2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

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vijayk
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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby vijayk » 25 Oct 2019 18:00

https://swarajyamag.com/politics/mahara ... -takeaways

Maharashtra Assembly Elections: Here Are The Key Takeaways

While the Congress-Nationalist Congress Party combine can take heart from the improvement over their 2014 results, as an alliance they are still nowhere close to challenging the Mahayuti for power. Some first impressions and analysis of the result follows.

Contrary to what perpetually hyper-ventilating right wing social media may say, this is a good result for Maharashtra Chief Minister Fadnavis, one that will count in the win column for the young leader from Nagpur.

Fadnavis’ first term witnessed unprecedented social unrest as well as severe drought situation in the first four years followed by resultant agrarian distress. He also had to contend with a wily and often hostile alliance partner as well as last-minute rebellions over ticket distribution.


n spite of these challenges, BJP has garnered better vote share, and is set to win two-third of the seats it contested to emerge as the single largest party. Fadnavis showed the courage to make this election a referendum on his performance, and the voters have reposed faith in him.


Pawar’s comments about the Pulwama attacks, as well as Article 370, didn’t go down well with the educated middle class voters. The party also suffered a number of defections in the year before the elections, and yet there was something about an 80-year-old man campaigning in torrential downpour that galvanised the workers.

He managed to inflict a defeat on Udayanraje Bhosale in the Satara Lok Sabha bypolls, a prestige election in view of Raje’s defection earlier this year, and his party recovered some of the lost ground in western Maharashtra and Vidarbha.

NCP looks like it is carrying their alliance for the moment. This showing may also help Pawar from stemming the defections.

While their alliance partner showed stomach for a fight and put up a good show, Indian National Congress continued their lacklustre ways, failing to capitalise on the anti-incumbency. Lack of strong leadership at state level, and absence of ground level cadre hurt the party badly, and even the numbers they managed might not have been possible without a late surge from the Pawar-led NCP.

Looking at these results, one wonders about the party’s future in the state if NCP decides to move out of the alliance.

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby vijayk » 25 Oct 2019 18:11

https://swarajyamag.com/news-brief/tami ... val-stalin
Tamil Nadu By-Elections: Chief Minister EPS Proves He Is A Better Strategist Than His Rival Stalin

The ruling All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (AIAMDK) party has won both the seats in the by-elections to the Vikravandi and Nanguneri Assembly constituencies.

The AIADMK has wrested the Vikravandi constituency in Villupuram district and Nanguneri in Tirunelveli district from the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) and the Congress, respectively.

It has thus increased its strength in the assembly to 124 and has, to an extent, made up for the disappointing results from earlier this year.

More importantly, these by-elections have brought the AIADMK back to its winning ways. It shows that the under-rated Tamil Nadu Chief Minister Edappadi K Palaniswamy (EPS) has begun to assert himself as the party’s strong man.

Moreover, EPS has proved to be a better strategist than the DMK President M K Stalin, who has been trying his best to dislodge the chief minister over the last two years.

These wins have also shown that the AIADMK — by roping in Pattali Makkal Katchi (PMK), Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and actor Vijaykanth’s Desiya Murpokku Dravidar Kazhagam (DMDK) — has formed an alliance to reckon with in Tamil Nadu.


AIADMK’s victory in Nanguneri is also significant because the Puthiya Tamizhagam, which represents the Devendra Kula Vellalar (DKV) community, had boycotted the by-elections. This party was part of the AIADMK alliance during the Lok Sabha elections in May.

In fact, people from some of the villages populated with the DKV community didn’t turn up for voting during the by-elections.

The DMK, meanwhile, had continued to call the ruling AIADMK government in Tamil Nadu as a “puppet of the centre”. In a way, this charge seems to have worked in the AIADMK’s favour what with the Sino-Indian summit at Mamallapuram, 50 km from Chennai, taking place just during the campaigning period.

The Sino-Indian summit and Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s gestures to the people of Tamil Nadu helped the AIADMK garner a good number of votes in both constituencies.

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby chetak » 25 Oct 2019 18:11

vijayk wrote:https://swarajyamag.com/politics/maharashtra-assembly-elections-here-are-the-key-takeaways

Maharashtra Assembly Elections: Here Are The Key Takeaways

While the Congress-Nationalist Congress Party combine can take heart from the improvement over their 2014 results, as an alliance they are still nowhere close to challenging the Mahayuti for power. Some first impressions and analysis of the result follows.

Contrary to what perpetually hyper-ventilating right wing social media may say, this is a good result for Maharashtra Chief Minister Fadnavis, one that will count in the win column for the young leader from Nagpur.

