush » 14 Aug 2019 12:54

ramana wrote:You might have seen news about Sikkim where the ruling party except for the Cm joined BJP.

Its not all politics.
It could be important to have border states with the national party.
China is showing interest in Sikkim as part of Dokhlam aftermath.


I visited Sikkim some time ago and speaking to the locals it seemed that a degree of separation was creeping in to the population. Since before Dokhlam.

Mostly caused by lack of economic opportunities beyond the tourist season.

Not sure how this assimilation will help the situation.

But am sure BJP has a plan.

PS not having a previous experience with the population I can't say that this separation was always present or not.

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby pankajs » 14 Aug 2019 13:08

No one following this it seems ...

https://twitter.com/BBTheorist/status/1 ... 6125365251
S A @BBTheorist

Sr. Adv CS Vaidyanathan submits, "I'm relying on Imperial Gazetteer to show that Ram Janmasthan was a revered place & is still revered despite it being destroyed to erect another structure."
P.Carnegy (1870) records- "Ayodhya is to Hindus what Mecca is to Muslims."
#RamJanmbhoomi

banrjeer
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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby banrjeer » 14 Aug 2019 13:21

Aramco invests in Reliance. Jaishankar in China. Original Silk Road had roots in India not chabahar or gwadar.

Pak holds world record in killing Muslims.

Bdesh, Palestine, Baluch, Pashtuns, Kashmiris

pankajs
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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby pankajs » 14 Aug 2019 13:29

Mani Shankar Iyer has lost it again it seems. Embedded video for your viewing pleasure.

https://twitter.com/dhaval241086/status ... 0123819008
Dhaval Patel @dhaval241086

Mani Shankar Aiyyar has completely lost it #Kashmir #Article370

Karthik S
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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby Karthik S » 14 Aug 2019 13:31

Why has he put up his hands so soon? Don't we have sometime left for next round of elections?

KLNMurthy
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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby KLNMurthy » 14 Aug 2019 13:43

@chetak

I love Chanakya Niti as much as anyone but there is a flaw in the analysis:

1. The reservation bill was first introduced, then passed i. LS by Amit Shah.

2. It is true that on Aug 5, it was also introduced in RS, though I don't believe it was voted on. After the 370 abrogation bill was passed in LS and President assented, Kishan Reddy tweeted that he withdrew the reservation bill from RS since it is no longer relevant (as cancelling 370 and UT status means that the same reservation law thag applied in the rest of India now also applies to the new UTs.

3. In any case, reservations (j&k) law never went before SC, so there was no chance to establish precedent for 370 abrogation.

If theee is any chankian trickery, it is in associating the reservations bill with the change of status bill. Now, if SC strikes down the law, it would also be striking down reservations, in effect taking them away after they were given. That makes it harder, though not impossible for a liberal-signaling SC to knock it down.

There hasn't been much comment on this, but I also believe that Mayawati came on board because the reservations were offered, or I should say, highlighted as a carrot. (Also a stick, since if she doesn't sign on, team Modi could raise the question, why is she against Reservations in j& k? )Now, if SC strikes it down, she will have no choice but to make a noise, otherwise she will lose rank & file. She is already in a somewhat weakened state. Once she opens her mouth, all the "left" parties claiming to be Daleet-pasand will have to shut up. It is true that Modi is pro-Daleet and the gang doesn't care about Daleets, but the gang can't afford to have it out in the open.

I think this is the trap Modi & Shah laid for the seld-styled liberal-left. They are counting on the liberal-signalling Gogoi SC to recognise it as well.

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby darshan » 14 Aug 2019 15:52

abhijitm wrote:There is a narrative so far that RaGa is childish, he is misinformed, he is surrounded by wrong people etc. Reality is

And cong is at his disposal. A cong which is no 2 or no 1 in states like punjab, MP, MH, Goa, Karnataka, Rajasthan, Gujrat, Haryana, UT, Himachal. Worrying.


