2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

All threads that are locked or marked for deletion will be moved to this forum. The topics will be cleared from this archive on the 1st and 16th of each month.
vijayk
BRF Oldie
Posts: 5106
Joined: 22 Jun 1999 11:31

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby vijayk » 24 Nov 2020 06:53

https://www.news18.com/news/opinion/not ... 08326.html
Not Just Pro-women Schemes, It’s a Deep Bond That Connects Modi With His Female Voters

The results of the recent Bihar election and the consequent reaffirmation of popularity of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, despite what seemed like a perfect storm arrayed against the NDA government, has had multiple consequences. One the one hand, the infighting within the Congress, which had been put on hold, seems to have again started and with renewed vigor. On the other, the commentariat in Delhi’s elite circles seem to have finally accepted, though grudgingly, that among various sections of people who vote overwhelmingly for Modi, one definite block is that of the women voters.



That he comes from a humble background also helps him better appreciate the nature of the welfare programs that should get priority and then be the focus of his execution skills. Hence the focus on schemes such as Ujjwala, Jan Dhan, Mudra, Pradhan Mantri Aawaas and Jan Suraksha among others, all of which have overwhelmingly benefitted women.



The empowerment that these schemes have provided, right from the time they were conceived, especially to those at the margins, have now been fairly well documented. The impact of these schemes, however, became even more pronounced when a global calamity like COVID-19 struck. It was the web of these schemes that came to the rescue of crores of women and sustained millions of families and helped prevent severe economic disruption from turning into economic distress.


Consider the following efforts undertaken just during the COVID-19 induced lockdown. As many as 19.86 crore women Jan Dhan account holders received Rs 500 each in their account per month for a period of three months. A total of Rs 30,000 crore was transferred to women during the peak of lockdown period. Rs 1,400 crore was disbursed to about 2.82 crore old age person, widow and disabled people. Each beneficiary received an ex-gratia cash of Rs 1,000 under the scheme.


Women received free LPG refills for three months under the Ujjwala Yojana with an outlay of almost 5,000 crore. In totality, over 11.97 crore LPG cylinders were provided for free. The Garib Kalyan Yojana of providing free rations during the pandemic induced lockdown to over 80 crore people for eight months also overwhelmingly benefitted women, as it is they who are in charge of the kitchen.

But providing economic relief during a health pandemic cannot be the sufficient reason to build an enduring voter base among women. It requires sustained welfare efforts for a much longer period. Among a surfeit of such achievements, consider just a select few.


This struggle resonates with the everyday life of women who face similar challenges in their personal and professional lives – of not being treated equally and denied due dignity and respect. Therefore, women identify with Modi who is someone just like them and who succeeds despite obstacles while facing almost similar challenges like them.

Second, despite the system being loaded against Modi, he has never turned negative or nihilistic. His rhetoric is never pessimistic or rejectionist. He is not out to wreck the system but to reform it, to rebuild it and to make it work. Again, a trait which women find resonating with their own life experiences.

Third, Modi is neither reckless nor profligate with finances. One direct consequence of this of course has been that he has been able to control inflation, which had skyrocketed into double digits under the Congress regime. But on a more instinctive level, this again resonates with those women who have to similarly balance their own household budgets and do not have the luxury to be reckless.

Fourth, Modi understands and displays the benefits of having immense patience. When to keep counsel to oneself; how to just lie low and keep on working and working till the right time comes; how not to be distracted from the larger goal by transitory events – all are traits that define Modi in many ways and are simultaneously the life story of almost all women who manage households in India.

Fifth, in essence, the politics of Modi is about our family – the Indian family. Just as an illustration, Modi is from Gujarat, contest elections from Uttar Pradesh but has spent substantial amount of energy, time and political capital in the North East. A normal politician would not do it, and indeed none before Modi did it and that is why that region remained so underdeveloped. Others just looked it from their political benefit lens. Modi looks at it as one caring for every member of the family, which obviously resonates with the role women play in their life every day.

Sixth, in ambition and aspiration Modi never ever sets small targets. They are not unachievable or fantastical either, but they do require one to stretch extra and work hard. In this, he is again not different from women who find themselves playing a similar role within their families – of being the chief motivator and the benevolent monitor and of being the cheerful encourager of every success and the silent inspiration behind every minute of extra work put in.

sanjayc
BRFite
Posts: 493
Joined: 22 Aug 2016 21:40

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby sanjayc » 24 Nov 2020 18:30

BJP using ED to good effect in Maharashtra

Shiv Sena MLA Pratap Sarnaik, who threatened to break Kangana’s mouth, raided by Enforcement Directorate in money laundering case
https://www.opindia.com/2020/11/shiv-se ... ring-case/

TRP case: ED to summon India Today executives this week for questioning, recording statement of Hansa Research first
https://www.opindia.com/2020/11/trp-cas ... estioning/

Neela
BRF Oldie
Posts: 3687
Joined: 30 Jul 2004 15:05
Location: Spectator in the dossier diplomacy tennis match

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby Neela » 24 Nov 2020 18:55

There was always something shady about Hasan Minhaj.
Yeah...cliched hindsight I agree. But despite the clean cuts, the neat productions jobs , packaging Left Liberal outrage in a comedy show, the stories were all too familiar . Especially the show on Namo before the 2019 elections.
Turns out his workplace is misogynistic and women are speaking.
CHew on your popcorns a little slowly. Allah works in mysterious ways. I am sure he has planned something "big" for him. And after that, you might see him a prison for a decade or more.