Fadnavis’ first term witnessed unprecedented social unrest as well as severe drought situation in the first four years followed by resultant agrarian distress. He also had to contend with a wily and often hostile alliance partner as well as last-minute rebellions over ticket distribution.


n spite of these challenges, BJP has garnered better vote share, and is set to win two-third of the seats it contested to emerge as the single largest party. Fadnavis showed the courage to make this election a referendum on his performance, and the voters have reposed faith in him.


Pawar’s comments about the Pulwama attacks, as well as Article 370, didn’t go down well with the educated middle class voters. The party also suffered a number of defections in the year before the elections, and yet there was something about an 80-year-old man campaigning in torrential downpour that galvanised the workers.

He managed to inflict a defeat on Udayanraje Bhosale in the Satara Lok Sabha bypolls, a prestige election in view of Raje’s defection earlier this year, and his party recovered some of the lost ground in western Maharashtra and Vidarbha.

NCP looks like it is carrying their alliance for the moment. This showing may also help Pawar from stemming the defections.

While their alliance partner showed stomach for a fight and put up a good show, Indian National Congress continued their lacklustre ways, failing to capitalise on the anti-incumbency. Lack of strong leadership at state level, and absence of ground level cadre hurt the party badly, and even the numbers they managed might not have been possible without a late surge from the Pawar-led NCP.

Looking at these results, one wonders about the party’s future in the state if NCP decides to move out of the alliance.



what happens if the SS, in it's greed and desperation, decides to move out with the NCP and establish a maratha dominated regime. :mrgreen:

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby UlanBatori » 25 Oct 2019 18:14

deleted

chetak
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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby chetak » 25 Oct 2019 20:55

twitter


The BJP lost SIX seats where #NOTA secured more votes than the victory margin.

The seats were Radaur, Neelokhedi, Meham, Rohtak, Rewari, and Faridabad.

Had the BJP candidates worked harder, their party would have got the majority. (via @prafullaketkar)

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby darshan » 25 Oct 2019 21:15

Similar results were already observed in GJ by BJP. Patience on many local issues is wearing thin and BJP isn't that secure in GJ itself when it comes to non Modi elections. Local GJ issues not being tackled and can be easily observed by the public are: drugs, liquor, BDs, love jihad, easiness of crimes committed by muslims, EJs, taking over of INC corruption machines by BJP councilors, etc.

The public's expectations have gone up due to having BJP govt in the center. While here we understand the limitations and toughness of resolving many issues, on the grounds cadre is clueless on how to educate locals of what's required for the cleanup or in many places they are out right part of the problem itself and involved in criminal activities.

For example in GJ, it's very hard to ignore drunk BJP councilors running around after 3PM and acquiring bottles thru the very islamic liquor routes that they supposed to be working to destroy.

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby Rsatchi » 25 Oct 2019 21:28

https://youtu.be/ZamJ9qy8xko
Can some legal eagle comment on this please!!.
Is this some kind of a 'chanakyan' move by the Trioka as is being made in the video.
Is the '50-year old confused Desi' in real trouble??

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby pankajs » 25 Oct 2019 21:33

God knows but I read it first on SuSwamy's TL. They just seem to have made a video out of it.

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby Sachin » 25 Oct 2019 21:39

pankajs wrote: IIRC, both BJP and RSS initially welcomed the SC judgement. That is the initial seed for this post. My suspicion is that both BJP and RSS would have taken credit for it if it had been accepted by the Yindus of Kerala.

At some level Modi/BJP/RSS don't seem to appreciate the diversity of the Indian culture and would prefer sameness at some level

Not to derail this thread. If what you said is true the BJP will not be able to survive for long. A Gujarath or Nagpur version of Hinduism is not going to fly all across India. And if your inference is true, I would also then certainly doubt the "intelligence" capabilities of RSS; which is a pan India organisation which is also active in Kerala. The fact that RSS (and also BJP) could not sense the pulse of the people (especially Hindus, who they feel are more closer to RSS and BJP) is a bit worrisome. Either BJP/RSS did not get the pulse of the people, or they chose to ignore it. And this was an issue which even the Intelligence Bureau and KL's SB CID had got it right ;). They had clearly said the verdict is not liked and bulk of protestors are women themselves.

darshan wrote:Similar results were already observed in GJ by BJP. Patience on many local issues is wearing thin and BJP isn't that secure in GJ itself when it comes to non Modi elections.

They key take away seems to be that for BJP it is really required to have mini-Modis at all levels. Every state, and perhaps at every municipality level. The grooming of the right people should have started like yesterday.

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby chetak » 25 Oct 2019 21:52

twitter


What a election!!

BJP is celebrating
Shiv sena is celebrating
NCP is celebrating
Congress is celebrating
JJP with 10 seats also celebrating.