I run into neutral and congress Gujarati people all the time who feel bad for him, his mental illness, and fall for his orchastrated behavior. Time and time I have to remind them what you have stated. nehru clan is deshdrohi, they know it, and just doing drama so people talk about drama and not their deshdroh. Also muddies the water enough for the next generation to return to politics where deshdroh tag is not attached.

vijayk
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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby vijayk » 14 Aug 2019 16:10

https://www.hindustantimes.com/cities/p ... wz1vL.html
Police ban namaz on roads across Uttar Pradesh
Confirming the ban on offering namaz on roads, director general of police (DGP) OP Singh on Tuesday said direction had been issued to all districts police chiefs and other authorities to ensure that no namaz was offered by blocking roads.


Confirming the ban on offering namaz on roads, director general of police (DGP) OP Singh on Tuesday said direction had been issued to all districts police chiefs and other authorities to ensure that no namaz was offered by blocking roads. “On special occasions, when large crowd gathers for offering prayers on festivals, it could be allowed by the district administration, but this practice will not be allowed as a routine during every Friday prayer,” he said.

The DGP said similar ban was initially imposed in Aligarh and Meerut and now efforts were on to enforce the same across the state. He said the Aligarh district administration had even issued a detail circular for not allowing namaz on roads and it was imposed successfully.

He said the district officials had been asked to hold meeting with clerics and mosque administrations to sensitize them on how namaz on roads interrupted smooth traffic flow and caused other problems.


chetak
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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby chetak » 14 Aug 2019 18:41

KLNMurthy wrote:@chetak

I love Chanakya Niti as much as anyone but there is a flaw in the analysis:

1. The reservation bill was first introduced, then passed i. LS by Amit Shah.

2. It is true that on Aug 5, it was also introduced in RS, though I don't believe it was voted on. After the 370 abrogation bill was passed in LS and President assented, Kishan Reddy tweeted that he withdrew the reservation bill from RS since it is no longer relevant (as cancelling 370 and UT status means that the same reservation law thag applied in the rest of India now also applies to the new UTs.

3. In any case, reservations (j&k) law never went before SC, so there was no chance to establish precedent for 370 abrogation.

If theee is any chankian trickery, it is in associating the reservations bill with the change of status bill. Now, if SC strikes down the law, it would also be striking down reservations, in effect taking them away after they were given. That makes it harder, though not impossible for a liberal-signaling SC to knock it down.

There hasn't been much comment on this, but I also believe that Mayawati came on board because the reservations were offered, or I should say, highlighted as a carrot. (Also a stick, since if she doesn't sign on, team Modi could raise the question, why is she against Reservations in j& k? )Now, if SC strikes it down, she will have no choice but to make a noise, otherwise she will lose rank & file. She is already in a somewhat weakened state. Once she opens her mouth, all the "left" parties claiming to be Daleet-pasand will have to shut up. It is true that Modi is pro-Daleet and the gang doesn't care about Daleets, but the gang can't afford to have it out in the open.

I think this is the trap Modi & Shah laid for the seld-styled liberal-left. They are counting on the liberal-signalling Gogoi SC to recognise it as well.



Checkmate Article 370!

Checkmate Article 370!

Tri-furcation of J&K would have meant creation of a Hindu Jammu vs Muslim Kashmir, making it easier for secessionists to target this as their homeland. No more. Now, it is all a part of one united India!

Jyotirgamaya@ifrc.in' Jyotirgamaya
13-08-2019

Removing Article 370 looked unthinkable to all previous administrations because of domestic and international complications. This is an analytical look at threading together some well-known events from various internet sources to figure out the absolute genius behind the steps taken in rendering Article 370 ineffective.

It would take a disciplined team and strategic moves worthy of a game of chess, to accomplish this ‘mission impossible’. How was it done?

Move 1: Setting the board – Isolating Pakistan
Early 2018

The Paris based Financial Action Task Force (FATF) places Pakistan on its grey list which meant a severe blow to its financial situation. The reasons behind it were “Pakistan’s “structural deficiencies” in anti-money laundering (AML) and combating the financing of terrorism (CFT)“.