Vips
BRF Oldie
Posts: 3187
Joined: 14 Apr 2017 18:23

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby Vips » 24 Nov 2020 19:01

In a first in Kerala, BJP fields Muslim women in Malappuram civic polls.

Making a strategically significant step, the BJP has for the first time in the election history of Kerala picked two Muslim women candidates to contest under their banner in the coming local body polls in Malappuram district.

This unprecedented entry of Muslim candidates as BJP nominees has been a shot in the arm for the party cadres in the Muslim-predominant Malappuram district, a citadel of Indian Union Muslim League (IUML). Though several male candidates belonging to the Muslim community are in the fray representing the saffron party in the civic elections, there are only two women candidates from the community contesting as its candidates with the Lotus symbol in Malappuram.

While Wandoor-native T P Sulfath is contesting from ward 6 of Wandoor grama panchayat, Ayisha Hussain, native of Chemmad is contesting in ward 9 of the Ponmudam grama panchayat.

Both said they have their own reasons for becoming nominees of the BJP.

While Sulfath was impressed with the ‘progressive’ policies of the BJP government at the Centre that has made the fortunes of the Muslim women in the country change for better, Ayisha Hussain has political affinity towards the BJP owing to her husband’s affiliation with it.

It is the recent policies introduced by the Modi government, which made a larger impact on Muslim women that fascinated Sulfath. “The banning of triple talaq and raising the age for women for marriage from 18 to 21 were the two major policies that influenced me.These are bold measures towards the welfare of the Muslim women. Only Modi would dare to do such milestone actions,” Sulfath felt.

Mother of two children, Sulfath got married at the age of 15. As a woman who suffered the pain and miseries of getting married in the teenage was so fascinated by the policy revision made by the central government that would help the Muslim women in a big way, she said.Though Sulfath had a dream to get educated and earn a government job, an early-age marriage put a full stop to her studies in class 10.

Actively engaged in the family business of automobiles and real estate, Sulfath is now hoping for an upset win in her ward.

Ayisha Hussain has been attracted to the BJP through her husband Hussain, who is an active member of the Minority Morcha, an arm of the BJP.
Mother of a 10-year old girl, Ayisha supports the pro-Muslim women progressive policies introduced by the Narendra Modi government.

“I support Modiji and BJP for their bold policies for the welfare of the country,” said Ayisha. Ayisha’s husband Hussain Varikottil is also contesting under the BJP banner from the Edarikode division of the Malappuram district panchayat.

Though it has a weak base in the IUML bastion of Malappuram, the candidature of the two Muslim women would matter much to the saffron party, which has been making all efforts to attract the Muslim community to the party to negate its popular image of a Hindu-oriented organisation.

Dilbu
BRF Oldie
Posts: 6617
Joined: 07 Nov 2007 22:53
Location: Deep in the badlands of BRFATA

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby Dilbu » 24 Nov 2020 19:32

Not just in Malappuram. This time BJP is fielding almost 60 muslim candidates. Surely is a sign of changing attitude towards BJP in the state.

vijayk
BRF Oldie
Posts: 5106
Joined: 22 Jun 1999 11:31

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby vijayk » 24 Nov 2020 20:30

Neela wrote:There was always something shady about Hasan Minhaj.
Yeah...cliched hindsight I agree. But despite the clean cuts, the neat productions jobs , packaging Left Liberal outrage in a comedy show, the stories were all too familiar . Especially the show on Namo before the 2019 elections.
Turns out his workplace is misogynistic and women are speaking.
CHew on your popcorns a little slowly. Allah works in mysterious ways. I am sure he has planned something "big" for him. And after that, you might see him a prison for a decade or more.


wow ... scumbag is a well packaged con man

Suraj
Forum Moderator
Posts: 13904
Joined: 20 Jan 2002 12:31

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby Suraj » 24 Nov 2020 21:32

Liking any brand of comedy is a personal thing. Never liked Hasan Minhaj at the best of times. His comedy - even apolitical or entirely American - just came across as fundamentally mean, and that perhaps gives insight to the nature of his misbehavior in real life. His interview of Waris Ahluwalia was a case: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RskvZgc_s9g . Waris was a class act, making Hasan look stupid despite his repartees. If I had to watch an ethnic Indian comedian, I'll take Russell Peters instead.

IndraD
BRF Oldie
Posts: 7478
Joined: 26 Dec 2008 15:38
Location: भारत का निश्चेत गगन

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby IndraD » 25 Nov 2020 03:00

Not Just Pro-women Schemes, It’s a Deep Bond That Connects Modi With His Female Voters https://www.news18.com/news/opinion/not ... 08326.html
The results of the recent Bihar election and the consequent reaffirmation of popularity of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, despite what seemed like a perfect storm arrayed against the NDA government, has had multiple consequences. One the one hand, the infighting within the Congress, which had been put on hold, seems to have again started and with renewed vigor. On the other, the commentariat in Delhi’s elite circles seem to have finally accepted, though grudgingly, that among various sections of people who vote overwhelmingly for Modi, one definite block is that of the women voters.