Above all the most important is EC is celebrating. No complain on EVM

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby Vayutuvan » 25 Oct 2019 21:56

Vikas wrote:Do the results prove that Sonia is far better in handling Congress Party than Pappu ever would be.

She has "low cunning" as one American amby/diplomutt put it. it was in one of the wikileaked
memos.

pappu is somebody who is good at heart but listens to the wrong people - maa, pitroda, and MSA.
Last edited by Vayutuvan on 26 Oct 2019 19:12, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby darshhan » 25 Oct 2019 22:17

Sachin wrote:They key take away seems to be that for BJP it is really required to have mini-Modis at all levels. Every state, and perhaps at every municipality level. The grooming of the right people should have started like yesterday.


Mini Modis are there in BJP. The problem now is that there is too much rush in BJP. Those who have somehow managed to reach in positions of power are now scuttling those who are not perceived to be close to them. Yes there is a feedback mechanism unlike other parties but still politicians being politicians are fundamentally insecure beings.

At political level time is now ripe for a new party which works even more aggressively for Hindu and nationalist causes. There are certain conditions though. In constituencies both MLA and MP, wherever islamic percentage is more than 18%, only one of the nationalist parties should contest so as to not divide the Hindu vote.

Otherwise Congress by the virtue of being the default opposition party will come back in power at some point of time. Just like they did in MP, Rajasthan, Chhattisgarh and came very close in Gujarat.

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby Prem Kumar » 25 Oct 2019 23:49

Vayutuvan wrote:pappu is somebody who is good at heart but listens to the wrong people - maa, pitroda, and MSA.


Not true. He is an entitled, arrogant brat. He's too dumb to be devious - that's all. Calling him "pappu" is a mistake. It conveys the impression of a somewhat dull, but lovable character. He is not lovable or trustable.

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby UlanBatori » 26 Oct 2019 08:07

What's gone wrong with the Dunia? Nothing in the neuj. Even on PeeAref everywhere I look I see my own posts. :P which means severe drought of anything interesting.

Mongolia to hold camel festival to boost tourism
Source: Xinhua| 2019-10-25 17:36:40|Editor: Shi Yinglun

ULAN BATOR, Oct. 25 (Xinhua) -- Mongolia plans to hold an annual camel festival next month in its western province of Govi-Altai to attract tourists, local government said in a statement on Friday.
Under the auspices of the Mongolian Ministry of Education, Culture, Science and Sports, the event will be held for the 12th year on Nov.25-26 in Altai, the capital city of Govi-Altai province, it said.
Entitled "The Great Desert Camel Festival," the camel festival aims to attract more domestic and foreign tourists, pass on the camel culture to future generations and encourage herders to improve camel breeding and increase the animal's population, it said.
The festival will feature multiple activities, including camel racing, herders' conference, camel polo, and a trade fair featuring camel products.
According to the National Statistical Office of Mongolia, there were over 66.46 million livestock animals in the country as of the end of 2018, of which 0.7 percent were camels.


This in the land of Chenghiz Khan? :((

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby abhijitm » 26 Oct 2019 09:20

Vayutuvan wrote:pappu is somebody who is good at heart but listens to the wrong people - maa, pitroda, and MSA.

RG is a huge extreme leftist bigot. He has gathered people around him who are of same views. The man is full of hatred. He lies through his teeth relentlessly, shamelessly. A fake person, a hinduphobe, staunch Islamist, a bad news for india.

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby nandakumar » 26 Oct 2019 10:16

Rsatchi wrote:https://youtu.be/ZamJ9qy8xko
Can some legal eagle comment on this please!!.
Is this some kind of a 'chanakyan' move by the Trioka as is being made in the video.
Is the '50-year old confused Desi' in real trouble??

Not a legal expert. But I listened to the audio. It is not clear to me how Rahul Gandhi is supposed to be, "caught between the devil and the deep sea". He can insist that he is an Indian and additionally claim that he knows nothing about the property in question in the UK. If Government were to initiate action for confiscation of the property in UK, the legal process lies in the UK. How is the Government going to prove that the property in question belongs to an Indian citizen (in the absence of an admission by an Indian citizen)? Even then it may not succeed because unless the property is acquired out of funds related to drug trafficking or is out of proceeds of terrorist related funding, it is perfectly legal for any citizen of any country in the world to own property. Since no UK law is broken the UK may refuse to recognise the GOI as the new legal owner.

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby Gyan » 26 Oct 2019 10:22

Aggressive Anti Hindu and Anti Indian stand of Congress is not possible without personal blessing of Pappu. He continues down this road, inspite of losing elections, shows his deep hatred towards everything Indian or Hindu

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby Santosh » 26 Oct 2019 10:34

Haryana is done. Had BJP given tickets to the 5 sitting MLAs they would have won on their own. Not sure what was the need of Sonali Phogat when BJP's own candidate was a strong contender. He won and Sonali got 3rd place.

