CRamS wrote:Guru, this might sound like an ignoramus question, but I am still not able to succinctly and in a slam dunk manner explain TSP meltdown post article 370 scrapping. And here is why.
1. If you note, the overt, unabashed TSP proxies in the valley, the harried rats have maintained a 'principle silence'. And its obvious why? They don't give a fig leaf for Indian constitution anyway, so anything done within its 4 walls doesn't bother them. Its irrelevant as far as they are concerned.
2. Now, TSP's position was similar even more strident, 'self determination', 'plebiscite', 'UN resolutions', 'disputed territory' etc. And their strategy was always centered on pigLeT terror in the hope that after bleeding from 10000 cuts, India will cut a deal that gives them the Muslims-dominated Kashmir valley
3. I would have thought that post 370 scrapping, they would have made the usual mockery about Indian actions changing nothing about the 'dispute' and go about their pigLeT debauchery.
4. But seeing their furious melt down means that with 370 in place, it seems to me they had some other ace up their sleeve. What was that which ModiJi had for breakfast and made they start crying so profusely?
5. Is it the obvious explanation, namely, 370 in effect promoted secession, and TSP, along with its KM proxies were expecting to extract something all the lines of MMS-MushRat formula that gives them a huge say in the valley through 'joint soverignty'? And with India given a few dog bones, its investment and other economic goodies that come with it, will suit TSP just fine? And with 370 gone, that dream has evaporated?
6. While #5 above does explain TSP melt down to a certain extent, I still feel that there was a shocker beyond that. What is it?
1. Its psychological shock. For 72 years the public discourse in their country has revolved around Kashmir. It gave them legitimacy to engage with a country they can never compete with.
2. As long as the special status remained there was a chance that a face saver agreement like the mushy four point formula could be reached. That is not an option anymore.
3. Kashmir was a central plank in their 2 nation theory.
4. Loss of leh means india has permanent control over their most important river: indus and also means loss of easier and safer route to connect china