Looking at the data, my view is that even if the Govt believed there would not be a significant 2nd wave, it should have, as per its stated plan,
vaccinated all HCW, FLW & those over 60, by end April. These are 150 million people, or 300 million shots. This should have been covered.
I don’t understand how you can state supply requirement numbers as the argument in favor of doing things sooner. Everyone knows the number of people and the requirement. It does not magically make the production volume rise.
You spend too much time using strange terms like “war footing”. It sounds very MBA like. What part of the efforts so far across the world does not seem war footing like to you ? There’s been no crisis in modern history like Covid and India is fortunate to have some of the most significant vaccine production lines on the planet, far beyond the level of countries in our income group.
Pfizer had a 3 month head start in terms of Ph1/2 results and yet they struggled badly with yield scaling. Do you realize that the US death toll was almost continuously 3000 odd a day for months from Oct-Nov thru March ? All their wealth, power and technological capability could not make them produce vaccines faster than 16 million per month in January.
When using fancy terms like “should have done his on war footing” please normalize this against what everyone has tried to do and what they’ve managed .
India despite its meager resources has fostered two vaccine candidates and produced an imported one at a scale larger than any Pfizer plant to date.
The US despite its enormous resources watched a months long wave ravage them and there was nothing their wealth, power and dominance over tech could do to hurry things up. Nothing.
China, despite allegedly having a vaccine last year and production capability, didn’t ramp up the kind of scale India estimates to reach this summer, until April.
Fancy MBA terms are alright, but you’re fundamentally focusing on stating conclusions. First demonstrate your understanding of - as Amit Shah said please understand chronology, and normalize what’s been accomplished vs the best others have been able to accomplish.
There are several detailed posts on how much effort it takes to scale up vaccine production. Covaxin involves growing live Covid viruses in large batches. They take months to grow - AFTER you have a safe facility in place. You cannot hurry this any more than you can have a child in one month by marrying nine women.
Twitter had some great posts on the problems every single vaccine type faces while scaling. The challenges are a near black art. Two plants, same ingredients, one producing much more. Same plant, tries to double production and yield falls badly. When such things happen they dig until they find what precise temperature or other factor caused this, then try to fix and restore level of output.
Your posts betray an incredible disconnect from reality, presuming that the central basis for lack of more vaccines today is inaction today or prior. I’m giving you evidence to the contrary and you are willfully ignoring it. Why ?
Neither India nor countries with far more wealth , manufacturing power or access to vaccine IP have been able to scale up production any faster. We are not a laggard - we are on par with US and behind China in production volume . That’s all they’ve managed despite their resources. And yet what we’ve managed is a failure for which the Mudi shud rejine.