SS is employing pressure tactics by declaring Aditya future CM in hoardings. BJP is doing well to call their bluff. What option does SS have? If they ally with NCP and Con, their Hindutva ideological support base will erode even further. They have no option but to take Dy. CM.

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby chetak » 26 Oct 2019 10:45

Santosh wrote:Haryana is done. Had BJP given tickets to the 5 sitting MLAs they would have won on their own. Not sure what was the need of Sonali Phogat when BJP's own candidate was a strong contender. He won and Sonali got 3rd place.

SS is employing pressure tactics by declaring Aditya future CM in hoardings. BJP is doing well to call their bluff. What option does SS have? If they ally with NCP and Con, their Hindutva ideological support base will erode even further. They have no option but to take Dy. CM.


what was the need for the BJP to get its own pappu. :mrgreen:

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby chetak » 26 Oct 2019 10:46

Gyan wrote:Aggressive Anti Hindu and Anti Indian stand of Congress is not possible without personal blessing of Pappu. He continues down this road, inspite of losing elections, shows his deep hatred towards everything Indian or Hindu


his repeated hobnobbing with the hans also borders on the seditious, if not actually crossing the line.

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby Rsatchi » 26 Oct 2019 10:55

https://t.co/Oddm63u3Sr?amp=1
Did not this guy loose the elections for the second time.
After 'Kanda' Khand by the sicular presstitutes is this the second tranche to stop JJP supporting but I suppose the lure of DyCM is too much and moreover the 'Mothership' of JJP was always anti congress including 'Tau' god rest his soul!!

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby Rsatchi » 26 Oct 2019 10:58

https://t.co/P5ruk0ty9F?amp=1
And now the sicko 'Turdadeep' tweeting all renovations given to one firm.
Maybe wanting to manufacture a scam

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby chetak » 26 Oct 2019 12:38

what exactly are these naxals/commies trying to prove.

Is this why Guha recently joined IIsT, bangalore, to spoil minds of bright kids


twitter


Courses taught at IIST TVM which provides most of the young engineers to ISRO. Many of the faculty are from JNU and HCU.
-Tribes in India
-Queer studies and identity politics
-Gender in Hinduism
-Sexuality and Censorship in Malayalam cinema

9:43 PM - 25 Oct 2019



twitter


Seminars held at IIST
“ Gender and Language of India Cinema “ – Dr Meena T Pillai Director, Center of Cultural studies .
“Tolerance Intolerance debate in India.” – Dr Joseph Anthony.
“ Problems faces by youth” Dr Sonny Jose, Associate prof. Loyola college of social sciences.




twitter


Dr Meena T Pillai, a prominent leftist, and a member of the Central University of Kerala's Board of Studies had resigned protesting the circular that asked students to work on subjects of national priority.
She takes seminars for IIST students.

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby chetak » 26 Oct 2019 13:36

twitter


A total of 22.4% Hindu population but BJP candidate in #Malegaon does NOT even get 1% votes. @BJP4India shd investigate this first before blaming Kerala Hindus for not voting them.

Image

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby vijayk » 26 Oct 2019 16:23

https://www.hindustantimes.com/analysis ... LC3cI.html
Maharashtra’s mandate is for the BJP. But the road ahead is hard | Opinion

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby Vayutuvan » 26 Oct 2019 19:15

Vayutuvan wrote:
Vikas wrote:Do the results prove that Sonia is far better in handling Congress Party than Pappu ever would be.

She has "low cunning" ...
pappu is somebody who is good at heart but listens to the wrong people - maa, pitroda, and MSA.


I have seen the error of my ways. It was a case of fleeting pangs of compassion.

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby KLNMurthy » 26 Oct 2019 21:12

chetak wrote:here is the venomous lootyens presstitute and his "concern"


IOW Mudi watches TV news.

Hulla bol! Phansee do bhai phansee do!

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby chetak » 26 Oct 2019 21:52

smart boy.

no wonder pappu is so very quiet.


twitter


By presenting 57 MLAs (10 from JPP & 7 independents) to Haryana governor, CM @mlkhattar has reduced BJP’s dependence on both. Without Dushyant Chautala he has 47. Without independents he has 50.