It is not as if Modi is not popular among other sections or demographics of the society, for if that would have been the case he would not have been winning elections after elections for close to two decades now. But the fact that Modi has been able to successfully create a national voter base among women voters, cutting across class, regional and as evidence suggests even across religious divide, has been evident for some time but the commentariat has finally accepted it after the Bihar results.


But how did this come out? How was it that it was Modi, among all politicians, who managed to create a distinct woman vote bank for himself and his party? Some of the answers are obvious and have been so stated by many post poll analysts and pollsters. The welfare schemes that Modi has first thoughtfully conceived, then managed to successfully execute, obviously contribute immensely to his popularity.

That he comes from a humble background also helps him better appreciate the nature of the welfare programs that should get priority and then be the focus of his execution skills. Hence the focus on schemes such as Ujjwala, Jan Dhan, Mudra, Pradhan Mantri Aawaas and Jan Suraksha among others, all of which have overwhelmingly benefitted women.


The empowerment that these schemes have provided, right from the time they were conceived, especially to those at the margins, have now been fairly well documented. The impact of these schemes, however, became even more pronounced when a global calamity like COVID-19 struck. It was the web of these schemes that came to the rescue of crores of women and sustained millions of families and helped prevent severe economic disruption from turning into economic distress.

Consider the following efforts undertaken just during the COVID-19 induced lockdown. As many as 19.86 crore women Jan Dhan account holders received Rs 500 each in their account per month for a period of three months. A total of Rs 30,000 crore was transferred to women during the peak of lockdown period. Rs 1,400 crore was disbursed to about 2.82 crore old age person, widow and disabled people. Each beneficiary received an ex-gratia cash of Rs 1,000 under the scheme.

Women received free LPG refills for three months under the Ujjwala Yojana with an outlay of almost 5,000 crore. In totality, over 11.97 crore LPG cylinders were provided for free. The Garib Kalyan Yojana of providing free rations during the pandemic induced lockdown to over 80 crore people for eight months also overwhelmingly benefitted women, as it is they who are in charge of the kitchen.

But providing economic relief during a health pandemic cannot be the sufficient reason to build an enduring voter base among women. It requires sustained welfare efforts for a much longer period. Among a surfeit of such achievements, consider just a select few.

Sex ratio at birth has improved from 922 in 2011-12 to 965 in 2017-18 in urban areas. Securing the future of the girl child through Sukanya Samriddhi Yojana, with 54,000 crore deposits, has met with tremendous success. Gross enrollment ratio of girl child is now higher than boys at all levels of education: elementary level – 94.32% girls compared to 89.28% boys; secondary level – 81.32% girls compared to 78% boys and finally at higher secondary – 59.7% girls compared to 57.54% boys.

The percentage of girls getting merit-cum-means scholarships has risen from 32.97% in 2014-15 to 41.96% in 2019-20.

Just these four initiatives, apart from a host of other like building separate toilets for girl child in every school in India have fundamentally transformed the lives of millions of young girls, especially those at the margins.

Women can see that Modi’s efforts are directed at not just securing the present but also ensuring a brighter future. Young girls who are benefiting from these schemes are not voters. There is no direct benefit to be had for Modi by focusing on the welfare and the success of the girl child. But it is the right thing to do and so therefore Modi does it. It is this genuine intent that gets across and creates that connect.

At a more fundamental level, in addition to the success of these initiatives which have undoubtedly delivered, it is the personal connect that Modi has built that resonates across the country and in a sense makes women identify with him. There are several facets to this symphony between what Modi represents as a political phenomenon and what women face in their own personal life, that helps build this connect.

First, just like women, nothing has come easy in life to Modi and when it has, he has been denied by his opponents the respect and the dignity that he deserves. He has had to work harder than others and yet not been given the same credit that a more entitled dynast or a connected politician gets for just turning up.

This struggle resonates with the everyday life of women who face similar challenges in their personal and professional lives – of not being treated equally and denied due dignity and respect. Therefore, women identify with Modi who is someone just like them and who succeeds despite obstacles while facing almost similar challenges like them.

Second, despite the system being loaded against Modi, he has never turned negative or nihilistic. His rhetoric is never pessimistic or rejectionist. He is not out to wreck the system but to reform it, to rebuild it and to make it work. Again, a trait which women find resonating with their own life experiences.

Third, Modi is neither reckless nor profligate with finances. One direct consequence of this of course has been that he has been able to control inflation, which had skyrocketed into double digits under the Congress regime. But on a more instinctive level, this again resonates with those women who have to similarly balance their own household budgets and do not have the luxury to be reckless.

Fourth, Modi understands and displays the benefits of having immense patience. When to keep counsel to oneself; how to just lie low and keep on working and working till the right time comes; how not to be distracted from the larger goal by transitory events – all are traits that define Modi in many ways and are simultaneously the life story of almost all women who manage households in India.