This helps in tying together the factors of Pakistan’s sliding economy, the tightening of the screws on it’s falling economy, and the linking of terrorism support to any bail-out of that almost bankrupt economy.

Effect: Begins the process of isolation of Pakistan

Move 2: Opposition Queen neutralized – Isolating PDP
June 2018

Although BJP teamed up with PDP to form state government, this really provided an inside look and reach into the inner workings of the state government, so crucial for the significant next steps. BJP abandoned the coalition on June 19, 2018 citing concerns about terrorism and radicalization in Kashmir.

PDP’s lost its plank of ‘soft separatism’ the day the party decided to join hands with the BJP. In its three years of power, the PDP was seen by the people of the Kashmir valley as merely playing second fiddle to the agenda of the BJP.

Effect: PDP loses credibility in the eyes of its support base

Move 3: Opposition Bishops taken out – Taking over administration of J&K November 2018

The governor on November 21 dissolves the 87-member state assembly citing horse-trading and lack of stability to form a government as the reasons, even though the PDP, supported by the Congress and their arch rivals National Conference, had staked claim to form the government.

Effect: Begin the process of takeover of J&K

December 2018
President Ram Nath Kovind signed the proclamation for imposition of central rule in the state, which plunged into a political crisis in June after the Mehbooba Mufti-led coalition government was reduced to minority following withdrawal of support by the 25-member BJP in the state.

Effect: The imposition of Governor’s Rule will put the central government in charge of the affairs of the state

Move 4: Opposition Rooks taken out – Defanging Pakistan’s offensive
February 26, 2019

The 2019 Balakot airstrike is conducted by India when Indian warplanes crossed the de facto border in the disputed region of Kasmir, and dropped bombs in the vicinity of the town of Balakot in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province in Pakistan.

Effect: Pakistan is reminded of the might of the Indian armed forces, so it won’t engage in any adventurism later

Move 5: Opposition Knights taken out – Terrorism in check
May 1, 2019

The Jaish-e-Mohammad Chief Masood Azhar was named as “global terrorist” by the United Nations after China lifted its hold on a proposal to blacklist him.

Effect: Pakistan officially blacklisted as a country harboring a terrorist, so any future diplomatic support from international community will not be forthcoming easily

Move 6: Owning the chessboard – Winning the general elections
May 24, 2019

Amit Shah combined the Hindutva agenda with the Modi government’s development plank to woo backward castes and bolster its traditional base of upper castes to take on the opposition.

Effect: BJP wins the elections handsomely

Move 7: Home Knight 1 moves in – Introduction of J&K Reservation Bill June 24, 2019

BJP moves the Jammu and Kashmir Reservation Bill, requiring Kashmir to provide 10% reservation for marginalized communities. Ostensibly, it was the denial of rights to these marginalized sections that made the BJP raise the Article 35A issue using the issue of revoking the residency rights of the Valmiki community.

The bill had a Trojan horse (the knight). This was the provision that the Governor could act as the local Assembly if the state did not have a functioning Assembly.

Effect: Wherever “State Assembly” is mentioned in Article 370 and 35A, that can now be replaced by the office of the Governor

Move 8: Home Knight 2 moves in – Introduction of Triple Talaq Bill
July 30, 2019

Triple Talaq bill was passed by Lok Sabha on 25th July 2019 and then by Rajya Sabha on 30th July 2019. This bill too had a trojan horse (the knight). It was that, this bill was not applicable to Jammu & Kashmir. Something that brought relief to all Muslim women around the country was not applicable to Kashmiri Muslim women.

Effect: Article 370 can now be characterized as “anti-women”, which is a much broader appeal and cannot be challenged by any national or international organization

Move 9: Home territory “Castled In”. All opposition pawns taken out
August 2019

Firing along LOC to keep Pak army engaged at another front. Deployment of 280 companies in the state on security measures. Moving heavy contingents of army personnel into the Valley instead of relying on state police. Imposing Section 144 in several districts of the state. Putting PDP president Mehbooba Mufti, NC leader Omar Abdullah and several other leaders under house arrest.