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby CRamS » 26 Oct 2019 22:28

vijayk wrote:https://www.hindustantimes.com/analysis/maharashtra-s-mandate-is-for-the-bjp-but-the-road-ahead-is-hard-opinion/story-nbBaiCveFdSiFtt4dLC3cI.html
Maharashtra’s mandate is for the BJP. But the road ahead is hard | Opinion


Maybe so, but BJP is no position to form a govt on its own. I was reading Minhaz Merchant's twitter line and I agree with his suggestion, BJP should call Shiv Sena bluff, take a floor test and dare SS to vote against BJP. If they do, let there be governor rule for a year or so, and then have election with BJP contesting on its own. I loath SS, they are just like the family run Congoons without possibly the anti-Hindu baggage. But they are uncouth bunch of louts, make no mistake about that. Sooner BJP gets rid of them, better IMO.

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby abhijitm » 27 Oct 2019 08:44

Rsatchi wrote:https://youtu.be/ZamJ9qy8xko
Can some legal eagle comment on this please!!.
Is this some kind of a 'chanakyan' move by the Trioka as is being made in the video.
Is the '50-year old confused Desi' in real trouble??

So people are creating videos based on SuSwami's series of tweets that how he has legally caught RG between devil and deep sea, and they don't even give him credit!

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby Sachin » 27 Oct 2019 09:07

Sena’s MLAs-elect seek BJP’s written promise
Perhaps some one can donate the stamp papers to Shiva sena for signing the deed? ;). Shiv Sena's blackmail seems to have started from Day 0. Looks like they will take down BJP's credibility also in the next 5 years.

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby Karthik S » 27 Oct 2019 09:21

As long as SS doesn't interfere with development projects across state and especially in Mumbai, I am fine with their bickering. Also, don't think they'll do anything beyond that. kaka is already very old, in another 5 years time he may not be in a position to fight elections, not sure if his progeny command same loyalty from their core voters, congress nothing much to be said.

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby csaurabh » 27 Oct 2019 11:57

I am from IIST TVM

Hardly anyone pays attention to Umanities/Social science people. Lectures/seminars like that may be once in a year at most.
I would not read too much into it. Faculties are not at all from JNU ( except maybe Umanities type ).

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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby chetak » 27 Oct 2019 12:25

Why did Israel Depart from Secularism? Is There Any Lesson for India?



Why did Israel Depart from Secularism? Is There Any Lesson for India?

Both Hindus and Jews have gone through holocaust of unimaginable magnitude, both are victims of Islamic terrorism, both shared similar challenges of security threats- surrounded by hostile Islamic neighbours. But challenges for Hindus have gone far beyond this.

Avinash.Vasishth@ifrc.in' Avinash Vasishth
26-10-2019

Whenever any notion of a civilized system becomes the hostage of politically correct narratives, the system is bound to rebel in one way or the other. What happened on July 19th, 2019 in Israel is the living testimony of that fact. Israel on this day departed away from secular character of the State and declared herself as a Jewish State by introducing certain significant changes in her Constitution. This defining moment in the history of Israel brings joy and sense of self determination among people of Jewish community, however, it met with condemnations from left-leaning circles and Islamist lobbies, some even gone to the extent of calling it, “Apartheid”. But what sense does these condemnations really make, when they have willingly ignored to understand the challenges that Jewish community is facing every next day in the name of religious and racial hatred from Islamic Arab world and now in Europe as well. There is no denial in the fact that what all Jews have witnessed through the pages of history is a pain of unimaginable magnitude. However they still somehow managed to fight against all odds. Practically speaking their existential preferences have now been reduced into two options, either to take some concrete steps to protect their dignified survival or else go die unnoticed like Pagans / Parsis / Yezidis / Hindus of Pakistan, Bangladesh etc. Infact, the harsh reality is that in recent years migration of Jews from all across the globe (particularly from Europe) to Israel witnessed an unprecedented rise due to targeted attacks against them. Unlike Hindus, who are miserably ignorant about protecting their civilizational ethos and for sure will become more vulnerable in the upcoming days, Jews have fortunately smelled this existential threat much earlier than anyone else. The demand of revoking secular character of Israel is not some out of the blue phenomenon, the underlying spirit behind this quest is aptly reflected in the national policies of Israel, since after her establishment. Infact, call for making Israel a national homeland for Jews has already been answered, way before in 1948, when “Declaration of the Establishment of the State of Israel on 14 May 1948” incorporates this very objective as an essential condition for the establishment of modern Israel. The principle was given legal effect in the “Law of Return”, which was passed by the Knesset on 5 July 1950, that categorically declares,”Every Jew has the right to come to this country as an oleh (immigrant). This was further broadened in 1970 to include non-Jews with a Jewish grandparent, and their spouses. The new legislative move of bringing Nation State Law has only fortified that position further. So those who are reading this Nation State Law as some unprecedented move are in grave error of judgment. Israel is one among the few countries in the Middle-East that firmly upholds the torch of democratic principles in letter and spirit. But still the shameless way in which Israel was demonised by left leaning circles and Islamist lobbies for bringing new Nation State Bill is truly appalling. And comparing it with prepositions like “Apartheid” is a stupidity of beyond any imagination. What Israel did on July 19, 2019 is a milestone rebellion against established mainstream narrative of secularism which unfortunately has now become the political pamper-pad of left leaning circles and Islamist lobbies with no locus whatsoever. Those who are aware of the history of Israel they know it for sure that Israel has always been a hybrid between a democracy and a Jewish ethnic state. Her tussle as a nation to safeguard the interests of Jewsih community within the bounds of democratic setup has always remain a prime key concern. Moreover, her departure from secular character also holds a deep psychological and social backdrop behind it. So it would be unjust to reach any conclusion without looking into the factors that are responsible for this rebellious move.