Fifth, in essence, the politics of Modi is about our family – the Indian family. Just as an illustration, Modi is from Gujarat, contest elections from Uttar Pradesh but has spent substantial amount of energy, time and political capital in the North East. A normal politician would not do it, and indeed none before Modi did it and that is why that region remained so underdeveloped. Others just looked it from their political benefit lens. Modi looks at it as one caring for every member of the family, which obviously resonates with the role women play in their life every day.

Sixth, in ambition and aspiration Modi never ever sets small targets. They are not unachievable or fantastical either, but they do require one to stretch extra and work hard. In this, he is again not different from women who find themselves playing a similar role within their families – of being the chief motivator and the benevolent monitor and of being the cheerful encourager of every success and the silent inspiration behind every minute of extra work put in.

In essence, it would be a fallacy to presume that the pan India voter base that Modi has built among women is just a function of the benefits schemes. It is a much deeper bond that springs from the core personality traits of Modi which gets reinforced by the example of a lifetime of living by those very same traits. It is a unique phenomenon which has no previous parallels and unlikely to be replicated any time soon. What Modi does with this great personal rapport and the consequent political capital would be fascinating to watch.

vera_k
BRF Oldie
Posts: 3256
Joined: 20 Nov 2006 13:45

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby vera_k » 25 Nov 2020 03:21



As a brown man, Minhaj is getting the same pass that Biden did as a white man...no double standards or discrimination here. Ellen got raked over the coals exactly because she was a woman. Ironic that the writer couldn't make the connection.

KJo
BRF Oldie
Posts: 9885
Joined: 05 Oct 2010 02:54

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby KJo » 25 Nov 2020 04:17

Neela wrote:There was always something shady about Hasan Minhaj.
Yeah...cliched hindsight I agree. But despite the clean cuts, the neat productions jobs , packaging Left Liberal outrage in a comedy show, the stories were all too familiar . Especially the show on Namo before the 2019 elections.
Turns out his workplace is misogynistic and women are speaking.
CHew on your popcorns a little slowly. Allah works in mysterious ways. I am sure he has planned something "big" for him. And after that, you might see him a prison for a decade or more.


I actually used to like him for some time... until his show on Modi and the Indian elections. A bunch of woke-ness, lies, and Islamic virtue signaling. After that I was done with him.
I read the article, other than "toxicity" it does not say what he did to cause it. Casual racism is there everywhere.

I am very intrigued about the Muslims who are part of the BJP. All the Muslims I know personally hate BJP and Modi. Indian and non Indian. For the same reasons you hear in the left leaning press. How do these Muslims reconcile with the fear of "Hindu nationalism"? It's not that they just vote for BJP because of performance, they actually run in elections as a candidate. Don't they get boycotted in their insular communities? If this is known, it can be used to cause splits elsewhere Owaisi has a stronghold.

KLNMurthy
BRF Oldie
Posts: 4373
Joined: 17 Aug 2005 13:06

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby KLNMurthy » 25 Nov 2020 04:39

Dilbu wrote:Not just in Malappuram. This time BJP is fielding almost 60 muslim candidates. Surely is a sign of changing attitude towards BJP in the state.

I'm guessing that, since in Kerala BJP candidates have very little chance, they are taking this opportunity to give some election campaigning experience to their Muslim members.

Vamsee
BRFite
Posts: 653
Joined: 16 Mar 2001 12:31

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby Vamsee » 25 Nov 2020 05:56

Ahmed Patel has kicked the bucked. Huge blow to SoGa/Congress.

Vips
BRF Oldie
Posts: 3187
Joined: 14 Apr 2017 18:23

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby Vips » 25 Nov 2020 07:15

Nice. The as*h**e was like a king during 2004-2014 and wielded enormous power in Delhi due to his closeness to the Italian Mafia family. Did not loose a single opportunity to collaborate with the Italian waitress in damaging dharmic cause. The Cobra has left behind an equally poisonous off spring who made quite a chunk of money in a Scam perpetuated by the Baroda based Sandesara's who have absconded abroad. The Sandesara's will be eventually brought back to india to expose the help and protection they got from the father son duo in the UPA I and II regime.

KL Dubey
BRFite
Posts: 1035
Joined: 16 Dec 2016 22:34

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby KL Dubey » 25 Nov 2020 07:42

Ahmed bites the dust. COVID. I guess he must have thanked Pappu and Antonia for signing MOUs with the Chinese while gasping on a ventilator. Good riddance to a disgusting rat.

But I wonder what horrible secrets (about the Delhi branch of the Italian mafia) died with him.
Last edited by KL Dubey on 25 Nov 2020 07:42, edited 1 time in total.

darshan
BRF Oldie
Posts: 3245
Joined: 28 Jan 2008 04:16

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby darshan » 25 Nov 2020 07:42

One has to not forget all people killed in riots when talking about ahmed. All the money stuff is nothing compared to it.

darshan
BRF Oldie
Posts: 3245
Joined: 28 Jan 2008 04:16

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby darshan » 25 Nov 2020 07:44

32 more caste groups added to the list of Bin Anamat Varg in Gujarat
https://www.deshgujarat.com/2020/11/24/ ... n-gujarat/
Gandhinagar: Social Justice department of Gujarat government has informed that 32 more castes and sub castes have been added to the list of bin anamat (unreserved) castes in the State. The list includes 20 castes of Hindus and 12 from Muslim community. With inclusion in the list, beneficiaries will be able to obtain unreserved class certificate smoothly.

vimal
BRFite
Posts: 766
Joined: 27 Jul 2017 10:32

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby vimal » 25 Nov 2020 08:06

^^ What exactly does this mean? They are no longer SC/ST in the eyes of the law?

arvin
BRFite
Posts: 397
Joined: 17 Aug 2016 21:26

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby arvin » 25 Nov 2020 10:47

KL Dubey wrote:Ahmed bites the dust. COVID. I guess he must have thanked Pappu and Antonia for signing MOUs with the Chinese while gasping on a ventilator. Good riddance to a disgusting rat.