Effect: Final fortification of the state and isolation of troublemakers

Move 10: Home King and Vizier make the move. CheckMate!
August, 2019

PM Narendra Modi deliberately chose August 7 to address the nation on J&K because on that very date in 1952, Syama Prasad Mookerjee spoke against 370 in the Constituent Assembly of which he was a member.
Rajya Sabha voting was managed through support from Biju Janata Dal (BJD), Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) and YSR Congress and Aam Aadmi Party and walkouts by others. Lok Sabha already has BJP majority.

Effect: Bill passes in Rajya Sabha and Lok Sabha

Move 11: A clean board for the future
In the meantime, creating a non-legislature UT for Ladakh helps in fortifying India’s international border without political disturbances, while a J&K UT with legislature means no one can claim that democracy has been subverted, since people of the region still have a voice in the political process of the state. Tri-furcation of J&K would have meant creation of a Hindu Jammu vs Muslim Kashmir, making it easier for secessionists to target this as their homeland. No more. Now, it is all a part of one united India!

Move 12: How it was presented to the world
For the domestic audience, from the plight of Dalit families from 1957, Masood Azhar’s ban to FATF clearance for IMF to Triple Talaq – everything was linked to Article 370.

For the international community, India points out that the proposals made in the Parliament on Monday were “aimed at providing good governance, promoting social justice and ensuring economic development in Jammu and Kashmir.”

Chess game par excellence!

Gautam_2
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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby Gautam_2 » 14 Aug 2019 20:18

Can we have a new thread for impending POK action :D

salaam
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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby salaam » 14 Aug 2019 21:02

si1verbu11et wrote:Can we have a new thread for impending POK action :D


Shhh, it’s a secret. Lets not talk about it ;)

disha
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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby disha » 14 Aug 2019 21:06

si1verbu11et wrote:Can we have a new thread for impending POK action :D


There is no such thing as silver bullet. Can you please change your username to forum guidelines.

Post Balakot, we had several Baki logins. There are some sleeper Baki logins as well on this forum. I do not want to confuse you as one of them and get tripped.

darshan
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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby darshan » 14 Aug 2019 21:21

Reality of voting congrsss/deshdrohis in power.

A Muslim mob attacks Kanwar Yatris in Jaipur, sets buses on fire a week after Congress govt in state passes anti-mob lynching bill
https://www.opindia.com/2019/08/jaipur- ... s-on-fire/
In a shocking incident in Jaipur on Monday, a Muslim mob hurled stones and attacked a bus carrying Kanwariyas which was on its way to Haridwar. More than a dozen buses have been lit on fire injuring more than 30 Kanwars during the incident.

According to the reports, the incident occurred on the day of the Eid festival, when a Muslim mob got into an argument with Kanwars. At the night, as Kanwars began their journey towards Haridwar to continue their annual Kanwar Yatra, a large angry Muslim mob gathered near Idgah at Delhi Road and allegedly resorted to stone pelting on the bus and later torched the bus damaging more than 10 buses.

ramana
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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby ramana » 14 Aug 2019 22:30

Gautam_2 wrote:Can we have a new thread for impending POK action :D


Changed user name to Gautam_2.
Please inform Admins if you want a different name.

ramana

chetak
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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby chetak » 14 Aug 2019 22:51

twitter



Sushma Swaraj Ji's daughter Bansuri's Emotional Speech! She mirrors Sushma Ji in her looks, voice and demeanor. Her speech made me feel like Sushmaji is speaking in Parliament

watch video

https://twitter.com/Megha94507473/status/1161515455665901571

ramana
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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby ramana » 14 Aug 2019 23:22

This is how dynasties are created by emotional fools.
This girl has a long way to go in developing finesse.
In her immaturity she took on bad rascals as clients and had to divest.

Vikas, In fact Alyssa Ayres wrote that US needs to read BJP manifestos more often for they do implement what they promise.
Example she gave was the POk-2 and now J&K Integration.
Sanju, It was posted after your post only. Not meant for you as you have not mentioned Sikkim at all!


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