Rising anti Semitism in Europe

The gravity of anti-semitism (attitude of hostility towards Jews based on their identity) in Europe could be understood from the statement of Natan Sharansky, former Chairman of the Executive of the Jewish Agency, who was incharge of monitoring immigration of Jews from Europe to Israel (from June 2009 to August 2018), that this century could be the last century for Jews in Europe. In the last 5 years there has been a 20% rise in cases of anti semitism. According to European Union Agency for Fundamental Rights (FRA), some 90 percent of European Jews believe anti-Semitism has grown stronger. A 2017 report by the University of Oslo Center for Research on Extremism tentatively suggests that “individuals of Muslim background stand out among perpetrators of anti semitic violence in Western Europe. France and Germany are the most affected regions in Europe where Jews have witnessed maximum cases of hate crimes and coincidentally they are the same places which accommodates the largest immigration of muslims. Now there can be many other stats that could further fortify this reality but here the issue is not simply about immigration of Jews because some scholars are relating it with some old Jewish prophecy, where jews were ordained to return to their holy land (Israel). The main point of contention here is, the kind of experience and memories European Jews are taking away with them while leaving to Israel, experiences of targeted attacks and humiliation, certainly going to impact the internal social and political scenario of Israel. And it would not be an exaggeration if, new Nation State Law is a reflection of culmination of those shared experiences.

A reactionary response to Trans-generational trauma

After Hindus, Jewish community is the second most affected community that has witnessed barbarism and butchery on an enormous scale in the name of religious and racial hatred which therefore bound to inculcate Trans-generational trauma among people of jewish community. In cases of Trans-generational Trauma, the traumatic event does not need to be individually experienced; the lasting effects can still remain and impact descendants from external factors like it can be a shared response to societal trauma. Now culminating effect of past experience of persecution and holocoust and the recent immigration of Jews from Europe in the wake of hate crimes will definitely resonate into an explosion of emotions and grief, beyond any shadow of doubt. This unresolved grief often times accompanies a reactionary response which can be passed from one generation to the next. And the most possible way in which we can see the reflection of its outcome in a democratic society is through unfoldings of political and social discourses in a given society, where people hardly missed a chance to assert their identity both socially and politically. So it will not be wrong to say that consciously or subconsciously psyche of Jewish community is not immuned from this traumatic effect. And reflection of this is evidently visible in the State policies of Israel ever since her establishment and the move of bringing new Nation State Law is nothing but a further add-up to the routine of this reflection.

Hatred of Islamists against Jew

The hatred of Islamists against Jews has quite a history. The Quran itself makes 43 specific references to “Bani Isrāʾīl” (meaning the Children of Israel). These references in the Quran are interpreted in different ways. Some scholars (like Frederick M. Schweitzer and Marvin Perry) read these references as “mostly negative” in construct, while others (like Tahir Abbas) dilute the construct of these references into sub-categorisations of General and Specific, where former incorporates favourable tones for addressing Jews while the latter contains harsh criticism. But that’s not end of story, during the time of Prophet Muhammad, three local Jewish tribes, namely the Banu Nadir, the Banu Qurayza, and the Banu Qaynuqa, who were in some sort of peace agreement with Prophet Muhammad were butchered and publicly humiliated. Although both sides give their justifications to interpret that massacre but it was happened during the tenure of Prophet Muhammad is an undeniable fact, therefore for a radical Isalmist it is like a cake walk to draw justifications to promote hatred against Jews based on that history. And even if we ignore that past for a moment the kind of hatred today muslims are busy in preaching against Jews can’t be ignored. The most glaring reference in this regard came into the picture when in May 2006 study of Saudi Arabia’s revised schoolbook curriculum discovered that the eighth grade books included the following statements:

“They (Jews) are the people of the Sabbath, whose young people God turned into apes, and whose old people God turned into swine to punish them. As cited in Ibn Abbas: The apes are Jews, the keepers of the Sabbath; while the swine are the Christian infidels of the communion of Jesus. ”

“Some of the people of the Sabbath were punished by being turned into apes and swine. Some of them were made to worship the devil, and not God, through consecration, sacrifice, prayer, appeals for help, and other types of worship. Some of the Jews worship the devil. Likewise, some members of this nation worship the devil, and not God.”