But I wonder what horrible secrets (about the Delhi branch of the Italian mafia) died with him.


The other treasury guy Motilal Vohra was also Covid +ve and admitted to AIIMs. At 92, wonder what his condition is ?
Maybe all of them were counting Xi's notes sitting together in the vault and all of them got Xi's Virus. God acts in strange ways.

https://www.deccanherald.com/national/s ... 17924.html
Hmmm....Signora too has chronic chest infection and is in Goa as advised by doctors.
So who else were there in the vault?
Last edited by arvin on 25 Nov 2020 12:13, edited 2 times in total.

Prem Kumar
BRF Oldie
Posts: 2712
Joined: 31 Mar 2009 00:10

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby Prem Kumar » 25 Nov 2020 11:33

Sad about Ahmed Patel's passing - without having spent even a single night in jail. Sonia will similarly lead a long life and pass on. Our lack of ruthlessness.

chetak
BRF Oldie
Posts: 24032
Joined: 16 May 2008 12:00

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby chetak » 25 Nov 2020 12:56

one of the best corona mask awareness ads.

one shudders to think how a low life company like titan would have "presented" this ad :mrgreen:


watch


via @GoofyOlives

hanumadu
BRF Oldie
Posts: 4870
Joined: 11 Nov 2002 12:31

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby hanumadu » 25 Nov 2020 13:51

https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/modi-shah-to-campaign-for-hyderabad-civic-polls/articleshow/79400008.cms

Modi, Shah and a dozen top BJP leaders to campaign for GHMC polls.

Do they usually do that for municipal polls? Looks like BJP is really focusing on Telangana.

Neela
BRF Oldie
Posts: 3687
Joined: 30 Jul 2004 15:05
Location: Spectator in the dossier diplomacy tennis match

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby Neela » 25 Nov 2020 14:13

Opindia made a good observation recently. They highlighted how LeLi gang use optics, right choice of words to build the narrative.
LoveJihad now changed to GroomingJihad to highlight how sinister & depraved it is. It brings out the evil & at same time highlights the victim#s plight. Really puts LeLi gang in a twist.

chetak
BRF Oldie
Posts: 24032
Joined: 16 May 2008 12:00

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby chetak » 25 Nov 2020 21:45

hanumadu wrote:https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/modi-shah-to-campaign-for-hyderabad-civic-polls/articleshow/79400008.cms

Modi, Shah and a dozen top BJP leaders to campaign for GHMC polls.

Do they usually do that for municipal polls? Looks like BJP is really focusing on Telangana.


no harm done. They will/should use the resources that they have.

I am equally sure this news will dismay the many guys in the fray as well as political parties opposing the BJP.

every party wishes that they had a Modi like leader in their corner, batting for them.

a breakthrough now is important to set up the stage for the next big round

chetak
BRF Oldie
Posts: 24032
Joined: 16 May 2008 12:00

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby chetak » 25 Nov 2020 22:36

this event in toronto is also sponsored by a clueless Indian embassy which is aiding and abetting anti India personalities like devdutt and dalrymple to spread venom against India and here in India we will keep on rebutting them.

leftist and liberandu babooze should, at the very least, be tested for a min IQ level. :mrgreen:

one would have thought that, if nothing else, MEA jaishankar would be running a tight ship


IndiainToronto@IndiainToronto · Nov 20

Experience conversations between some of the greatest authors, poets, historians, journalists of our time on @JLFLitfest from Nov 27-29. More on http://jlflitfest.org/toronto. @_apoorvasri @HCI_Ottawa @Ajaybis @DalrympleWill @SanjoyRoyTWA @NamitaGokhale_ @IndianDiplomacy @CanadainIndia




Image

Suraj
Forum Moderator
Posts: 13904
Joined: 20 Jan 2002 12:31

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby Suraj » 26 Nov 2020 00:36

vijayk wrote:https://www.news18.com/news/opinion/not-just-pro-women-schemes-its-a-deep-bond-that-connects-modi-with-his-female-voters-3108326.html
Not Just Pro-women Schemes, It’s a Deep Bond That Connects Modi With His Female Voters

There is a degree of political cynicism in this portrayal that misses a larger point: women manage homes. Therefore women are more subject to the indignities of very poor standard of living and access to household needs, compared to men. India is still ~65% rural. In this setting, women get the water, the cooking fuel, make the food, keep the house clean. This is on top of managing their own personal care needs like access to sanitation.

