Deans wrote:Though the continued high number of cases in Mumbai is a disappointment, I believe we have peaked (in terms of number of new cases/day) a couple of days ago ,when we also reported 1600+ cases. The way I look at it as that there are 16 states with 100+ active cases. For the past week only 3 of the 16 have grown by over 10% over the previous day. Today it was only Maharashtra. I believe all the other states have reached their peak no (new cases per day). Delhi, TN and Rajasthan (among the top 5 worst hit) recovering as many patients as their daily new cases. If we can get Mumbai under control, we have beaten this.
Don't make these kinds of "famous last words" statements saar. If we get Mumbai under control, we would have beaten the initial wave, using the strictest possible means available to us (total lockdown). What happens when the lockdown is lifted? What happens starting in August/ September? The behavior of the 1918 flu is not encouraging, it came in two or three waves.
Achieving herd immunity is the end goal. Locked-down areas don't achieve this. Repeated limited exposures followed by fresh lockdowns - that's the game India or any other country is playing, when it tries to "gently flatten the curve." The positive fractions seem like good news (4.5%) but that might indicate that the country is that far off from achieving herd immunity. People who think that the only objections to lockdowns are from selfish economy-vadins, don't get this.