So now it takes no genius to understand the level of hatred that preaches against Jews in Islamic world, when cradle home of Islamic values itself openly caught poisoning the minds of small school going kids. Forget about the mentioning of Isalmic terrorist organisations like Hamas and Hezbollah who openly swear to annihilate Jews from the face of the earth.

Deteriorating status of communities who are globally less in number (Global minorities)

After witnessing the horrors committed against Yezidis and Kurds in recent conflict in Syria by Islamists the sense of alienation and concerns among communities who are globally less in number is bound to inculcate and Jewish community is no exception. This fear conscience certainly triggered a self-defense mechanism in the psyche of any such community to remain concerned about their dignified survival and security. Although there is no denial in the fact that geo political standing of Jewish community and its influence on western world is much stronger than any other minority community, but the pros and cons of this factor cannot be completely brushed aside. And this trigger phenomenon is nowadays common all across the globe, where in one way or the other communities who are globally in minority started reacting in self defense, though out of proportion in some cases but those calls are purely reactionary beyond any shadow of doubt. This could also be understood in the light of recent Rohingya conflict, where Buddhists of Myanmar reacted against the terror of Arakan Rohingya Salvation Army (ARSA), though way out of proportion, but to say that those attacks were dominated by that same fear conscience is not a wrong conclusion. So it would be suffice to say that this state of affairs has now crossed the line of phobia and become an actual perceivable threat, which is also reasonable to a certain extent.

Hostile Islamic neighbors, UN bias and victimhood drama of Palestine

Following the announcement of an independent Israel, five Arab Islamic nations—Egypt, Jordan, Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon—immediately attacked the region in what became known as the 1948 Arab-Israeli War but still somehow Israel able to emerged victorious by giving the taste of humiliating defeat to her Islamic neighbors. Since then animosity never actually ended neither the sense of threat on Israeli side. Moreover the way in which one sided resolutions in United Nations passed against Israel in recent years are way out of proportion and equally triggering the sentiments of Jewish people. In 2018, the U.N. General Assembly passed 21 resolutions condemning Israel, and a mere six for the rest of the world, according to U.N. Watch, a Geneva-based NGO that monitors the international body. Israel, a democracy, was condemned seven times more than the brutal North Korean dictatorship, which still runs gulags and was the subject of a mere 3 resolutions. Indeed, just on Nov. 15, 2018 the General Assembly adopted nine resolutions against Israel – all while ignoring human rights situations in China, Venezuela, Saudi Arabia, Cuba, Turkey and Pakistan, for example. The Committee for Accuracy in Middle East Reporting in America (CAMERA) documented in a Nov. 9, 2018 Jerusalem Post Op-Ed, the U.N. has created an “institutional infrastructure” for the sole purpose of attacking the Jewish state. Most infamously, on Nov. 10, 1975 the U.N. General Assembly passed Resolution 3379, which equated Zionism – the belief in Jewish self-determination – with racism. Although the resolution was, with considerable U.S. effort, repealed in 1991, the international body had also voted to create the Committee on the Exercise of the Inalienable Rights of the Palestinian People (CEIRPP), which works feverishly to delegitimize Israel. Moreover, miseries of this biasness does not end there, on Dec. 6, 2018 the United Nations General Assembly failed to pass a resolution condemning Hamas, the U.S.-designated terrorist group that rules the Gaza Strip. Hamas’s charter approvingly cites Adolf Hitler and calls for Israel’s destruction and the genocide of Jews.

Is there any lesson for India?