Until as recently as 2014, only 20-40% of rural India had access to any single one of these metrics - sanitation, fuel, roads, electricity, water. Not even one of these basic infrastructure articles was available to more than 50% of the country. In 2019, the picture had changed dramatically. Sanitation, roads, fuel and electricity all available to between 75-95% of the country now. E.g you can see 5 year SBM gains. The piped water situation is also improving now, from <17% when Jal Jeevan Mission began in August 2019, to 31% now (JJM Dashboard). Bihar co-incidentally has been a focus state for JJM from that dashboard - clearly a political act and one that's worked.

Full national electrification is something developed countries did in the early 1900s. The US had 70% electrification by 1930. The USSR implemented the GOELRO plan around the same time; they used to call lightbulbs 'Ilych's Lamp' for that reason, after Lenin. Saubhagya mission is basically the Indian GOELRO, but 80+ years later. It should have been done decades ago but well, it finally got done.

This is not 'politics favoring women'. This is delivery of absolutely basic quality of life needs to population that waited 50 more years after Roti-Kapda-Makan talk to actually get these . How is a person who woke up in a shabby home sweltering from a hot night without a simple fan, who has to do sh1t outside and risk stepping on a viper in the field, worrying if the kirana store will have food delivered due to bad roads, or make their own farm sale due to the same problem, heavily stunted in growth due to a lifetime of parasitic illnesses carried by the fecal-oral route due to lack of sanitation, unable to be productive past sunset... how do these people worry about things like Hindu revival ? Give them the basic needs of life first and they'll listen to you.

Modi's greatest draw is not the woman voter or some other demographic. It's the fact that he's not just alive to the political reality of the sheer level of poverty in the country as someone who grew up dirt poor himself, but has the administrative acumen to drive multiple programs to deliver enough lifestyle improvements to enough people. Measurable rapid increase in access to such basic things generates electoral reward. We saw that once in 2019 from the incredible turnout and voteshare numbers.

KL Dubey
BRFite
Posts: 1035
Joined: 16 Dec 2016 22:34

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby KL Dubey » 26 Nov 2020 00:51

arvin wrote:
The other treasury guy Motilal Vohra was also Covid +ve and admitted to AIIMs. At 92, wonder what his condition is ?
Maybe all of them were counting Xi's notes sitting together in the vault and all of them got Xi's Virus. God acts in strange ways.


I believe he recovered last month.

Signora too has chronic chest infection and is in Goa as advised by doctors. So who else were there in the vault?


Fernandes, Hooda, Pitroda, Dubey.

KL Dubey
BRFite
Posts: 1035
Joined: 16 Dec 2016 22:34

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby KL Dubey » 26 Nov 2020 00:53

hanumadu wrote:https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/modi-shah-to-campaign-for-hyderabad-civic-polls/articleshow/79400008.cms

Modi, Shah and a dozen top BJP leaders to campaign for GHMC polls.

Do they usually do that for municipal polls? Looks like BJP is really focusing on Telangana.


Good strategy to capitalize on the LS election performance the recent bypoll win was another confirmation of the saffron surge in TG). After KA, TG is best placed to become the next strong BJP state in the south. Also, while Owaisi sees dreams of pan-India greenery, it would be useful to pull the rug from under him in his home state.

KL Dubey
BRFite
Posts: 1035
Joined: 16 Dec 2016 22:34

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby KL Dubey » 26 Nov 2020 00:57

Suraj wrote:How is a person who woke up in a shabby home sweltering from a hot night without a simple fan, who has to do sh1t outside and risk stepping on a viper in the field, worrying if the kirana store will have food delivered due to bad roads, or make their own farm sale due to the same problem, heavily stunted in growth due to a lifetime of parasitic illnesses carried by the fecal-oral route due to lack of sanitation, unable to be productive past sunset... how do these people worry about things like Hindu revival ? Give them the basic needs of life first and they'll listen to you.


That is right. No Hindutva is sustainable without this. Modi knows it very well and is focused on getting these things done. "Pehle shaunchalaya phir devalaya". Both promises fulfilled in that order.

Suraj
Forum Moderator
Posts: 13904
Joined: 20 Jan 2002 12:31

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby Suraj » 26 Nov 2020 01:24

KL Dubey wrote:That is right. No Hindutva is sustainable without this. Modi knows it very well and is focused on getting these things done. "Pehle shaunchalaya phir devalaya". Both promises fulfilled in that order.

Yes and he's much more insightful about this than even this forum (or to avoid speaking for the forum myself personally) gave credit for. I tracked economy news for years. But mostly this was a top down GDP driven exercise. We got a lot of feedback from outsiders saying how incredibly undeveloped the country is, and took it as western mocking. But they were right - so much of the country did live in conditions worse than Sub Saharan Africa.

India no longer is host to the largest number of extremely poor:
Image
We no longer see every article talking about how many people survive on less than $2 a day. Remember those ? They used to be commonplace.

None of this takes extremely high GDP growth. In fact, high GDP growth in itself doesn't dramatically accelerate this organically - the curve did not significantly steepen in years with higher GDP growth. Focused initiatives from the top are necessary. That is what SBM, Saubhagya , JJM all are. But again, just having a yojana won't do - it takes a very good administrator managing them from the top continuously, to drive them to completion.