Like Jews, Hindus (who are the major repositories of Indian civilization) also stands globally in minority and shares the same concern as far as existential challenges to their civilization are concerned. Both communities have gone through holocoust of unimaginable magnitude, both are victims of Islamic terrorism, both shared similar challenges of security threats- surrounded by hostile Islamic neighbours. But challenges for Hindus have gone far beyond this. Unlike Jews, who have very strong grip in western academia and politics, Hindus have faced blatant academic and political misrepresentation in terms of of their cultural and religious values on global platforms. Apart from this, due to hostile foreign invasions and one sided domination of left-leaning lobbies in writing Indian History their value system has been successfully demonised to the extent that now even initiating a discourse about protecting those civilizational values will brand any concerned individual with tag of certain ideological inclinations in no time. This could also be understood in the light of the fact that ever since the advent of Islamic invaders in India around 200 million Hindus lost their lives and yet Hindus are struggling in establishing a global narrative (like anti-semitism) which could possibly tell the world that it was not only Jews who had gone through butchery and barbarism in the name of religion but Hindus had also witnessed persecution of far more larger magnitude than any ther currently existing religious community in the world. Moreover Hindus were not only robbed with their lives but their economic and literature wealth was also plundered beyond any imagination. So the challenges which Hindus are facing from civilization point of view is far more serious and alarming, infact a crudely honest analysis on this count suggests that India has already been late in rebelling against this bogus doctrine of secularism because the very basis on which it uploads its sancity is flawed, especially when it comes to face hostile competing ideologies (Islam and Christianity) who have well documented history of dividing the whole humanity into the camps of believers and nonbelievers. Moreover, our locus to challenge this established mainstream narrative of secularism is much stronger than Israel because first, Indian civilization has no past history of invading lands and unleashing terror on other communities in the name of religion. Second, we have much more comprehensive doctrines in our value system (like Vasudhev Kutumbakam) than some borrowed western concept of secularism, borne out of Church-State conflict. Third, the way in which term secularism inserted in our constitution is flawed both in terms of legal and historical construct. Fourth, the moral compulsion of upholding the torch of this borrowed western concept doesn’t hold much weightage on us because before 1976 it doesn’t even exist in the Constitution of India but yet we were surviving with the same compassion and love for humanity.

A beginning of a new challenge, conclusion still lies ahead

As mentioned earlier, Israel has always been a hybrid between a democracy and a Jewish ethnic state. And her undying quest for protecting the interest of Jews and their civilizational values within a democratic setup has a long backup of precedents. By bringing this new Nation State Law Israel has dared to set up a new precedent of an ethnic State that questions the well established narrative of secularism but at the same time stood firm to uphold the liberal democratic values of a civilized system. This new journey of Israel as fulfleged Jewish ethnic State however also brings serious challenges to Israeli polity in terms of ensuring dignified and discrimination free survival to non jewish communities in Israel. Because the moment Israel fails to ensure safeguards to them, she too falls in the same category of her Islamic neighbours who are being accused of becoming dictatorial regimes that muzzle down democratic voices and freedom. Moreover, the internal politics of Israel is also not in good shape the Nation-State Law passed in the Knesset by a vote of 62 to 55 in 120-seated Parliament which has therefore contrasted upon the deep polarization in Israeli politics and society within over the future forecast of the direction in which the country is heading towards. So, indeed it would be an endurance test for Israeli polity to put things in correct perspective and prove that it is possible for them to remain both a “Jewish state” that protects and celebrates Jewish identity, and a liberal democracy that protects the rights of all minorities, including non-Jews also. So in a nutshell the conclusion is still lies ahead, only time will tell the fate of this rebellious move. But if Israel will be able to succeed in achieving those objectives then it will become a rebellious milestone in the political history of the world, which not only destroys the binary sceptics of majority communities but also provide a solution for all those communities who are globally less in number to think on their own instead of buying ideas from some politically correct lobbies to proclaim them civilized.

vijayk
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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby vijayk » 27 Oct 2019 17:04

iMac_too
@iMac_too
·
5h
Not a casual statement. This election was lot tougher than perceived. BJP top brass understood it & acted accordingly. Be it alliance with SS or engineering exodus from COn-NCP. No campaign is perfect, so was BJP's #Maha2019. But they handled it quite well
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iMac_too
@iMac_too
· Oct 24
Finally. Monkey of '99 is off the back. Two consecutive saffron terms will permanently change the dynamics on ground. If you ask me, it's stupendous achievement to retain power in Maharashtra. Many people don't have idea how difficult a task it was

chetak
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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby chetak » 27 Oct 2019 21:55

really cold vibes.


Very interesting: no smile from the EAM, who is almost always smiling in photos. The conversation was ‘open and candid’ - diplospeak for throwing things - on ‘outstanding issues’, which is nothing positive. India clearly showing that it’s going to walk the talk here.



Dr. S. Jaishankar Verified account @DrSJaishankar

Had an open and candid conversation with my Malaysian counterpart @saifuddinabd on outstanding issues.



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Gyan
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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby Gyan » 27 Oct 2019 22:57

When will we end our honey moon with duplicitous Chinese?

Kakkaji
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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby Kakkaji » 28 Oct 2019 00:42

Gyan wrote:When will we end our honey moon with duplicitous Chinese?


When we become powerful enough, to the point where the Chinese worry more about a conflict on the border than we do.

UlanBatori
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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby UlanBatori » 28 Oct 2019 02:04

When Indian products beat Chinese on both quality and price.

Karan M
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Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby Karan M » 28 Oct 2019 02:16

We have beaten them on quality often, but price is hard if they keep dumping and the width and scale of their industry is staggering, as the west pretty much outsourced all their industry to China.


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