I don't particularly care if Modi is not 'Hindutva enough'. That message will never resonate well until enough people have the time to listen to it - until then the extreme left populism will continue to have pockets of resonance capable of tilting elections regularly. Once many people have dignified lives, they'll actually resonate with a nationalist message because they take pride in what was achieved by such an administration.

chetak
BRF Oldie
Posts: 24032
Joined: 16 May 2008 12:00

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby chetak » 26 Nov 2020 01:29

this is a very interesting interview...... quite illuminating.



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9GlzAS7uiRk



The influence of Mrs Kaul on Atal Behari Vajpayee & ‘jugalbandi’ with L K Advani






L K Advani’s involvement in Rath Yatra was naked, political opportunism, he didn’t have a communal bone in his body, his mother worshipped at a dargah in Sindh before Partition. Atal Behari Vajpayee loved Parliament and the diversity of India’s political space. He wanted Advani to sack Modi, but lost in that battle. They were BJP & India’s ‘jugalbandi,’ says Vinay Sitapati in his book on the BJP’s most interesting duo in decades. Watch this interview with ThePrint’s National Affairs editor Jyoti Malhotra.

Suraj
Forum Moderator
Posts: 13904
Joined: 20 Jan 2002 12:31

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby Suraj » 26 Nov 2020 01:53

Sitapati wrote the cover story in the latest issue of Open the Magazine:
Why BJP Wins
It's an interesting 'outsider's view' read of the BJP. He comes across as conveying grudging admiration from the perspective of an outsider who's not fundamentally apolitical and is instead carries opposing ideological views. But if you read it with the right filters enabled, you can avoid the chaff and focus on his expression of the core reason - that he gives the Sangh Parivar credit for maintaining a level of teamwork he asserts its opponents are unable to manage.

This may sound completely at odds with the forum regularly arguing the opposite, but it's important to normalize perspectives once in a while with external feedback and understand how to meaningfully utilize such perspectives too. Don't get hung up on some of his characterizations of the RSS - one needs to focus on extracting meaningful information while avoiding the impulse to attack the strawmen he constructs, because that serves no purpose anyway.

Mollick.R
BRFite
Posts: 837
Joined: 15 Aug 2016 10:26

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby Mollick.R » 26 Nov 2020 11:40

chetak wrote:
hanumadu wrote:https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/modi-shah-to-campaign-for-hyderabad-civic-polls/articleshow/79400008.cms

Modi, Shah and a dozen top BJP leaders to campaign for GHMC polls.

Do they usually do that for municipal polls? Looks like BJP is really focusing on Telangana.


no harm done. They will/should use the resources that they have.

I am equally sure this news will dismay the many guys in the fray as well as political parties opposing the BJP.

every party wishes that they had a Modi like leader in their corner, batting for them.

a breakthrough now is important to set up the stage for the next big round


Though i would very much like to see beejayypee gaining ground in "BaagNagar" but i have some reservation about Namo-AS campaigning for city civic polls...........

In my opinion as Namo-AS is a strong premium brand now, like with every premium brands if you over use it and brand is seen in the hands of every Tom-Dick & Harry the brand value gets diluted.
This needs to be judiciously used and preserve for critical states assembly elections (like WB) & lastly for LS 2024. In 2024 we will have a strong anti incumbency of a decade old rule..............

Also Let's assume Namo-AS campaigns and asks voters to vote for them (i.e for beejayypee), and many incompetent non hard working candidates wins. Now as those buggers (& they are hundreds of such buggers present at all levels. e.g few big ones at delhi like RS Prashad, Javdekar etc) FAILS to deliver on local issues like repair of colony roads, garbage disposal or non functional street lights this will definitely create anger in the minds of public and may harm party more in future.
Last edited by Mollick.R on 26 Nov 2020 15:33, edited 1 time in total.

OmkarC
BRFite
Posts: 693
Joined: 15 Nov 2016 11:25

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby OmkarC » 26 Nov 2020 12:26

Mollick.R wrote:
Though i would very much like to see beejayypee gaining ground in "BaagNagar" but i have some reservation about Namo-AS campaigning for city civic polls...........

In my opinion as Namo-AS is a strong premium brand now, like with every premium brands if you over use it and brand is seen in the hands of every Tom-Dick & Harry the brand value gets diluted.

This needs to be judiciously used and preserve for critical states assembly elections (like WB) & lastly for LS 2024. In 2024 we will have a strong anti incumbency of a decade old rule..............

Also Let's assume Namo-AS campaigns and asks voters to vote for them (i.e for beejayypee), and many incompetent non hard working candidates wins. Now as those buggers (& they are hundreds of such buggers present at all levels. e.g few big ones at delhi like RS Prashad, Javdekar etc) to deliver on local issues like repair of colony roads, garbage disposal or non functional street lights this will definitely create anger in the minds of public and may harm party more in future.


Agree w/ the thinking.. Modi/Shah or even Yogi are not needed for this campaign as its highly risky and there are too many factors that could spoil it for BJP - from postal ballots to purported demographic changes in certain pockets. If BJP wins, it'll only be regarded as a municipal poll victory and Bengal may still vote for Mim.. if they lose, Mim will claim credit & TRS gets a lifeline in 2023 elections.

Perhaps the temptation of showing MIM its place is too strong in BJP leaders as they clearly sense blood and going for the kill ? Both TRS & MIM have never been this weak on their home turf despite Owaisi gaining ground nationally - in one meeting he was apparently begging voters to ignore performance of his corporators and continue to vote for him so that he can grow his party in Bengal ! He recently started bringing up "beef biryani" and offering to send it to BJP leaders, when his constituents are merely asking for flood relief, employment and compensation injustice (only landlords were compensated, not tenants - lots of slum dwellers affected). So clearly he is jittery..

Could there be a way to reach out to the poor & lower middle class voters w/ local grassroots workers instead ? Rather than having big leaders drop in and have verbal duels w/ Owaisi and giving him exactly what he needs - defocus from pressing local infrastructure issues and going back to Babri Masjid, Godhra riots, Beef, etc so that they can polarize and emotionally vote yet again.

Cyrano
BRFite
Posts: 773
Joined: 28 Mar 2020 01:07

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby Cyrano » 26 Nov 2020 14:08

The people of Telangana are fed up with the TRS party's corruption and goondaism, and feel threatened by the rhetoric and actions of MIM - which is another goonda party projecting itself as a king maker and the real power behind the scenes. Congress & TDP are dead as a door nails. However, the state BJP leaders lack charisma and have no track record of governance or leadership. In this context, GHMC elections (remember, outside Hyderabad, there is no other big city in Telangana in terms of economy or population, there is not even a Tier 3 city ) are very important for BJP.

Winning GHMC will allow them to break TRS-MIM nexus in the state capital, and give a chance to its local leaders to show some development results to prove themselves different, and reveal the scams of TRS+MIM, before the next state elections. If they lose GHMC, it will again be an uphill battle for BJP in the future with its local faces lacking serious experience and punch.

If Modi and Shah want to campaign, its because they realise the TL state politics are at a tipping point right now, and such opportunities don't come often.

IndraD
BRF Oldie
Posts: 7478
Joined: 26 Dec 2008 15:38
Location: भारत का निश्चेत गगन

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby IndraD » 26 Nov 2020 15:40

Lalu trying to topple Bihar NDA govt.
Lalu rang Sushil Modil and offered him Dy CM job from MGB , in short they tried to do to BJP what BJP did to congress in MP: steal the tallest person who feels sidelined, but mota bhai had all phones tapped besides SuMo wasn’t ready for the bait.
Several claim to have received Lalu's phone. https://twitter.com/aajtak/status/13318 ... 49569?s=20
https://theprint.in/politics/not-just-o ... da/552014/ Not just one BJP MLA, ‘Lalu Yadav tried to get Sushil Modi to switch over from NDA’

schinnas
BRFite
Posts: 1773
Joined: 11 Jun 2009 09:44

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby schinnas » 26 Nov 2020 16:56

This will perhaps push Mota bhai (with his associate team of CBI, ED, IT, etc.,) to poach rebels from RJD. Tejaswi's high handed style is sure to alienate some old timers. Being out of power for 10 years should have some of their leaders salivating at the possibility of getting into power now with BJP which seems to be going from strength to strength in Bihar. Also, BJP doesnt have a very strong local leader which gives opportunity for such leaders from other parties if they have charisma and people-connect, like Himanta Biswa Sharma.

IndraD
BRF Oldie
Posts: 7478
Joined: 26 Dec 2008 15:38
Location: भारत का निश्चेत गगन

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby IndraD » 26 Nov 2020 17:12


Mollick.R
BRFite
Posts: 837
Joined: 15 Aug 2016 10:26

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby Mollick.R » 26 Nov 2020 19:56

Sirs, Can any one suggest me a few real/ factual/ honest books on 26/11 Terrorist Incident. The book shouldn't be sugar coating or silent/ hiding on direct/ indirect Involvement of the "party members".

I want read them myself as well as will gift / recommend them to few in my circle.
Those young chaps are allmost negligent about involvement and protection given by "the party" in the whole gruesome act.

I think one such book is Let Me Say It now by Rakesh Maria.

Thanks in Advance.......

chetak
BRF Oldie
Posts: 24032
Joined: 16 May 2008 12:00

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby chetak » 26 Nov 2020 22:15

Megh Updates @MeghUpdates·8h

Congress Head Office in Lucknow has been Locked by Employees and Staffers for Not paying Salaries

No Office Bearer is allowed to enter till pending salaries are released



meanwhile, back at the ranch, while eyetalian mama, pappu and pappi are holidaying, another ignominy raises its ugly head :mrgreen:

vimal
BRFite
Posts: 766
Joined: 27 Jul 2017 10:32

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Postby vimal » 26 Nov 2020 23:15

I would recommend Hotel Mumbai (2018) for 26/11 attack from Taj Hotel's guest and employee perspective. It was refreshingly honest about the source of terror and naming Pakistan behind the attack.

And as always, naman to one brave soul without whose heroics, mafia family would've destroyed Bharat.

https://twitter.com/GabbbarSingh/status ... 33856?s=20

Image


Return to “Trash Can Archive”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 51 guests